NFL player props: 5 best bets for Week 2

A week into the 2022 season, we know a lot more about the strengths and weaknesses of teams. The prop bets will have more data dictating where players stand – which is why guys like Indianapolis Colts RB Jonathan Taylor already has an Over/Under of more than 100 rushing yards.

This week, we pick 5 players with numbers that seem a little off from what should be expected.

Below, we break down Tipico Sportsbook‘s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 2 player prop bets to cash in on SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

For our purposes, we spread the wealth with 1 quarterback, 2 running backs and 2 wide receivers we believe will take you to the pay window.

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NFL week 2 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9 a.m. ET.

Detroit Lions RB D’Andre Swift OVER 61.5 rushing yards (-116)

In Week 1, Swift had 15 carries for 144 yards, and his line has been steamed up from 55.5 to 61.5.

Washington got carved up by big plays on the ground against the Jacksonville Jaguars (18 carries for 153 yards), which makes this number even more salivating.

Swift rolled his ankle in Week 1, though, and they have been cautious with him in practice this week. He said he’s playing, and there’s no reason he can’t get 62 yards in swift fashion.

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Miami Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa UNDER 254.5 passing yards (-115)

The arrival of Tyreek Hill has resulted in something of an over-correction. Tagovailoa, who was routinely in the 220-230-passing yard range. Coming off 270 yards against the New England Patriots in Week 1, it makes sense that his number is this high.

However, the Ravens are going to try to slow the game down with their run game and pull of 2 or 3 double-digit-play drives that take off 7 minutes from the game clock.

I’m still not sold on Tagovailoa as being ready to be among the elite quarterbacks in the league, and while it will likely get close, I just don’t see it yet to jump on the Tua bandwagon.

Also see: All Week 2 odds and lines

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Arizona Cardinals RB James Conner UNDER 51.5 rushing yards (-114)

I’m just not a fan of Conner, despite his ability to score touchdowns. The Arizona offense is based on spreading people out and throwing the ball. They try to get a steady dose of the run, but more often it’s Kyler Murray doing the running and not Conner – or least the effective running.

Against the Chiefs in Week 1, Conner ran 10 times for 26 yards and a touchdown. The fact that backup Eno Benjamin was more effective, I could see a closer time share.

Combine that with the fact they’re facing the Las Vegas Raiders, who will likely try to match their passing tempo, the run games will likely take a backseat. Conner will need 15 or more carries to hit this number – and I just don’t see it.

Indianapolis Colts WR Michael Pittman Jr. OVER 63.5 receiving yards (-115)

I was on the Pittman bandwagon before most because I knew when he got paired with Philip Rivers, he would get fed the ball much more than anyone else on the team. Nothing changed when Carson Wentz came and went.

The first I heard Matt Ryan was coming to Indy, my affection for Pittman only increased. In Week 1 against Houston, Pittman was targeted 13 times – more than next 2 Colts combined. He finished with 9 catches for 121 yards and a touchdown, which make this number borderline absurd.

Here’s the problem. He had a quadriceps injury pop up in Wednesday’s practice, and he’s questionable for Week 2. The team only did a walkthrough Friday, and he missed Thursday’s practice. So he could be a game-time decision to place this wager.

The Jacksonville Jaguars got ripped by Wentz for 313 yards and 4 touchdowns in Week 1. The only difference is that Wentz spread the ball around. Ryan locks in on Pittman. Play action is a quarterback’s best friend, and Pittman may only need 3 or 4 receptions to hit this point.

Los Angeles Rams WR Cooper Kupp OVER 93.5 receiving yards (-116)

I made a lot of money by continuing to take the Over when it pertained to prop bets involving Kupp last year. Receptions and/or yards. It didn’t matter. His yardage numbers started in the high 70s early, blew past the 80s and settled into the 90s until after midseason when people with my way of thinking kept cashing in, and you had to be willing for 105 yards to be a lost bet.

The Rams got crushed in Week 1 by the Buffalo Bills, and Kupp posted huge individual numbers. There is the distinct possibility that Kupp will hit 2,000 yards if he stays healthy because – win or lose – he’s getting the ball. I will take this bet against the Atlanta Falcons every day – and double down Sunday.

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