The Memphis Grizzlies (25-25) trek over to the Big D to play the Dallas Mavericks (31-19) in the American Airlines Center at 8:30 p.m. ET. We analyze Grizzlies-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Grizzlies at Mavericks: Key injuries
GRIZZLIES
- C Jonas Valanciunas (knee) questionable
- SG Grayson Allen (hip) out
- SF Bruno Caboclo (knee) out
- SF Andre Iguodala (personal reasons) out
MAVERICKS
- SG Seth Curry (knee) questionable
- PG J.J. Barea (ankle) questionable
- PG Luka Doncic (ankle) out
- PF Dwight Powell (Achilles’) out
Grizzlies at Mavericks: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 3:00 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Grizzlies 122, Mavericks 111
Moneyline (ML)
Dallas has played pretty well in their previous three games, all without Doncic. They’ve won back-to-back games against the Indiana Pacers, 112-103, and the Atlanta Hawks, 123-100. The Mavericks pasted the Grizzlies in their first meeting this season, 138-122, back on Nov. 9. However, that was against a Grizzlies team that was without Ja Morant. Also, Memphis has played fabulously since the turn of the year, going 12-4, including winning five of their last six games. Grizzlies center Jonas Valanciunas (knee), who is questionable tonight, was able to participate in shootaround. That’s a good sign he’ll be fit to go tonight.
BET the scorching-hot GRIZZLIES +170 to pull off an upset. New to sports betting? Bet $50 on Grizzlies +170 to win $89.50 if they win outright.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
Both have been outstanding against the spread teams so far this season—Memphis is 27-22-1 ATS and Dallas is 27-20-3 ATS. But Memphis gets the edge in this matchup because they are the healthier team, especially in the backcourt. Also, the Grizzlies’ transition offense should have its way against the Mavericks: Memphis is ranked fifth in fast-break points per game, and Dallas is last in opponents’ fast-break points per game. Also, the Grizzlies are 5-2 ATS when getting 3-4.5 points so TAKE THE GRIZZLIES +4.5 (-106) for insurance on our moneyline wager.
Over/Under (O/U)
These are both high-octane offenses—Memphis is ranked 10th in points per game and Dallas is third. Their first meeting (270-point total) went well Over bookmakers’ projected total of 222 and the last three Grizzlies-Mavericks games have went Over the projected total. There are fair questions the Mavericks are going to have to answer about how they’ll score without Doncic and possible Curry and Barea. But those questions should be easier for them to answer against a Grizzlies team that is ranked 26th in opponents’ points per game and 25th in three-point percentage.
BET OVER 225.5 (-115).
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