Tiger Woods is shooting for solo control of the PGA Tour’s all-time wins record this week at the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines Golf Course, as he competes against many of the world’s top golfers in his 2020 debut. Below, we’ll look at Tiger’s betting odds to win the Farmers Insurance Open outright and on the various prop bets available within the tournament.
ALSO SEE: Farmers Insurance Open odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets
Tiger Woods’ history at Torrey Pines
Torrey Pines is well known as a favorite course of Tiger’s. He has won this event a record seven times, as well as the 2008 US Open, also held at this venue. Per Data Golf, no member of this week’s field has gained more strokes per round at Torrey Pines (South) than Tiger’s 3.12 across 47 rounds.
He has played here each of the last three years. After a rare missed cut in 2017, he finished T-23 in 2018 and T-20 last year, three months ahead of his fifth career win at the Masters.
Tiger Woods’ key stats for the Farmers Insurance Open
Based on historical tournament data from Fantasy National, my key stats for the week are:
- Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green
- Strokes Gained: Ball Striking
- Birdies or Better Gained
- Good Drives Gained
- Proximity from 150-175 Yards
- Sand Saves Gained
The model looks at the last 36 rounds on courses longer than 7,400 yards.
Tiger ranks 28th in the field by the model with a top rank of sixth in Birdies or Better Gained. His play from the sand has been the weakest part of his game of late, and he struggles relative to the field from the key proximity distance.
Outright odds for the Farmers Insurance Open
Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:15 a.m. ET.
With a win already under his belt early in the 2019-20 PGA Tour season (Zozo Championship) and a record 83rd career win in sight, I’m betting Tiger to win the Farmers Insurance Open. At +1100 at BetMGM, he’s the sportsbook’s No. 3 favorite behind Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who rank No. 2 and 3, respectively, in the Official World Golf Ranking.
Tiger enters the week ranked sixth in the world. His lighter schedule of late makes the stat model less representative of his current play. He is a contender whenever he’s in the field, and that’s doubly true at Torrey Pines. These odds are tolerable early in the season with a $10 bet on Tiger to win the tournament returning a profit of $110.
Best Props on Tiger Woods to win the Farmers Insurance Open
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I’m looking to bet Tiger only to win the tournament outright. Due to his already low odds there, he’s lacking the necessary value on any other wager.
A top-5 finish is paying out at just +275. A top-10 result is only +125. In group betting, Tiger is lumped in with Rahm, McIlroy, Justin Rose and Xander Schauffele. Those are his four top competitors, by the OWGR measure and the betting odds. Take the higher odds at +1100 for the outright win with the 2020 Farmers Insurance Open champion most likely to come from within this group.
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