Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The Miami Marlins (6-17) and Atlanta Braves (14-6) open a 3-game series at Truist Park Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 2-1

Miami split its series with the Chicago Cubs 2-2 this past weekend after winning 6-3 Sunday and cashing as a +110 road underdog. Five different Marlins players scored a run, while RF Jesus Sanchez had 2 runs and 2 RBIs, including a solo shot in the 2nd inning. RHP Edward Cabrera allowed 3 earned runs in 5 innings and picked up the win.

The Braves failed to complete a 3-game sweep of the Texas Rangers after falling 6-4 Sunday as -150 home favorites. DH Marcell Ozuna had 3 RBIs and a home run, while RF Ronald Acuna Jr. scored 2 runs. RHP Darius Vines allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings and picked up the loss.

Marlins at Braves projected starters

LHP Ryan Weathers vs. RHP Bryce Elder

Weathers (2-1, 2.70 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 20 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 6-3 home victory vs. San Francisco Giants Tuesday
  • Marlins are 2-2 in his 4 starts this season and 2-0 in his last 2
  • Has struck out 22 batters this season while walking 9

Elder (12-4, 3.81 ERA in 2023) makes his season debut. He had a 1.28 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 174 2/3 innings across 31 starts last season.

  • 2024 stats with Gwinnett (AAA): 2-0, 3.31 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.16 WHIP in 3 starts
  • 2023 home stats: 7-1, 3.61 ERA (94 2/3 IP, 38 ER), 1.23 WHIP in 17 starts
  • Career vs. Marlins: 1-2, 3.38 ERA (40 IP, 15 ER), 1.18 WHIP in 7 starts

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!

Marlins at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Braves -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-110) | Braves -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Marlins at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Marlins 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There is minimal value on the Braves (-210), who are 14-6 this season and 7-3 in their last 10 games, to beat a Marlins squad that is 6-17 on the year.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BRAVES -1.5 (-110).

The Marlins are averaging 3.7 runs per game, while the Braves are averaging 6.25. Miami has lost by 2 or more runs in 5 of its last 6 losses, while Atlanta has won by 2 or more in 6 of its last 7 victories. Expect Elder to make the most of this opportunity after being called up from the minors.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9.5 (-115).

While the Braves offense can carry this game to the Over, both Weathers and Elder are capable of keeping runs off the board. The Braves have held opponents to 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 6 games, while the Marlins have scored 3 or fewer in 4 of their last 5.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @seth_orlemann on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Texas Rangers at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Texas Rangers at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The Texas Rangers (11-10) and Atlanta Braves (13-5) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series at Truist Park Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0

Texas lost the series opener 8-3 Friday as the Over (9) hit. The Rangers entered Friday having won 3 of their last 4 road games, all against the Detroit Tigers.

Travis d’Arnaud hit his 1st 3 homers of the year in the series opener for the Braves, who cashed as -210 favorites. He hit a go-ahead grand slam in the 6th inning, helping Atlanta pick up its 5th straight win.

Rangers at Braves projected starters

RHP Nathan Eovaldi vs. RHP Charlie Morton

Eovaldi (1-1, 2.92 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 24 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 8-5 loss at Houston Astros Sunday
  • 2024 road stats: 1-1, 3.46 ERA (13 IP, 5 ER) in 2 starts
  • 2023 vs. Braves: No-decision, 7 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 1 start, a 6-5 home loss May 17
  • Career vs. Braves: 3-3, 2.89 ERA (99 2/3 IP, 32 ER) in 16 starts

Morton (1-0, 5.29 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 17 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 9-7 win at Miami Marlins Sunday
  • 2024 home stats: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 5 BB, 4 K in 1 start, an 8-7 loss vs. New York Mets April 8
  • 2023 vs. Rangers: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 1 start, a 12-0 road victory May 15
  • Career vs. Rangers: 3-1, 2.48 ERA (40 IP, 11 ER) in 7 starts

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!

Rangers at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rangers +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Braves -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-160) | Braves -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Rangers at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 6, Braves 5

Moneyline

The defending World Series champs, who are 6-5 on the road this season, should bounce back after getting blown out in the series opener. The Rangers and Braves were tied 3-3 heading into the bottom of the 6th, and it took a 3rd HR from d’Arnaud for Atlanta to take the lead.

Morton has allowed 4 or more earned runs in back-to-back starts, and his only above-average outing was against the lowly Chicago White Sox. However, I’m taking 1st 5 innings instead of full game because I do worry about the Braves offense pulling off a late comeback.

BET RANGERS FIRST 5 INNINGS (+115).

Run line/Against the spread

There’s no need to bet Rangers +1.5 (-160) when you can get Rangers in the 1st 5 innings at plus-money.

PASS. Bet the 1st 5 innings and/or total instead.

Over/Under

Morton has given up a combined 10 runs over his last 2 starts, and the Braves offense has scored 5 or more in 5 straight games. Between Morton struggling and Atlanta’s offense thriving, I see no reason for this to be a low-scoring game.

BET OVER 9 (-105).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Corey Scott on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Texas Rangers at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Texas Rangers at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The Atlanta Braves (12-5) welcome the Texas Rangers (11-9) to Truist Park for the 1st game of a 3-game series Friday. First pitch is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Atlanta won 2 of 3 in 2023

The Rangers are on a 2-game winning streak after a 9-7 win over the Detroit Tigers Thursday and have won 3 of their last 4 games. The AL West leaders are 6-4 on the road this season and 10-10 against the spread (ATS).

The Braves have won 4 straight games and sit atop the National League East. They are coming off a 5-4 win over the Houston Astros Wednesday, completing a 3-game sweep. Atlanta is 4-2 straight up at home and 8-9 ATS on the season.

Rangers at Braves projected starters

LHP Andrew Heaney vs. LHP Chris Sale

Heaney (0-2, 6.75 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.58 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 12 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 1 K in 9-2 road loss to the Houston Astros Saturday
  • 2023 road splits: 3-3, 4.29 ERA (63 IP, 30 ER — 13 HR), 21 BB, 61 K in 15 appearances (12 starts)

Sale (1-1, 4.58 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 17 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 7 K in a 5-1 road loss to the Miami Marlins Saturday
  • 2023 home splits: 1-1, 4.37 ERA (45 1/3 IP, 27 ER — 7 HR), 18 BB, 63 K in 11 starts

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!

Rangers at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:14 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rangers +164 (bet $100 to win $164) | Braves -196 (bet $196 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-118) | Braves -1.5 (-102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Rangers at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Rangers 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The Braves are hot, having won 4 in a row. Atlanta has scored at least 5 runs in 4 straight games as well, so the consistency is there. However, at -196, there’s no value in betting them to win outright.

Run line/Against the spread

BET RANGERS +1.5 (-118).

The Braves are 1-2 in Sale’s 3 starts this season and are just 8-9 ATS, having failed to cover in 5 of their last 9. Atlanta is 2-4 ATS at home this season, having won by 1 run twice.

The Rangers are 10-10 ATS, and they have covered in 3 of their last 4 games. Texas is 7-3 ATS as an underdog this season, and with Heaney on the mound, they should be able to keep this game close.

Back RANGERS +1.5 (-118).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-110).

The Braves have gone Under in 3 straight games, allowing a combined 7 runs in those 3 games. They are 1-2 O/U in Sale’s 3 starts.

Texas is 10-10 O/U, having gone Under in 2 of its last 4. The Rangers have allowed just 15 runs in their last 4 games. With that in mind, back UNDER 9.5 (-110).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The Atlanta Braves (10-5) take on the Houston Astros (6-12) Tuesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0

The Braves took the opener 6-1, but they navigated a 2-1 lead from the 2nd inning to the 9th before posting 4 runs in the final frame. The Braves have won 2 in a row and 3 of 4. DH Marcell Ozuna recorded his league-leading 22nd RBI Monday.

The Astros laid an egg, but at least 2B Jose Altuve cashed a +115 total bases prop for us. They scored just 1 run on 7 hits, and Altuve had 3 of them. He’s hitting .403 with 5 homers, 7 RBI and 14 R on the young season. The ‘Stros have now lost 5 of 7 in a rough start to the season.

Braves at Astros projected starters

RHP Reynaldo Lopez vs. RHP Hunter Brown

Lopez (1-0, 0.75 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 over 12 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 6 K vs. New York Mets last Tuesday
  • 2 career starts vs. HOU: 0-1, 3.72 ERA, 1.96 WHIP, 4 K in 9 2/3 IP

Brown (0-2, 16.43 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 3.91 WHIP, 8.2 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 7 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 2/3 IP, 9 ER, 11 H, 1 BB, 0 K Thursday against Kansas City Royals
  • 1 career start vs. ATL: No-decision, 4.2 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 7 K

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!

Braves at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:25 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Astros +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+135) | Astros +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Braves at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Astros 4

Moneyline

The Braves are rollin’, and the Astros are not. Nor is their pitcher on the bump Tuesday, who has allowed 14 ER in 3 2/3 IP over his last 2 starts. Brown has a lot of ability, but something clearly isn’t clicking right now. For the bargain of a price, take the BRAVES -120.

Run line/Against the spread

I’m passing on the spread and going back to the well with Altuve. He’s 3 for 8 (.375) lifetime against Lopez and has 17 total bases the last 3 games.

Take JOSE ALTUVE OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES (+100).

Over/Under

The bats were quiet until the 9th Monday, but I think this one sneaks over. Lopez isn’t as good as his early numbers suggest. Likewise for Brown, who is better than his numbers suggest. Houston is 6-4 O/U over the last 10, and Atlanta is 7-3.

LEAN OVER 9.5 (-115).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Ryan Dodson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The Atlanta Braves (9-5) take on the Houston Astros (6-11) Monday in the opener of a 3-game set at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Astros won 3-0 last year

The Braves took 2 of 3 from the flailing Miami Marlins over the weekend, capping it off with a 9-7 win Sunday. DH Marcell Ozuna continues to crush the ball, hitting .373 (5th in MLB), with 7 HR (1st) and 21 RBI (1st). This is a team that is going to have to rely on its tied-for-MLB-best 6.5 R/game after losing stud RHP Spencer Strider (elbow) for the season.

The Astros have stumbled out of the gates, but they took 2 of 3 from the World Series champion Texas Rangers over the weekend. They won 8-5 Sunday and scored 8+ runs in all 3 games. 2B Jose Altuve leads the way with a .382 BA, 5 HR, 7 RBI and 14 R on the young season.

Braves at Astros projected starters

RHP Darius Vines vs. RHP Spencer Arrighetti

Vines makes his 1st start and 3rd start of his career.

  • 0-0 with a 3.75 ERA, 0.83 WHIP and 11 K in 12 IP in 2 GS at Gwinnett (AAA)
  • Utilizes a 4-seamer (only 90 mph), cutter, changeup and slider
  • Has never faced Houston before
  • Was 1-0 with a 3.98 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 5 games, 2 starts, over 20 1/3 IP in 2023

Arrighetti allowed 7 ER on 7 H and 3 BB and struck out 3 over 3 IP in his MLB debut loss to the Kansas City Royals Wednesday.

  • Went 9-7 with a 4.40 ERA in 28 games, 21 GS, between Double-A and Triple-A last year
  • Utilizes a 4-seamer (94.8 mph), cutter, sweeper, curveball, slider and changeup
  • Has never faced Atlanta

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!

Braves at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:31 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Astros -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+135) | Astros +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Braves at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 8, Braves 6

Moneyline

I look for Houston to tee off on Vines’ 90-mph heater. The only question is can Arrighetti keep the Astros in the game? The Braves are 23rd in MLB with a 4.90 team ERA, and they have allowed 6.5 R/game over the last 8 games. Meanwhile, the Astros’ bats have awakened.

Take the ASTROS -115.

Run line/Against the spread

I’m zoning in on JOSE ALTUVE OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES (+115), as it looks mispriced. Altuve had 2+ total bases in 4 of 5 games and had 14 in the last 2 games.

BetMGM has offered some users a Bet Insurance Token for any bet -300 or longer. This is the perfect way to utilize it.

Over/Under

Both teams are 7-3 O/U over the last 10, and this figures to continue the trend. There is a 13.9-mph wind blowing out to right-center, and we have 2 unknowns on the bump.

Take the OVER 10.5 (-110).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Ryan Dodson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The New York Mets (4-7) and Atlanta Braves (7-3) wrap up what was originally scheduled as a 4-game series Thursday at Truist Park following Wednesday’s postponement. First pitch for the finale is scheduled for 12:20 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Mets scored an 8-7 win Monday as a heavy underdog (+195) as the Over (10) easily cashed. The Braves returned the favor 6-5 Tuesday as the favorite cashed (-176), while the Over (9) again cashed. Wednesday’s game was rained out and it will be made up Sept. 26.

After an 0-5 start, the Mets have picked up the pace with 4 wins in the past 6 outings. The Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games.

The Braves have won 4 of the past 5 games with 3 of the victories by 1 run. The Over has connected in 4 of the past 5 games, including both meetings in this series, while the Over is 7-2-1 in Atlanta’s 10 games.

Mets at Braves projected starters

LHP Jose Quintana vs. RHP Allan Winans

Quintana (0-1, 2.61 ERA) makes his 3rd start in 2024. He has a 1.65 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9, 7.0 K/9 in 10 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 3-2 win last Friday in Cincinnati
  • Last start vs. Braves: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 6 K in a 7-0 loss in Atlanta on Aug. 23, 2023

Winans (1-2, 5.29 ERA in 2023) makes his 1st start in 2024. He had a 1.39 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9, 9.5 K/9 in 32 1/3 IP in his first 6 major-league starts in 2023.

  • 2023 home splits: 0-1, 8.44 ERA (16 IP, 15 ER — 5 HR), 3 BB, 14 K in 3 starts
  • 2023 vs. Mets: 1-1, 5.56 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 7 ER — 2 HR), 3 BB, 13 K in 2 starts

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!

Mets at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Braves -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-135) | Braves -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Braves 4

Moneyline

The METS (+140) are a decent play moderate underdogs behind the veteran Quintana against the unproven Winans.

The Braves (-165) saw mixed results from Winans in his 6 starts last season, including 2 outings against the Mets. He twirled 7 scoreless innings at Citi Field Aug. 12, then he was bombarded for 7 ER, 9 H and 2 HR in just 4 1/3 IP in a loss Aug. 21.

Quintana has fired out of the gate this season, allowing just 3 ER in 10 1/3 IP in 2 starts. He has walked 6 batters, and that’s a little bit of a concern.

Run line/Against the spread

The METS +1.5 (-135) aren’t priced out of line if you’d like a little bit of insurance and would prefer not to pick them straight up.

Remember, in the past 4 victories by the Braves, they have won 3 of those games by just a single run. So, playing New York makes sense based upon that trend, too.

Over/Under

UNDER 9.5 (-115) is worth a look, as this number is quite high despite the fact we saw the Over cashed in the first 2 games of the series. Go lightly, however, with a half-unit play at most.

While the Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games, the Under has hit in each of Quintana’s 2 outings.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The New York Mets (4-7) take on the Atlanta Braves (7-3) Wednesday in the 3rd game of a 4-game set at Truist Park at 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Mets put up a fight Tuesday night, but fell just short 6-5. The Braves were up 6-0, and New York posted 3 runs in the 8th and 2 runs in the 9th. The Mets have won 4 of 6 after an 0-5 start. The bats have been frigid with 1B Pete Alonso hitting .196, and SS Francisco Lindor is hitting .089.

The Braves are navigating some serious injuries already with C Sean Murphy (oblique) and RHP Spencer Strider (elbow) already on the IL. They have one of the most talented rosters in baseball, though, and are pushing through it with 4 wins in 5 games. DH Marcell Ozuna leads the way with a .318 AVG, 5 HR and 13 RBI.

Mets at Braves projected starters

LHP Jose Quintana vs. RHP Allan Winans

Quintana (0-1, 2.61 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.65 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 10 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K vs. Cincinnati Reds Friday
  • Last 5 starts vs. ATL: 0-5, 6.23 ERA, 1.81 WHIP, 22 K in 26 IP

Winans makes his 1st appearance in MLB this season.

  • He made 1 start at Triple-A Gwinnett April 2 against Louisville: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K
  • 2 career starts vs. Mets: 1-1, 5.56 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 13 K in 11 1/3 IP

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!

Mets at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:01 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Braves -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-145) | Braves -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 7, Mets 5

Moneyline

The Braves boast the best offense in the league with 6.9 R/ game. Take that into account with Quintana’s futility in his last 5 starts against them, and the Braves should be heavier favorites. The reason they aren’t is the unknown on the bump. However, their offense should be able to overcome that, and Quintana has allowed 2+ walks in both of his starts this year and in 4 of his last 5 against ATL.

You can take the -160 here, but I prefer the RL.

Run line/Against the spread

The Braves have covered in 4 of their 7 wins this season. They have covered this RL in 5 of their last 7 wins against the Mets. There should be a lot of traffic on the basepaths early, and it will be up to Atlanta’s pen to cash this.

I’ll take the value with BRAVES -1.5 (+120).

Over/Under

Both games in this series have gone Over, and the pitching matchup doesn’t give me any evidence to look elsewhere. The Over is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings between the teams. The Braves are 7-2-1 O/U in their 10 games as well.

Take the OVER 9.5 (-115).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Ryan Dodson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The New York Mets (4-6) hope to make it 3 wins in a row as they take on the Atlanta Braves (5-2) Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0

After falling behind 4-0 in Monday’s series opener, the Mets battled back to win 8-7 thanks to CF Brandon Nimmo‘s performance. The 31-year-old clubbed 2 HRs and drove in 5 runs and DH D.J. Stewart‘s 2-run HR in the 8th put the Mets ahead for good.

Braves SP Charlie Morton went 3 scoreless innings before allowing a Starling Marte RBI in the 4th followed by Nimmo’s 1st HR in the 5th. Braves DH Marcell Ozuna blasted a 2-run HR in the 3rd inning, his 5th of the season, tied for the most in MLB.

Mets at Braves projected starters

RHP Adrian Houser vs. RHP Reynaldo Lopez

Houser (0-0, 1.80 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 5.40 BB/9 and 5.40 K/9 in 5 IP.

  • Despite completing three 1-2-3 innings in 5 IP, he was lifted after only 67 pitches in his 1st start of year vs. the Detroit Tigers.
  • Career vs. Braves: 0-4, 4.88 ERA (27.2 IP, 15 ER 3 HR 14 BB 26 Ks in 5 starts)

Lopez (0-0, 1.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 3.00 BB/9 and 7.50 K/9 in 6 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 5 K last Tuesday vs. his former team, the Chicago White Sox
  • After 5-plus seasons in the bullpen (144 games, 3.01 ERA), the 30-year-old has transitioned back to starter (98 games, 4.70 ERA)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!

Mets at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:56 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +172 (bet $100 to win $172) | Braves -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Mets +1.5 (-118) | Braves -1.5 (-102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Atlanta 6, New York 4

Moneyline

PASS.

Too much juice to back Atlanta on their own, but if you like the Rangers on the ML (-198) at home against Oakland with SP Nathan Eovaldi on the mound, pairing Braves ML with Texas pays roughly +125.

Run line

BET ATLANTA -1.5 (-102).

Ozuna has 4 HRs in his last 5 games and SS Orlando Arcia is the NL leader in batting average (.417). Atlanta’s lineup can become sharks in the water, with reigning NL MVP Ronald Acuna leading off and 1B Matt Olson 2nd in the NL in doubles. Once Atlanta establishes the lead, expect their bullpen, which sports an NL-best 2.68 ERA, to limit the Mets bats unlike Monday.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9.5 (-106).

The Mets have won 4 of 5 because hitters like Nimmo, who has bumped up his OBP to .395 after starting the year 1 for 16 with 5 strikeouts and 1 walk. While Lopez was effective in his 1st start, it was against the lowly White Sox.

The Braves lead MLB in team batting average (.303), and their usual top 6 hitters in the lineup (Acuna, 2B Ozzie Albies, 3B Austin Riley, Olson, Ozuna and CF Michael Harris II) all have OBPs above .300. Expect both offenses to produce enough to go Over the total.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @TheBigCheeShow on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The New York Mets (3-6) and Atlanta Braves (6-2) meet Monday to open up a 4-game series. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Atlanta won 10-3 last season

New York beat the Cincinnati Reds 3-1 Sunday while covering as a -114 road favorite to win the series 2-1. LHP Sean Manaea got the win, with 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H with 6 K. The Mets have won 3 of their last 4 outings.

Atlanta picked up a 5-2 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday, winning the series 3-0 and covering as a -238 home favorite. Sunday’s contest was tied at 2 entering the bottom of the 4th, when CF Michael Harris II hit a solo homer to give Atlanta the lead.

Mets at Braves projected starters

RHP Julio Teheran vs. RHP Charlie Morton

The Mets signed Teheran to a 1-year deal on Friday. Teheran (3-5, 4.40 ERA) made 11 starts and 3 relief appearances as a member of the Milwaukee Brewers last season. He had a 1.13 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 71 2/3 IP.

  • 2023 road splits: 1-4, 6.61 ERA (32 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 42 H, 5 BB, 16 K in 5 starts and 2 relief appearances
  • Career vs. Atlanta: 0-1, 8.18 ERA (11 IP, 10 ER), 14 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 2 starts

Morton (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 0.88 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 5 2/3 IP.

  • 2023 home splits: 7-5, 3.23 ERA (75 1/3 IP, 27 ER), 62 H, 30 BB, 91 K in 13 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 6-6, 3.58 ERA (118 IP, 47 ER), 107 H, 43 BB, 120 K in 21 starts and 1 relief appearance

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!

Mets at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:19 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +176 (bet $100 to win $176) | Braves -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-111) | Braves -1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Mets 1

Moneyline

PASS. 

I like the Braves (-210) to come away with the win, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as such heavy favorites. Bet on the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN BRAVES -1.5 (-108).

Atlanta has been the much better team to start the season and covered ATS in its last matchup vs. New York. The Braves are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Mets.

New York is only 2-7 ATS to start the season, making this bet even safer. But this is only a lean because the Braves are only 4-4 ATS on the season.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9.5 (-110).

The Under has hit in 3 of New York’s last 4 games and is 6-3 for the Mets this season. For Atlanta, the Under hit in its last outing. The Under has also hit in back-to-back Atlanta-New York matchups and is 3-2 in Atlanta’s last 5 wins vs. the Mets.

Be aware that the Over is 5-2-1 for the Braves this season.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @payton_shanks on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The Arizona Diamondbacks (4-5) hope to avoid a 3-game sweep as they take on the Atlanta Braves (5-2) Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 2-0

Arizona shot out to 6-0 lead in the 1st inning against Braves SP Max Fried on Saturday, but blew it and lost 9-8 as a +177 road underdog. The D-backs have lost 4 of 5 after starting the season 3-1.

Braves 3B Austin Riley had 3 hits and delivered the go-ahead single in the 8th inning while DH Marcell Ozuna went 3 for 5 with a 2B, HR and 4 RBI. The 33-year-old leads Atlanta with 4 HRs and 10 and RBIs.

Diamondbacks at Braves projected starters

RHP Ryne Nelson vs. LHP Chris Sale

Nelson (0-1, 13.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 3.38 WHIP, 13.50 BB/9 and 6.75 K/9 in 2.2 IP.

  • Had a 2.66 ERA in 20.1 IP in spring training
  • Just 43 of his 76 pitches in his 1st start vs. the New York Yankees landed in the strike zone
  • Career vs. Braves: 1-1, 3.86 ERA (11.2 IP, 5 ER 2 HR 5 BB 5 Ks in 2 starts)

Sale (0-0, 3.38 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 3.38 BB/9 and 11.81 K/9 in 5.1 IP.

  • The 35-year-old proved he can still throw heat in his 1st start as he struck out 7 vs. the Philadelphia Phillies
  • Faced Arizona last season as a member of the Boston Red Sox, earning the win as he allowed just 1 ER, 4 H in 5 IP with 3 K

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!

Diamondbacks at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Braves -215 (bet $215 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-110) | Braves -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Diamondbacks at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Atlanta 6, Arizona 5

Moneyline

PASS.

Too much juice to lay on the Braves by themselves. Nonetheless, if you believe Philadelphia wins once again on the road in Washington as I do, pairing Atlanta ML with the Phillies (-158) pays out roughly +140.

Run line

BET ARIZONA +1.5 (-110).

The D-backs have lost 3 straight 1-run games and I expect it will be 4 after they are swept in Atlanta. However, this is still the defending NL Champions getting a run and a half at close to even money so I will take my chances rather than laying a run and a half on the home team.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-115).

Since June 4 of last season, 5 of the 6 games played between these teams have gone Over, with the last 5 being played at Truist Park. Each lineup features so many heavy hitters: Arizona 2B Ketel Marte has homered in 3 straight games while 2023 NL MVP Ronald Acuna Jr. and 1B Matt Olson each have OBPs over .350 just to name a few.

According to Arizona manager Torey Lovullo, Nelson was leaving his secondary pitches over the plate in his 1st outing on April 1. That could be a recipe for disaster against these dangerous Atlanta bats, especially at Truist Park, which calculates out as the 6th-most favorable ballpark for runs.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @TheBigCheeShow on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]