Ohio State at Maryland odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Tuesday’s Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks and tips.

The Ohio State Buckeyes (11-3, 1-2 Big Ten) and Maryland Terrapins (12-2, 2-1 Big Ten) tangle at Xfinity Center in College Park, Md., at 7 p.m. ET Tuesday. We analyze the Ohio State-Maryland odds and betting lines, while providing college basketball betting tips and advice on this matchup.

The Buckeyes are ranked 12th in the USA TODAY Sports men’s basketball coaches poll, while the Terps are No. 14.

Ohio State at Maryland: Three things you need to know

1. The Buckeyes enter on a two-game skid, including a 61-57 loss against Wisconsin in Columbus as 7.5-point favorites, and a neutral-site loss to West Virginia Dec. 29 in Cleveland. In fact, Ohio State, which was flirting with a potential No. 1 ranking in mid-December, is 2-3 SU/ATS across the past five.

2. The Terrapins dropped back-to-back games at Penn State and at Seton Hall in mid-December before rebounding with wins in consecutive games against Bryant (Dec. 29) and Indiana (Jan. 4).

3. The favorite has cashed in seven of the past nine meetings in this series.


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Ohio State at Maryland: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Maryland 72, Ohio State 67

Moneyline (ML)

AVOID. Ohio State is +110 where every $1 wagered will profit $1.10 if it wins. Maryland is -134 where every $1.34 wagered will profit $1 if the home team prevails. I’m going to PASS and focus on the spread (below).

Against the Spread (ATS)

MARYLAND (-2.5, +100) looks to add to the woes of Ohio State (+2.5, -121), and the Terrapins have the firepower to make that happen. PF Jalen Smith has posted eight double-doubles this season, second in the Big Ten and sixth in the nation. He’ll do battle with Buckeyes PF Kaleb Wesson in a marquee battle of bigs.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 134.5 (-110) is worth a look. The Over has cashed in four of Ohio State’s past five against winning teams, and four of the past five for Maryland against winning teams, too.

Want some action in this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Big Ten, big ’20s: Maryland football

Maryland football in the 2020s

Jake Nazar has a broad knowledge base in the world of sports — pro and college, SEC and Big Ten, team sports and solo-athlete sports such as tennis. He studies extensively and always has something interesting to say. Jake follows the LSU and Maryland programs very closely. I asked him to discuss Maryland football in the 2020s.

Here is what Jake Nazar had to say:

*

I’d say the biggest question is whether it’s possible for Maryland to be successful — success being defined as a consistent 7-8 win program that finishes fourth or fifth in the division, and able to pull off a marquee upset over one of OSU/UM/PSU every four years or so (one senior class) — while running a conventional program.

Mike Locksley got hired with the idea they’d run a conventional program, one molded off what he learned at Alabama, that lands big-time recruits from their home base in the DMV and puts together a top-25 talent level, one not at the level of the best teams in their division but that can still get lots of blue chips.

So far, call that a half success. Rakim Jarrett, a 5-star from D.C., flipped from LSU on Signing Day and they finished in the Top 30 in the recruiting rankings. Things will need to improve on that front, but considering where the program’s been lately, I’ll take it.

So the question is, can Maryland be successful doing this? Can running a program that doesn’t try to go out of the ordinary, to run a different, unique offense, but tries to kill it in recruiting, win 7-8 games in a division with Ohio State, Michigan, Penn State? So far, it hasn’t. There have been a lot of mitigating factors there — continued horrendous injury luck with QBs, D.J. Durkin’s aborted tenure as head coach that resulted in an unforgivable tragedy — but nonetheless it hasn’t.

If Locksley cannot be successful with this blueprint, Maryland will have had three coaches fail in the Big Ten, including one who is seen as the one guy who could truly tilt the scales in recruiting in the DMV to Maryland’s favor. If Locksley can’t bring in the guys, who can? That, to me, would necessitate Maryland to seriously consider going to the triple option or an extreme, Mike Leach-ian air raid. They would really need to specialize and decide to be the most unconventional P-5 program of its stature (no one in the P-5 is now running the option). I think Locksley needs three more years before we know for sure whether it’ll work, so it’ll be by 2023 before this question is answered, but that’s the big question for me.

— Jake Nazar

10 for 20: Maryland basketball

Maryland basketball in the 2020s

Reasonable people can disagree on this next point, and provide other equally valid answers to the question, but for me, no Big Ten program magnifies Wisconsin’s achievements in the 21st century more than the Maryland Terrapins.

Michigan State, Michigan, and Ohio State have generally been very successful this century, alongside Wisconsin. Those have been the four best programs in the conference this century. Purdue hasn’t made a Final Four, but the Boilermakers have been fairly consistent and made several Sweet 16s. Purdue isn’t failing to field a strong program; the Boilermakers simply haven’t reached their ultimate goal. There is a difference between those two realities. That is the five-team top tier of the Big Ten in the 21st century.

In the bottom tier of the Big Ten, we have Rutgers, Penn State, Nebraska, Northwestern, and Illinois, programs which have been dormant or close to it for large portions of the 2010s and the century at large. In the middle tier, we have Minnesota, Indiana, Iowa, and Maryland, programs which struggle with consistency. They occasionally poke their nose into the NCAA Tournament but don’t string together strong seasons for the most part.

In this middle tier of the Big Ten in the 21st century, Maryland and Indiana are the two programs which should be a lot better than they actually have been. Neither program has gotten past the Sweet 16 since the two schools played for the 2002 national championship in Atlanta. Why do I say that Maryland’s failures magnify Wisconsin’s achievements more than Indiana’s shortcomings? Indiana had its great coach, the man who would have returned IU to the top… but Kelvin Sampson ran afoul of the NCAA. With Maryland, the Terrapins have a coach who, on paper, SHOULD be thriving in the Big Ten, but he hasn’t.

The big question facing Maryland in the 2020s is if Mark Turgeon can finally live up to his promise and potential as a college basketball coach. Turgeon, on paper, has all the characteristics of a great coach in the making. He thrived at a mid-major program, Wichita State. He thrived at a football-school program in the Power Five, Texas A&M. He is a Larry Brown protege, coming from one of college basketball’s best coaching trees. He made the leap to a basketball school with a proud tradition near a fertile recruiting center, the Beltway corridor in Washington, D.C. and Baltimore. Yet, Maryland has never truly taken off in eight seasons under Turgeon.

The Terps have been a top-four seed only once under Turgeon. They have made the Sweet 16 once. The standards established by Lefty Driesell and then Gary Williams have not been matched by Turgeon — not even close. Moreover, with Maryland losing a pair of games in recent weeks and needing a huge rally to survive Illinois at home, it seems the Terrapins are once again in line to fall short of massive preseason expectations.

When Maryland was a No. 5 seed in 2016, the Terrapins were ranked as high as No. 2 in the Associated Press poll. The No. 4 seed in 2015 was ranked as high as No. 8 in the polls. This 2019-2020 team was as high as No. 3. It just doesn’t seem to be happening for Turgeon, and so as the 2020s arrive, one has to wonder if Maryland will eventually put all the pieces together. I’m not referring to a Final Four berth — not primarily. I am referring to the ability of Maryland to regularly be a top-three seed in the NCAA Tournament and collect a large number of Sweet 16s. That is where the Terps should be. From that volume of Sweet 16s and high seeds should come a Final Four at some point, but first, Mark Turgeon needs to cultivate that level of consistency in College Park.

Maryland RB Anthony McFarland, Jr. declares for 2020 NFL draft

Maryland running back Anthony McFarland, Jr. is leaving school early to enter the 2020 NFL draft

Maryland running back Anthony McFarland Jr. has declared for the 2020 NFL draft.

McFarland announced his decision through Twitter on Tuesday.

McFarland rushed for 614 yards on just 114 carries for the Terps in 2019. He first broke out onto the national radar last season when he rushed for more than 1,000 yards. His performance saw him named to the 2018 Phil Steele Second Team All-Big Ten team. He was a bright spot on a Maryland team that won just three games in 2019.

“After careful consideration and deliberation with my family, I have decided to forego my remaining eligibility and enter the 2020 NFL draft” McFarland said in his statement. “Reaching the highest level has always been a dream of mine and I can’t wait to seize that opportunity.”

McFarland will be one of the more elusive running backs in the 2020 class.

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Maryland at Michigan State odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Maryland Terrapins at Michigan State Spartans sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks and tips.

The Maryland Terrapins (3-8) travel to East Lansing, Mich., to battle the Michigan State Spartans (5-6) in a late-Saturday afternoon (3:30 p.m. ET) contest at Spartan Stadium.

We analyze the Maryland-Michigan State odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Maryland at Michigan State: Three things you need to know

1. Michigan State had multiple short-field scoring drives in last week’s 27-0 pasting of Rutgers. The game included two expensive RU turnovers in or near the MSU red zone, a strong measure of dominance on third-down plays, and the Spartans averaging a pedestrian 3.3 yards per carry in the ground game.

2. Maryland has played a difficult second-half schedule with October-November games vs. Minnesota, Michigan and Ohio State. The Terrapins have let that spin into a six-game losing slide.

3.  The Terrapins are 13-4 against the spread over their last 17 games following a double-digit loss at home. Maryland was waxed by Nebraska in College Park (54-7) last Saturday.


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Maryland at Michigan State: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Michigan State 31, Maryland 14

Moneyline (ML)

Liking the Maryland side in general and figuring the Terps as having a 9-10% chance of winning outright, a price of Maryland +840 is in the ballpark, but does not include some profit potential. (In other words if you figured Maryland as a 10% play, you’d need +900 odds just to break even with the play; +950 would be some profit cushion.) PASS.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Maryland returns a profit of $84.

Against the Spread (ATS)

MSU is 7-13 against the spread over its last 20 games at Spartan Stadium. The Spartans are 1-4 over their last five games when favored by 3-4 scores.

Maryland has a better default setting than what has been on display of late. The Terps have a better talent base than Rutgers, and their average game gets within 14 to 21 points of the Spartans. Two years back — on another day that included a rain/snow mix — MSU defeated Maryland, 17-7. Take MARYLAND (+21.5, -106).

Over/Under (O/U)

Michigan State’s offense has produced fewer than 6.0 yards per play in five of the team’s last six games. The Maryland offense is in the same boat and weather won’t be conducive to cranking out big numbers.

The Under is 14-5 over MSU’s last 19 games overall and 6-2 over the last eight games following a double-digit Spartan win. Back the UNDER 48.5 (-110).

Get some action on this game or others, place a bet with BetMGM today. And for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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How to Watch/Hear: Michigan vs. Michigan State

How to watch or listen to the big in-State rivalry game on Saturday.

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The bye week has come and gone and hate week will give way to the battle for the Paul Bunyan Trophy on Saturday, as in-state rival MSU travels to The Big House to take on No. 15 Michigan.

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If you plan on watching or listening, but don’t know when or how, we at WolverinesWire have got you covered.

Basic info

When: Saturday, Nov. 16 @ 12PM EST

Where: Michigan Stadium (Ann Arbor, Michigan)

How to watch/listen:

Streaming: fuboTV

Broadcast: FOX

Radio: IMG Radio Network

Courtesy of MGoBlue.com
Contact/Follow @WolverinesWire@isaiahhole

Ohio State keeps rising in advanced metrics, even without Chase Young

The Ohio State Buckeyes improved their overall ratings in multiple advanced metrics, even with Chase Young sitting out.

The Ohio State Buckeyes were without Chase Young this past week, but that didn’t stop them from dominating Maryland. Then again, no one expected the Buckeyes to do anything other than dominate the Terps. Even without Young, Ohio State was still favored by over 40 points–a spread the Buckeyes easily covered.

What is impressive, though, is that Ohio State managed to improve its score in advanced metrics in the process. These metrics, whether they operate on a possession-by-possession or play-by-play basis, expect teams like Ohio State to blow out teams like Maryland. Without a star defensive player, you might expect that Ohio State’s numbers would slip a bit. But that didn’t happen. Not only did the Buckeyes not slip, they rose even further.

In Bill Connelly’s SP+ ratings, the Buckeyes stayed pretty static on both offense and defense. The defensive rating barely moved, from giving up an expected 9.0 points per game against an average team to giving up 9.1. Ohio State’s overall rating skyrocketed to an unheard-of 36.9, though, on the back of special teams ratings becoming more valuable this week. (There are fewer special teams plays in a game so it takes longer in the season for them to reach their full value.)

In ESPN’s FPI ratings, the Buckeyes rose to an incredible 34.7 points better than an average team. The rating last week was 33.8. Without Chase Young, Ohio State still managed to make its overall score a point better in one week. What could have happened if Young was on the field?

And, lastly, the Buckeyes improved their Sagarin rating as well. The Predictor, Golden Mean, and Recent ratings all rose about one point (Recent was the lowest, at .81) with the domination of Maryland.

Chase Young is an incredible player, and perhaps he might be needed against an elite offensive line in the CFP. But against everyone else, Ohio State’s other linemen are still better than whoever is trying to block them. That means that the Buckeyes can improve their overall efficiencies, even without their top player on the field.