Waste Management Phoenix Open odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 Waste Management Phoenix Open, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.

The PGA Tour’s Waste Management Phoenix Open will bring us right up to kickoff of Super Bowl LIV between the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs Sunday evening at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. First, Rickie Fowler returns to TPC Scottsdale in Scottsdale, AZ to battle another loaded field led by world No. 3 Jon Rahm.

The key stats for the Waste Management Phoenix Open are:

  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green
  • Strokes Gained: Ball Striking
  • Bogey Avoidance
  • Good Drives Gained
  • Strokes Gained: Scrambling

My model at Fantasy National looks at the most recent 24 rounds on courses featuring Bermuda Greens.

Waste Management Phoenix Open – Tier 1

(Photo Credit: Orlando Ramirez – USA TODAY Sports)

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9 p.m. ET.

Jon Rahm (+600)

Rahm is the betting favorite at BetMGM, and for good reason. Not only is he the top-ranked golfer from the Official World Golf Ranking, but he’s coming off a runner-up finish to Marc Leishman at last week’s Farmers Insurance Open. He hasn’t finished worse than 10th in his last five worldwide events.

Xander Schauffele (+1800)

Schauffele was one of the biggest disappointments of the week at Torrey Pines, as he missed the cut for the first time since The Northern Trust in August. He returns to TPC Scottsdale having tied for 10th last year (with Rahm). He also tied for 17th in 2018. Schauffele ranks ninth in the stat model, ranking in the top 10 of four-of-the-five key stats (Good Drives Gained).

Waste Management Phoenix Open – Tier 2

(Photo Credit: Rob Kinnan – USA TODAY Sports)

Byeong Hun An (+6600)

An is the leader of the stat model; the 49th-ranked golfer in the world ranks fourth in the field among those with at least five rounds played at TPC Scottsdale in total strokes gained per round, according to Data Golf. He’s still seeking a PGA Tour win, but he hasn’t finished worse than T-23 in three appearances at this event.


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Ryan Moore (+6600)

Moore missed the cut at this event each of the last two years. He enters this year’s tournament ranked eighth by the stat model, and he’s coming off a T-6 at The American Express. His ball-striking and play off the tee are well suited to this venue.

Waste Management Phoenix Open – Longshots

(Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

Rory Sabbatini (+10000)

Sabbatini slipped to 88th by the OWGR with last week’s missed cut at the Farmers Insurance Open. It snapped a streak of seven straight made cuts dating back to the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. He’s second-best in the field in Bogey Avoidance, and he’ll be able to capitalize on the many scoring chances at TPC Scottsdale.

Adam Hadwin (+11000)

Hadwin has made the cut here each of last four years with a top finish of T-12 in 2017. The Canadian hasn’t participated in an event since finishing in a tie for 68th at The RSM Classic while attending to the birth of his first child. He has slipped to 52nd in the world in his time off and now has fresh motivation at a familiar venue.

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‘Gusted’: A new term enters golf lexicon

After a windy week at the Plantation Course at Kapalua for the Sentry Tournament of Champions, a new word has entered the golf lexicon.

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After a windy week at the Plantation Course at Kapalua for the Sentry Tournament of Champions, a new word has entered the golf lexicon.

‘Gusted’.

We heard it a couple times on TV and later in the interview room from the tournament’s playoff runners-up, Xander Schauffele and Patrick Reed.

Reed talked about the wind on the 18th hole, which he birdied in regulation and on the first playoff hole.

“Unfortunately I had two putts really to close it, and one of them I got gusted on, and then this last one with the wind and the break, just got me again,” he said.

Schauffele claims the wind gods got him on the final hole of regulation.

“Yeah, I think I got gusted, honestly.”

Sentry TOC: Scores | Photos | Money | Winner’s bag | Trophies

He described three-putting the 18th in regulation.

“On the initial putt, it went – I honestly thought it was going to go like four feet by, but it caught some speed, and once it started breaking right with the wind, it kept going,” he said. “I was so convinced that it was going to go back right to left coming back up the hill, but it really wasn’t going to do that. It was just bad.”

Schauffele then three-putted the 18th in the playoff, which knocked him out.

Reed said the wind was a factor for most of the tournament.

“You knew especially really the last three days that the wind was going to be a factor on putts, and unfortunately it came down to having to make too long a putt in order to either extend or to win, and at the end of the day when you have that long putt and you have the wind, it just makes it a little harder.”

Tournament champ Justin Thomas didn’t use the word but did talk about the wind and about the missed putts that worked in his favor.

“I was very fortunate to have a couple putts miss to give myself a chance.”

Gusted. Get ready to hear that in your weekend golf outings.

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Xander Schauffele at Sentry: ‘I should’ve won the tournament’

A clearly disappointed Xander Schauffele spoke to Golf Channel minutes after being eliminated on the first playoff hole.

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A clearly disappointed Xander Schauffele, minutes after being eliminated on the first playoff hole at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, said: “I should’ve won the tournament” during a post-round interview on Golf Channel.

Schauffele, the tournament’s defending champion, three-putted the 18th hole in regulation and then three-putted it again on the first playoff hole.

Schauffele took a one-shot lead into the final round but ended up in a three-way playoff with Patrick Reed and Justin Thomas.

Schauffele has four PGA Tour wins, and they all were in come-from-behind fashion, including the 2019 Sentry, where he shot a final-round 62 to storm from five shots back to claim the title.

Justin Thomas, who went on to win on the third playoff hole, also felt like he was supposed to come out on top, saying: “For some reason, I was supposed to win this week.”

Sentry TOC: ScoresPhotos | Money | Winner’s bag

“JT was right there, but with the circumstances given I should have closed it out but I didn’t,” Schauffele said.

“I kind of did everything I was supposed to until the last moment, which sucks but it’s another learning experience and I guess I’ll have to work on some wind putting.”

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Xander Schauffele battles wind, rain to hold lead at Sentry Tournament of Champions

Xander Schauffele shot 5-under 68 Friday at the Sentry Tournament of Champions to hold a one-shot lead entering the third round.

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Xander Schauffele takes a one-shot lead into the third round of the Sentry Tournament of Champions.

On Friday he carded five birdies en route to a 5-under 68 to grab the lead over Patrick Reed and Joaquin Niemann.

Schauffele is 9 under entering Saturday’s third round. He kept a clean scorecard Friday at the Kapalua Plantation Course, recording birdies on two of his final three holes to steal the lead from the 21-year-old Niemann.

Sentry TOC: Tee times | Scores | Podcast | Photos | Updates

Niemann shot a 66 on Thursday to take the first-round lead, but shot 1-under 72 in the second round after bogeying holes 5 and 13. Schauffele shot an opening-round 66.

The defending champion and only player bogey-free player in the 34-man field, Schauffele battled through difficult conditions in Lahaina, Hawaii Friday which included strong winds and sporadic rain.

After his round, Schauffele was asked if he could have predicted the leader would lead a 9 under through 36 holes before the event began.

“I couldn’t tell you. You know, I didn’t know this was going to roll in today,” Schauffele said. “I thought the T0ur was nice with the pin positions, over under 18-ish. I’ve heard 15, I’ve heard 20. But I think this weather kind of keeps up and the wind keeps up, it’s not going to be a shootout.”

Schauffele, who won the event last year by one shot at 23 under, also noted the changes to the course over the past year.

“Besides looking the same and looking over at Molokai, very different. Hitting longer clubs, different lines, different reads on the greens,” Schauffele said. “We’re on the same property, but for the most part there’s no memory I can fall back on when it comes to making a putt or hitting a bump-and-run shot on a certain hole since the green layouts are very different. They happen to be in the same spot, but the surfaces aren’t the same.”

The 26-year-old from La Jolla, California, is looking for his first win since last year’s win in Kapalua. Since the win — his fourth on Tour — Schauffele finished second at the 2019 Masters Tournament, T-3 at the U.S. Open and second at the Tour Championship. This season, Schauffele finished second at the World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions in November, the same event he won in 2019.

Schauffele tees off alongside Patrick Reed in Saturday’s third round at 3:40 p.m. ET.

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Presidents Cup grades: Captains, Royal Melbourne score high marks

Royal Melbourne gets an A+ in hosting Presidents Cup, and it’s too bad American golf fans don’t get to see action on this course each year.

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Colleges and universities across the country are in the midst of finals, and with the 2019 Presidents Cup now in the books, it’s time for Golfweek to hand out a few grades.

Royal Melbourne: A+

The course was a treat for the eyes and provided a great setting for the Presidents Cup. Alister MacKenzie’s gem featured a blend of short par 4s, challenging par 3s and devilish greens. In other words, it was perfect for match play and it’s a pity that American fans do not see the game’s best golfers play it every year.

The captains

Ernie Els: A-

The Big Easy did a great job of taking players from nine countries and five different continents, uniting them and then getting them to play as a team. He was organized, provided leadership and used analytics to create pairings that gave the Internationals a two-point lead heading into the singles. If he wants to captain again in two years, the job should be his.

Tiger Woods: B+

You could see in his smile how much winning as a captain meant to Tiger, who certainly inspired his players. Sitting out both sessions was a risky move, but the team gained ground and saved him from tough second-guessing. Benching Bryson DeChambeau for three sessions was smart, but keeping Patrick Reed and Webb Simpson in after the pair went 0-2 Thursday and Friday was a mistake.

Forward Press podcast: Presidents Cup special edition

U.S. players

Patrick Cantlay: 3-2, B+

Paired with Xander Schauffele in the first three sessions, Cantlay, playing in his first team competition since the 2011 Walker Cup, showed he’s a gamer and that we can expect him to be a fixture on United States teams for the next decade. His birdie on the 18th on Friday to beat Joaquin Niemann and Adam Hadwin was massive and his emotional response was fantastic. His singles win over Niemann was also impressive.

Bryson DeChambeau: 0-1-1, C

He may have gained about 10 pounds of muscle and 15 yards off the tee, but DeChambeau was a dud during Thursday’s opening matches and was rightly benched because Woods clearly didn’t have faith that he could turn things around. A bad shot from the fairway on 17 led to a bogey and a halved match against Adam Hadwin in a match the U.S. could have used.

Tony Finau: 0-1-3, B-

Benched after a 2-and-1 loss Thursday alongside DeChambeau, Finau redeemed himself with three halved matches to earn 1.5 points. Getting a half-point after walking to the 11th tee down by four in singles against Hideki Matsuyama showed guts.

Rickie Fowler: 1-0-3, B

The late addition to the team after Brooks Koepka was forced to withdraw due to injury, Fowler hit some solid iron shots and clutch putts to grab a half-point with Gary Woodland Friday. Paired with Justin Thomas, he earned 1.5 points, but he missed some makeable putts against Marc Leishman on Sunday and should have won his singles match.

Dustin Johnson: 2-2, C

D.J. is too good to ever follow up a 4-and-3 loss with 3-and-2 loss, regardless of the format. His putting was so off that he switched putters before his Sunday singles match against Haotong Li. He won Sunday, but Li was a deer in the headlights on the front nine, letting Johnson win three holes with pars.

Matt Kuchar: 0-1-3, B-

The veteran putted nicely in a 3-and-2 loss paired with Johnson on Friday before pairing with Finau for a pair of halves. He was winless in Australia, but battled back from 3 down against Louis Oosthuizen Sunday and made the Cup-clinching putt on 17.

Patrick Reed: 1-3, C-

For three days, Reed talked the talk but couldn’t walk the walk. His shovel antics after making a birdie putt on the 11th hole Friday were embarrassing and made worse after Leishman made birdie on top of him to halve the hole. Still, Reed’s me-against-the-world attitude helped him get a 4-up lead through four holes on C.T. Pan.

Xander Schauffele: 3-2, B+

Paired with Cantlay, Schauffele earned two points in two foursomes matches before taking on Adam Scott on his home turf Sunday. Schauffele got up early on the 2013 Masters champion and never let up, withstanding Scott’s late charge to win 2 and 1. He’s a stud in the making.

Webb Simpson: 1-3, C+

Playing in a tough environment paired with Reed, Simpson got off to a slow start at the Presidents Cup and never really got going until Sunday. His experience, and some timely approach shots, helped him earn a point against Byeong Hun An.

Justin Thomas: 3-1-1, A

The next leader of America’s cup teams, Thomas was everything captain Woods could have wanted. His putt on 18 Friday to win a big point was massive, and he paired with Fowler to take down Li and Leishman 3 and 2. In defeat Sunday against Cameron Smith, he battled. He’s 26, so the U.S. team is hoping for at least another decade of J.T.

Tiger Woods (The Player): 3-0, A+

Paired with Thomas, Tiger, who turns 44 on Dec. 30, was 2-0 before benching himself on Saturday. His performance in the opening singles match against Abraham Ancer was vintage Tiger. He knocked the ball down, made it climb and bent shots like Eric Clapton bends a chord on his Stratocaster. Bravo.

Gary Woodland: 1-2-1, C-

Woodland was a disappointment Thursday and Friday, failing to win a point when paired with Johnson, and he got blitzed by Sungjae Im in singles 4 and 3. Woodland and Johnson did get a point in Saturday’s foursomes, but you expect the defending U.S. Open to contribute more than just a point in four sessions.

Internationals

Byeong Hun An: 1-2-2, B-

The 28-year-old Presidents Cup rookie played with three different partners (Scott, Matsuyama and Niemann) in foursomes and fourballs before falling 2 and 1 to Simpson on Sunday. He can play, but failed to make enough birdies under pressure.

Abraham Ancer: 3-1-1, A

The breakout star for the International team, Ancer showed a deft shortgame and lethal putter to go along with nerves of steel. He wanted Tiger in singles and put up a great fight in a losing effort. Get ready to see his birdie putt on the third hole Saturday morning in Presidents Cup highlight reels for the next 100 years. Exelente senor.

Adam Hadwin: 1-1-1, C

Paired with Im on Thursday morning, Hadwin’s foursomes win over Cantlay and Schauffele was impressive, but he was benched for both sessions Saturday and halved with DeChambeau on Sunday when the International team needed a full point.

Sungjae Im: 3-1-1, A-

Ranked No. 36 in the world coming into the Presidents Cup, Im scored one of only two singles wins for the International team on Sunday by beating Woodland 4 and 3. He showed a deft touch with his wedges and made some key putts.

Marc Leishman: 1-2-2, C

Ernie Els needed a big week from the big Aussie who was playing in his fourth consecutive Presidents Cup, but he didn’t get it. A win in foursomes with Ancer was the highlight for Leishman, whose halve with Fowler in singles Sunday came after the Americans had already clinched.

Haotong Li: 0-2, D

After sitting out the first two sessions, Li was so nervous that he played out of turn on the second hole in Saturday’s foursomes match, forcing him to re-play his shot. He’s talented but was 4 over through 15 holes when Dustin Johnson closed him out 4 and 3 in singles.

Hideki Matsuyama: 2-1-1, C+

The Japanese star teamed with C.T. Pan to beat Reed and Simpson, twice, but blowing a 4-up lead after 10 holes against Finau in singles was deflating and felt like a loss. Sure, he won 2½ points in four sessions, but the tie on Sunday is going to sting for a long time.

Joaquin Niemann: 0-3-1, C

Expectations for the 21-year-old winner at the Greenbrier this fall were high. Maybe too high. He teamed with Byeong Hun An to come back for a halve against Finau and Kuchar, but he was outclassed by Cantlay on Sunday.

Louis Oosthuizen: 2-1-1, B-

King Louis started red hot, winning two points on Thursday and Friday, but his putting was erratic and he blew a 3-up lead against Kuchar and wound up halving the match that gave the Americans the cup.

C.T. Pan: 2-1, B+

Another Presidents Cup rookie, Pan earned two points paired with Matsuyama and then ran into a buzzsaw in the form of a motivated and hot putting Patrick Reed. Down six through seven holes, he won four of the next six to get within two before falling 4 and 2.

Adam Scott: 2-2-1, B

Playing in his ninth Presidents Cup, and on home soil, it was the perfect setting for Adam Scott, and he made some great shots and a few sweet putts, but losing to Schauffele was a blow to the International team’s hopes. Scott had to carry a big load for Els and he was good, but the Aussie needed to be great.

Cameron Smith: 1-1-1, B

A thorn in the American team’s side, Smith’s boyish looks belie his competitiveness and fire. He made big putts, worked the crowd and was one of only two singles winners on Sunday, beating Justin Thomas.

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Xander Schauffele using Callaway Mavrik prototype driver at Presidents Cup

Two new Callaway drivers were added to the USGA and R&A’s conforming driver lists last week and Xander Schauffele is using one already.

Last week a pair of new Callaway clubs appeared for the first time on the United States Golf Association and R&A’s conforming driver lists. The company did not provide details about the Mavrik and Mavrik Sub Zero, but once those drivers were added to the lists, they became available for use in competition and it appears that Xander Schauffele put one into play on Thursday at Royal Melbourne Golf Club during the open matches at the Presidents Cup.

As you can see in this close-up photo of the driver Schauffele used in his opening-round match with Patrick Cantlay against Sungjae Im and Adam Hadwin, the bottom of the club clearly says Mavrik.

Xander Schauffele
Xander Schauffele’s Callaway driver at Presidents Cup. (Darrian Traynor/Getty Images)

With a weight visible in both the back and behind the leading edge, it appears that Schauffele is using the Sub Zero version of the Mavrik driver.

Historically, Sub Zero versions of Callaway drivers spin less than standard versions and produce a lower ball flight.

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2019 Presidents Cup odds, lines, picks and best bets: Which side wins at Royal Melbourne?

Previewing the 2019 Presidents Cup at Royal Melbourne Golf Club, with golf betting odds and picks for outright winner and the best props.

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The 2019 Presidents Cup takes place this week at The Royal Melbourne Golf Club in Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. Twelve of the top golfers from the United States tee off against 12 of the best from outside of Europe. Below, we analyze the tournament odds and prop bets, with golf betting picks and tips.

The first round will start Wednesday, Dec. 11, at 5:30 p.m. ET.


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Presidents Cup Teams

Captains Tiger Woods (USA) and Ernie Els (International) selected the following teams:

Team USA International Team
Dustin JohnsonJustin Thomas Hideki MatsuyamaAdam Scott
Matt KucharXander Schauffele Louis OosthuizenMarc Leishman
Webb SimpsonPatrick Cantlay Abraham AncerHaotong Li
Bryson DeChambeauTiger Woods C.T. PanCameron Smith
Gary WoodlandTony Finau Joaquin NiemannAdam Hadwin
Patrick ReedRickie Fowler Sungjae ImByeong Hun An

The entire US team ranks in the top 25 of the Official World Golf Ranking, while only three members of the International side are in the top 25.

Presidents Cup Tournament Winner

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 1 p.m. ET.

Team USA has won the past seven Presidents Cups and leads the all-time series against the International side at 10-1-1. Fortunately for the global squad, which is led by three Australians, its only Presidents Cup victory was at this venue in 1998.

The INTERNATIONALS are getting juicy +250 odds for the tournament victory. Team USA is a -250 favorite. Look for Adam Scott (No. 18), Marc Leishman (No. 28) and Cameron Smith (No. 52) to lead the Internationals to victory on home soil.

Presidents Cup Prop Bets

Internationals +3.5 Points (-125)

After losing 19-11 in 2017, look for the Internationals to keep it closer this time out. Their previous two losses in 2015 and ’13, were decided by one and three points, respectively.

Top Combined Points Scorer: Adam Scott (+1200)

Scott will have the crowd behind him as the top golfer from the host nation. He didn’t play in 1998 (when the Internationals got their lone win in the event, also in Melbourne), but he has won both the Australian Open and Australian PGA Championship and has spoken highly of wanting to win at the famed Royal Melbourne as a potential career highlight.

Who will score the most points for the USA? Patrick Reed (+900)

Expect the best from Reed, who has excelled in the Ryder Cup format against Europe, and in the 2017 Presidents Cup. He’s coming off another controversy at last week’s Hero World Challenge in which he was penalized two strokes for improving his line of play in a waste bunker.

Get some action on this tournament by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Hero World Challenge odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the 2019 Hero World Challenge and which golfers are the best options for the event. Who will win at Albany?

Host Tiger Woods and 17 more of the top golfers in the world are in The Bahamas this week for the Hero World Challenge. The condensed field consists of six of the top 10 golfers from the Official World Golf Ranking, including Woods and defending champ Jon Rahm. It is played at Albany which measures 7,302 yards and plays as a par 72.

The showcase tournament is the final standard stroke-play event on the PGA Tour in 2019. The Presidents Cup and QBE Shootout will run next week. There’ll then be a brief hiatus before the Sentry Tournament of Champions and Sony Open kick off the 2020 portion of the schedule in the first two weeks of January from Hawaii.


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The small field and champion pedigree of each of those in attendance means bettors need to adjust their strategies this week. Make fewer, larger wagers while focusing on those at the top of the board. Only three golfers — Bubba WatsonKevin Kisner and Chez Reavie — have odds greater than +3000. Don’t go chasing higher payouts, as each of the past four champions entered the week ranked inside the top 10 of the OWGR.

Hero World Challenge – Odds, picks and best bets

Photo Credit: Adam Hagy – USA TODAY Sports

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 3:15 p.m. ET.

Tiger Woods +900

Woods has won this event five times but not since 2011 and never at this venue. He claimed his first victory of the season at the Zozo Championship in Japan in late October but hasn’t played a pro event since. He finished second-to-last here last year, but he has since climbed to No. 7 in the world. Woods has the fourth-best world ranking among those in attendance and is fourth by the odds at BetMGM in a rare case of him not being overpriced as a public favorite.

Xander Schauffele +900

Schauffele enters the week ranked ninth by the OWGR. He most recently finished as the runner-up at the WGC-HSBC Champions following a T-10 at the Zozo Championship. He debuted at this event with a T-8 finish last year. He has been an excellent early-season performer over his young career and looks to stay hot ahead of his defense of the Tournament of Champions next month.

Webb Simpson +1200

Simpson is the second-best putter in this field behind Jordan Spieth (+2500), who will not be winning. He is coming off a solo runner-up finish at the RSM Classic and sits at No. 11 in the world ranking. This is his debut at Albany, but Rahm won in his debut a year ago.

Get some action on this tournament by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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