Fantasy football injury outlook: RB Chris Carson, Seahawks

What does the future hold for Carson after neck surgery?

Running back Chris Carson has been one of the great NFL stories in recent lore – a seventh-round draft pick in 2017 with no guarantee of making the Seattle Seahawks‘ roster in the post-Marshawn Lynch era to the featured back who posted back-to-back seasons with more than 1,150 rushing yards. He never seemed to have a career locked down for himself, especially when the Seahawks used a first-round pick in 2018 on RB Rashaad Penny.

Overcoming long odds, Carson was the man and it looked to stay that way — until last season when he suffered a severe neck injury that ended his season after just four games and required a significant surgery to repair the damage. Unlike other routine surgeries, neck injuries are a different topic completely. The can end athletic careers, much less one of running backs who have large men with bad intentions and often a full head of steam chasing them down every time they get their hands on the ball.

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The Seahawks have put no timetable on when – or if – Carson can return. In an interview during Seattle’s OTAs, head coach Pete Carroll referenced Carson in the past tense a couple of times – giving the clear insinuation that he may never be coming back to resume his NFL career. While he said all the right things in terms of the Seahawks players being a family and sticking by their injured brothers when they’re down and uncertain about their future, Carroll sounded much more resigned to the idea Carson may not want to come back to resume his career for quality of life concerns.

His biggest hurdle may end up being Carson’s inability to get medical clearance from the Seahawks’ doctors. In the case of neck injuries, there is a very high standard that needs to be reached before clearance is given, and those types of injuries are the result of as many retirements as returns to field.

The Seahawks re-signed Penny in the offseason to hedge their bets in the event Carson can’t come back from his neck injury and doubled down by drafting Doak Walker Award winner Kenneth Walker III from Michigan State in the second round of the 2022 draft. Seattle has a lot of needs, and quarterbacks were available. That move spoke volumes.

Throw in carryover players DeeJay Dallas and Travis Homer and Seattle has a stable of running backs who can get along just fine whether Carson is there or not.

Fantasy football outlook

It’s always tragic when a career is cut short by injury and a player’s dream dies with it in his 20s, but there are other factors that need to come into play outside the entertainment world of the NFL.

Carson fulfilled his dream of playing in the NFL and earning a second contract that potentially sets him up for life after football. Some players are willing to accept the risks, but in this case, don’t be stunned if Carson eventually announces his retirement without every playing again. It may not be in the coming weeks or months, but his fantasy value has dropped off the table, because he doesn’t need to make a business decision. He needs to make a life decision. Carson has no fantasy value at this point.

Searching for fantasy football help in Seattle’s backfield

Seattle’s backfield presents risk-reward decisions for fantasy footballers.

Even with a decade straight of top-shelf quarterback play, Seattle Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll has always liked to feature the run. In fact, during the 10 seasons that now-Denver Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson was under center, the Seahawks finished in the top five in rushing yardage six times. The last two seasons they finished 11th and 12th, respectively. Don’t be surprised if moving on from Wilson doesn’t lead to Carroll leaning back into his comfort zone with a heavy dose of the ground game.

Athletically, Drew Lock is probably a better fit for a dynamic ground game than Geno Smith as he’s an underrated athlete who could threaten defenses as a runner. Either way, though, expect Seattle’s backs to get a lot of work once the season kicks off. Rookie running back Kenneth Walker III and holdovers Rashaad Penny and Chris Carson (neck) could all be factors, though all three carry an element of risk.

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Fantasy football team previews: NFC West

QB changes, suspension woes, and a chance to repeat dominate the NFC West’s outlook.

The 2022 fantasy football draft season is starting to heat up now that we’ve gone through the height of free agency and all of the chosen rookies have been assigned to their professional home cities.

The landscape has changed a great deal for many franchises after a whirlwind offseason, and our divisional preview series will help you stay on top of all of the changes to date.

AFC divisional previews

East | North | South | West

NFC divisional previews

East | North | South | West

Fantasy football draft: Where to target Seattle Seahawks RB Chris Carson

Analyzing Seattle Seahawks RB Chris Carson’s 2021 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

Coming off a disappointing campaign in 2020, Seattle Seahawks RB Chris Carson could be primed for a breakout season. Below, we look at Chris Carson‘s 2021 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Carson exploded onto the scene in Seattle his second season in the league, rushing for 1,151 yards and nine touchdowns. He topped that in 2019, finishing with 1,230 rushing yards with seven TDs.

An injury-plagued 2020 did not fulfil fantasy managers lofty expectations. However, he’s still the starting running back for the Seahawks and should be a three-down back.

Carson’s ADP: 46.73

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com)

Carson’s ADP ranks 48th among all non-IDP players. He’s gone as high as 23rd overall and as low as 92nd, which seems outrageous for a player of his caliber.

Given the premium on running backs, Carson ranks 22nd among running backs, just ahead of Las Vegas Raiders RB Josh Jacobs, who is 23rd.

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Carson’s 2020 stats

Games: 12

Carries: 141

Rushing yards: 681

Receptions: 37

Receiving yards: 287

Touchdowns: 9 (5 rushing)

Where should you take Carson in your fantasy football draft?

Carson is going to be the lead back in one of the most dynamic offenses in the NFL. While his numbers didn’t show much production last season, injuries limited his involvement in the eighth-best offense.

Despite his struggles, in PPR leagues, he ranked as the 11th-best back in terms of fantasy points per game. He ranked 12th in the same category the season before. His production is consistent and that’s an underrated value in and of itself.

Carson’s ADP suggests he is a late fourth-round pick, but he should be flying off boards in the mid-to-late-third round. Carson should be a safe pick. Feel free to start eyeing the former seventh-round pick in the middle of the third.

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