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The New York Mets (4-6) hope to make it 3 wins in a row as they take on the Atlanta Braves (5-2) Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mets lead 1-0
After falling behind 4-0 in Monday’s series opener, the Mets battled back to win 8-7 thanks to CF Brandon Nimmo‘s performance. The 31-year-old clubbed 2 HRs and drove in 5 runs and DH D.J. Stewart‘s 2-run HR in the 8th put the Mets ahead for good.
Braves SP Charlie Morton went 3 scoreless innings before allowing a Starling Marte RBI in the 4th followed by Nimmo’s 1st HR in the 5th. Braves DH Marcell Ozuna blasted a 2-run HR in the 3rd inning, his 5th of the season, tied for the most in MLB.
Mets at Braves projected starters
RHP Adrian Houser vs. RHP Reynaldo Lopez
Houser (0-0, 1.80 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 5.40 BB/9 and 5.40 K/9 in 5 IP.
- Despite completing three 1-2-3 innings in 5 IP, he was lifted after only 67 pitches in his 1st start of year vs. the Detroit Tigers.
- Career vs. Braves: 0-4, 4.88 ERA (27.2 IP, 15 ER 3 HR 14 BB 26 Ks in 5 starts)
Lopez (0-0, 1.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 3.00 BB/9 and 7.50 K/9 in 6 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 5 K last Tuesday vs. his former team, the Chicago White Sox
- After 5-plus seasons in the bullpen (144 games, 3.01 ERA), the 30-year-old has transitioned back to starter (98 games, 4.70 ERA)
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Mets at Braves odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:56 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets +172 (bet $100 to win $172) | Braves -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
- Run line (RL): Mets +1.5 (-118) | Braves -1.5 (-102)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)
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Mets at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Atlanta 6, New York 4
Moneyline
PASS.
Too much juice to back Atlanta on their own, but if you like the Rangers on the ML (-198) at home against Oakland with SP Nathan Eovaldi on the mound, pairing Braves ML with Texas pays roughly +125.
Run line
BET ATLANTA -1.5 (-102).
Ozuna has 4 HRs in his last 5 games and SS Orlando Arcia is the NL leader in batting average (.417). Atlanta’s lineup can become sharks in the water, with reigning NL MVP Ronald Acuna leading off and 1B Matt Olson 2nd in the NL in doubles. Once Atlanta establishes the lead, expect their bullpen, which sports an NL-best 2.68 ERA, to limit the Mets bats unlike Monday.
Over/Under
BET OVER 9.5 (-106).
The Mets have won 4 of 5 because hitters like Nimmo, who has bumped up his OBP to .395 after starting the year 1 for 16 with 5 strikeouts and 1 walk. While Lopez was effective in his 1st start, it was against the lowly White Sox.
The Braves lead MLB in team batting average (.303), and their usual top 6 hitters in the lineup (Acuna, 2B Ozzie Albies, 3B Austin Riley, Olson, Ozuna and CF Michael Harris II) all have OBPs above .300. Expect both offenses to produce enough to go Over the total.
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