Dolphins Jets odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Dolphins at New York Jets odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Dolphins (3-1) will square off against the New York Jets (2-2) on Sunday in Week 5 at MetLife Stadium. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dolphins vs. Jets odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Dolphins have gotten off to an impressive 3-1 start under new coach Mike McDaniel. Miami is coming off its first loss of the season in Week 4, where they lost to the Cincinnati Bengals 27-15 on Thursday Night Football.

The Jets are in 3rd place in the AFC East with a 2-2 record, putting them behind the Dolphins and the Buffalo Bills. New York saw QB Zach Wilson make his season debut last week and despite a shaky start, he led the Jets to a 24-20 comeback victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers.

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Dolphins at Jets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Dolphins -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Jets +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins -3.5 (-105) | Jets +3.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Dolphins at Jets key injuries

Dolphins

OT Terron Armstead (toe) questionable
WR Tyreek Hill (quad) questionable
CB Xavien Howard (groin) questionable
QB Tua Tagovailoa (head) out
WR Jaylen Waddle (groin) questionable

Jets

OT Duane Brown (shoulder) questionable
RB Breece Hall (knee) questionable
ILB Quincy Williams (ankle) doubtful

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Dolphins at Jets picks and predictions

Prediction

Dolphins 24, Jets 17

Moneyline

Even with the expectation of the Dolphins winning on the road, I’ll PASS on the moneyline in this game. The odds for Miami to win aren’t worth taking straight up as the risk isn’t worth the return, especially with Tagovailoa out.

Against the spread

Despite not having Tagovailoa available, Miami does have a proven veteran in QB Teddy Bridgewater to operate the offense. Bridgewater should be able to keep the offense afloat, so DOLPHINS -3.5 (-105) is where I’m leaning in this matchup.

The Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against the Jets in New York and they are 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings overall. Also, the Jets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight-up win.

Over/Under

UNDER 45.5 (-105) seems to be the ideal choice in this game with the Dolphins having to adjust to Bridgewater at quarterback. It’s also tough to consistently trust the Jets offense to put up enough points to hit the Over.

The Under has hit in 6 of Miami’s last 7 road games and the Under has hit in each of the last 5 meetings between the Dolphins and the Jets when the game is in New York.

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First look: Miami Dolphins at New York Jets odds and lines

Looking at Sunday’s Miami Dolphins at New York Jets Week 11 NFL odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

The Miami Dolphins (3-7) travel to meet the New York Jets (2-7) at MetLife Stadium for a Week 11 AFC East Divisional game in East Rutherford, N.J. Kick-off is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Dolphins vs. Jets odds and lines; check back for our NFL picks and predictions.

The Dolphins have picked up two wins in a row, topping the Houston Texans and Baltimore Ravens. The 22-10 win over the Ravens was especially surprising on Thursday night in Week 10, winning outright as an 8.5-point underdog. The Under is 3-0 in the past three for Miami.

The Jets were trounced 45-17 by the visiting Buffalo Bills in Week 10, allowing 45 or more points for the third time in the past four games. That hasn’t happened since 1966, when the New York Giants defense was thrashed for 45 or more points three times in a four-game span.

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 6:20 p.m. ET.

Money line: Dolphins -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Jets +133 (bet $100 to win $133)
Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins -3.5, +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Jets +3.5, -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Over/Under (O/U): 44.5, O: -115 (bet $112 to win $100) | U: -105 (bet $108 to win $100)

Also see: Betting 101

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2021 betting stats:

ML: Dolphins 3-7 | Jets 2-7
ATS: Dolphins 4-5-1 | Jets 2-7
O/U: Dolphins 4-6 | Jets 6-3

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Dolphins at Jets head-to-head

The Dolphins swept the regular-season series against the Jets last season, winning 24-0 in Week 6 in Miami Gardens, and 20-3 in Week 12 on the road. Miami has won two of the past three in New Jersey straight up, and the Fins are a perfect 6-0 ATS across the past six meetings overall.

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Miami Dolphins at New York Jets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Miami Dolphins at New York Jets Week 12 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Miami Dolphins (6-4) head to the Meadowlands Sunday for an AFC East game against the New York Jets (0-10) at MetLife Stadium. Kickoff will be at 1 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Dolphins-Jets betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Dolphins at Jets: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:25 a.m. ET.

Money line: Dolphins -334 (bet $334 to win $100) | Jets +270 (bet $100 to win $270)
Against the spread/ATS: Dolphins -7 (-110) | Jets +7 (-110)
Over/Under: 44.5 (O: -106 | U: -115)

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Dolphins at Jets: Game notes

Miami’s 20-13 Week 11 loss to the Denver Broncos snapped a 5-game winning streak, three of which were in games started by rookie QB Tua Tagovailoa.
Tagovailoa was downgraded to doubtful Saturday after injuring his left thumb in practice; QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is expected to start Sunday. It’s Fitzpatrick’s first start since Miami shut out New York 24-0 in Week 6.
The Jets covered the spread for the third time in four games but remained winless in a 34-28 loss at the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 11.
Jets QB Joe Flacco made his fifth consecutive start for an injured QB Sam Darnold who has no injury designation ahead of Week 12’s meeting with the Dolphins and is expected to start.

Dolphins at Jets: Key injuries

Dolphins

QB Tua Tagovailoa (thumb) doubtful
WR Jakeem Grant (hamstring) questionable
G Solomon Kindley (foot) out
RB Salvon Ahmed (shoulder) out

Jets

RT George Fant (knee, ankle) doubtful
LB Blake Cashman (hamstring) questionable
G Alex Lewis (non-injury) questionable
LB Patrick Onwuasor (hamstring) out
OT Chuma Edoga (ankle) doubtful

Dolphins at Jets: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Jets 27, Dolphins 23

Money line (?)

I’d liken the difficulty of betting the Jets to win their first game to landing an airplane on a service street.

I was pretty close to giving it a shot but Fitzpatrick lives to make coaches regret benching him and Jets head coach Adam Gase occupies the hottest seat in coaching now that the Detroit Lions fired Matt Patricia.

That being said, the Dolphins are getting overwhelming public support and Jets RB Frank Gore said, “I can’t go out like that,” when asked about the possibility of the Jets going winless. I refuse to believe the Jets will go 0-16.

PASS ON THE MONEY LINE.

Against the spread (?)

Here I was on this week’s Bet Slippin’ Podcast featuring myself and Esten McLaren giving out the Jets as a best bet and I’m wishy-washy on them now.

When I said that it was assuming Tua would be starting and he’s thrown for for more than 100 yards in just two of his four starts. Fitzpatrick adds an ability for the Dolphins to connect on deep balls that Tua just doesn’t have yet.

Also, I find it suspicious that 80% of the money wagered and 79% of the bets placed are on Miami, according to Pregame.com, yet the line has hardly budged. Why isn’t BetMGM making the Dolphins pricier?

I still lean Jets +7 (-110) for a half-unit.

Over/Under (?)

The OVER 44.5 (-106) for 1.5 units is my favorite bet in Dolphins-Jets. This is your pros versus joes situation with the money coming on the Over but the majority of the bets are on the Under.

The Dolphins have a penchant for getting defensive or special teams touchdowns and as the Jets continue to go winless you’d expect them to play with more desperation. The Jets are the healthiest on offense they’ve been all season and have scored 27 and 28 points in their past two games.

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Also see:

Dolphins’ Tua Tagovailoa now ‘doubtful’ for Week 12 versus Jets (Dolphins Wire)
Dolphins vs. Jets: Sam Darnold’s return among pregame storylines (Jets Wire)

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