Assessing value of Packers’ trade backs during second round of 2023 draft

Breaking down the value and players involved with the Packers’ two trade down situations in the second round of the 2023 draft.

The Green Bay Packers traded back twice during the second round of the 2023 draft, moving from No. 45 to No. 50 while picking up a pair of Day 3 picks.

Here are the two trades:

Packers trade No. 45 to Lions for No. 48 and No. 159
Packers trade No. 48 to Buccaneers for No. 50 and No. 179

Essentially, the Packers turned the No. 45 overall pick into the No. 50 overall pick, No. 159 overall pick and No. 179 overall pick.

Depending on which value chart you prefer, the Packers either made exactly even trades, got tremendous value or lost a tiny fraction of value in the two trade backs.

Rich Hill trade value chart

— Packers trade No. 45 (131 value) for No. 48 (121) and No. 159 (10)

This trade came out exactly even.

— Packers trade No. 48 (121 value) for No. 50 (115) and No. 179 (6)

This trade came out exactly even.

Overall, the Packers traded the 45th overall pick (131 value) for the 50th overall pick (115), 159th overall pick (10) and 179th overall pick (6), so 131 of value for 131 of value.

Fitzgerald-Spielberger trade value chart

— Packers trade No. 45 (1071 value) for No. 48 (1038) and No. 159 (431)

The Packers gained 398 points of value.

— Packers trade No. 48 (1038 value) for No. 50 (1018) and No. 179 (371)

The Packers gained 351 points of value.

Overall, the Packers traded the 45th overall pick (1071 value) for the 50th overall pick (1018), 159th overall pick (431) and 179th overall pick (371), so 1071 value for 1820 value, a gain of 749 points.

Jimmy Johnson trade chart

— Packers trade No. 45 (450 value) for No. 48 (420) and No. 159 (26.6)

The Packers lost 3.4 points of value.

— Packers trade No. 48 (420 value) for No. 50 (400) and No. 179 (18.2)

The Packers lost 1.8 points of value.

Overall, the Packers traded the 45th overall pick (450 value) for the 50th overall pick (400), 159th overall pick (26.6) and 179th overall pick (18.2), so 450 of value for 444.8 of value, a loss of 5.2 points of value.

Players selected

The Lions drafted Alabama safety Brian Branch at No. 45.
The Buccaneers drafted North Dakota State offensive lineman Cody Mauch at No. 48.
The Packers drafted Michigan State receiver Jayden Reed at No. 50.

Other notable picks: Georgia Tech defensive lineman Keion White (No. 46), Illinois DB Quan Martin (No. 47), Wisconsin defensive lineman Keeanu Beaton (No. 49), Florida DL Gervon Dexter (No. 53), SMU WR Rashee Rice (No. 55).

This will be a fascinating part of the draft to dissect in the future. The Packers clearly had many players with similar grades in the No. 45-55 range and were comfortable moving down to get more Day 3 picks. Branch, the consensus top safety in the class, will now play for a division rival, and the Packers took Reed over three players who visited pre-draft (White, Martin and Rice).

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