As we hit the 1st week of 8 weeks where some teams will be on their bye week, the landscape changes – especially when we have rested teams returning from byes. For now, everyone is still on the grind.
This week, we offer up 1 quarterback, 2 running backs and 2 wide receivers – 4 of which we think the number is too low and 1 that we need proof before taking the Over.
Below, we break down Tipico Sportsbook‘s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 6 player prop bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.
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NFL week 6 prop bet picks and predictions
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at Saturday at 8:30 a.m. ET.
Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers OVER 241.5 passing yards (-115)
The Packers are stinging from their loss in London and get a second New York team (the Jets) at home to exact a little revenge.
If the Packers get a lead early, considering what happened last week, they won’t take their foot off the gas. It should be noted that, in his last 2 games against the Jets, Rodgers has thrown for 788 yards.
While the entire Jets defense is different, history has a tendency to repeat itself in the NFL and Rodgers only needs 242 to hit this number.
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Dallas Cowboys RB Tony Pollard OVER 33.5 rushing yards (-115)
It’s becoming clearer all the time that Pollard is the more explosive back in the Cowboys backfield. It’s one thing to have loyalty to Ezekiel Elliott, but against the Philadelphia Eagles – the last unbeaten team in the NFL, loyalty goes out the window.
The Cowboys have had a running back go off for 80 or more yards twice this season and both have been Pollard – and they’ve come in the last 3 games.
Also see: All Week 6 odds and lines
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Seattle Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker UNDER 62.5 rushing yards (-115)
Walker is getting his first start and is getting a solid number to work with if he gets the number of carries needed to surpass it.
However, the Arizona Cardinals have kept 5 of 6 featured backs under this number – Clyde Edwards-Helaire (42 yards), Cam Akers (61), Christian McCaffrey (27) and Miles Sanders (58).
The only one who went Over was Josh Jacobs, and he needed 19 carries to gain 69 yards. Walker hasn’t had more than 8 carries in a game. Is he ready for prime time? We’ll see, but the Cardinals are thinking not yet.
Minnesota Vikings WR Justin Jefferson OVER 86.5 receiving yards (-115)
The Vikings are a smoke-and-mirrors 4-1, but one constant has been head coach Kevin O’Connell making Jefferson his version of Cooper Kupp. He puts him in motion and targets him 12 or more times a game after learning from the Eagles game.
The Miami Dolphins have allowed 4 100-yard receivers this season, and none of them are as accomplished as Jefferson, especially with Minnesota targeting Jefferson short to set up the long pass. Let’s make that 5 100-yard receivers in 6 weeks when all is said and done.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR Mike Evans OVER 68.5 receiving yards (-115)
The hideous nature of the Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense isn’t getting the attention it deserves. It ranks 30th in the league and has allowed 7 receivers to pile up 89 more receiving yards – more than 20 above the number Evans needs to surpass. S Minkah Fitzpatrick (knee) is also out.
In his last 2 games since returning from his 1-game suspension, he has 184 receiving yards, and the Buccaneers have made the decision that it’s in their best interests offensively to throw their way to success. That plan starts with Evans.
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