MVP Race: Damian Lillard is climbing after his recent stellar play

Each week, HoopsHype’s staff gives our Top 10 candidates for this year’s Most Valuable Player award. Which stars have stood out thus far?

Each week, HoopsHype’s staff gives the Top 10 candidates for this year’s Most Valuable Player award. This list highlights stars who are in the mix for the 2019-20 MVP award due to their impressive play.

Which stars have stood out? Here are our latest MVP rankings:

10. BEN SIMMONS, PHILADELPHIA

Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

STATS: 16.7 PPG, 7.8 RPG, 8.2 APG, 2.1 SPG, 58.4 FG% 

This season has been a rollercoaster for the Philadelphia 76ers, who have gone on several hot and cold streaks. The point forward has made 271 field goals in the restricted area this season, which ranks fourth-best in the league. His unique size has helped him pull down rebounds on 5.5 percent of his squad’s missed field goals, per Cleaning The Glass, which is the best rate among point guards. Simmons also has defensive rebounds on 31.7 percent of opponent’s missed free throws, also the best among point guards. On the defensive end, Simmons is averaging an NBA-best 2.1 steals per game. He also leads all players in both loose balls recovered (87) and deflections (190) this season.

9. JIMMY BUTLER, MIAMI

Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

STATS: 20.7 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 6.2 APG, 1.8 SPG, 45.3 FG% 

Jimmy Butler has found a perfect home on the Miami Heat. The five-time All-Star is averaging 1.46 points per possession in transition, which ranks No. 1 in the league (minimum: 100 possessions) in 2019-20. He just put up a season-high 39 points per game against the Philadelphia 76ers. His career-best assist rate (28.6 percent) puts him in the 96th percentile among all NBA wings. Butler has been a fantastic hustler, too. He currently ranks sixth-best in steals (1.8 SPG), sixth-best in deflections per game (3.6) and sixth-best in loose balls recovered per game (1.6) thus far.

8. KAWHI LEONARD, L.A. CLIPPERS

Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

STATS: 27.4 PPG, 7.6 RPG, 5.2 APG, 1.9 SPG, 46.5 FG% 

Once again, Kawhi Leonard is having a sensational season on both ends of the court. The biggest issue is that he has only played 38 games, though the Clippers have won 30 of those. He is averaging 2.1 steals per game since January, tied with Simmons for the best in the NBA. The Clippers have scored 120.4 points per 100 possessions with Leonard on the court since December 1. That gives Leonard the second-best offensive rating among all players in the league (minimum: 25 minutes per game) during that span.

7. NIKOLA JOKIC, DENVER

Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports

STATS: 20.4 PPG, 10.1 RPG, 6.8 APG, 1.1 SPG, 51.5 FG%

Denver’s Nikola Jokic has been one of the most multidimensional players in the league over the past few seasons. He is shooting 43.7 percent on jump shots, which ranks Top 10 among all players who have taken at least 400 jumpers thus far. The center ranks second-best in the NBA on field goals made (77) within five to nine feet of the basket. His field goal percentage (61.6 percent) is the best among those with more than thirty attempts. He has recorded 10 triple-doubles in 2019-20, which ranks third-best in the NBA. His assist percentage (34.5 percent) and assist-to-usage rate (1.19) are both in the 100th percentile among all big men, per Cleaning the Glass.

6. LUKA DONCIC, DALLAS

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

STATS: 28.8 PPG, 9.5 RPG, 8.7 APG, 1.0 SPG, 46.4 FG%

The second-year superstar has been sensational for the Mavericks, leading Dallas to an impressive 62.0 winning percentage this season. His team has played very well even when they are not playing at home, as we recently noted. The guard has averaged 29.1 points per game on the road, second-best in the NBA. Doncic has scored 13.9 PPG as the ballhandler in pick-and-roll possessions, per Synergy Sports, which ranks third-best in the league. As a primary playmaker, his assist percentage (53.8 percent) ranks second-best behind only LeBron James among those with at least 100 minutes played. He leads the league with a dozen triple-doubles so far this season.

5. ANTHONY DAVIS, LA LAKERS

Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

STATS: 26.4 PPG, 9.1 RPG, 3.3 APG, 1.5 SPG, 2.4 BPG

Davis is shooting 210-of-280 (75.0 percent) in the restricted area, which is the best among all players who have had at least 200 attempts this season. The big man is averaging 1.12 points per possession, according to Synergy Sports, which ranks second-best among those who have finished at least 800 possessions this season. Davis has more loose balls recovered per game (1.9) than anyone who has played at least ten games. The Lakers are currently 33-9 (.786 percent) in games when their superstar acquisition has played.

4. DAMIAN LILLARD, PORTLAND

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

STATS: 29.7 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 7.9 APG, 1.0 SPG, 46.1 FG% 

Since our last MVP Race update, Portland’s Damian Lillard is averaging 39.0 points with 5.8 three-pointers per game. The Trail Blazers have three wins and just one loss during this stretch, helping bounce back from a rough start to the season. Lillard is also leading the league in scoring with 34.3 PPG since January 1. He has hit 66 three-pointers from at least 28 feet, which is over five feet from beyond the NBA’s three-point line. That is over a dozen more than anyone else in the league has made in 2019-20. He is averaging 1.13 points per possession, per Synergy Sports, which ranks No. 1 overall among those who have finished at least 800 possessions this season. Lillard also leads all players with 757 points scored as the ballhandler in pick-and-roll possessions.

3. LEBRON JAMES, LOS ANGELES LAKERS

Sergio Estrada-USA TODAY Sports

STATS: 25.2 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 10.7 APG, 1.3 SPG, 49.3 FG%

Knowing that narrative plays a big role in MVP voting, the momentum is there for the Los Angeles Lakers and LeBron James. He currently leads the league with 10.7 assists per game. The 35-year-old superstar is also putting up a career-high 2.1 three-pointers connected per game, including five three’s in less than three minutes against the San Antonio Spurs last night. He keeps putting up monumental performances, putting up outstanding numbers while also helping elevate the play of another star teammate in Davis. The more he keeps winning for the Lakers, the better the odds he will have of winning his fifth Most Valuable Player Award.

2. JAMES HARDEN, HOUSTON

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

STATS: 35.8 PPG, 6.5 RPG, 7.3 APG, 1.7 SPG, 43.6 FG% 

Harden has connected on 208 non-corner three-pointers, over twenty more than anyone else has hit thus far. The guard leads the league in jump shots (313) in 2019-20. He has once again been fantastic creating his own shot, too. Only 14.6 percent of his three-pointers have been assisted, which is the best among all players in the NBA. Harden has scored 16.2 points per game on isolation possessions, per Synergy, which is nearly ten points more than any other player in the league. In fact, his 762 points scored on this play type is more than any other team besides his own Houston Rockets. To put that in perspective, the Milwaukee Bucks lead the Eastern Conference with just 386 points scored in isolation.

1. GIANNIS ANTETOKOUNMPO, MILWAUKEE

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

STATS: 30.1 PPG, 13.2 RPG, 5.8 APG, 1.1 SPG, 1.1 BPG, 55.4 FG%

He is averaging 8.7 points per game when operating in a transition offense, per Synergy. That ranks No. 1 overall in the NBA, over a point and a half more than anyone else thus far. He has the second-most dunks (141) and the most double-doubles (41) among all players in the league in 2019-20. His rebound percentage (18.8 percent) ranks Top 10 among all players who have averaged at least 20 minutes per game. Most important, though: Milwaukee is currently outscoring opponents by 14.4 points per 100 possessions when he has been on the court so far this season. That ranks as the best among those who have averaged at least 25 minutes per game.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Wednesday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks sports betting odds, with NBA matchup analysis and picks.

The Memphis Grizzlies (25-25) trek over to the Big D to play the Dallas Mavericks (31-19) in the American Airlines Center at 8:30 p.m. ET. We analyze Grizzlies-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.


Place a legal sports bet on this NBA action or other games at BetMGM.


Grizzlies at Mavericks: Key injuries

GRIZZLIES

  • Jonas Valanciunas (knee) questionable
  • SG Grayson Allen (hip) out
  • SF Bruno Caboclo (knee) out
  • SF Andre Iguodala (personal reasons) out

MAVERICKS

  • SG Seth Curry (knee) questionable
  • PG J.J. Barea (ankle) questionable
  • PG Luka Doncic (ankle) out
  • PF Dwight Powell (Achilles’) out

Grizzlies at Mavericks: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 3:00 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Grizzlies 122, Mavericks 111

Moneyline (ML)

Dallas has played pretty well in their previous three games, all without Doncic. They’ve won back-to-back games against the Indiana Pacers, 112-103, and the Atlanta Hawks, 123-100. The Mavericks pasted the Grizzlies in their first meeting this season, 138-122, back on Nov. 9. However, that was against a Grizzlies team that was without Ja Morant. Also, Memphis has played fabulously since the turn of the year, going 12-4, including winning five of their last six games. Grizzlies center Jonas Valanciunas (knee), who is questionable tonight, was able to participate in shootaround. That’s a good sign he’ll be fit to go tonight.

BET the scorching-hot GRIZZLIES +170 to pull off an upset. New to sports betting? Bet $50 on Grizzlies +170 to win $89.50 if they win outright.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

Both have been outstanding against the spread teams so far this season—Memphis is 27-22-1 ATS and Dallas is 27-20-3 ATS. But Memphis gets the edge in this matchup because they are the healthier team, especially in the backcourt. Also, the Grizzlies’ transition offense should have its way against the Mavericks:  Memphis is ranked fifth in fast-break points per game, and Dallas is last in opponents’ fast-break points per game. Also, the Grizzlies are 5-2 ATS when getting 3-4.5 points so TAKE THE GRIZZLIES +4.5 (-106) for insurance on our moneyline wager.

Over/Under (O/U)

These are both high-octane offenses—Memphis is ranked 10th in points per game and Dallas is third. Their first meeting (270-point total) went well Over bookmakers’ projected total of 222 and the last three Grizzlies-Mavericks games have went Over the projected total. There are fair questions the Mavericks are going to have to answer about how they’ll score without Doncic and possible Curry and Barea. But those questions should be easier for them to answer against a Grizzlies team that is ranked 26th in opponents’ points per game and 25th in three-point percentage.

BET OVER 225.5 (-115). 

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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LeBron James sees MVP odds improve slightly, still trailing Giannis

Los Angeles Lakers star LeBron James is closing the gap for MVP with Giannis Antetokounmpo, according to one bookmaker.

As LeBron James and his Los Angeles Lakers continue to go strong atop the Western Conference standings and other would-be MVP contenders have either been beset by injury or a shooting slump, LeBron is rising above the rest as the player with the best chance of keeping Milwaukee’s Giannis Antetokounmpo from a second straight NBA MVP award.

According to new odds from the folks at BetOnline.Ag, LeBron has closed the gap between him and Antetokounmpo while Houston’s James Harden and Dallas’ Luka Doncic have seen their candidacy fade a little bit as of late. The biggest mover other than LeBron is Damian Lillard, who went from off the board to 18-1.

Giannis Antetokounmpo            2/3                    1/3

LeBron James                           8/1                    5/1

James Harden                           5/1                    6/1

Luka Doncic                             5/1                    6/1

Anthony Davis                          9/1                    18/1

Damian Lillard                           Off the Board    18/1

Kawhi Leonard                          33/1                  33/1

LeBron has led the NBA in assists all season and has shouldered a leadership role for the Lakers all season. LeBron’s leadership came into even greater focus over the past few weeks after he took it upon himself to lead Lakers Nation following the tragedy of the death of Kobe Bryant, his daughter Gigi, and seven others.

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Report: Doncic expected to miss 2 weeks after suffering ankle injury during practice

Luka Doncic is expected to miss a couple of weeks after an MRI Friday morning revealed that the Mavericks star suffered a “best-case-scenario” right ankle injury during Thursday’s practice.

Luka Doncic is expected to miss a couple of weeks after an MRI Friday morning revealed that the Mavericks star suffered a “best-case-scenario” right ankle injury during Thursday’s practice.

Report: Doncic expected to miss 2 weeks after suffering ankle injury during practice (Hoopshype)

Luka Doncic is expected to miss a couple of weeks after an MRI Friday morning revealed that the Mavericks star suffered a “best-case-scenario” right ankle injury during Thursday’s practice.

Luka Doncic is expected to miss a couple of weeks after an MRI Friday morning revealed that the Mavericks star suffered a “best-case-scenario” right ankle injury during Thursday’s practice.

2019-20 Mavericks are the best away team ever relative to home record

When the Dallas Mavericks come to town, their games have been among the hottest tickets in basketball thanks to the young Luka Doncic.

When the Dallas Mavericks come to town, their games have been among the hottest tickets in basketball thanks to the young Luka Doncic. Fans across the league are always going to be eager to watch a sensational star like the second-year guard. But what has been especially interesting is how much better this Dallas squad has played in their road games compared to when they have played at home in Texas.

The Mavericks currently have 16 wins and just six losses (.727 winning percentage) during their away games. But their games at American Airlines Center in Dallas have been less favorable. Their squad has 13 wins and 12 losses (.520 winning percentage) at home so far this season.

When subtracting the difference, their mark (20.7 percent) is surprisingly the largest in league history dating back to the merger with the BAA (Basketball Association of America) back in 1946-47.

For context, the previous largest mark over the course of a full 82-game season was from the Houston Rockets in 2005-06. They were 19-22 (.463 percent) on the road and 15-26 (.366) when playing at home. Houston stars Tracy McGrady (47 games played) and Yao Ming (57 games played) were both plagued with injuries that season.

But it is worth noting that their away vs. home differential (9.7 percent) is still less than half of what the Mavericks are currently doing in 2019-20.

Breaking it down further, Dallas is currently outscoring opponents by 7.1 points per 100 possessions on the road. That is good for the second-best net rating among all road teams this season. Compare that with their net rating at home (4.7), which currently ranks fourteenth-best in the league.

Meanwhile, their offensive rating on the road (117.8) is the best in the NBA.

While the correlation here does not necessarily equal causation, it is worth mentioning that Doncic is averaging 3.5 turnovers per game on the road but 4.7 turnovers per game at home. His assist-to-turnover rate has also been a lot better on the road (2.64) than it has been in Dallas (1.76) so far in 2019-20.

Also worth noting that the Top 3 squads on this list (Dallas Mavericks, Minnesota Timberwolves and Phoenix Suns) are all current teams in the Western Conference. We are more than halfway through the season so it is no longer just small sample size theatre.

Alberto de Roa contributed research to this article

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Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Friday’s Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets sports betting odds and lines, with NBA matchup analysis, picks and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (29-18) square up against the Southwestern Division rival Houston Rockets (29-18) at Toyota Center Friday at 7:30 p.m. ET. We analyze the Mavericks-Rockets odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.


Place a legal sports bet on this NBA action or other games at BetMGM.


Mavericks at Rockets: Key injuries

Mavericks

  • SG Tim Hardaway Jr. (back) probable
  • SG Luka Doncic (ankle) out
  • PF Dwight Powell (Achilles) out

Rockets

  • SF Gerald Green (foot) out
  • Nene Hilario (groin) out
  • Clint Capela (heel) out

Mavericks at Rockets: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Rockets 111, Mavericks 107

Moneyline (ML)

No way I’d recommend taking either money line in Mavericks-Rockets. The Mavericks (+360) will be missing their MVP contender in Doncic, after he sprained an ankle in practice. Plus Hardaway Jr. is questionable. He scored a season-high 31 points in the Mavs’ last game against Houston. The Rockets (-500) have been inconsistent in January with a 6-7 record.

PASS ON A MONEY LINE WAGER.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

In the four games Doncic missed previously this season, the Mavericks went 2-2 outright and 2-2 against the spread. Those games came against above .500 teams (Toronto Raptors, Philadelphia 76ers, Boston Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks). As it relates to the point spread, this is an advantageous spot for the Mavericks. Dallas is 1-0 against the spread when getting 7-9.5 points and the Rockets are 4-6 ATS when laying 7-9.5 points. Additionally, Dallas has the second-best ATS record on the road, at 14-5-2 ATS, and the Rockets are just 22-25 ATS on the season.

Their schedules should factor into this handicap as well. The Mavericks are 7-5 ATS when playing with a rest advantage and the Rockets are 3-7 ATS with a rest disadvantage. Also, maybe hold off a little bit for the spread to be bet up to 10 points; the Rockets are just 1-7 ATS when laying 10-12 points.

Either way, definitely BET MAVERICKS (+9.5, -110).

Over/Under (O/U)

Since we’re on the Mavericks to cover, their leading scorer is sidelined and their third-leading scorer—Hardaway Jr.—is questionable with injury, the UNDER 235.5 (-115) correlates with our ATS bet.

The Rockets’ 21-26 Over/Under record is due to bookmakers’ pricing their point totals according to public perception, which is Houston has a high-octane offense. Going back to Houston’s rest disadvantage, the Rockets have a 2-8 Over/Under record in those situations. Furthermore, the Under is 10-3-1 in the last 14 Mavericks-Rockets meetings.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Mavs star Luka Doncic to miss Friday’s showdown at Rockets

Dallas won’t be at full strength in Friday’s showdown of 29-18 teams in Houston, with Luka Doncic out and Tim Hardaway Jr. questionable.

Dallas Mavericks star Luka Doncic will miss Friday’s game at Houston with an ankle injury that occurred at the team’s practice Thursday.

It’s a major loss for the Mavs, since the 6-foot-7 Doncic averages 28.8 points, 9.5 rebounds, and 8.7 assists per game. His scoring and assist totals rank fifth and fourth in the NBA, respectively.

In a 137-123 victory in Houston on Nov. 24, Doncic led the Mavs with 41 points (50% shooting) and 10 assists.

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The status of starting backcourt make Tim Hardaway Jr., who scored a season-high 31 points in that Nov. 24 game, is also in doubt for Friday’s game due to a lower back injury. Unlike Doncic, however, Hardaway did travel with the team to Houston and is listed as questionable.

For Doncic, it’s the same ankle that caused him to miss four games due to a sprain in December, and he was visibly frustrated after the latest injury.

By contrast, the Rockets appear to be healthy heading into Friday’s game, with only the long-term injuries to veterans Gerald Green (foot) and Nene (adductor) listed on the team’s official injury report.

Besides the usual stakes of facing an in-state division rival, this meeting has added importance for both teams, since the Mavs and Rockets have identical 29-18 records and are currently tied at the No. 5 spot in the Western Conference playoff race.

Friday’s game tips off at 6:30 p.m. local time at Toyota Center in Houston, and it will be broadcast nationally on ESPN. Neither team played Thursday, so both sides should enter on normal rest.

LeBron James is creating more points through his assists than anyone in NBA

According to ESPN’s Kirk Goldsberry, the Los Angeles Lakers star is creating more efficient looks than anyone in the NBA.

LeBron James has led the NBA in assists for the entire season and he’s on pace to doing so for the first time in his storied career. But with the number of points that he scores and the looks he creates, he’s not only dishing more assists, but his assists are also more efficient than anybody else in the NBA despite him turning 35 a month ago.

This was the premise for ESPN’s shot scientist Kirk Goldsberry to make the case that LeBron James deserves more consideration for the 2020 MVP award than he’s gotten so far this season. With gaudy numbers and a great record for Milwaukee’s Giannis Antetokounmpo, as well as the play of Houston’s James Harden and Dallas Luka Doncic, James hasn’t often been considered for the MVP. But the points he’s creating are special, according to Goldsberry. He obviously creates more assists than anyone, but his assists also are more efficient than anyone else.

Anthony Davis always being a threat do dunk is incredibly efficient but the Lakers 3-point shooters, such as Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Danny Green, create a lot of problems for defenses who key in on LeBron.

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Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz sports betting odds, with NBA matchup analysis and picks.

The Dallas Mavericks (28-16) visits Salt Lake City to play the Utah Jazz (31-13) in the Vivint Smart Home Arena at 5:00 p.m. ET. We analyze Mavericks-Jazz odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.


Place a legal sports bet on this NBA action or other games at BetMGM.


Mavericks at Jazz: Key injuries

MAVERICKS

  • PF Dwight Powell (Achilles) out
  • SG Ryan Broekhoff (knee) out

Mavericks at Jazz: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 12:00 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Jazz 122, Mavericks 111

Moneyline (ML)

Both squads are playing top-notch basketball at the moment. The Jazz have won 18 of their last 20 games to play themselves into second place in the Western Conference standings, and the Mavericks won five out their previous six games. But the Jazz have won seven straight against the Mavericks at home and I don’t see that streak ending on Saturday. PASS ON A MONEYLINE wager though because we aren’t laying $176 to win $100 if the Jazz win outright.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

Let’s back the red-hot Jazz -3.5 (-115) because os their scorching recent performance. Everything is clicking for them at the moment, and now that Mike Conley is back in the lineup they are one of the healthiest teams in the NBA. At home, the Jazz are 7-0 against the spread in their last seven as home favorites and their 17-3 home record is tops in the West. And Utah has dominated Dallas since drafting Donovan Mitchell; the Jazz are 6-1 in games Mitchell plays and he’s scored 20 or more points in five of those. The Jazz also don’t mind working on the weekends; Utah is 7-0 in Saturday games this year.

Additionally, according to bookmakers’ standards the Mavericks have been inconsistent as of late:  Dallas is 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS win. Home favorites laying 0-4.5 points are 13-8 ATS in games officiated by the crew assigned to Mavericks-Jazz and the Jazz 4-2 ATS when favored 3-4.5 points.

BET JAZZ -3.5 (-115).

Over/Under (O/U)

The over/under trends in Mavericks-Jazz point to BETTING OVER 225.5 (-106). Overs are 11-9 in games at Utah and the Mavericks have a 12-7 over/under record on the road. Furthermore, offenses have shown up to play recently in this matchup as the Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. These teams have been putting up a ton of points since the turn of the year—the Mavericks-Jazz are scoring a combined 238.6 points per game in January.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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