What the analytics say about Wisconsin basketball through the first half of the season

Here is what numbers say about the Badgers so far

Sitting with a record of 11-2 during the strange first half of this college basketball season, Wisconsin has lived up to preseason expectations that put them near the top of the Big Ten conference. There have been extremely impressive highs, and disjointed lows, but overall the Badgers have passed the contender eye test. With a 4-1 Big Ten record, No. 8 Wisconsin sits at fourth in a packed conference.

Looking just at advanced stats doesn’t always tell the full story, but neither does just watching a game live and drawing all conclusions from it. A healthy mix of both allows us to paint the clearest picture of Wisconsin’s season so far. Let’s dive into the data to see what affirms the public eye test, and what may surprise some people:

How to watch Wisconsin basketball vs. Indiana

After the postponement of their Sunday game against Penn State due to COVID-19, No. 8 Wisconsin has had the entire week to prepare for Th…

After the postponement of their Sunday game against Penn State due to COVID-19, No. 8 Wisconsin has had the entire week to prepare for Thursday’s matchup against the Indiana Hoosiers at the Kohl Center.

Related: Wisconsin basketball falls in the latest AP poll, stays in top 10

This break has been Wisconsin’s first extended time off since the beginning of December, which could serve well in resting the starting five that has seen a lot of minutes down the stretch. It will also allow Greg Gard and the Badgers to have more time to prepare for another deceptively good Big Ten matchup.

Although the Hoosiers are 2-2 in conference play, they are 7-4 on the year with notable wins against Providence, Butler and Maryland. Indiana is led in points and rebounds by forward Trayce Jackson-Davis, who is averaging 20.3 points, 8.9 rebounds, 1.7 blocks and 1.4 assists a game. He will be a troublesome matchup for Wisconsin’s Micah Potter and Nate Reuvers that have been extremely inconsistent in the Badgers’ last few games.

This matchup is the start of a stretch of more difficult games for Wisconsin, so it will be vital for them to get started with a victory on Thursday. After the game against Indiana, the Badgers will play on the road against No. 10 Michigan and No. 15 Rutgers.

How to watch Wisconsin basketball against the Indiana Hoosiers on Thursday night.

How to watch:

Matchup: Indiana Hoosiers at Wisconsin Badgers

Where: Kohl Center in Madison, Wis.

When: Jan. 7, 2021 at 6:00 p.m. CST

Where to watch: FOX Sports 1 (FS1)

  • Announcers:
    • Play-by-Play: Adam Amin
    • Analyst: Stephen Bardo

Where to stream: FOX Sports GO app, or online at foxsportsgo.com

Where to listen: Badger Sports Network on the iHeartRadio app, or Satellite on SiriusXM 83

  • Announcers:
    • Play-by-Play: Matt Lepay
    • Analyst: Mike Lucas

What Michigan State HC Tim Izzo said about Wisconsin basketball after the game

Michigan State head coach Tom Izzo spoke to reports after Wisconsin’s win yesterday and had a lot to say about D’Mitrik Trice, Greg Gard and

The No. 8 Wisconsin Badgers ended their long-standing losing streak in East Lansing yesterday by defeating No. 12 Michigan State 85-76.

The win was an impressive one for many reasons and sent Greg Gard’s team into the top spot in the Big Ten standings.

Related: PHOTOS: D’Mitrik Trice leads Wisconsin past Michigan State

Site editor Asher Low went through the contest yesterday and put together five stats that defined the Badgers’ victory. Two main takeaways: it was a complete team effort on all accounts and D’Mitrik Trice is playing some unbelievably-impressive basketball.

After the game, Michigan State HC Tim Izzo spoke to reporters and had nothing but glowing remarks for the Wisconsin basketball program and the job they did on the court yesterday.

He opened the presser with his immediate takeaways from the contest.

“Well there’s part of that was pleased and part of me that was very disappointed,” Izzo said. “I walked by Greg Gard at halftime and I said ‘you know Jud [Heathcote], Bo [Ryan] and Dick Bennett wouldn’t be very proud of us.’ I mean 45-45 at halftime when I think we held Wisconsin to 45-50 points four times the year we won it. So neither team was guarding very good, or both teams were executing very well.”

He continued to talk about Trice and the part he played in the outcome of the game.

“Disappointed you get a nine-point lead and then you just don’t step on their throat,” Izzo said. “And I think the reason for that was the best player on the court, kind of by far, and that was [D’Mitrik] Trice.

He then mentioned sarcastically how Trice plays for Wisconsin after his brother played for the Spartans, saying “that shows you how bad of a recruiter I am. Not only did his brother play here, but his mother and father are really good friends of mine.”

Izzo continued to talk about the path the senior guard took and why he was “the difference” yesterday.

“I’m not sure he was a recruit at this level at the time. And to his credit, and this is what we all should learn, he went to a prep school for his fifth year, then he transferred, then they redshirted him. He is just a product of the process,” Izzo said. “Now I get to cheer for him for 18 games, glad I don’t have to play him again. But he was the difference. Not just because of the points he scored, but the way he did it, the way he calmed his team down. And he was very efficient, he was pretty good defensively.”

Later in the press conference, reporters asked the Michigan State coach whether he believes Wisconsin’s starting lineup of seniors and old core of players is good for the sport.

“I think six of their first seven are seniors and redshirts, I think they have seven or eight on their team. Yes, it’s good. It’s good for basketball,” Izzo said. “I’m a Greg Gard fan. Last year, remember, they wanted to fire him halfway through the season and all that. I just absolutely love guys that persevere and put their head to the grindstone and get it done.”

Although he wasn’t directly mentioned in the question, Izzo still circled back to D’Mitrik Trice and what he means to the basketball team.

“I’m not sure it’d be the same without the maestro. Trice has a calming effect on that team. He just knew who to get the ball, knew where to get them the ball and he might have the most experience of all of them. Because of that I give him credit. Not worried about leaving, not worried about doing this, not worried about doing that. Worried about being the best player you can be and see where that takes you.”

His final note carries arguably the most weight and didn’t even come from a direct question being asked.

“I know one thing. I have a lot of NBA buddies and if anybody calls me and talks to me about him, there’s going to be rave reviews,” Izzo said. “Because I’ve known him since he was little, but the way he’s grown each and every year over the last three years is a tribute to him, their staff, his family. And yea, that’s a special team.”

Wisconsin will be back in action on Monday, December 28 when they host the Maryland Terrapins at 6 p.m. CST.

Wisconsin basketball’s game-by-game win probabilities for the remainder of the season

The Wisconsin Badgers sit at 4-1 through their first five games and come in at No. 13 in the Week 3 AP Poll…

The Wisconsin Badgers sit at 4-1 through their first five games and come in at No. 13 in the Week 3 AP Poll.

It hasn’t been the start many envisioned for the team, mainly pointing towards their buzzer-beater loss at Marquette that saw the team slide nine spots in the national rankings.

Related: Wisconsin basketball’s all-time block list

But they bounced back with an up-and-down victory against Rhode Island and now get to finish their out-of-conference play on a high note before entering into the gauntlet that the Big Ten is this season.

ESPN.com lists win probabilities for each game remaining on their schedule and although these odds are set to change as the season progresses, it’s interesting to look at where the team stands compared to their conference foes.

Here is their updated ESPN game-by-game win probabilities and the team’s predicted record for the remainder of the season:

How to watch Wisconsin basketball vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff tonight

The 1-0 and No. 7-ranked Wisconsin Badgers are back in action tonight after starting their season with a 77-67 victory against…

The 1-0 and No. 7-ranked Wisconsin Badgers are back in action tonight after starting their season on Wednesday with a 77-67 victory against the Eastern Illinois Panthers.

It was a week of winning for the Big Ten, with the conference’s combined record sitting at 13-2 with out-of-conference play tipping off across the country.

Related: Five early-season storylines to watch for Wisconsin basketball

Tonight the Badgers will return to the court against the 0-1 Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions.

Here is how to watch tonight’s game:

 

How to watch:

Matchup: No. 7 Wisconsin Badgers vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Where: Kohl Center in Madison, Wis.

When: Nov. 27, 2020 at 8 p.m. CST

Where to watch: Big Ten Network

Where to stream: The FOX Sports Go app or online at foxsportsgo.com

Where to listen: Badger Sports Network on the iHeartRadio app or Sirius Satellite Radio 195

Five takeaways from Wisconsin’s 74-64 opening win over Eastern Illinois

The Badgers open the season 1-0

The Badgers began the 2020-2021 campaign the same way they started last season: a win at home over Eastern Illinois. Both games were a tale of two halves, but the narrative was flipped.

Wednesday night was all Wisconsin through the first 20 minutes where the Badgers locked down defensively and built a 43-20 lead at the break. The Panthers stormed back with 47 second half points and ended up falling 77-67.

With freshman making their Wisconsin debuts, a Badger team that looked completely different from one half to the next, and ultimately a 1-0 start to the year, here are five takeaways from the opening win:

WATCH: Freshmen Jonathan Davis and Ben Carlson score their first collegiate points

The No. 7 Wisconsin Badgers tipped off their 2020-21 season against the Eastern Illinois Panthers tonight after what ended up being…

The No. 7 Wisconsin Badgers tipped off their 2020-21 season against the Eastern Illinois Panthers tonight after what ended up being a 263-day wait since their last game.

Starting for Greg Gard’s team were five seniors–D’Mitrik Trice, Brad Davison, Aleem Ford, Micah Potter and Nate Reuvers.

Related: Projecting Wisconsin basketball’s 2020-2021 rotation

That was the biggest storyline coming into the season: Head Coach Greg Gard and his team returning nearly their entire production from last year’s Big Ten regular season-winning unit.

One slept-on storyline, however, is what impact freshmen Jonathan Davis and Ben Carlson have in their first collegiate seasons. The talent and production of the senior starting five is known, and it will most likely take some underclassmen stepping up as difference makers in order to bring this team to the next level.

Related: Five early-season storylines to watch for Wisconsin basketball

Well, both Davis and Carlson wasted no time making an impact in tonight’s matchup against Eastern Illinois, scoring their first points just seconds after entering the game:

Davis entered the program as a three-star recruit and was ranked as the No. 2 player in the state of Wisconsin, while Carlson came as a four-star and the No. 4 player from his home state of Minnesota.

Davis, Carlson and the Badgers will be back in action Friday night against the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions before starting their conference slate on December 21 against the Nebraska Cornhuskers.

How to watch and BetMGM odds for Wisconsin basketball vs. Eastern Illinois

The No. 7 Wisconsin Badgers will tip off their season tonight at home against the Eastern Illinois Panthers. The game will be the team’s…

The No. 7 Wisconsin Badgers will tip off their season tonight at home against the Eastern Illinois Panthers.

The game will be the team’s first in 263 days after COVID-19 struck the country in March and forced the cancelation of the Big Ten and NCAA Tournaments.

The 2019-20 Big Ten regular-season co-champions have something to prove this season after losing their opportunity to make a postseason run last year. And now, with Micah Potter eligible for the full year and the entire team back except for SG Brevin Pritzl, they have the squad to do it.

Related: 

Why Wisconsin basketball should not overlook Eastern Illinois

Projecting Wisconsin basketball’s 2020-2021 rotation

Here is how to watch the Badgers’ first game of the season:

 

How to watch:

Matchup: No. 7 Wisconsin Badgers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers

Where: Kohl Center in Madison, Wis.

When: Nov. 25, 2020 at 9 p.m. CST

Where to watch: Big Ten Network

Where to stream: The FOX Sports Go app or online at foxsportsgo.com

Where to listen: Badger Sports Network on the iHeartRadio app or Sirius Satellite Radio 195

Betting line:

  • Money line: Eastern Illinois +1200 | Wisconsin -3334
  • Against the spread/ATS: Eastern Illinois +20.5 (-110) | Wisconsin -20.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 134.5 (O: -115 | U: -106)

Odds courtesy of BetMGM SportsbookLines last updated at 11:20 a.m. EST.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

Projecting Wisconsin basketball’s 2020-2021 rotation

Somehow, college basketball season is rapidly approaching. Although there will be many changes to a strange non-conference schedule for teams all around the country, Wisconsin does have a series of games locked in before they begin conference play. …

Somehow, college basketball season is rapidly approaching. Although there will be many changes to a strange non-conference schedule for teams all around the country, Wisconsin does have a series of games locked in before they begin conference play. That all starts this Wednesday at home against a familiar opponent in Eastern Illinois, a team the Badgers beat last season in their home opener.

If there is one key difference for a Wisconsin team that opens at No. 7 (AP Poll) in the nation, it comes in their depth. Greg Gard’s squad only went eight deep in last year’s remarkable Big Ten championship run. This season, the Badgers boast a roster that could legitimately go ten or eleven men deep and find themselves making a deep postseason run. The senior leadership mixed in with a talented freshman class creates a dynamic that the Badgers feel can take them to the highest of heights in 2020.

Here is a look at Wisconsin’s likely rotation come Wednesday, and a little about what each of those pieces bring to the team:

Podcast: What Wisconsin basketball’s rotation will look like

On the latest episode of Locked On Badgers, Asher breaks down Wisconsin basketball’s rotation in 2020-2021. Who will contribute off the bench? Which true freshman will get consistent minutes? Will Wisconsin roll out an all-senior starting lineup? …

On the latest episode of Locked On Badgers, Asher breaks down Wisconsin basketball’s rotation in 2020-2021. Who will contribute off the bench? Which true freshman will get consistent minutes? Will Wisconsin roll out an all-senior starting lineup? All that and more on Locked On Badgers:

You can listen to Locked On Badgers wherever you get your podcasts, with new episodes out Monday through Friday.