The Maryland Terrapins (3-8) travel to East Lansing, Mich., to battle the Michigan State Spartans (5-6) in a late-Saturday afternoon (3:30 p.m. ET) contest at Spartan Stadium.
We analyze the Maryland-Michigan State odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.
Maryland at Michigan State: Three things you need to know
1. Michigan State had multiple short-field scoring drives in last week’s 27-0 pasting of Rutgers. The game included two expensive RU turnovers in or near the MSU red zone, a strong measure of dominance on third-down plays, and the Spartans averaging a pedestrian 3.3 yards per carry in the ground game.
2. Maryland has played a difficult second-half schedule with October-November games vs. Minnesota, Michigan and Ohio State. The Terrapins have let that spin into a six-game losing slide.
3. The Terrapins are 13-4 against the spread over their last 17 games following a double-digit loss at home. Maryland was waxed by Nebraska in College Park (54-7) last Saturday.
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Maryland at Michigan State: Odds, betting lines and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Michigan State 31, Maryland 14
Moneyline (ML)
Liking the Maryland side in general and figuring the Terps as having a 9-10% chance of winning outright, a price of Maryland +840 is in the ballpark, but does not include some profit potential. (In other words if you figured Maryland as a 10% play, you’d need +900 odds just to break even with the play; +950 would be some profit cushion.) PASS.
New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Maryland returns a profit of $84.
Against the Spread (ATS)
MSU is 7-13 against the spread over its last 20 games at Spartan Stadium. The Spartans are 1-4 over their last five games when favored by 3-4 scores.
Maryland has a better default setting than what has been on display of late. The Terps have a better talent base than Rutgers, and their average game gets within 14 to 21 points of the Spartans. Two years back — on another day that included a rain/snow mix — MSU defeated Maryland, 17-7. Take MARYLAND (+21.5, -106).
Over/Under (O/U)
Michigan State’s offense has produced fewer than 6.0 yards per play in five of the team’s last six games. The Maryland offense is in the same boat and weather won’t be conducive to cranking out big numbers.
The Under is 14-5 over MSU’s last 19 games overall and 6-2 over the last eight games following a double-digit Spartan win. Back the UNDER 48.5 (-110).
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