Tag: trevor lawrence

Touchdown Wire’s early 2021 NFL Draft watch list: Offense

Sure the 2020 NFL Draft just ended, but it is never too early to think about the next one. Here are the players to watch on offense.

Over the past three days 32 NFL teams did everything they could to improve their odds for a Super Bowl title. Surprise selections were made, some teams filled big needs while others looked to the future, and a good time was had by all. In fact, it was so enjoyable that maybe we should think about doing it again.

And we will, in about a year for now.

We do not know yet what form the next college football season will take. Are we going to see games in the fall, or will there be a winter/spring college football season? Are we going to see crowded stadiums, or empty venues. Regardless of how that plays out, there is always a new crop of new prospects to get to know over the summer. In that spirit, here is a way-too-early 2021 NFL Draft watchlist, starting on the offensive side of the football.

Quarterbacks

Trevor Lawrence Clemson Tigers
(Joshua S. Kelly-USA TODAY Sports)

1. Trevor Lawrence, Clemson

2. Justin Fields, Ohio State

3. Jamie Newman, Georgia

4. Trey Lance, North Dakota State

5. K. J. Costello, Mississippi State

6. Sam Ehlinger, Texas

7. Kellen Mond, Texas A&M

8. Kyle Trask, Florida

9. Sean Clifford, Penn State

10. Tanner Morgan, Minnesota

Trevor Lawrence and Justin Fields are obviously the headliners, but do not overlook the other names on this list. Lawrence has looked every bit the part of a future first-overall selection since his time on campus, leading the Clemson Tigers to a national championship as a true freshman, and then back to the title game as a sophomore. He has the arm, processing speed and athleticism that NFL teams covet. Fields stepped into the Ohio State lineup and was impressive last season, throwing 41 touchdown and just three interceptions. K.J. Costello might be in a position to put up huge numbers, after transferring to Mississippi State to play for Mike Leach in his Air Raid system. But keep an eye on NDSU passer Trey Lance. The rising redshirt sophomore threw 28 touchdowns last year for the Bison, without an interception, and he also ran for 1,100 yards and 14 touchdowns. He became the first freshman to win the Walter Payton Award, given to the top offensive player in FCS. He might not enter the draft, but another year like last season could find him making the leap.

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Who will be picked No. 1 overall in the 2021 NFL Draft?

Looking ahead to the 2021 NFL Draft and the betting odds for who will be the first overall pick.

We’re just finishing up the 2020 NFL Draft, but we’ll take a look ahead to the 2021 NFL Draft and a few potential candidates for the first overall pick next April.

2021 NFL Draft: Who will go first overall?

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday, April 25 at 10:30 a.m. ET.

The Cincinnati Bengals nabbed LSU QB Joe Burrow with the No. 1 pick in the 2020 NFL Draft. He is the third straight Heisman Trophy winner and third consecutive quarterback taken with the top overall selection. A signal-caller has been taken first overall in 15 of the past 20 drafts, too. Each of the past three No. 1 overall picks have also been transfer quarterbacks.

While that last tidbit is a bit interesting, that streak is likely to come to an end in 2021. It’s widely believed Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence (-250) will be the first player to hear his name called next April.

2021 NFL Draft bets: Trevor Lawrence (-250)

Lawrence, who already has a national championship under his belt from 2018, is also considered to be the favorite for the 2020 Heisman Trophy in college football. In just two seasons in the upstate, he has thrown for 6,945 yards with 66 touchdowns and just 12 interceptions while also running for 740 yards and 10 scores.

Lawrence will no longer have WR Tee Higgins to target downfield, as he will be playing on Sundays with Burrow and the Bengals. WR Justyn Ross (+10000) is expected to be the new No. 1 wideout for Lawrence and the Tigers, and he might also be a Top 5 pick in the 2021 NFL Draft.

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2021 NFL Draft bets: Justin Fields (+350)

While Lawrence might be the favorite at this juncture, Ohio State QB Justin Fields (+350) is also a candidate for the top spot in the 2021 NFL Draft. And hey, he was a transfer from Georgia to Ohio State before last season, so he fits the trend we discussed above. Fields had a season to remember in 2019, throwing for 3,273 yards while completing 67.2% of his passes. He also tossed 41 touchdowns while being picked off just three times and he ran for 484 yards and 10 more scores.

Fields will be the trigger man in Ryan Day’s wide-open offense, and he has outstanding WR Chris Olave to reel in those big downfield passes.

2021 NFL Draft bets: Penei Sewell (+500)

If you want to think outside of the box, and believe the quarterback run at No. 1 overall will come to an end, Oregon OT Penei Sewell (+500) might be a potential candidate. Sewell protected QB Justin Herbert, now of the Los Angeles Chargers, and he even received one second-place vote for the Heisman in 2019.

2021 NFL Draft bets: Best of the rest

The Bengals, Chargers and Dolphins all picked quarterbacks early in 2020. If they end up back with the No. 1 pick in 2021, they will certainly not be taking a signal-caller again. That’s why Sewell and Ross could be top picks, and at great value.

In addition, watch LSU WR Ja’Marr Chase (+5000), Clemson RB Travis Etienne (+4000), Alabama OT Alex Leatherwood (+4000), Wake Forest QB Jamie Newman (+4000), Penn State LB Micah Parsons (+2000), and Miami QB D’Eriq King (+1400) and DE Gregory Rousseau (+4000) as potential candidates for the top overall selection.

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BetMGM Lists Seven Notre Dame Spreads – Irish Surprise Underdog in One

BetMGM listed seven Notre Dame game lines for the 2020 season. They’re about what you’d expect except for one. Navy, Clemson, USC, Wisconsin

I’m debating writing everything from here forward as if the 2020 college football season is going to start on time.  It may not be the most realistic belief but with where we’re at right now, do I really have to type out something along the lines of “assuming these games are played” or “as long as the season starts on time” anymore?  We’re all on the same page and I don’t think anyone out there is unaware of the possibility that college football may be played differently in 2020…or 2021.

With that said BetMGM has posted point spreads for seven of Notre Dame’s 12 games this season.  Of the seven, four have the Irish listed as a significant favorite while another has them as a slight favorite.  They then list Notre Dame as an underdog in a pair of games as well, one understandably so and the other being a bit of a surprise.

2020 Notre Dame Game Lines via BetMGM:

August 29 vs. Navy (Aviva Stadium, Dublin, Ireland):  Notre Dame -16.5

September 26 vs. Wake Forest (Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC):  Notre Dame -23.5

October 3 vs. Wisconsin (Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI):  Notre Dame -2.5

October 10 vs. Stanford (Notre Dame Stadium):  Notre Dame -17.5

November 7 vs. Clemson (Notre Dame Stadium):  Clemson -7.5

November 21 vs. Louisville (Notre Dame Stadium):  Notre Dame -14.5

November 28 vs. USC (Los Angeles Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA): No spread listed but USC a -125 money-line favorite (Notre Dame +105).

Odds via BetMGM. Access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated _____ at _____ a.m. / p.m. ET. (You will need to write in the day and time you are looking at the latest betting lines)

The games where Notre Dame is a significant favorite are hardly a surprise.  If one stands out to me it’s that Louisville is a 14.5 point underdog.  I thought that program took a giant step last year and seem headed in the right direction.

I’ve seen other shops list Notre Dame as a slight underdog at Wisconsin so I was a bit surprised to see the Irish favored, even slightly against what should be another very good Badgers squad.

Clemson being favored by 7.5 is the biggest spread I’ve seen anywhere on that November 7.  If you’re looking to bet that “game of the year” then look no further than here if you’re backing Notre Dame.  Tough to find a number as good right now.

And pardon me while I go and dump my savings account in on Notre Dame at +105 to finish the year at USC.  Is there a program that routinely does less with more?  The Irish are 3-2 at USC under Brian Kelly and enter the season is much better shape than the Trojans who realistically could be playing with a different head coach by the time Thanksgiving weekend rolls around.

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Justin Fields better prospect than Trevor Lawrence says Pro Football Focus

According to Pro Football Focus, Ohio State QB Justin Fields is a better pro prospect than Clemson’s Trevor Lawrence.

When you hear most analysts talk about Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence and the buzz surrounding his NFL draft in prospects in 2021, there’s no shortage of praise heaped upon him. He’s considered by a bunch of NFL-types to be the best quarterback prospect since Andrew Luck came out of Stanford in 2012.

And yeah, Lawrence has the numbers and intangibles. He stands tall in the pocket, has good mobility, and has been an accurate passer for the majority of his career at Clemson. But … get this — according to the folks at Pro Football Focus, they actually consider Ohio State quarterback Justin Fields as the better prospect.

“Justin Fields should be ahead of Trevor Lawrence,” said PFF. “He’s graded better, he’s graded better in pro like situations. He’s six-foot-three. It’s not like he’s some shrimpy guy that no one’s ever heard of. Justin Fields ahead of Trevor Lawrence.

“They both project to be better than Tua (Tagovailoa) and a little bit less than (Joe) Burrow, but of course Burrow had the senior year that none of them have had yet. So for right now, it’s Fields then Lawrence — and then — if Tua were in next year’s draft, he’d be third.”

You can watch the video below for yourself.

And there’s some truth to what the numbers say too. Last season it was Fields that was invited to New York as a Heisman finalist, not Lawrence. The Ohio State quarterback threw for 3,273 yards and 41 touchdowns, completing 238 of 354 passes (67.2%), and throwing only three interceptions. His QB rating for the season was 181.4.

Lawrence, on the other hand, threw for 3,665 yards and 36 touchdowns, completing 268 of 407 passes (65.8%) with eight picks. His QB rating finished the season at 166.7.

Now, it’s hard to compare apples to apples completely, but Fields also went against better defenses in the Big Ten and still put up slightly better numbers. Unfortunately for the OSU QB, Lawrence and his team got the last laugh in 2019, but there’s always this year (hopefully).

 

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Tank for Trevor Lawrence in 2020? Bears fans and experts debate

The Bears are in win-now mode. But would they be better off trying to tank for next year’s NFL Draft prize in Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence?

Chicago Bears fans know the pain and agony of not having a true franchise quarterback all too well. In the team’s 100 year history, not a single player has thrown for 4,000 yards or scored 30 touchdowns, milestones that become more pedestrian by the year.

The Bears took another stab at solving its continued conundrum this offseason, trading for the Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback and Super Bowl LII MVP Nick Foles in hopes of pushing, and possibly supplanting, starter Mitchell Trubisky following a disappointing 2019 season.

The trade, along with other free agent acquisitions such as tight end Jimmy Graham and edge rusher Robert Quinn, prove the team is in win-now mode. But would they be better off trying to tank for next year’s prize in the 2021 NFL Draft, Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence?

Lawrence, the sensational sophomore quarterback, led the Tigers to a National Championship over the Alabama Crimson Tide in 2018-19 and became the talk of college football. The 6′ 6″ 220-pound passer was tabbed as the likely first overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft two years out and will be the focus of many teams when college football returns this fall.

But when it comes to the Bears, are they in position to land Lawrence? The question became a hot topic this past weekend and many experts and fans had an opinion on the matter.

To start, Ben Brown of Pro Football Focus (PFF) recently published an article detailing which teams should consider tanking for the college phenom this season. The Bears were fourth on their list, and PFF made the case for why they are in good position to potentially land Lawrence:

Nick Foles immediately emerges as the odds-on favorite to win the starting quarterback position for the Bears after being traded from Jacksonville. Foles had the perfect contract to take on, as it contained a guaranteed salary in 2020 with only a $5 million roster bonus thereafter, according to OverTheCap.com.

This gives the Bears the opportunity to evaluate Nick Foles, and if he plays well, the Bears could keep him for two more seasons. If he doesn’t play anywhere near the 2018 Super Bowl MVP level he has flashed, the Bears can move on from him and hopefully be in a position to draft (Justin) Fields or Lawrence in 2021.

Brown argues the Bears could easily move on from Foles if this season doesn’t work out for a small penalty and hopefully be in a position to land Lawrence or another highly-touted college quarterback such as Ohio State’s Justin Fields. Trubisky, meanwhile, could also come off the books depending on how the team decides to handle his fifth-year option.

PFF made their case for the tank while one Bears writer gave fans two options on the matter. NBC Sports Chicago’s Bryan Perez created a “would you rather” scenario regarding Lawrence, asking if fans would rather see an 11-5 season culminate in a loss in the NFC Championship game with Nick Foles, or see them go 3-13 and land Lawrence in 2021.

The results, as expected were mixed.

While having a player such as Lawrence don the navy and orange in 2021 would be a pleasant sight to see, I would still opt for the first scenario. The Bears have made the playoffs five times in 20 years, winning only three playoff games. To have the team finish in the NFL’s final four would be worth celebrating, even if it means not winning a Super Bowl. The Bears would still be set up for success and the core of the team would remain the same.

Stumbling to a 3-13 record, while it would land Lawrence, would create another set of problems. A new coaching staff, possibly jettisoning key players and bringing in a whole new regime for the third time in a decade for a player who appears to be the real deal, but isn’t guaranteed to have success in the NFL. One player, even a quarterback, cannot save a franchise if the other pillars are constantly being rebuilt. Teams who don’t have stability usually don’t have success.

The argument on whether or not to tank for a highly-touted quarterback is always an interesting one and is here to stay. But given the Bears current pieces, they’re in win-now mode and should do what it takes to rise to the top. Even if that means trying to catch lightning in a bottle at the quarterback position for yet another year.

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The NCAA Sucks – Reason Number 7,216,517

The NCAA uses Trevor Lawrence to show its latest reason why it sucks.

At this point you’re probably aware that the NCAA is just the worst.  OK, the International Olympic Committee is in the team picture as is FIFA but I have trouble thinking any of them are actually worse.

Why now you ask?

They’ve now managed to outlaw fundraising for Coronavirus victims if you’re a student-athlete.

Quickly ask yourself – who is the most-known eligible college football player, nationwide?  The most recognizable who if they were to speak, would draw the most attention.

I think it’s safe to say that’s Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence.  His great talents, flowing locks and him seeming like a just stand-up young man are great and the fact that he’s likely going to one day be the first overall pick in the NFL Draft only makes him more compelling.  It’s great when young people use their platforms for the general good, can we all agree on that?

Well, the NCAA can’t as they forced Lawrence to take down a GoFundMe page that was dedicated to raising funds for Coronavirus victims.

Ridiculous.

Laughable.

Unreal.

One day it’s blocking a transferring player from being eligible because, well, there is no good reason while granting immediate eligibility to others at bigger schools.  The next its shutting down a fundraiser benefitting a literal world-crisis.

Great job, NCAA, great freaking job.

You seriously can’t make this crap up.

The NCAA shut down Trevor Lawrence’s coronavirus fundraiser because the NCAA stinks

Boo NCAA. Boooooooooooooooo.

The NCAA stinks – we all know that by now. It shouldn’t really be news to anyone.

The good news is that the NCAA, a money-hungry corporation which is run by soulless ghouls, will often go out of its way to remind us of how much they stink.

The latest example of this comes during the coronavirus pandemic that we’re all doing our best to get through.

Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence and his girlfriend, Marissa Mowry, college soccer player, started a GoFundMe to raise money for people affected by the coronavirus. They raised over $2,600 when…. the NCAA forced them to shut it down.

For real.

The State has more on the NCAA’s stupid decision:

Lawrence and Mowry started a GoFundMe fund-raising page for coronavirus victims Monday afternoon, but it was shut down the same day after raising $2,670. Mowry said through a video on her Instagram account that they were forced to deactivate the page. A Clemson official confirmed that Lawrence and Mowry were not allowed to have the GoFundMe account active due to NCAA rules that prohibit using name, image and likeness for crowd funding.

I mean, come on NCAA. Be better than that. Be so much better than that.

Thankfully, fans aren’t giving the NCAA a pass on this:

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Panthers plans for 2020: Tanking for Trevor Lawrence is a terrible idea

The Panthers (and the entire NFL, for that matter) are going into a year shrouded by uncertainty.

The Panthers (and the entire NFL, for that matter) are going into a year shrouded by uncertainty. At the moment, we don’t know if the proposed CBA will be ratified or if the new league year and draft will be postposed due to the coronavirus.

Once those issues are settled and the pieces begin moving, the team has to fill a number of roster holes and decide on a plan of action at quarterback.

To recap, Cam Newton is entering the final year of his contract, which has brought out a flurry of hot takes and bad ideas from fans and analysts alike. Some have suggested trading Newton, even if the return is only a third-round draft pick. Others have even said they should cut him and save around $19 million in cap space.

The team is in a tough spot and the choice is admittedly a difficult one and it will depend a great deal on how healthy Newton will be. However, one thing we do know is this: tanking the 2020 season with the intent of landing a high draft pick to get a new franchise quarterback is a terrible idea.

Specifically, a surprising number of people seem to believe that tanking in order to get Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence in next year’s draft is a smart strategy. We don’t know exactly where this thinking got started, but it’s categorically wrong.

First of all, the premise of tanking in the NFL is inherently flawed. It’s a different story in the NBA, where finding one superstar playmaker can transform a team’s prospects overnight. Proponents of tanking should remember a couple of things: that there’s only five players on the floor at any given time in basketball, which means individuals have a much greater impact on the outcome. One LeBron James can literally change a team’s entire fortunes. In football, one player – no matter how talented – is far less likely to elevate a team from being a cellar-dwellar into a contender. It’s the ultimate team sport and unless all 11 pieces are functioning as a coherent unit, it’s extremely difficult to win consistently.

A transformational player at quarterback certainly doesn’t hurt but it’s important to remember that guys like Patrick Mahomes who seem impervious to both defense and 10-point deficits are extremely rare. It’s also worth noting that Mahomes’ success has not come in a vaccuum. In addition to his own prodigious talents, he has one of the smartest offensive coaches in the history of the game and an absurd amount of talent at the skill positions. Nobody – even Mahomes – wins a Super Bowl alone.

In any case, right now, this Panthers team is not one player (or even two or three) away from fielding a competitive team.

It’s also foolish to assume that just because a team has a high draft pick that they will land a game-changer. Lawrence has had a promising college career so far. However, there’s a chance he will pull an Andrew Luck and decide to return for another college season. There’s also a possibility that he will be a bust. Making the jump from college to pro football might be the most dramatic and difficult transition to navigate in all of sports. Every year, there are quarterbacks who get drafted that never pan out in the NFL. The speed of the pro game is simply too much for even some very talented prospects.

The Panthers got a taste of that this past year when they chose Will Grier in the third round of the draft. At the time, they got high marks all around. Pro Football Focus said Grier might be the steal of the draft and a lot of outlets (guilty) gave them an A grade for the pick.

When it came time to play the games, it became clear very quick that Grier was not ready to compete at this level. During the preseason, his slow processing speed led to several ghastly turnovers. When he got another opportunity late in the regular season, the same problem resurfaced. There’s still time for Grier to change the narrative and prove he belongs in this league, but right now it looks like a wasted pick.

Bottom line: Lawrence might turn out to be the best quarterback of his generation – but we simply don’t know how his skillset will translate to the NFL or if he will be available in next year’s draft.

Save the tanking idea for your favorite floundering NBA franchise – even if John Paxson wouldn’t know what to do with a No. 1 pick if he got one.

The Panthers should not even consider it. Period.

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Happy Valentine’s Day: 5 Reasons Why You Will Love The 2020 College Football Season

Happy Valentine’s Day. Here are 5 reasons why you’ll love the 2020 college football season.  

[jwplayer m1jE4Ir6]

Happy Valentine’s Day. Here are 5 reasons why you’ll love the 2020 college football season.  

Contact/follow @ColFootballNews & @PeteFiutak

5. The most interesting college football in 2020 will be played in … Mississippi?

And you thought the end of the 2019 Egg Bowl was a whole lot of fun.

A wild finish with a player pretending to pee like a dog, a missed extra point to miss out on overtime, and one of the most intense games of the season – a 21-20 MSU win – was nothing compared to what’s coming on a weekly basis.

Ole Miss fired head coach Matt Luke, landed Lane Kiffin – an under-appreciated talent as a head man – and away we go.

All aboard the Lane Train.

No one knows how to poke the bear better than Kiffin. He’s going to rally up the base, he’s going to recruit at a high enough level to be a problem, and he’ll get under the skin of the rest of the SEC head coaches.

And he’s going to win a whole lot of games, too.

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Mississippi State had a good head coach in Joe Moorhead.

Even though it never got rolling in his two years in Starkville, Moorhead’s offenses are normally amazing, he was just getting his pieces in place, he went to two bowl games in two years, and … he wasn’t Lane Kiffin.

So Mississippi State got the one guy with the type of differentiating factor of an offense to annoy every SEC defensive coordinator.

Granted, LSU and Alabama haven’t had a whole lot of problems lately getting the O going, and it’s not like Leach’s teams have ever done anything all that amazing, but this is different.

Leach has never been a head coach with these resources and this ability to pull in the talent – his 2020 class, which he had almost nothing to do with, was his highest-ranked recruiting haul in 18 years as a head coach.

Leach is going to be Leach, and Mississippi State is going to be Washington State/Texas Tech.

Kiffin is going to be Kiffin, and Ole Miss is going to be a weekly problem to deal with.

And football in Mississippi is about to add even more spice to an already amazing SEC West.

Buuuuuuuut ….

NEXT: No. The most interesting college football in 2020 will be played in … the Big Ten?

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Notre Dame Football: Thoughts on 2020 Home Kickoff Times

The only real double take upon seeing the release for me is that Stanford remains a night game.

Notre Dame’s home schedule for the 2020 season has long been known but kickoff times however were not. At least not until Friday when the team and NBC Sports announced the kickoff times for all seven home games this season.

Of those seven, six will be played at Notre Dame Stadium while the Shamrock Series makes a return at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, when Notre Dame takes on Wisconsin this October.

Here’s how the scheduled home slate looks time wise:

Sept. 12 – Arkansas, 2:30 ET

Sept. 19 – Western Michigan, 2:30 ET

Oct. 3 – Wisconsin (Shamrock Series, Green Bay, WI), 7:30 ET

Oct. 10 – Stanford, 7:30 ET

Oct. 31 – Duke, 3:30 ET

Nov. 7 – Clemson, 7:30 ET

Nov. 21 – Louisville, 2:30 ET

As expected the matchups with Wisconsin and Clemson will both be in primetime. The Shamrock Series game has always been a primetime affair while Clemson being far and away the biggest of home opponents for Notre Dame this season gets the evening kickoff.

The only real double take upon seeing the release for me is that Stanford remains a night game. I know there have been some classics in this matchup but with the Cardinal seemingly on the decline I’m surprised to see NBC having interest putting this game in primetime. Why it may make sense though is that the slate of national games for that October 10 day doesn’t appear great at night, meaning ratings could benefit despite a not great matchup:

Texas/Oklahoma is always a noon ET kickoff while Clemson/Florida State, Ohio State/Iowa, and Michigan/Michigan State all appear to be lopsided matchups from this far out.

The SEC has a couple big games that week with Auburn and Georgia doing battle and LSU taking on Florida but it is hard to imagine CBS not choosing its one primetime SEC game for the year to not include Alabama or LSU for a second consecutive season as that honor went to Notre Dame and Georgia in 2019.