Tag: Charts

The Dolphins – Titans win probability chart shows how improbable Tennessee’s comeback was

This is wild.

We here at For The Win love win probability charts, which sometime tell the story of a game in one graphic, from the Chiefs-Bills chart in 2022 to the Niners’ Super Bowl collapse against Kansas City.

This one is a fun one: It’s the Miami Dolphins blowing a 14-point lead to the Tennessee Titans with just over three minutes left in Monday night’s game. It was an improbable comeback, one that seemed like the Titans had a zero percent chance at.

But nope. It was 0.4 percent. And the chart tells the tale, with the Titans’ line suddenly soaring upward.

Pretty wild stuff:

Assessing value of Packers’ trade backs during second round of 2023 draft

Breaking down the value and players involved with the Packers’ two trade down situations in the second round of the 2023 draft.

The Green Bay Packers traded back twice during the second round of the 2023 draft, moving from No. 45 to No. 50 while picking up a pair of Day 3 picks.

Here are the two trades:

Packers trade No. 45 to Lions for No. 48 and No. 159
Packers trade No. 48 to Buccaneers for No. 50 and No. 179

Essentially, the Packers turned the No. 45 overall pick into the No. 50 overall pick, No. 159 overall pick and No. 179 overall pick.

Depending on which value chart you prefer, the Packers either made exactly even trades, got tremendous value or lost a tiny fraction of value in the two trade backs.

Rich Hill trade value chart

— Packers trade No. 45 (131 value) for No. 48 (121) and No. 159 (10)

This trade came out exactly even.

— Packers trade No. 48 (121 value) for No. 50 (115) and No. 179 (6)

This trade came out exactly even.

Overall, the Packers traded the 45th overall pick (131 value) for the 50th overall pick (115), 159th overall pick (10) and 179th overall pick (6), so 131 of value for 131 of value.

Fitzgerald-Spielberger trade value chart

— Packers trade No. 45 (1071 value) for No. 48 (1038) and No. 159 (431)

The Packers gained 398 points of value.

— Packers trade No. 48 (1038 value) for No. 50 (1018) and No. 179 (371)

The Packers gained 351 points of value.

Overall, the Packers traded the 45th overall pick (1071 value) for the 50th overall pick (1018), 159th overall pick (431) and 179th overall pick (371), so 1071 value for 1820 value, a gain of 749 points.

Jimmy Johnson trade chart

— Packers trade No. 45 (450 value) for No. 48 (420) and No. 159 (26.6)

The Packers lost 3.4 points of value.

— Packers trade No. 48 (420 value) for No. 50 (400) and No. 179 (18.2)

The Packers lost 1.8 points of value.

Overall, the Packers traded the 45th overall pick (450 value) for the 50th overall pick (400), 159th overall pick (26.6) and 179th overall pick (18.2), so 450 of value for 444.8 of value, a loss of 5.2 points of value.

Players selected

The Lions drafted Alabama safety Brian Branch at No. 45.
The Buccaneers drafted North Dakota State offensive lineman Cody Mauch at No. 48.
The Packers drafted Michigan State receiver Jayden Reed at No. 50.

Other notable picks: Georgia Tech defensive lineman Keion White (No. 46), Illinois DB Quan Martin (No. 47), Wisconsin defensive lineman Keeanu Beaton (No. 49), Florida DL Gervon Dexter (No. 53), SMU WR Rashee Rice (No. 55).

This will be a fascinating part of the draft to dissect in the future. The Packers clearly had many players with similar grades in the No. 45-55 range and were comfortable moving down to get more Day 3 picks. Branch, the consensus top safety in the class, will now play for a division rival, and the Packers took Reed over three players who visited pre-draft (White, Martin and Rice).

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Terrifying chart shows how all 30 NBA teams can be linked to coronavirus

One chart shows how a positive coronavirus test on the Jazz can be linked to all 30 NBA teams in just 5 days.

The NBA stunned the sporting world on Wednesday night when the league announced that it was suspending its season indefinitely following a player on the Utah Jazz testing positive for coronavirus.

According to a report from The Athletic’s Shams Charania, that player is Rudy Gobert, who made the unfortunate joke of rubbing his hands all over reporters’ microphones just a few days ago as a way to poke fun at the panic over the disease.

Gobert testing positive is scary for the league, but what’s also scary is that the Jazz are coming off a road trip that saw them visit cities up and down the Eastern seaboard. I’m almost certain they’re monitoring players and staff on all those teams closely — as well as Gobert’s own teammates and support staff.

What’s even scarier than all that, however, is that it might be irrelevant how many cities Gobert has visited. As this chart from StatMuse shows us, there is so much frequent travel in the NBA that even just one game — Jazz vs. Raptors, six days ago — could connect all 30 teams in the league.

In less than a week.

The NBA is obviously not a normal business, but this chart can show you how quickly many different people can be connected, all over the country (and world).

Important note: This chart is NOT saying that the disease definitively traveled to all these teams. We have no idea if anyone contracted anything, and if they did, we probably could not connect it back to any single person as these players are traveling and coming into contact with tons of people every week.

The point is — all these teams play each other in rapid succession, and it’s easy to see how something like this could spread across an entire league. The NBA made the right decision in suspending the league.

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