Danielle Hunter for a 4th round pick? Athlon Sports thinks so

Identifying Danielle Hunter’s trade value is a difficult proposition, but this is really low.

With teams calling the Minnesota Vikings about a trade for star edge rusher Danielle Hunter, identifying his trade value has been a difficult proposition. That is due to his age and recent significant injury history with his incredible skill set and production profile.

Athlon Sports’ Luke Easterling looked at the potential draft pick value for Hunter and believes he would only fetch a fourth-round pick, comparing him to the recent trade of Za’Darius Smith to the Cleveland Browns.

When players get to this point in their careers, they’re unlikely to get as much money as they believe they’ve earned, and teams are unlikely to get as much compensation in return as they would like. If the Vikings end up parting ways with Hunter via trade, it would be surprising if they received anything more than a fourth-round pick in return.

One interesting element was Easterling comparing Hunter to current free agent Yannick Ngakoue, stating that if you want to trade capital for Hunter, you could just sign Ngakoue.

That being the case, it’s likely the Vikings could get more than a couple of fifth-round picks for Hunter and a pair of late-rounders, like they did in the Smith deal, thanks to his age and history of production. 

But if another team wanted a 28-year-old pass rusher with a track record of production, they could just sign Yannick Ngakoue, who checks both of those boxes, and remains a free agent. The fact that player like that remains available might hurt Hunter’s chances of landing the big long-term extension he’s seeking, and might prevent other teams from giving up valuable draft capital just for the right to give him that deal.

That element makes things cloudy. While Hunter is better than Ngakoue, is he significantly better enough when you factor in the big contract and draft pick compensation, it becomes a real discussion.

A fourth-round pick is too low, and would be considered a front-office failure.

Sixers trade tiers: Ranking possible trade pieces by the most value

Here is a ranking of the possible trade pieces on the Philadelphia 76ers based on their value.

For the Philadelphia 76ers, the best way to improve this offseason is either through their own internal improvement or through the trade market.

At the moment, per HoopsHype, the Sixers have:

  • Non-taxpayer mid-level exception: $12,220,000 (could lose access to this if they go over the apron)
  • Bi-annual exception: $4,448,000 (could lose access to this if they go over the apron)

It is assumed James Harden will opt out of his player option and decide between staying with the Sixers or rejoining the Houston Rockets, with whom he had the most success in his career. Philadelphia will certainly try to work out something with him in order to keep in the City of Brotherly Love> But if they can’t, the avenues for Philadelphia to improve are going to be limited to the trade market.

Sixers Wire ranks some of Philadelphia’s best trade pieces and places them into tiers.

Assessing value of Packers’ trade backs during second round of 2023 draft

Breaking down the value and players involved with the Packers’ two trade down situations in the second round of the 2023 draft.

The Green Bay Packers traded back twice during the second round of the 2023 draft, moving from No. 45 to No. 50 while picking up a pair of Day 3 picks.

Here are the two trades:

Packers trade No. 45 to Lions for No. 48 and No. 159
Packers trade No. 48 to Buccaneers for No. 50 and No. 179

Essentially, the Packers turned the No. 45 overall pick into the No. 50 overall pick, No. 159 overall pick and No. 179 overall pick.

Depending on which value chart you prefer, the Packers either made exactly even trades, got tremendous value or lost a tiny fraction of value in the two trade backs.

Rich Hill trade value chart

— Packers trade No. 45 (131 value) for No. 48 (121) and No. 159 (10)

This trade came out exactly even.

— Packers trade No. 48 (121 value) for No. 50 (115) and No. 179 (6)

This trade came out exactly even.

Overall, the Packers traded the 45th overall pick (131 value) for the 50th overall pick (115), 159th overall pick (10) and 179th overall pick (6), so 131 of value for 131 of value.

Fitzgerald-Spielberger trade value chart

— Packers trade No. 45 (1071 value) for No. 48 (1038) and No. 159 (431)

The Packers gained 398 points of value.

— Packers trade No. 48 (1038 value) for No. 50 (1018) and No. 179 (371)

The Packers gained 351 points of value.

Overall, the Packers traded the 45th overall pick (1071 value) for the 50th overall pick (1018), 159th overall pick (431) and 179th overall pick (371), so 1071 value for 1820 value, a gain of 749 points.

Jimmy Johnson trade chart

— Packers trade No. 45 (450 value) for No. 48 (420) and No. 159 (26.6)

The Packers lost 3.4 points of value.

— Packers trade No. 48 (420 value) for No. 50 (400) and No. 179 (18.2)

The Packers lost 1.8 points of value.

Overall, the Packers traded the 45th overall pick (450 value) for the 50th overall pick (400), 159th overall pick (26.6) and 179th overall pick (18.2), so 450 of value for 444.8 of value, a loss of 5.2 points of value.

Players selected

The Lions drafted Alabama safety Brian Branch at No. 45.
The Buccaneers drafted North Dakota State offensive lineman Cody Mauch at No. 48.
The Packers drafted Michigan State receiver Jayden Reed at No. 50.

Other notable picks: Georgia Tech defensive lineman Keion White (No. 46), Illinois DB Quan Martin (No. 47), Wisconsin defensive lineman Keeanu Beaton (No. 49), Florida DL Gervon Dexter (No. 53), SMU WR Rashee Rice (No. 55).

This will be a fascinating part of the draft to dissect in the future. The Packers clearly had many players with similar grades in the No. 45-55 range and were comfortable moving down to get more Day 3 picks. Branch, the consensus top safety in the class, will now play for a division rival, and the Packers took Reed over three players who visited pre-draft (White, Martin and Rice).

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2023 NFL draft trade value chart: How much are Commanders’ 8 picks worth?

Breaking down the value of each of Washington’s eight selections.

Washington Commanders general manager Martin Mayhew met with the media last week for his pre-draft press conference and discussed trading up and trading back in the NFL draft.

In the 2022 NFL draft, Washington held the No. 11 pick before dropping down five spots in a trade with the New Orleans Saints. The trade netted Washington additional selections in the third and fourth rounds. The Commanders made another trade and the three picks added from this trade sent Brian Robinson Jr., Sam Howell and Cole Turner to Washington.

Mayhew used last season’s trade as an example of why he preferred trading back and cited other examples from his time as a general manager.

“When you’re trading back, you’re acquiring more picks, and it’s been my experience to just having more volume and having more picks gives you more opportunities to hit, especially if you’re scouting well in those mid-to-late rounds,” Mayhew said.

Washington first goes on the clock at No. 16 overall in the 2023 NFL draft, which begins Thursday. The Commanders would again like to trade back and hold eight picks in this year’s draft.

What are those picks worth?

Using the Rich Hill model, a modified version of the old Jimmy Johnson trade chart, we analyze what each of Washington’s eight picks are worth in 2023.

  • Round 1 (No. 16): 305
  • Round 2 (No. 47): 124
  • Round 3 (No. 97): 39
  • Round 4 (No. 118): 25
  • Round 5 (No. 150): 12
  • Round 6 (No. 193): 5
  • Round 6 (No. 215): 3
  • Round 7 (No. 233): 2

Overall, Washington’s eight picks have an overall value of 515 points.

Below is a chart detailing the value of every NFL team’s 2023 draft picks using the Rich Hill model.

Cowboys rank last among NFC East teams in 2023 draft capital

The Cowboys’ total draft haul is less valuable than Philly’s first pick, according to the famed chart. Dallas needs to nail every selection. | From @ToddBrock24f7

Cowboys fans still have close to a month to ruminate over how the front office will spend their seven picks in the 2023 draft. And while seven selections is a nice number, the simple truth is that not all draft picks are not equal.

Hall of Fame coach Jimmy Johnson knew this all too well, and he helped develop a numerical chart that illustrates just how much more valuable the No. 1 pick is than No. 227… and even how pick values drop within each round. There’s a massive difference between the value of the first pick in the first round and, say, the 15th or eighth or even the third pick in the first round.

Johnson created his chart in the early ’90s while he was with the Cowboys, and every other team in the league eventually adopted some version of it. While analytics experts have refined the chart in the years since to make it more accurate according to historical trends, the numerical values that Johnson originally came up with (3,000 for the No. 1 pick and decreasing from there) still make for a useful tool when analyzing each team’s draft capital.

Good thing the Cowboys have been aggressive in improving their roster ahead of the draft this year, because the chart shows them bringing up the rear within their own division in terms of how much talent they can acquire with their current picks.

In fact, Dallas ranks 13th among NFC teams in draft capital; only the Rams, Vikings, and 49ers are scheduled to go into draft weekend with less buying power to work with.

Picks can still be traded, and the Cowboys can still improve their draft capital. But the numbers- and how they stack up against their divisional rivals’- show how imperative it is that the Dallas war room make smart choices with every single card they turn in.

Here’s how the NFC East squads shake out ahead of the 2023 draft, according to Drafttek and using Johnson’s point values.

What is Aaron Rodgers’ trade value after disappointing 2022 season?

If the Packers and Aaron Rodgers decide on a trade, what is the value of a QB who regressed in 2022, turns 40 in December and isn’t certain about his playing future year-to-year?

The Green Bay Packers again find themselves at a crossroads at the quarterback position. Will Aaron Rodgers return? Will he retire? Or will the Packers have the opportunity to trade him and begin the Jordan Love era?

After an 8-9 season in which the Packers missed the playoffs, one could reasonably argue that now is the time to move on from Rodgers. With limited cap space once again and very few significant cap-saving cuts that can be made, this roster is likely going to look somewhat similar in 2023. And because of that, even with internal improvements from several players, it’s difficult to envision a path for Green Bay to becoming Super Bowl contenders once again as currently constructed. Although no longer Super Bowl contenders, this is still a relatively well-put-together roster, making it the perfect time to evaluate Love as a full-time starter.

Perhaps Rodgers makes this easy on Green Bay and chooses to retire – then the problem basically solves itself. However, if he wants to return, and the Packers are ready to move on, a trade suddenly becomes very likely. But my question is, what exactly could Green Bay get in return?

To be transparent, I’m not going to make a guess of what that trade haul could look like – that always feels like a nearly impossible task. But what I will say is that I don’t believe it is going to be as robust as some may think. There has already been plenty of speculation on what that return for the Packers could look like, and several hypothetical trade packages consist of the Packers getting a few high picks – whether that be two firsts or a first and a second – in return. This is the part I have questions about.

For starters, Rodgers certainly didn’t play like an MVP last season. In fact, he wasn’t close. No, the conditions weren’t perfect for him, but we knew that going into the season. At $50 million per year, he was expected to lift this unit and help cover up many of those deficiencies on offense, but that wasn’t the case nearly often enough. This isn’t to say that Rodgers can’t get back to playing at a high level, but it’s not the guarantee it once was either.

I also imagine that most general managers are going to be a bit skeptical about sending multiple early-round draft picks to the Packers when Rodgers’ status from year to year is one giant question mark. That would be a lot of draft capital to give up for one season, especially for a quarterback who played closer to the league average rather than at an elite level.

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The timing of when this trade occurs is very important as well. From a salary cap perspective for the acquiring team, trading for Rodgers is actually quite reasonable, with the Packers still being on the hook for his signing bonus. Green Bay, meanwhile, would incur a roughly $40 million dead cap hit – money that stays on the books even if Rodgers is playing elsewhere – if Rodgers is traded before June 1st. If traded after June 1st, the Packers take roughly a $15 million dead cap hit in 2023 and $24 million in 2024.

So if traded after June 1st in 2023, it is possible that the Packers’ trade partner could be without a 2024 first-round pick (and likely more), and Rodgers could potentially retire at that point as well, leaving the acquiring team without a quarterback again, and this time no early round pick(s).

This example is a prime reason why I’m not so sure that other teams will be lining up to offer Green Bay whatever they want. There are a lot of risks that come with this move. This is very much the type of all-in move for a general manager that could very well lead to them being fired if things don’t pan out. And in this instance, “not panning out” could mean falling short of making it to the Super Bowl. I’m going to guess a simple playoff appearance won’t suffice.

I think we can all agree that the Packers’ window to maximize their return for Rodgers in a trade was last offseason. The opportunity to get a Russell Wilson-like haul has passed. I’m also not saying that the best the Packers could do is a couple of Day 2 picks or diminishing the value that a first-rounder and a conditional pick could have on this Packers team.

With that said, I would expect a more modest return for the reasons mentioned. At the end of the day, something is still better than nothing, and as the old saying goes, it only takes one team to express serious interest, and maybe this entire conversation becomes a moot point.

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News: Cowboys consider QB in 2020 draft, Jerry talks Jamal Adams

The final 2020 mock drafts, a flashback to the Johnny Manziel-to-Dallas near miss, and the trade value chart started by Jimmy Johnson.

NFL Draft Eve brought no shortage of eleventh-hour revelations and rumblings in Cowboys Nation. But it is the final opportunity for all the mock drafters to call their shots. What Jerry Jones and Company will do with the their seven picks is anybody’s guess, but there’s intel that suggests all of it is fair game, from secondary to linebacker… to, even, quarterback.

From ironing out last-minute technical issues to the all-important last press conference that may reveal the front office’s strategy, the Cowboys’ draft table is basically set. The club even cleared two more places with a pair of day-before cuts. Flashback to the draft that almost brought Johnny Football to Big D, and check out the pricing system that revolutionized how every team now approaches draft-pick trades, courtesy of Jimmy Johnson. And after all that draft-day appetite-whetting, find out why one business icon ultimately thinks the NFL won’t be getting down to business on the field any time soon.

Cowboys open to drafting quarterback in 2020, but it would have nothing to do with Dak Prescott :: CBS Sports

It’s no secret that the Cowboys have had communications with quarterback Jalen Hurts ahead of the the 2020 NFL Draft. Patrik Walker breaks down how this has nothing to do with QB1… and everything to do with QB2.


Cowboys pre-draft press conference glitchy, but telling :: Cowboys Wire

The annual pre-draft press conference with the Dallas Cowboys front office is usually an important sneak peek behind the curtain. Find out their philosophy and thoughts headed into the 2020 NFL Draft, including Jerry Jones’s own take on the chances of trading the team’s first-round pick for a veteran free agent.


Film room: 4 best-case scenarios for the Dallas Cowboys in Round 1 of the 2020 NFL draft :: The Dallas Morning News

John Owning takes a very deep look into some of the possible bigger scores of the first round for the Cowboys. Trade back? Premier corner? Multiple possibilities will be available to Dallas at 17.


Updates: Cowboys waive kicker Vizcaino :: The Mothership

And then there were two. The team has waived Tristan Vizcaino, who was signed to a futures deal in January. Since then, the club has signed veteran Greg Zuerlein and retained the services of Kai Forbath, setting up a two-man positional battle once camp begins.


Final 2020 Dallas Cowboys 7-round Mock Draft Prediction :: Inside The Star

The experts are making their final predictions for the 2020 NFL Draft and the Cowboys. Here, Wisconsin linebacker Zack Baun is selected with pick number 17.



Cowboys to need return-man solution in draft after releasing WR :: Cowboys Wire

The Dallas wide receiver room is a little less populated with the club cutting Lance Lenoir. The 2017 undrafted free agent never really caught on with the Cowboys, with special teams play seeming to offer his most likely route to a gameday role. Clearly, the front office is now looking elsewhere for 2020.


NFL Draft trade value chart: What each 2020 pick is worth based on the Jimmy Johnson model :: Sporting News

It was revolutionary when the Cowboys coach came up with the idea, but now every team in the league uses (more or less) his system of assigning numerical values- price tags, almost- to draft picks. Here’s the cheat sheet for what every pick in 2020’s draft is worth, making putting together (or grading) trades a matter of basic math.


Cowboys feel like they have tackled the NFL draft challenges head-on :: ESPN

Amidst a world in flux, the Cowboys have adjusted admirably and taken care of plenty of needs headed into draft weekend. Take a look back at some of the big moves made, along with final preparations for the 2020 Draft.


Unforgettable NFL draft experiences, from Manning to Manziel :: NFL.com

NFL.com’s Judy Battista recounts the tense moments in 2014’s green room as Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel waited for his name to be called. Jerry Jones had wanted him at 16, and, depending on the version of the story, it took son Stephen actually snatching the card out of his father’s hand for the club to select Zack Martin instead.


B/R Staff’s Bold Predictions for 2020 NFL Draft :: Bleacher Report

Everybody likes predictions. But everybody loves bold predictions! Bleacher Report calls their shots: Jordan Love will go before Justin Herbert, Derek Carr will become a draft day trade victim, and wide receiver Tee Higgins will be the steal of the draft.


Bill Gates explains why most sports are going to be gone a lot longer than fans realize :: Insider

This weekend’s draft will be a nice appetizer, but fans may be waiting a while for the main meal when it comes to the NFL season. Microsoft’s co-founder says sporting events will be the last of the societal norms to return due to the high risk of close-range contagion.


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Trade value of every Packers pick in 2020 NFL draft

Assessing the trade value of the Green Bay Packers’ 10 draft picks in 2020.

The Green Bay Packers will go into the 2020 NFL draft with 10 total picks: one in each of the first five rounds, three in the sixth round and two in the seventh round.

GM Brian Gutekunst has already confirmed he plans to be aggressive moving around the board, using his 10 picks to make trades with teams and find the strong spots in the draft.

The Jimmy Johnson trade value chart can be used (and is used) by teams to determine draft pick value. There are other ways to measure the value (we’ll get to those in a second), but here is the individual trade value of the Packers’ 10 picks using the Johnson model:

  • First round, No. 30th overall: 620 points
  • Second round, No. 62 overall: 284 points
  • Third round, No. 94 overall: 124 points
  • Fourth round, No. 136 overall: 38 points
  • Fifth round, No. 175 overall: 20.2 points
  • Sixth round, No. 192 overall: 13.4 points
  • Sixth round, No. 208 overall: 7 points
  • Sixth round. No. 209 overall: 6.6 points
  • Seventh round, No. 236 overall: 1 point
  • Seventh round, No. 242 overall: 1 point
  • Total value (10 picks): 1,115.2 points

Here’s the full draft order, with corresponding trade values:

An example might help. Let’s say the Packers want to move up from 30th overall to the 24th overall pick. The difference between the Packers pick (620 points) and the Saints pick (740 points) is 120 points. The Packers would likely need to offer the 30th pick (620) and the 94th pick (124) to make it a fair trade, at least according to the Johnson model.

Theoretically, the Packers could offer the 30th pick (620) and the 62nd pick (284) to the Miami Dolphins for the 18th pick (900) and make it a fair trade.

Let’s say the Packers wanted to trade down from No. 30. If a team like the Houston Texans offered the 40th overall pick (500) and the 90th overall pick (140), the Packers would have to really consider it. The Packers would be gaining another pick in the top 100 while gaining an extra 20 points in trade value in the process.

Other models

Rich Hill model

  • 1.30: 196 points
  • 2.62: 84 points
  • 3.94: 41 points
  • 4.136: 15 points
  • 5.175: 7 points
  • 6.192: 5 points
  • 6.208: 4 points
  • 6.209: 3 points
  • 7.236: 1 point
  • 7.242: 1 point
  • Total points: 357 points

Over The Cap model

  • 1.30: 1,276 points
  • 2.62: 909 points
  • 3.94: 698 points
  • 4.136: 510 points
  • 5.175: 383 points
  • 6.192: 336 points
  • 7.236: 231 points
  • 7.242: 218 points
  • Total points: 4,918 points

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2020 NFL draft order and trade value chart for each pick

Here’s a look at the trade value for each pick in the 2020 NFL draft.

The Denver Broncos have 10 picks to use in the NFL draft (April 23-25) this year, including the 15th overall pick in the first round.

We have discussed the possibility of trading up in the first round for a player like Clemson’s Isaiah Simmons but such a trade might be too expensive. Instead, it wouldn’t be surprising to see the Broncos use some of their extra third-round picks to trade back into the first round or second rounds of the draft.

It’s impossible to predict what Denver will do but it’s not impossible to estimate what it would cost to make some trades. Here’s a handy trade value chart with estimated values for each pick in the draft:

To view a larger version of the graphic, click here.

The Broncos’ first-round pick is worth 1,050 points and their second-round pick is worth 440 points. The value of Denver’s third-round pick drops all the way down to 175 points and the team’s seventh-round picks are worth just one point each.

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