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NFL player props: 5 best bets for Week 9

NFL expert John Holler looks at the NFL Week 9 slate and tabs the 5 best NFL player props to cash in on.

At the midway point of the season, we’re seeing with more clarity where offenses are heading and how injuries have depleted defenses — both of which come into play when matching up against an opponent that can exploit those weaknesses.

Below, we break down Tipico Sportsbook‘s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 9 player prop bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

This week, we look at more production than the lack of it.

We have 1 quarterback whose number seems too high for his opponent and a couple of running backs and receivers that have Over/Under numbers that seem too low given their circumstances.

Also see: All Week 9 odds and lines

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NFL week 9 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at Saturday at 8:38 a.m. ET.

Cincinnati Bengals RB Joe Mixon OVER 68.5 rushing yards (-115)

– Host Panthers, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (FOX)

The Bengals have gotten away from Mixon this season — partly because he’s only averaging 3.3 yards a carry and partly because he’s only had 8 carries in 2 of the last 3 games.

That said, these are the Panthers and they’ve been hit hard on the ground all season. They’re 0-3 on the road and have been getting lit up in the process.

If the Bengals get off to an early lead, Mixon should get nearly 20 carries. That she be enough to vault him past this total.

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Los Angeles Chargers RB Austin Ekeler OVER 51.5 receiving yards (-115)

– At Falcons, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (FOX)

The Chargers are going to be without WRs Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. QB Justin Herbert has played plenty of games without one of them, but not many without both.

The Chargers are going to have to adapt on the fly and Herbert’s Over/Under for passing yards is still 283.5. If he’s going to approach that, it’s going to take a lot of Ekeler to get there.

Ekeler may catch 10 passes in this game out of necessity. Even if he doesn’t, he only needs to break one splash play to surpass this number.

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Los Angeles Rams QB Matthew Stafford UNDER 250.5 passing yards (-115)

– At Buccaneers, Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS)

The Buccaneers defense has only allowed 2 QBs to throw for 250 yards all season — Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers.

With the expected return of RB Cam Akers, the Rams aren’t going to be throwing every down like they have tried to do (or been forced to do) recently.

There is a decent likelihood WR Cooper Kupp gets Stafford almost halfway home to this number by himself, but can the others pick up the slack in what has the smell of an elimination game for two preseason Super Bowl favorites from the NFC? I don’t think so.

Arizona Cardinals WR DeAndre Hopkins OVER 84.5 receiving yards (-115)

– Host Seahawks, Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS)

Hopkins has been back just two games and has been targeted 27 times – catching 22 passes for 262 yards and a touchdown.

It became clear in his first game back that he is in Kyler Murray’s ear and claiming he’s open on every pass and, in an offense that is based on improvisation and quick reads, he’s getting the ball fed his way.

He has a high O/U, but Seattle has allowed 6 receivers to top 85 receiving yards and none of them are as good as D-Hop. He should be in line to be targeted more than 10 times. He doesn’t have come close to catching all of them to hit this number.

Atlanta Falcons TE Kyle Pitts OVER 39.5 receiving yards (-115)

– Host Chargers, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (FOX)

Few players have been as hit-and-miss as Pitts who has 2 games with 80 or more receiving yards and 5 games with 25 or fewer.

His O/U number is low as a result, but the Falcons are going up against a banged-up Chargers team that will play up-tempo offense by design that will result in more snaps than a standard game.

Given his athleticism, the NFL’s most underutilized tight end talent may only need 3 catches to hit this number and QB Marcus Mariota can probably roll the dice right that many times on downfield seam passes.

More NFL Week 9 picks and predictions

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Want action on any of these NFL props or other matchups? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

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NFL player props: 5 best bets for Week 8

NFL expert John Holler looks at the NFL Week 8 slate and tabs the 5 best NFL player props to cash in on.

We’re nearing the midway point of the season, and injuries are taking a toll on a lot of teams, which is bad news for those going against some of the top stars in the game. This week we pick 1 veteran quarterback to underachieve and 2 running backs and wide receivers to be centerpieces of their offenses against questionable defenses.

Below, we break down Tipico Sportsbook‘s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 8 player prop bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

Also see: All Week 8 odds and lines

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NFL week 8 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8 a.m. ET.

New England Patriots WR Jakobi Meyers OVER 51.5 receiving yards (-115)

– At Jets, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (CBS)

Myers is only averaging 51 yards a game, so this number seems risky. However, the New York Jets, while much improved, are allowing receivers to routinely blow past this number.

Through 7 games, the Jets have allowed 8 receivers to reach or surpass 85 receiving yards – most of them the primary targets in opposing offenses. In New England, Meyers is the main man, and recent history is in his favor.

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Denver Broncos QB Russell Wilson UNDER 227.5 passing yards (-115)

– Face Jaguars in London, Sunday 9:30 a.m. ET (ESPN+)

The beleaguered Wilson is back in the starting lineup for the meeting with the Jacksonville Jaguars in London. Wilson has hit under this number in 3 of his last 5 games, and the Jaguars defense has done a good job of limiting quarterbacks that aren’t in pass-happy offenses.

Wilson has been a bust all season, and this game doesn’t have the look of the type of game that he will break out – despite having a solid core of receivers around him.

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Philadelphia WR A.J. Brown OVER 69.5 receiving yards (-115)

– Host Steelers, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (CBS)

The Eagles are coming off their bye for the battle of Pennsylvania and have made some adjustments during their down time. Among them will be finding ways to get Brown the ball more. In his only previous game against the Pittsburgh Steelers, he caught 6 passes for 153 yards and a touchdown.

The 2022 Steelers are injury-ravaged on defense and are allowing 286 passing yards a game. If Jalen Hurts gets anywhere near that number, it can’t be without a big contribution from Brown. This number came down from 70.5 Friday – so take advantage!

Miami WR Tyreek Hill OVER 90.5 receiving yards (-125)

– At Lions, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (CBS)

The Detroit Lions’ defense is brutal. Every team they have faced have scored at least 24 points because the Lions can’t stop anyone consistently. Hill has been posting huge numbers every other week, including 190 in Week 2, 160 in Week 4 and 177 in Week 6.

Last time I checked this is Week 8, and the Lions are the perfect defense to keep this even-numbered streak alive. This number has ballooned up from 87.5 Friday, so go easy as we’re getting the worst of the total.

San Francisco 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey OVER 35.5 receiving yards (-115)

– At Rams, Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX)

The 49ers upped the ante on the NFC West by acquiring McCaffrey after the Los Angeles Rams got outbid for him. McCaffrey played the Rams 2 weeks ago and had 89 receiving yards.

With Deebo Samuel out, expect McCaffrey’s role to increase sharply this week – both as a runner and receiver – as the 49ers look to continue their regular-season dominance of the Rams.

More NFL Week 8 picks and predictions

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Best picks: Staff picks | Survivor | Underdogs

Want action on any of these NFL props or other matchups? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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NFL player props: 4 best bets for Week 7

NFL expert John Holler looks at the NFL Week 7 slate and tabs the 4 best NFL player props to cash in on.

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Coming off a week when 7 of 14 underdogs won outright and teams with reputations for being playoff regulars took a punch to the face, bettors are little more leery heading into Week 7.

This week we take players from 5 teams that are in the mix to make a Super Bowl run, but most of them are struggling out of the gate, making this week one when where big-timers either step up or step off.

Below, we break down Tipico Sportsbook’s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 7 player prop bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

We avoid quarterbacks this week, but the specter of the quarterbacks involved with have their fingerprints all over their performances.

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NFL week 7 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at Friday at 4:30 p.m. ET.

Cleveland Browns RB Nick Chubb UNDER 74.5 rushing yards (-115)

– At Ravens, Sunday 1 p.m. ET.

Chubb is a dominant back, but the Ravens make a point of packing the box to limit his production.

He has topped this number only once in the last 5 meetings with the Ravens and has 60 or fewer rushing yards in the other 4. He is capable of carrying the offense, but the Ravens play a style that force a suspect QB to prove he can beat them. Suspect QBs have been Cleveland’s DNA for 20 years.

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Cincinnati Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase OVER 79.5 receiving yards (-115)

– Host Falcons, Sunday 1 p.m. ET.

I’m convinced the Bengals are going to beat up the Falcons and it won’t be a close game. QB Joe Burrow’s Over/Under for passing yards is 283.5, which means the expectation is that there will be a lot of passing going on.

If Burrow is to come close to that number, it will likely require at least a couple downfield bombs to Chase. I can easily see a 40-yard play in there somewhere, which doesn’t leave a lot more to accomplish the rest of the way.

Also see: All Week 7 odds and lines

Dallas Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott UNDER 64.5 rushing yards (-115)

– Host Lions, Sunday 1 p.m. ET.

I’m not completely done with Elliott, but it’s clear RB Tony Pollard is the more explosive, more productive option. At the end of the season, the Cowboys may well be done with Zeke.

With QB Dak Prescott expected to start Sunday, the impression is the Cowboys will pass more. That would be nice to see, but he’s shaking off rust after more than a month on the shelf with a throwing hand injury.

Elliott may see more playing time than Pollard, but that is because he’s better in pass protection, which means he isn’t running on that play. He might surpass this number, but it will likely take 15 carries and I don’t seem him getting that many in a time share.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR Chris Godwin OVER 62.5 receiving yards (-115)

– At Panthers, Sunday 1 p.m. ET.

With the Panthers in full tank mode, I could see the Bucs taking their foot off the gas in the second half, but in the first half it should be an assault on a weakened opponent.

All Godwin needs is a couple of chunk plays to hit this number and I’m expecting something closer to 80 than 63. He may not have as many receptions as WR Mike Evans, but I see Godwin making the downfield plays that break the Panthers’ back.

More NFL Week 7 picks and predictions

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Best picks: Experts | Survivor | Underdogs

Want action on any of these NFL props or other matchups? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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NFL player props: 5 best bets for Week 6

Highlighting 5 player prop bet picks and predictions for NFL Week 6

As we hit the 1st week of 8 weeks where some teams will be on their bye week, the landscape changes – especially when we have rested teams returning from byes. For now, everyone is still on the grind.

This week, we offer up 1 quarterback, 2 running backs and 2 wide receivers – 4 of which we think the number is too low and 1 that we need proof before taking the Over.

Below, we break down Tipico Sportsbook‘s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 6 player prop bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

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NFL week 6 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at Saturday at 8:30 a.m. ET.

Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers OVER 241.5 passing yards (-115)

The Packers are stinging from their loss in London and get a second New York team (the Jets) at home to exact a little revenge.

If the Packers get a lead early, considering what happened last week, they won’t take their foot off the gas. It should be noted that, in his last 2 games against the Jets, Rodgers has thrown for 788 yards.

While the entire Jets defense is different, history has a tendency to repeat itself in the NFL and Rodgers only needs 242 to hit this number.

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Dallas Cowboys RB Tony Pollard OVER 33.5 rushing yards (-115)

It’s becoming clearer all the time that Pollard is the more explosive back in the Cowboys backfield. It’s one thing to have loyalty to Ezekiel Elliott, but against the Philadelphia Eagles – the last unbeaten team in the NFL, loyalty goes out the window.

The Cowboys have had a running back go off for 80 or more yards twice this season and both have been Pollard – and they’ve come in the last 3 games.

Also see: All Week 6 odds and lines

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Seattle Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker UNDER 62.5 rushing yards (-115)

Walker is getting his first start and is getting a solid number to work with if he gets the number of carries needed to surpass it.

However, the Arizona Cardinals have kept 5 of 6 featured backs under this number – Clyde Edwards-Helaire (42 yards), Cam Akers (61), Christian McCaffrey (27) and Miles Sanders (58).

The only one who went Over was Josh Jacobs, and he needed 19 carries to gain 69 yards. Walker hasn’t had more than 8 carries in a game. Is he ready for prime time? We’ll see, but the Cardinals are thinking not yet.

Minnesota Vikings WR Justin Jefferson OVER 86.5 receiving yards (-115)

The Vikings are a smoke-and-mirrors 4-1, but one constant has been head coach Kevin O’Connell making Jefferson his version of Cooper Kupp. He puts him in motion and targets him 12 or more times a game after learning from the Eagles game.

The Miami Dolphins have allowed 4 100-yard receivers this season, and none of them are as accomplished as Jefferson, especially with Minnesota targeting Jefferson short to set up the long pass. Let’s make that 5 100-yard receivers in 6 weeks when all is said and done.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR Mike Evans OVER 68.5 receiving yards (-115)

The hideous nature of the Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense isn’t getting the attention it deserves. It ranks 30th in the league and has allowed 7 receivers to pile up 89 more receiving yards – more than 20 above the number Evans needs to surpass. S Minkah Fitzpatrick (knee) is also out.

In his last 2 games since returning from his 1-game suspension, he has 184 receiving yards, and the Buccaneers have made the decision that it’s in their best interests offensively to throw their way to success. That plan starts with Evans.

Want action on any of these NFL props or other matchups? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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NFL player props: 5 best bets for Week 5

Highlighting 5 player prop bet picks and predictions for NFL Week 5.

We have 16 games to choose players from for the last time before bye weeks begin taking anywhere from 2 to 6 teams out of play.

Below, we break down Tipico Sportsbook‘s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 5 player prop bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

We selected 1 quarterback, 2 running backs, 1 wide receiver and 1 tight end to give you lots of options to choose from, with 2 expected to go Over their projections and 3 to go Under.

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NFL week 5 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:30 a.m. ET.

Los Angeles Rams QB Matthew Stafford UNDER 256.5 passing yards (-115)

The Dallas Cowboys haven’t allowed a quarterback to throw for more than 212 yards and that list includes the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ Tom Brady (212) and Cincinnati Bengals’ Joe Burrow (199).

While a lot of the talk around the NFL has been about the offense surviving with QB Cooper Rush, he has been a game manager. It has been the Dallas defense that has stood tall.

Stafford has only topped this number once this season (272 yards in Week 2 vs. the Atlanta Falcons) and the 5th-ranked pass defense in the league won’t make things easy on him.

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Minnesota Vikings RB Dalvin Cook OVER 78.5 rushing yards (-115)

The Chicago Bears have the worst-ranked run defense in the league (183.3 yards a game) and opponents are averaging 5.1 yards a carry.

Cook has 20 or more carries and has blown past this yardage in 3 of his last 4 meetings against the Bears, rushing for 96, 132 and 89 yards.

Cook has a strong history against the Bears when Chicago had a good rushing defense, not dead last in the league. Minnesota has figured out that the best way to beat the Bears is to give Cook the ball 20 times and the same should be expected this week.

Also see: All Week 5 odds and lines

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Pittsburgh Steelers RB Najee Harris UNDER 51.5 rushing yards (-115)

The Steelers are starting a rookie quarterback, so they will be emphasizing trying to establish the run.

However, the Bills and their 3rd ranked run defense will overload the box to prevent that and force QB Kenny Pickett to move the ball. Stopping Harris will be No. 1 defensive objective to get the Steelers in down-and-distance situations that will force their hand.

The expectation is that this is going to be a blowout — the Bills are a 14-point favorite — and, if Buffalo gets out to a big lead, the Steelers may have to abandon the run to try to keep pace.

Miami Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill OVER 67.5 receiving yards (-115)

Hill’s number is likely down because QB Tua Tagovailoa is out, but QB Teddy Bridgewater is no slouch as the backup and his receivers posted big numbers when he was with the Minnesota Vikings and Carolina Panthers.

The New York Jets have already allowed 3 100-yard receivers this season and the best part about taking the Over with Hill is that he can tack on 40 or more yards on a single play.

The Dolphins’a offense has made a concerted effort to scheme to get Hill singled up and, when he gets his hands on the ball, chunks of yards tend to follow.

Baltimore Ravens TE Mark Andrews UNDER 71.5 receiving yards (-115)

This is a big number for a tight end and Andrews has topped it twice already this season. However, the Cincinnati Bengals have historically limited his production.

In his last 5 meetings with the Bengals, he has topped 72 yards just once. Ideally, the Ravens are going to look to run the ball and the Bengals will be pinching bracket coverage around Andrews because he is the most targeted receiver the Ravens have.

To hit the Over, he will likely have to catch 6 or 7 passes and that’s a lot to ask of any tight end not named Travis Kelce.

Want action on any of these NFL props or other matchups? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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NFL player props: 5 best bets for Week 4

Highlighting 5 player prop bet picks and predictions for NFL Week 4

Coming off a week when just about everyone hit the Under – in scores and individual performances – we’re looking for the Over to bounce back in some key games.

Below, we break down Tipico Sportsbook‘s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 4 player prop bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

This week’s picks include a couple of quarterbacks, a running back in a contract year and two of the game’s elite wide receivers.

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NFL week 4 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at Friday at 6:26 p.m. ET.

Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen OVER 286.5 passing yards (-115)

Allen faces the Baltimore Ravens, who historically have had strong defenses. However, their secondary is incredibly banged up and it has showed.

Every quarterback the Ravens have faced has topped 300 passing yards – Joe Flacco (307-1 TD), Tua Tagovailoa (469-6) and Mac Jones (321-0).

None of those guys can hold a candle to Allen and what he is capable of through the air, so this one seems easy to take despite a dauntingly big number.

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Seattle Seahawks QB Geno Smith UNDER 251.5 passing yards (-115)

This game has the potential to be an ugly field position game with the favored Detroit Lions without their 2 most impressive offensive weapons – RB D’Andre Swift and WR Amon-Ra St. Brown.

I think this game is going to feature a lot more of RBs Rashaad Penny and Jamaal Williams than it will the QBs and that is simply too big a number to hand to Smith, despite talented wide receivers.

Also see: All Week 4 odds and lines

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New York Giants RB Saquon Barkley OVER 81.5 rushing yards (-115)

The Giants host the Chicago Bears, who have one of the worst run defenses in the league.

The 49ers ran up 176 yards on 37 carries, Green Bay’s combination of Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon went off for 193 yards on 33 carries and Houston’s Dameon Pierce ran 20 times for 80 yards last week.

The NFL is a replication league – if something works for everybody else, you attack that same weakness. If Barkley approaches 20 carries, he should blow past this number.

Cleveland Browns WR Amari Cooper OVER 60.5 receiving yards (-115)

The Atlanta Falcons have allowed 5 receivers to surpass this number in 3 games – Jarvis Landry (7-114), Cooper Kupp (11-108-2), Tyler Lockett (9-76) and DK Metcalf (5-64-1).

Cooper is coming off back-to-back 100-yard receiving games and there is little reason to think the Falcons will be able to limit him to less than 60 receiving yards given how their secondary has been riddled by the guys you would expect would be the primary targets in the pass game.

Minnesota Vikings WR Justin Jefferson OVER 86.5 receiving yards (-115)

Jefferson has been held down the last couple of weeks because their opponents played bracket coverage on him almost every snap to make someone else beat them.

The New Orleans Saints play a lot of press man coverage and will give Jefferson more opportunities in 1-on-1 situations. Jefferson is overdue for another big game and the banged up Saints look like a viable option to accomplish that in London.

Want action on any of these NFL props or other matchups? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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NFL player props: 5 best bets for Week 3

Highlighting 5 player prop bet picks and predictions for NFL Week 3

Week 3 is typically the week for teams to make statements that result in gross overreactions because the tend is for there to be a lot of divisional games that set a tone with games that count double in the standings.

Below, we break down Tipico Sportsbook‘s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 3 player prop bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

This week’s picks involve 3 division matchups and players from 2 teams that remain winless despite starting the year with playoff expectations. This allows for some desperation to set in and the need for their stars to shine.

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NFL week 3 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:27 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow OVER 265.5 passing yards (-115)

The Bengals have left their fans heartbroken by blowing their Week 1 game against the Pittsburgh Steelers and following that up with a prime-time loss to the Dallas Cowboys without QB Dak Prescott.

The Bengals are just too good to not get things right and they’re facing a New York Jets team that upset them last year (34-31). On the revenge scale, that checks 2 boxes.

The only concern you should have is if the Bengals get up big early and start running the ball more and killing off the clock. That said, the Bengals haven’t had anything near a complete offensive game yet this year and Burrow will blow past 300 yards when they do.

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Indianapolis Colts RB Jonathan Taylor OVER 85.5 rushing yards (-115)

The automatic inclination is that the Kansas City Chiefs will roll past the Colts, who are coming off a shutout loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars last week. However, the only way the Colts can compete with the Chiefs is to keep QB Patrick Mahomes and the potent Kansas City offense on the sidelines. That will require a heavy dose of Taylor.

The Chiefs haven’t played the Colts since 2019 and have yet to play against Taylor. The Chiefs haven’t had a strong run offense and the Colts have enjoyed their best success when Taylor gets heated up and carries the ball at least 20 times.

Barring the Colts getting blown out early, they’re not going to give up on the run. If Taylor gets to 20 carries, he goes Over on this number.

Also see: All Week 3 odds and lines

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New York Giants RB Saquon Barkley UNDER 76.5 rushing yards (-115)

The Giants are at 2-0 and will be at home Monday night against the Dallas Cowboys looking to make it 3 straight wins to start the year. If that is going to happen — I don’t think it will — there will have to be a whole lotta Saquon goin’ on.

In a battle of two of the worst quarterbacks in the league — Cooper Rush and Daniel Jones — both teams are likely to lean heavily on their running backs. I like the odds of Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard getting the job done a lot more than Barkley.

Dallas has a very good defense and Barkley will be their focus of attention to force Jones to beat them. If Barkley is to hit 77 yards, it may take 20 or more carries and I just don’t see the Giants sticking to the run if he is bottled up with 8 in the box on running situations.

Philadelphia Eagles WR A.J. Brown OVER 73.5 receiving yards (-115)

There has been a lot of chatter this week about Washington Commanders QB Carson Wentz playing his first game against his former team. However, I think the bigger focus here is going to be QB Jalen Hurts as he’s the reason why the Eagles moved on from Wentz in the first place.

The Eagles can be a dominant run offense, but the investment made in Brown has almost forced Philadelphia to change the way it operates. The Commanders’ cornerbacks have never played against Brown, so they’ve just seen film of what he is capable of doing. When they meet for the second time this year, their approach will likely be different.

I can envision Brown catching 6 of 7 passes in this game with physical matchups he wins every time. All it takes is one downfield play to hit the Over on this number.

Miami Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill OVER 73.5 receiving yards (-115)

Miami is looking to signal that the AFC East runs through them with a must-see matchup against the Buffalo Bills. The Over/Under on this game in terms of points is very high (52.5) and the expectation is that both teams will need to do their part to surpass that number. A 34-31 game isn’t out of the realm of possibility and, if that happens, Hill will definitely be a part of it.

The Bills are no stranger to Hill. In their last two meetings, he has caught 18 passes for 213 yards. Even when Buffalo has attempted to limit his production, he still gets the ball in his hands.

What seals the deal for me is that neither team operates an offense that takes its time. Both squads tend to snap the ball with more than 10 seconds left on the play clock and like to force the issue. That results in more snaps in the 60 minutes of game time. The Bills aren’t going to play field position and given the Dolphins’ comeback against the Baltimore Ravens in Week 2, even if Buffalo gets up by 20 they will keep their foot on the gas.

With 10-15 more snaps than Miami would face against somebody like the New England Patriots, I like Hill’s chances of getting 75 or more receiving yards.

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NFL player props: 5 best bets for Week 2

Highlighting 5 player prop bet picks and predictions for NFL Week 2.

A week into the 2022 season, we know a lot more about the strengths and weaknesses of teams. The prop bets will have more data dictating where players stand – which is why guys like Indianapolis Colts RB Jonathan Taylor already has an Over/Under of more than 100 rushing yards.

This week, we pick 5 players with numbers that seem a little off from what should be expected.

Below, we break down Tipico Sportsbook‘s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 2 player prop bets to cash in on SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

For our purposes, we spread the wealth with 1 quarterback, 2 running backs and 2 wide receivers we believe will take you to the pay window.

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NFL week 2 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9 a.m. ET.

Detroit Lions RB D’Andre Swift OVER 61.5 rushing yards (-116)

In Week 1, Swift had 15 carries for 144 yards, and his line has been steamed up from 55.5 to 61.5.

Washington got carved up by big plays on the ground against the Jacksonville Jaguars (18 carries for 153 yards), which makes this number even more salivating.

Swift rolled his ankle in Week 1, though, and they have been cautious with him in practice this week. He said he’s playing, and there’s no reason he can’t get 62 yards in swift fashion.

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Miami Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa UNDER 254.5 passing yards (-115)

The arrival of Tyreek Hill has resulted in something of an over-correction. Tagovailoa, who was routinely in the 220-230-passing yard range. Coming off 270 yards against the New England Patriots in Week 1, it makes sense that his number is this high.

However, the Ravens are going to try to slow the game down with their run game and pull of 2 or 3 double-digit-play drives that take off 7 minutes from the game clock.

I’m still not sold on Tagovailoa as being ready to be among the elite quarterbacks in the league, and while it will likely get close, I just don’t see it yet to jump on the Tua bandwagon.

Also see: All Week 2 odds and lines

[the_huddle]

Arizona Cardinals RB James Conner UNDER 51.5 rushing yards (-114)

I’m just not a fan of Conner, despite his ability to score touchdowns. The Arizona offense is based on spreading people out and throwing the ball. They try to get a steady dose of the run, but more often it’s Kyler Murray doing the running and not Conner – or least the effective running.

Against the Chiefs in Week 1, Conner ran 10 times for 26 yards and a touchdown. The fact that backup Eno Benjamin was more effective, I could see a closer time share.

Combine that with the fact they’re facing the Las Vegas Raiders, who will likely try to match their passing tempo, the run games will likely take a backseat. Conner will need 15 or more carries to hit this number – and I just don’t see it.

Indianapolis Colts WR Michael Pittman Jr. OVER 63.5 receiving yards (-115)

I was on the Pittman bandwagon before most because I knew when he got paired with Philip Rivers, he would get fed the ball much more than anyone else on the team. Nothing changed when Carson Wentz came and went.

The first I heard Matt Ryan was coming to Indy, my affection for Pittman only increased. In Week 1 against Houston, Pittman was targeted 13 times – more than next 2 Colts combined. He finished with 9 catches for 121 yards and a touchdown, which make this number borderline absurd.

Here’s the problem. He had a quadriceps injury pop up in Wednesday’s practice, and he’s questionable for Week 2. The team only did a walkthrough Friday, and he missed Thursday’s practice. So he could be a game-time decision to place this wager.

The Jacksonville Jaguars got ripped by Wentz for 313 yards and 4 touchdowns in Week 1. The only difference is that Wentz spread the ball around. Ryan locks in on Pittman. Play action is a quarterback’s best friend, and Pittman may only need 3 or 4 receptions to hit this point.

Los Angeles Rams WR Cooper Kupp OVER 93.5 receiving yards (-116)

I made a lot of money by continuing to take the Over when it pertained to prop bets involving Kupp last year. Receptions and/or yards. It didn’t matter. His yardage numbers started in the high 70s early, blew past the 80s and settled into the 90s until after midseason when people with my way of thinking kept cashing in, and you had to be willing for 105 yards to be a lost bet.

The Rams got crushed in Week 1 by the Buffalo Bills, and Kupp posted huge individual numbers. There is the distinct possibility that Kupp will hit 2,000 yards if he stays healthy because – win or lose – he’s getting the ball. I will take this bet against the Atlanta Falcons every day – and double down Sunday.

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NFL player props: 5 best bets for Week 1

Highlighting 5 player prop bet picks and predictions for NFL Week 1

It’s Week 1 in the NFL and everything is positive. Every team is convinced it has what it takes to take a step forward regardless of where they finished last season. Optimism abounds.

In that spirit, of our 5 prop bets to select, none of them are taking “no” for an answer. We have 4 players projected to hit the Over on their Over/Under bets and another to score a touchdown against a hated rival.

Below, we break down Tipico Sportsbook‘s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 1 player prop bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

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NFL week 1 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:05 p.m. ET.

Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson OVER 1.5 touchdown passes (-109)

Jackson’s new contract deadline came and went without resolution, so he decides to take matters into his own hands against the New York Jets and former Ravens starter Joe Flacco.

Jackson is more likely to start making business decisions in the red zone and while he is known for using his legs to score touchdowns, against a Jets team that is going to struggle to put up points, 2 passing TDs doesn’t seem unreasonable — especially if you think the potential for 4 or 5 Ravens touchdowns in a distinct possibility.

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Detroit Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown OVER 5.5 receptions (+102)

The Lions open the season at home against a Philadelphia Eagles team that is the trendy pick to win the NFC East. To accomplish that, winning against teams like the Lions are games they have to lock down.

This has all the makings of the Lions being behind and Jared Goff having to throw 40 times. If that’s the case, St. Brown will be heavily involved in that production.

St. Brown caught 8 or more passes in each of his last 6 games in 2021 and there’s no reason to think that Goff won’t target him a dozen times. If that happens, 6 receptions is minimum that can be expected.

[the_huddle]

Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce OVER 6.5 receptions (-109)

The post-Tyreek Hill era has entered the Chiefs locker room and Patrick Mahomes has a bunch of new players brought together to fill that massive void. But the 1 player he has as a security blanket over the years is Kelce.

As the new-look Chiefs start 2022, they go on the road to play the Arizona Cardinals — a team that has done its best to replicate what the Chiefs do best in their explosive passing attack.

Kelce has an exceptional skill of finding soft spots in zone defenses and settling in to give Mahomes a safety net for gains that move the chains. He is going to draw added defensive attention, but JuJu Smith-Schuster, Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Mecole Hardman can prevent defenses from constantly doubling Kelce.

What makes this bet one to consider is that there is a likelihood that Kelce catches 3 passes in the first drive or 2 of the game. That makes getting to 7 over the final 3 quarters a lot easier.

Minnesota Vikings WR Adam Thielen scores a touchdown (+180)

Justin Jefferson is the star in Minnesota, but Kirk Cousins has a thing for Thielen, especially in the red zone.

Over the last 2 seasons (28 games), Thielen has caught 24 TDs, including 3 in the 3 games he has played against Green Bay in that span. Jefferson is one of the games top downfield threats, but when it comes to the field being compressed in close, Cousins looks to Thielen first.

Thielen and Cousins have a rapport off the snap that has been perfected over the years and if the Vikings have a 1st-and-goal situation, expect to see the 2 connect for a score … at least once.

Denver Broncos RB Javonte Williams OVER 56.5 rushing yards (-125)

The NFL-sanctioned storyline heading into the Broncos game with the Seattle Seahawks is Russell Wilson playing his 1st game since his trade in a stadium where he was loved and beloved for the last decade.

If you were to script this from the Wilson revenge perspective, he throws for 350 yards and 4 touchdowns in a shredding of his former team. But that isn’t how Russ cooks. When he was going to Super Bowls, he was a game manager on offense who fed a steady diet of run plays and mixed in downfield passes to keep defenses honest.

In Denver, he has the chance to do the same. Williams and Melvin Gordon are a dangerous combination that wear down defenses. Given the uncertainty of Seattle’s QB situation — Geno Smith isn’t the answer — the ideal Wilson scenario is to run 40 times and throw 25. If that comes anywhere close to happening, it will be almost impossible for Williams not to hit that number.

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More NFL Week 1 coverage

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NFL Player Prop Bets Picks: 3 best value bets of Week 18

Analyzing the Week 18 matchups and offering up expert picks and predictions on the top player prop bets.

With several playoff-implicating matchups in Week 18, NFL fans should be glued to their seats for nine hours of football Sunday. Below, we look at the NFL Week 18 player prop bets odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Instead of having Thursday Night Football, fans were gifted with a 4-point Chiefs win over the Broncos and a Cowboys blowout victory over the Eagles Saturday.

A full slate is primed for Sunday with the Chargers and Raiders in a win-or-go-home game to top it all off. Many other games will dictate seeding as well. Only a handful of games will have little to no impact on the playoffs.

With that in mind, let’s dive into the best 3 prop bets to consider.

Week 18 prop bets picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

Raiders RB Josh Jacobs OVER 59.5 rushing yards (-122)

The Las Vegas Raiders are in a win-or-go-home situation against one of the worst rush defenses in the NFL.

The Chargers rank 30th in opponents’ rushing yards per game at 136.7. While Jacobs may not have lived up to the hype of being a first-round pick, he has been given the ball far more frequently as of late.

He has notched or topped 15 carries in 3 straight games. If he hits that again, Jacobs should manage at least 60 yards.

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Colts RB Jonathan Taylor OVER 117.5 rushing yards (-137)

The Colts are also in a must-win situation. With their backs against the wall, Jonathan Taylor will likely be handed the ball often and should have a field day with a weak Jacksonville defense.

They rank 25th in opponents’ rushing yards per game at 127.1. Taylor has topped 118 yards in 4 of his last 8 games. He’s averaging over 25 carries per game over his last 7.

Taylor should get the workload as long as the game is within three scorers.

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Titans QB Ryan Tannehill UNDER 218.5 passing yards (-114)

The theme of Week 18 should be the stars that need to show up will. Taylor and Jacobs both have to show up for their team’s season to continue. While the same cannot be said of Tannehill, in some aspects, it can.

If the Titans lose in Houston, they won’t have the No. 1 seed and could have to take on a playoff team in the Wild Card round without Derrick Henry. Tannehill will need to have a good day to get past a gritty Texans bunch, putting the game away early.

The Texans have the 21st-best pass defense and the worst rush defense. As we saw last week, the Titans should abuse Houston and then run the clock down with D’Onta Foreman.

Tannehill has hit this mark just once in the past 8 games and hasn’t hit it in the past five. Fade Tannehill as this game should not be a close contest quickly.

Also see: All Week 18 odds and lines

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