Three in the Key: Analyzing Luka Doncic, Dejounte Murray, Garrison Mathews

As part of an ongoing series at HoopsHype, we’re breaking down three interesting topics we have seen around the NBA throughout the season.

As part of an ongoing series at HoopsHype, we’re breaking down three interesting topics we have seen around the NBA throughout the season.

Of course, the name of this column is derived from basketball’s three-second violation rule. With that in mind, the goal of this exercise is to observe three subjects about the game. We want to explain the key to why it is happening while also providing context on what makes it interesting.

Here are three more of our highlights from the NBA’s 2021-22 season:

Three in the Key: Analyzing Luka Doncic, Dejounte Murray, Garrison Mathews

As part of an ongoing series at HoopsHype, we’re breaking down three interesting topics we have seen around the NBA throughout the season.

Of course, the name of this column is derived from basketball’s three-second violation rule. With that in mind, the goal of this exercise is to observe three subjects about the game. We want to explain the key to why it is happening while also providing context on what makes it interesting.

Here are three more of our highlights from the NBA’s 2021-22 season:

NBA Power Rankings: Jazz jiving along behind seven-game win streak

Rookie Wire took a look at the NBA through games played on Sunday and ranked each team from worst to first.

With another week in the books, the NBA continues to see some of its elite teams perform at an exceptional level with little to no movement near the top of the standings.

Of course, the league will have all eyes on Stephen Curry this week as the two-time MVP looks to break Ray Allen’s all-time 3-point record. He needs just seven 3-pointers to claim the record, something that Curry should have no problem of reaching.

In other news, the Chicago Bulls became the first team to have games postponed after 10 players were entered into the NBA’s health and safety protocols. They will have their next two games postponed as they hope to get some players back healthy soon.

To further make sense of it all, Rookie Wire took a look at the NBA and ranked each team from worst to first. We will come back each week and provide our latest assessment on the best teams and those that are rising.

Hornets vs. Mavericks: Prediction, point spread, odds, over/under, betting picks

Our best bet and prediction for Monday’s Hornets vs. Mavericks game, with odds from @Tipico Sportsbook.

The Charlotte Hornets hit the road to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Monday night, and if you’re looking to do some last-minute betting research, you’re in luck! We’ll give you the latest point spread, money line odds and over/under number, as well as the information you’ll need to make the smartest bet at Tipico Sportsbook.

The game tips off at 8:30 p.m. ET and can be seen on Bally Sports Southeast.

The Hornets (15-13) are coming off a 124-123 victory over the Sacramento Kings on Friday. The Mavericks (13-13) are fresh off a victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday.

Hornets at Mavericks notable injuries:

Hornets: LaMelo Ball (health and safety protocols), Mason Plumlee (health and safety protocols), Jalen McDaniels (health and safety protocols), and Ish Smith (health and safety protocols) are all out. P.J. Washington (illness) is questionable.

Mavericks: Luka Doncic (ankle), Sterling Brown (foot), and Willie Cauley-Stein (personal) are all out.

The lines, courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook

  • Point spread: Mavericks -2.5
  • Money line: Mavericks -140 / Hornets +115
  • Over-under: 216.5

Click here to place your bets at Tipico Sportsbook.

Advice and prediction

The Hornets get Terry Rozier back in the lineup on Monday while the Mavericks will be without Luka Doncic. Look for Charlotte to get the road win as the Hornets cover the spread and hit the under.

Prediction: Hornets 109, Mavericks 104

Get more betting analysis and predictions at Sportsbook Wire.

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Hornets vs. Mavericks: Lineups, injuries and broadcast info for Monday

All you need to know ahead of Monday’s Hornets vs. Mavericks game.

The Charlotte Hornets hit the road to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Monday night, and if you’re wondering how you can watch the action live, you’ve come to the right place.

The Hornets (15-13) are coming off a 124-123 victory over the Sacramento Kings on Friday. The Mavericks (13-13) are fresh off a victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday.

Here’s when you should tune in to see the game:

  • Date: Monday, Dec. 13
  • Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: Bally Sports Southeast

Hornets at Mavericks notable injuries:

Hornets: LaMelo Ball (health and safety protocols), Mason Plumlee (health and safety protocols), Jalen McDaniels (health and safety protocols), and Ish Smith (health and safety protocols) are all out. P.J. Washington (illness) is questionable.

Mavericks: Luka Doncic (ankle), Sterling Brown (foot), and Willie Cauley-Stein (personal) are all out.

PROBABLE STARTING LINEUPS

Charlotte Hornets

  • F Gordon Hayward
  • F Miles Bridges
  • C Nick Richards
  • G Kelly Oubre Jr.
  • G Terry Rozier

Dallas Mavericks

  • F Dorian Finney-Smith
  • F Kristaps Porzingis
  • C Dwight Powell
  • G Reggie Bullock
  • G Jalen Brunson

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OKC Thunder player grades: Offense struggles against Luka-less Mavericks in 103-84 loss

The Oklahoma City Thunder drop a game to the Luka Doncic-less Dallas Mavericks, 103-84 as the offense struggled to score.

The Oklahoma City Thunder fell to the Luka Doncic-less Dallas Mavericks at home on Sunday night, 103-84.

While the final score looks bad, the Thunder were surprisingly in this game for the majority of it. This game was decided in the second and fourth quarter, where the Mavericks outscored the Thunder 51-32.

This was just overall a very lackadaisical game for the Thunder as nobody really played truly awful but nobody really stood up either as the Mavericks have struggled without Doncic this season.

The Thunder struggled to get much going on the scoring front as only four players finished with at least 10 points. One has to wonder how much Lu Dort’s early exit (ankle sprain) in the first half has to do with that. Outside of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who finished with 18 points, nobody else on the Thunder roster can really create their own shot or are in the aggressive mindset to look for it.

With that said, let’s take a look at some player grades.

MVP Race: Luka Doncic enters the race

HoopsHype ranks the Top 15 players in the 2021-22 NBA MVP Race, with this week’s edition headlined by Luka Doncic re-entering the race.

Stephen Curry remains at No. 1 while Luka Doncic re-enters the rankings for the first time in weeks after returning from injury troubles.

Check out our full MVP rankings for Week 5 below.

MVP Race: Luka Doncic enters the race

Stephen Curry remains at No. 1 while Luka Doncic re-enters the rankings for the first time in weeks after returning from injury troubles.

Check out our full MVP rankings for Week 5 below.

Luka Doncic complaining to refs is a problem. Is it responsible for killing the Mavericks’ transition D?

Dallas Mavericks superstar Luka Doncic is one of the best basketball players in the world. But he is also one of the biggest complainers.

Dallas Mavericks superstar Luka Doncic is one of the best basketball players in the world. But he is also one of the biggest complainers.

Mostly due to his tendency to make his thoughts known to officials, Doncic finished with the second-most technical fouls of all players in the league this past season. This is a notable trend that has continued again so far in 2021-22.

During a recent game against the New Orleans Pelicans, the Slovenian-born superstar was caught on camera saying “Oh my God, the refs are bad!” loud enough to get picked up crystal clear on the television broadcast.

Maybe that was fine under the previous regime when Rick Carlisle was in charge. But head coach Jason Kidd isn’t happy with this tendency from his star.

According to Kidd, the Dallas superstar is hesitant to get back on defense because he is too busy disputing calls (via HoopsHype):

“I would lean towards playing five on five a little bit more [than complaining]. You’re not going to get any calls. Officials, they tend not to stop the game to change calls. So you’d have to understand . . that there’s a point in time in games, dead ball, to be able to talk to the officials. But while the game is going on, transition defense is one of the things that we’ve talked about, that we have to get better. If we’re lobbying for calls during live play, it puts us in harm’s way.”

While it’s hard to quantify whether or not that has been an issue in the flow of a game, because no statistic tells us exactly what happens after Doncic disputes a decision, we can dissect similar moments with the numbers that we do have available to us.

The eye test suggests Doncic is often slow to get back on defense, especially after complaining about a call. You can watch that unfold after driving to the basket against the Denver Nuggets. He waits under the basket and he doesn’t get back on defense until the shot is already up:

However, we can actually examine how quickly Doncic is moving on the defensive end of the floor with numbers.

Of course, this is an imperfect science because this looks at all defensive measurements, not just immediately after he throws his hands up in disgust. When averaged out to the course of the season and then compared to the rest of the league, though, it gives us a more clear picture of how big a priority it is for him to zip back for coverage.

Ultimately, tracking stats tell us Donic is averaging 3.4 miles per hour on defense. That is good for the sixth-slowest in the league (minimum: 100 minutes) and everyone who has been slower (Chris Paul, James Harden, LeBron James, Eric Gordon, Kyle Lowry) is at least 32 years old. For those keeping track at home, that means they are all a full decade older than Doncic.

While this could have at least something to do with his conditioning (he reportedly showed up to training camp 30 pounds heavier than his listed weight), it’s not an issue unique to this season. When looking at the same qualifications last season, the results are similar. Doncic still only finished slower than Harden, Paul, LeBron, Gordon and DeAndre Jordan.

The reason why the speed is a problem for Doncic now is that if opponents know that he is busy complaining to officials, as Kidd explained, they can hunt mismatches by sprinting back in transition.

Pay close attention to Doncic at this possession against the Pelicans and you can see him get visibly upset about a no-call after his pass from the high pick and roll.

New Orleans then exploits the extra second they had without him playing defense — you never see him on the other side of the floor — and used it to score a basket.

Doncic acknowledges that his coach has a point and he needs to stop trying to make the refs change their minds. But this is a trend that has continued all season long.

Kidd is not just complaining about this for the sake of it. It has actual implications during the court of the game.

Rivals are doing whatever they can to create 5-on-4 opportunities while Doncic is complaining to refs. Teams playing against the Mavericks are averaging just 9.4 seconds between shots after defensive rebounds. That ranks as the second-fastest in the NBA, per Inpredictable.

This can happen after steals and turnovers, too. Watch the possession below and note how much ground Fred VanVleet is able to cover against the Mavericks after a steal while Doncic is busy trying to track down officials:

According to Cleaning the Glass, when Dallas allows a steal, opponents are able to turn it into a transition finish 26.9 percentage points more often when he is on than when he is off. That figure actually amounts to the biggest on-off swing of any player in the league.

So while there are drastic implications, the question then becomes how consequential that really is for Dallas?

The reality is that so far this season, per Synergy, only three teams in the Western Conference have allowed fewer points per game in transition. More often than not, when Doncic is complaining, it’s actually a quick interaction and doesn’t have much impact on the flow of the game.

For example, if you watch his complaint in the first quarter against the Sacramento Kings, you’ll notice that while Doncic definitely gets in the ear of the referee. But he still manages to cover De’Aaron Fox while in the open floor.

The bigger issue, it seems, is that he is slower than his opponents even when he is running at full speed. At least, that was the case when the Mavericks had the Clippers in overtime.

Doncic received criticism about his quickness on defense long before he ever came to the NBA. He simply isn’t someone who can afford to take any extra time to make his opinions known because he doesn’t have the same burst that other NBA players often have.

When the Mavericks have allowed points in transition, it often comes from a poor effort — like when he fully gave up on a play after this steal from Bulls guard Alex Caruso that led to a 360 dunk from Zach LaVine.

Almost any basketball fan and analyst would agree that Doncic probably does complain too often when he is on the floor.

While the numbers suggest that it might have an impact on the game, it has only very rarely led to an actual scoring possession from his opponents. He might want to stop upsetting officials to keep a good face, but hey, at least he is playing with passion.

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Brooklyn Nets grades: Nets rally back against Mavs in dramatic fashion

Kevin Durant and James Harden showed out to defend the Brooklyn Nets’ position at the top of the East.

In what was a thriller, the Brooklyn Nets put on a show against the Dallas Mavericks, erasing a 17-point deficit to defend their spot at the top of the Eastern Conference in style.

The Nets’ stars in Kevin Durant (24 PTS, 7 REBS) and James Harden (23 PTS, 12 ASTS) were off to a cold start. They just weren’t converting on shots that they tend to make, but fortunately for them, LaMarcus Aldridge (15 PTS) and James Johnson (12 PTS) kept them in the game until the moment of truth came.

Going into the fourth quarter, Brooklyn trailed by 11 and Luka Doncic (28 PTS, 9 ASTS) was just playing around with their defense. Durant and Harden made sure put an end to that though by answering the call when their team needed them the most.

Every offensive possession and every defensive stance was so precious down the stretch, yet the two led the way so eloquently to give their team a little glimpse of victory at the end of the tunnel. In particular, Patty Mills (10 PTS) was having an off-night going into the quarter, but the duo kept trusting him to knock down big shots when Dallas started doubling. Mills made sure to deliver.

What was key though for the Nets down the stretch as well was Nic Claxton’s (6 PTS, 9 REBS) presence defensively. When the Mavericks were having a blast, dancing all up in the paint in the first three quarters, Claxton put an end to that along with some perimeter defense. They still managed to outscore Brooklyn 46-40 in the interior.

Even so, the Nets won the battle on the glass, outrebounding 50-39. As Brooklyn held Dallas to 40% accuracy from the field despite them taking seven more shots, they made sure to punish them on the other end. Shooting it an impressive 51% from the field. In a game where the Mavericks only turned the ball over four times, Brooklyn showed up when it mattered anyway.

Nets head coach Steve Nash and his squad will try and feed off of this momentum on Wednesday when they take on the Houston Rockets.