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The Arizona Diamondbacks (4-5) hope to avoid a 3-game sweep as they take on the Atlanta Braves (5-2) Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 2-0
Arizona shot out to 6-0 lead in the 1st inning against Braves SP Max Fried on Saturday, but blew it and lost 9-8 as a +177 road underdog. The D-backs have lost 4 of 5 after starting the season 3-1.
Braves 3B Austin Riley had 3 hits and delivered the go-ahead single in the 8th inning while DH Marcell Ozuna went 3 for 5 with a 2B, HR and 4 RBI. The 33-year-old leads Atlanta with 4 HRs and 10 and RBIs.
Diamondbacks at Braves projected starters
RHP Ryne Nelson vs. LHP Chris Sale
Nelson (0-1, 13.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 3.38 WHIP, 13.50 BB/9 and 6.75 K/9 in 2.2 IP.
- Had a 2.66 ERA in 20.1 IP in spring training
- Just 43 of his 76 pitches in his 1st start vs. the New York Yankees landed in the strike zone
- Career vs. Braves: 1-1, 3.86 ERA (11.2 IP, 5 ER 2 HR 5 BB 5 Ks in 2 starts)
Sale (0-0, 3.38 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 3.38 BB/9 and 11.81 K/9 in 5.1 IP.
- The 35-year-old proved he can still throw heat in his 1st start as he struck out 7 vs. the Philadelphia Phillies
- Faced Arizona last season as a member of the Boston Red Sox, earning the win as he allowed just 1 ER, 4 H in 5 IP with 3 K
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Diamondbacks at Braves odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:01 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Braves -215 (bet $215 to win $100)
- Run line (RL): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-110) | Braves -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Diamondbacks at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Atlanta 6, Arizona 5
Moneyline
PASS.
Too much juice to lay on the Braves by themselves. Nonetheless, if you believe Philadelphia wins once again on the road in Washington as I do, pairing Atlanta ML with the Phillies (-158) pays out roughly +140.
Run line
BET ARIZONA +1.5 (-110).
The D-backs have lost 3 straight 1-run games and I expect it will be 4 after they are swept in Atlanta. However, this is still the defending NL Champions getting a run and a half at close to even money so I will take my chances rather than laying a run and a half on the home team.
Over/Under
BET OVER 9 (-115).
Since June 4 of last season, 5 of the 6 games played between these teams have gone Over, with the last 5 being played at Truist Park. Each lineup features so many heavy hitters: Arizona 2B Ketel Marte has homered in 3 straight games while 2023 NL MVP Ronald Acuna Jr. and 1B Matt Olson each have OBPs over .350 just to name a few.
According to Arizona manager Torey Lovullo, Nelson was leaving his secondary pitches over the plate in his 1st outing on April 1. That could be a recipe for disaster against these dangerous Atlanta bats, especially at Truist Park, which calculates out as the 6th-most favorable ballpark for runs.
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