2021 NFL mock draft: Round 1

The first pick in the 2021 NFL Draft is a no-brainer, but from there all bets are off.

Here’s my first 2021 NFL mock draft. I tend not to project trades, and this year is no different — at least for now. The draft process is quite different this year, most notably without a scouting combine, so collegiate pro days will be more valuable than in recent years. Also valuable, in-game data retrieved from chips embedded into equipment.

Anyway, we’ll be unveiling more mock drafts than ever before this year, so be sure to check back with our 2021 NFL Draft Central page to keep track of all of our offerings.

2021 NFL Mock Draft: Round 1

  • The New York Jets’ No. 2 pick … I’m not convinced they’re done with Sam Darnold, and putting more weapons around him will help see what he can bring to the table. He’s only 23, and Zach Wilson is far from a sure thing. I can envision Wilson being the pick and Darnold remaining on the roster, but for a few reasons (durability questions, level of competition, overrated QB class), I’m not nearly as high on Wilson as others. This pick is extremely fluid.
  • A trade is absolutely in play, and Carolina jumps out as one of the most viable partners. The Panthers could secure Wilson, while New York then moves back just a handful of spots and picks up multiple picks. It would then allow the Jets to spend a more palatable No. 8 overall pick on a receiver and build around Darnold.
  • That being said, it makes the Miami pick at No. 3 all that much harder to project. I’m not sold on DeVonta Smith being the second-best receiver, let alone the second one chosen, and this pick almost certainly becomes Ja’Marr Chase if Wilson is the Jets’ No. 2 overall selection.
  • Several situations that appear to be obvious directions for teams to turn don’t necessarily compute for me. I’m not saying Chicago, New Orleans, New England and/or Washington won’t add a quarterback in Round 1, but I’m not seeing the scenarios playing out favorably.
  • Free agency opens March 17, and the player movement will undoubtedly create cause for an update after some of the dust settles.

[lawrence-related id=457182]

Pick
Team
Pos
Player School
1
Jacksonville Jaguars
QB
Trevor Lawrence Clemson
2
New York Jets
WR
Ja’Marr Chase LSU
3
Miami Dolphins (from HOU)
WR
DeVonta Smith Alabama
4
Atlanta Falcons
QB
Zach Wilson BYU
5
Cincinnati Bengals
OT
Penei Sewell Oregon
6
Philadelphia Eagles
TE
Kyle Pitts Florida
7
Detroit Lions
WR
Jaylen Waddle Alabama
8
Carolina Panthers
QB
Trey Lance North Dakota State
9
Denver Broncos
QB
Justin Fields Ohio State
10
Dallas Cowboys
CB
Caleb Farley Virginia Tech
11
New York Giants
EDGE
Gregory Rosseau Miami (Fla.)
12
San Francisco 49ers
CB
Patrick Surtain II Alabama
13
Los Angeles Chargers
OT
Rashawn Slater Northwestern
14
Minnesota Vikings
OG
Alijah Vera-Tucker USC
15
New England Patriots
LB
Micah Parsons Penn State
16
Arizona Cardinals
LB
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah Notre Dame
17
Las Vegas Raiders
EDGE
Jaelen Phillips Miami (Fla.)
18
Miami Dolphins
RB
Najee Harris Alabama
19
Washington Football Team
WR
Kadarius Toney Florida
20
Chicago Bears
OL
Teven Jenkins Oklahoma State
21
Indianapolis Colts
OT
Christian Darrisaw Virginia Tech
22
Tennessee Titans
EDGE
Kwity Paye Michigan
23
New York Jets (from SEA)
EDGE
Zaven Collins Tulsa
24
Pittsburgh Steelers
OT
Jalen Mayfield Michigan
25
Jacksonville Jaguars (from LAR)
DE
Christian Barmore Alabama
26
Cleveland Browns
CB
Jaycee Horn South Carolina
27
Baltimore Ravens
EDGE
Ronnie Perkins Oklahoma
28
New Orleans Saints
EDGE
Joe Tryon Washington
29
Green Bay Packers
DL
Levi Onwuzurike Washington
30
Buffalo Bills
EDGE
Azeez Ojulari Georgia
31
Kansas City Chiefs
OG/C
Landon Dickerson Alabama
32
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
LB
Nick Bolton Missouri