Tag: Washington Nationals betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (18-17) and Washington Nationals (13-17) open a three-game NL East series Tuesday at 7:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Chase Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. He is 1-3 with a 5.54 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 7.3 K/9, and 4.9 BB/9 in 26 IP over 6 starts.

Anderson has been battling control problems; he’s walked 9 batters over his last 14 IP. Current Washington bats own a high-contact .958 OPS against him.

RHP Erick Fedde is the projected starter for the Nationals. He is 2-3 with a 5.27 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 9.2 K/9, and 4.3 BB/9 in 27 1/3 IP over 6 starts. Fedde coughed up 5 runs in his last start.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Cubs at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated Monday at 11:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Phillies +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-185) |  Phillies +1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Nationals 4, Phillies 3

Money line (ML)

Washington comes into this series after losing 2-of-3 to the New York Yankees over the weekend, and the Nats have lost four of their last six.

Philadelphia is on the second leg of a three-city road trip. The Phillies dropped 2-of-3 at Atlanta to start the trip, and they’re just 5-11 (with a minus-22 run differential) on the road. The Phillies won last year’s season series against the Nats, 7-3.

Fedde was serviceable in the three outings preceding his last. These are two offenses headed in different ways of late (last two weeks: Nationals .748 OPS, Phillies .635 OPS).

BACK THE NATIONALS (-130).

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on a run line loaded down with a lot of juice.

Over/Under (O/U)

Cool night in D.C. Wind in from left-center. A scuffling Philadelphia offense and two rested bullpens.

BACK THE UNDER 9 (-120).

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Washington Nationals at New York Yankees odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Nationals at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (13-16) finish their series against the New York Yankees (17-16) Sunday in Yankee Stadium at 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

New York evened the series with Washington yesterday with a 4-3 extra-innings victory.

The Yankees, and New York SS Gleyber Torres specifically, spoiled an 8-inning, 1-run, 14-strikeout gem by Max Scherzer after Torres tied the game in the bottom of the 9th with an RBI single and hit a walk-off RBI single in the 11th.

Season series: 1-1.

RHP Joe Ross is on the rubber for the Nationals. Ross is 2-2 with a 4.39 ERA (26 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 across 5 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6-1, in 5 1/3 IP with 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 4 K vs. the Atlanta Braves Tuesday.
  • Career vs. the Yankees: No appearances.
  • Career in interleague play: 3-2 with a 4.79 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.21 WHIP and 10.1 K/9 over 6 starts and 1 relief appearance.

RHP Domingo Germán is the projected starter for the Yankees. Germán is 2-2 with a 4.68 ERA (25 IP, 12 ER), 1.24 WHIP and 9.0 K/9 over 5 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 5 IP with 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 6 K in New York’s 7-3 victory over the Houston Astros Tuesday.
  • Career vs. the Nationals: No appearances.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:27 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Yankees -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-140) | Yankees -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Yankees 7, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the YANKEES (-165) for a half unit because their bullpen is more reliable and their lineup is more productive against righties.

For instance, New York’s lineup is middle of the league in several advanced hitting categories while Washington’s lineup is a bottom-10 crew in wRC+, wOBA and OPS.

Also, the Yankees relievers have the lowest xFIP, SIERA and WHIP in the Majors while the Nationals’ bullpen has the third-highest xFIP and the fifth-highest SIERA.

Lastly, I like the work FanGraphs does, which is a baseball advanced analytics website, and that site gives New York a 63.7% chance of winning this game but the implied probability of the YANKEES (-165) is 62.3%. I.e. there’s still value in New York’s money line based on advanced analytics.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the YANKEES -1.5 (+115) for a quarter unit because New York has the best run line record as a home favorite since the beginning of last season (27-19) and Washington’s pitching staff has been more lucky than good this year.

For example, the Nationals’ arms are 15th in ERA but have by far the lowest BAbip in MLB, which is a luck-based metric, and Washington pitchers have the sixth-worst xFIP and the second-worst WAR.

Over/Under (O/U)

Each lineup could plate some runs vs. the starters and weather forecasts predict nearly 10 MPH winds blowing out to left-center which help all the explosive right-handed hitters.

Statcast grades Ross in the 46th percentile of hard-hit rate, 14th percentile of expected wOBA and 23rd percentile in K%. Germán doesn’t grade out much better in advanced pitching metrics.

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (-110) for a quarter unit.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (13-16) play the Washington Nationals (12-13) Wednesday in Game 2 of their three-game set at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Atlanta beat Washington 6-1 Tuesday thanks to an outstanding game by RHP Huascar Ynoa both on the mound and in the batter’s box.

Ynoa pitched 7 scoreless innings and hit a 6th inning grand slam to put the game out of reach.

Season series: Braves lead 3-1.

LHP Max Fried makes his fourth start for the Braves. He is 0-1 with an 11.45 ERA (11 IP, 14 ER), 2.55 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 through 3 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss in 4 IP with 7 ER on 9 H and 2 BB with 3 K in Atlanta’s 14-8 loss to the Miami Marlins April 13. Fried exited the loss with a right hamstring strain and this is his first start since.
  • Career vs. Nationals: 1-2 with a 6.48 ERA (25 IP, 18 ER), 1.72 WHIP and 9.4 K/9 across 6 starts and 1 relief appearance.
    • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 49 at-bats with a .388/.456/.571 slash line and 2 HR.
    • Career at Washington’s ballpark: 0-1 with a 14.21 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 3.16 WHIP and 9.9 K/9 over 3 starts.

RHP Erick Fedde gets the start for the Nationals. Fedde is 2-2 with a 4.43 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 5 starts.

  • Last outing: Win in 6 IP with 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB and 7 K in Washington’s 8-2 victory over the Toronto Blue Jays Wednesday.
  • Career vs. Braves: 0-2 with a 14.06 ERA (16 IP, 25 ER), 3.00 WHIP and 7.3 K/9 across 4 starts and 1 relief appearance.
    • vs. Braves on the current roster: 45 at-bats with a .378/.517/.622 slash line and 2 HR.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Braves at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Nationals +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (+120) | Nationals +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Braves 9, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

GIMME the BRAVES (-135) for 1 unit because even though both projected starters haven’t looked good against their opponent, Fried has much better stuff than Fedde and Atlanta’s lineup is far more productive than Washington’s.

Fedde’s numbers against this Braves lineup are shockingly bad and Washington’s bullpen is a bottom-3 unit in xFIP, SIERA and K-BB%.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS despite my projected score because the payout of Braves -1.5 (+120) isn’t big enough.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9 (+100) alternate line for a half unit mostly based on the numbers of the starting pitchers against their respective opponent. Washington’s lineup is also top-3 in wOBA, wRC+ and OPS against left-handed pitching.

Also, the Braves and Nationals are 10-3-1 O/U in their last 14 meetings and the Over cashed in five of their past seven games in Washington.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (8-9) and Washington Nationals (6-9) wrap up a three-game series at Nationals Park with a 4:05 p.m. ET first pitch Wednesday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Carlos Martinez is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He is 0-6 with a 9.00 ERA, 1.80 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 through 35 IP over 8 starts spanning the last two seasons. He allowed at least 3 ER in each of his three starts this season. He owns a Boeing ERA of 7.80 in 2021.

RHP Max Scherzer is the projected starter for the Nationals. Over 2020-21, Scherzer is 5-5 with a 3.44 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 12.1 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 through 86 1/3 IP in 15 combined starts. He has allowed just 1 ER in his last 13 innings of work. Current Cardinal bats own a whiff-laden .482 OPS against Scherzer.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Cardinals at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Nationals -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals +1.5 (-140) |  Nationals -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

The Cards took the opener of this series 12-5 and the Nats responded with a 3-2 win Tuesday.

With some tilt toward some value in the St. Louis offense and just a tad in the fade-Scherzer column (or at least fade at this kind of price), there is a razor-thin lean toward the CARDINALS (+140). A tag of +150 or higher would make for some profit margin.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. A profitable Cardinals’ side is more likable on the money line.

Over/Under (O/U)

Surface run production numbers for the Washington offense don’t match with the higher proficiency that shows in advanced metrics. St. Louis has solid scoring numbers, but even its offense is perhaps underperforming given how hard the Cards have been hitting baseballs this April.

The Redbirds’ .709 OPS is undercut by low batting-average-on-balls-in-play numbers in runners-in-scoring-position and lead-off situations.

With some fade action in Scherzer’s early-season 2.37 ERA and on both bullpens, there is a heavy Over lean to this game.

OVER 7.5 (-120) is one of the better plays on the board Wednesday.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (8-8) and Washington Nationals (5-9) play the middle contest of their three-game series at 7:05 p.m. ET Tuesday at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Adam Wainwright is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He is 0-2 with a 7.11 ERA, 1.90 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 through 12 2/3 IP over 3 starts this season. Wainwright is facing the Nationals for a second straight game; he allowed 3 ER in 5 IP against Washington Wednesday. Current Nats bats own an aggregate .874 OPS against him.

LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starter for the Nationals. Corbin is 0-2 with a 21.32 ERA, 3.00 WHIP, 8.5 K/9, and 9.9 BB/9 through 6 1/3 IP over 2 starts. The veteran southpaw started the season on the COVID-19 list and made his season debut April 10 against the Los Angeles Dodgers. He has allowed 15 ER in his two outings.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Cardinals at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Nationals -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals +1.5 (-160) |  Nationals -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

St. Louis has been at its best against lefty pitching with a .934 OPS. Peg the Cardinals as having enough on the mound and some confidence at the plate coming off a 12-run outburst Monday.

BACK THE CARDINALS (+110).

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS, but for the sake of a rider on the above ML play, consider a Cardinals play if the tag approaches +160.

Over/Under (O/U)

Surface run production numbers for the Washington offense (3.6 runs per game) don’t match with the higher proficiency that shows in advanced metrics. St. Louis (5.2) has solid scoring numbers, but even its offense is perhaps underperforming given how hard the Cards have been hitting baseballs this April.

Neither starter engenders much confidence, and both bullpens have been filing average but ball-in-play deflated numbers. All the pitchers in Tuesday’s affair figure to be working against a batter’s breeze out to center.

The Over hit easily in a 12-5 Redbird win in the Monday opener. BACK OVER 9 (-120) in this one, too.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (7-8) and Washington Nationals (5-8) open up a three-game series at 7:05 p.m. ET Monday at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Jack Flaherty is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He is 2-0 with a 4.11 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 9.4 K/9, and 3.5 BB/9 in 15 1/3 IP over 3 starts. Since getting roughed up by the Reds on Opening Day, Flaherty has yielded just one run over 11 IP.

RHP Joe Ross is the projected starter for the Nationals. Ross is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 7.4 K/9, and 2.5 BB/9 in 11 IP over 2 turns in the Washington rotation. The aggregate St. Louis line against him includes a .626 OPS and .111 isolated power.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Cardinals at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:54 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Nationals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals -1.5 (+125) |  Nationals +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Cardinals 5, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

The Redbirds and Nats faced each other last week, with Washington claiming two wins in a three-game set. Both Monday starters — Flaherty and Ross — pitched in that series.

Flaherty pitched 5 shutout frames on Tuesday; Ross tossed 6 scoreless innings on Wednesday.

The series loss for the Cards is part of a string of three series setbacks in a row; St. Louis enters Monday’s contest having won just two of its last eight games.

Flaherty didn’t pitch all that different in 2020 (4.19 ERA) than he did in 2018 (3.34) or 2019 (2.75). He was undone by a low strand rate and a higher percentage of fly balls leaving the yard.

Peg the Redbirds having enough edge on the mound to warrant a slim road favorites’ price. BACK THE CARDINALS (-125).

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS, but for the sake of a rider on the above ML play, consider a Cardinals play if the tag approaches +160.

Over/Under (O/U)

Surface run production numbers for the Washington offense (3.8 runs per game) don’t match with the higher proficiency that shows in advanced metrics.

St. Louis (4.9) does have some solid scoring numbers, but even its offense is perhaps underperforming given how hard the Cards have been hitting baseballs this April.

With both hurlers being seen for a second time in six days, and with both bullpens filing average but ball-in-play deflated numbers, BACK THE OVER 8 (-110).

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (4-8) and Washington Nationals (3-6) open a four-game series Thursday at 7:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Merrill Kelly is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. His combined 2020-21 line: 3-4 with a 3.92 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 1.7 BB/9 over 41 1/3 IP spanning 7 starts.

LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starter for the Nationals. Over 2020 and 2021, Corbin is 2-8 with a 5.14 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 through 70 IP over 12 starts. This start will mark Corbin’s second of the season; the veteran southpaw started the 2021 campaign on the COVID-19 list.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Diamondbacks at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Diamondbacks +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Nationals -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-130) | Nationals -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Nationals 6, Diamondbacks 4

Money line (ML)

The Diamondbacks are 2-5 over their last seven games; they’ve coughed up 5.7 runs per game over that stretch. Arizona is 2-5 on the road this season and went just 9-21 (.300) away from Phoenix in 2020.

Washington has more to give on both sides of the runs/runs allowed equation, but the Nats are only a value up to -165. PASS.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Kelly is coming off a rough outing at Coors Field with 6 runs allowed over 6 innings. In this start, he draws a Nationals lineup which is certainly not cranked up yet but the right-hander’s short career includes troubles away from home with a road ERA of 5.25 on a .806 OPS allowed.

Corbin was banged around in his COVID-delayed debut. He walked three and was cuffed around by hard contact in yielding 6 runs over 4 1/3 IP against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Look for a bounce in start No. 2. The Diamondbacks aren’t the Dodgers and in limited plate appearances, current Arizona bats own a .358 OPS against him.

The veteran lefty figures to be a couple clicks stronger in this turn. In the last couple of seasons, he has exhibited a strong rebound ability by logging fine starts after clunkers.

Peg WASHINGTON -1.5 (+110) as a solid play.

Over/Under (O/U)

The D-backs figure to be at their best against lefties. Some gravity in the Nats’ offensive numbers also makes for a lean toward a higher total score.

BACK THE OVER 8 (-115).

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (2-5) look to make it two in a row over the St. Louis Cardinals (5-5) when they meet Tuesday at 7:45 p.m. ET at Busch Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Stephen Strasburg is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He was limited to two starts and five total innings in 2020 before undergoing surgery for carpal tunnel syndrome in his right hand.

Strasburg was sharp in his 2021 debut. He tossed six shutout innings against the Braves, allowing one hit and striking out eight, and inducing 12 swinging strikes on 85 pitches. He has made three career starts in St. Louis, where he has recorded a 3.38 ERA and 9.6 K/9 in 18 2/3 innings.

RHP Jack Flaherty is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He never really got back on track following the team’s COVID layoff in August of last year and ended the season with a 4.91 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 10.9 K/9, and 3.6 BB/9 in nine starts.

Flaherty has had one good start and one bad one so far in 2021, which has added up to a 5.23 ERA and 8.7 K/9.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Cardinals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:22 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Cardinals -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals -1.5 (+155) | Cardinals +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Nationals 5, Cardinals 3

Money line (ML)

The Cardinals have lost three in a row, all games in which they were playing at home and favored to win.

It’s still not clear Flaherty is at his best, as even in his six shutout inning outing, he walked four batters, and is sporting a 10/6 K/BB through two starts (10 1/3 innings).

Strasburg’s velocity wasn’t all the way back to pre-2020 levels in his first start, but he missed a lot of bats in his strong performance.

Though Washington is off to a slow start, the return of Kyle Schwarber and Josh Bell from the COVID list on Monday should provide a spark.

Side with the NATIONALS (-105).

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

All five of the Cardinals’ losses this season have been by more than one run, and Flaherty, with a 1.7 K/BB and 5.76 FIP, can’t be fully trusted to shut down the Washington bats.

A small play on the NATIONALS -1.5 (+155) makes sense here.

Over/Under (O/U)

This line is low, especially considering Flaherty hasn’t really been dominant in quite some time, and Strasburg may not be stretched out enough to go more than six innings.

Don’t expect a real high-scoring game, but OVER 7 (-120) looks like the way to go.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @RuddHQ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (1-5) are visiting the St. Louis Cardinals (5-4) Monday for Game 1 of a three-game set at Busch Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Washington was swept 3-0 by the reigning World Series champion Los Angeles Dodgers and was shut out in two of those games. St. Louis lost back-to-back games—allowing 9 runs in each—against the NL Central rival Milwaukee Brewers to drop its previous series 2-1.

RHP Erick Fedde (0-1) makes his second start for the Nationals. He was smacked around in a 7-6 Nationals loss to the Atlanta Braves Wednesday. He lasted only 1 2/3 IP, giving up 5 earned runs on 6 hits and 3 walks with just 1 strikeout.

RHP John Gant (0-0) is on the mound for the Cardinals in his second start of the season and since 2018. He pitched 4 innings with only 1 unearned run allowed, while allowing 4 hits, striking out 4 and walking 3 in St. Louis’ 4-2 win over the Miami Marlins last week.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Cardinals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:05 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Cardinals -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-150) | Cardinals -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Cardinals 7, Nationals 5

Money line (ML)

PASS with a “lean” on the Cardinals (-145) because I think St. Louis is the right side but the money line is a little too expensive.

Also, I have faith the Nationals will have a good season and their 1-5 record has a lot to do with playing the teams that played for the 2020 NL pennant, which keeps me away from the Cardinals’ money line.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

April has been Gant’s best month throughout his career; he is 4-0 with a 2.08 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 35 K and 13 BB in 1 start and 21 relief appearances in March and April.

Since the beginning of 2019, Statcast grades Fedde in the bottom-third of the majors in many advanced pitching metrics including K%, Whiff% and xwOBA.

Furthermore, Fedde had a plus-5 ERA in spring training and was teed off on last week. The outing brought his career April ERA to 7.94 but in only two appearances.

BET CARDINALS -1.5 (+125) for .75 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit. The reason Gant is starting is due to injuries in the Cardinals rotation so he’s more of a wild card than a known quantity.

While the Nationals hitters are in the basement of the league vs. right-handed pitchers, they’ve faced quality opponents and have the fewest at-bats against righties since Washington’s first three games were postponed due to COVID-19.

The Nationals lineup could certainly get to a Cardinals pitching staff that has allowed 9 or more runs in four of their nine games this season.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (1-4) close out their three-game set with the defending champion Los Angeles Dodgers (7-2) Sunday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

L.A. is going for the series sweep Sunday after winning 9-5 Saturday and 1-0 Friday.

Season series: Dodgers 2-0.

RHP Max Scherzer (0-0) makes his second start of the season for the Nationals. He took a no-decision Tuesday against the Atlanta Braves.

Scherzer pitched 6 innings, giving up 4 earned runs on 5 hits with 4 home runs allowed. He struck out 9 with no walks in Washington’s 6-5 win. Three of the four homers were hit by All-Stars RF Ronald Acuña Jr. and 1B Freddie Freeman.

LHP Clayton Kershaw takes the hill for the Dodgers in the series finale.

Kershaw got a win in his last outing at the Oakland Athletics. He went 7 innings while striking out 8 with no walks while allowing only 1 earned run on 4 hits in L.A.’s 5-1 victory.

  • 2021: 1-1 with a 4.26 ERA and 1.18 WHIP (12 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 14 H, 10 K, 1 BB) in 2 starts.
  • Career vs. Nationals: 12-3 with a 2.23 ERA (109 IP, 27 ER, 77 H, 126 K, 23 BB) in 17 appearances and 16 starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-140) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Nationals 4, Dodgers 2

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the NATIONALS (+145) for a quarter-unit because Scherzer is still an ace and has always pitched well against the Dodgers.

Since arriving in Washington, Scherzer is 3-1 with a 1.64 ERA (33 IP, 6 ER, 24 H, 51 K, 11 BB) in 5 starts. All three of those Scherzer victories were at Dodger Stadium.

Furthermore, the last time these teams met—the 2019 National League Division Series—Kershaw lost Game 2 and blew a save in L.A.’s Game 5 loss by giving up two home runs in the top of the eighth inning.

So, while the Dodgers are the king of the mountain, the starting pitching matchup favors the Nationals.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

According to Pregame.com, nearly 80% of the money wagered overnight has been on the Dodgers, but the Nationals have gotten cheaper on the run line, which could only mean bookmakers want more L.A. money.

Also, the Nationals have hit lefties really well since the beginning of last season; Washington is 11-6 vs. left-handed starters while ranked third in wRC+, OPS and wOBA vs. lefties.

BET NATIONALS +1.5 (-140) for a half-unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115) for a half-unit based on the obvious reasons. The past two World Series champions have two aces on the mound who aren’t too far removed from their primes.

Lastly, more money is on the Under while more bets have been placed on the Over.

The money column is considered the “sharp” side of the market whereas the “average joe” makes up the bets placed column. Typically, it’s more profitable in sports betting to follow the money and not the crowd of people.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]