How to bet Tiger Woods at the Genesis Invitational: Outright odds & props

Looking at Tiger Woods’ chances of success at the 2020 Genesis Invitational, including PGA Tour betting options within the tournament.

Tiger Woods will take his second attempt at breaking the PGA Tour’s all-time wins records this week when he tees it up at the 2020 Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club in Pacific Palisades, Calif. He’ll be competing against the strongest PGA Tour field of the year to date.

We look at Tiger’s chances of claiming his 83rd career victory, with PGA Tour betting odds and picks for the 2020 Genesis Invitational.

Tiger Woods’ history at Riviera Country Club

Woods, the tournament host, has never won at Riviera Country Club, which has hosted an annual event since 1999. He was a co-runner-up in ’99, finishing two strokes behind Ernie Els in a tie with Davis Love III and Ted Tryba. He didn’t play in the 1995 PGA Championship held at Riviera.

Tiger finished in a tie for 15th last year, two months before his Masters win, but he missed the cut in 2018 in his first appearance since withdrawing from the 2006 Nissan Open. He has made 12 career appearances at Riviera without a win.

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Tiger Woods’ key stats for the Genesis Invitational

Based on historical tournament data from Fantasy National, my key stats for the week are:

  • Strokes Gained: Ball Striking
  • Strokes Gained: Around the Green
  • Birdies Gained
  • Driving Distance Gained
  • Par 4 Efficiency 450-500 Yards

The model looks at the last 50 rounds on courses between 7,200 and 7,400 yards.

Tiger ranks eighth by the overall stat model with a top rank of 10th in Birdies Gained. He’s one spot behind Adam Scott and a spot ahead of Jon Rahm. His worst field rank is a 48th in Par 4 Efficiency on the longer holes.

Outright odds for the Genesis Invitational

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8 a.m. ET.

Woods is +1600 to win the 2020 Genesis Invitational, entering the week as the fifth favorite. While it’s a better number than he had at the Farmers Insurance Open (+1100) for his 2020 debut at Torrey Pines (a course which he’s had much more success at) there are better options with more enticing odds. Brooks Koepka, ranked No. 2 in the Official World Golf Ranking, is +2000 to win outright. Three-time Riviera champ Bubba Watson is +2200.

I would rather back Woods at +175 to finish in the Top 10. This is a loaded 120-man field featuring eight of the top 10 golfers in the world, and there are other values with better course history. It’s a good week to play it a little safer with Tiger as he ramps up his preparation for the 2020 Masters Tournament.

Best Props on Tiger Woods to win the Genesis Invitational


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Woods, ranked eighth in the OWGR to begin the week, is in a group with Rory McIlroy (1), Jon Rahm (3), Justin Thomas (4) and Dustin Johnson (5). Accordingly, he has the longest odds of the five golfers in Group A at +500. I like this number less than the outright odds, as the winner is most likely to come from this group. PASS.

For head-to-head betting, Tiger (+100) is paired against Johnson (-125), who won the then-Genesis Open by a five-stroke margin at 17-under par in 2017. There is value in backing the two to tie at +1600. It’s my favorite play for Tiger this week.

Get some action in this one by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Farmers Insurance Open: Fantasy Golf Power Rankings

Previewing the 2020 Farmers Insurance Open and looking at the best fantasy golf selections for the tournament.

The 2020 Farmers Insurance Open boasts the PGA Tour’s strongest field of the calendar year to date. Justin Rose is back to defend his 2019 title at Torrey Pines Golf Course in San Diego, but he’ll need to hold off a group led by Rory McIlroyJon Rahm and Tiger Woods. Woods is competing for a ninth career win at Torrey Pines and a record-setting 83rd career win on the PGA Tour.

The entire field will split their first two rounds between Torrey Pines’ North and South Courses. Those who survive the 36-hole cut will move to the South Course for their final 36 holes over the weekend.

Farmers Insurance Open: Top 30

(Photo Credit: Butch Dill – USA TODAY Sports)

Here are my top-30 fantasy golf rankings for the 2020 Farmers Insurance at Torrey Pines Golf Course.

30. Luke List

List missed the cut at both the Sony Open in Hawaii and The American Express, but he tied for 12th here in 2018 and followed it up with a T-40 last year. He’s very strong tee-to-green and typically performs well at these longer courses.

29. Matthew Wolff

The Tour sophomore finished just T-61 last week coming off a T-11 result at the 30-man Sentry Tournament of Champions. He’s not a true contender here, but he’s a safe pick to make it to the weekend.

28. J.B. Holmes

Holmes missed the cut in 2019 after picking up three top-10 results in his previous four appearances. He’s been in poor form since last year’s Genesis Open win, but his best golf typically comes early in the calendar year.

27. Brendan Steele

The Sony Open runner-up finished just T-43 last week. He has been very strong off the tee of late and will be well-equipped to handle the length of the South Course.

26. Joaquin Niemann

Niemann made the cut in his Farmers Insurance Open debut last year. He’s a quality ball-striker who can get hot with the putter to compensate for a lack of distance off the tee.

25. Jason Kokrak

The 65th-ranked golfer in the Official World Golf Ranking tied for 20th here last year. He’s coming off of a rare missed cut after failing to make the weekend just twice last season.

24. Lucas Glover

Not known as a particularly long hitter, Glover is able to position himself well off the tee and it will help give him good approach angles to the greens. He’s also a strong sand player and will be able to survive the 54 bunkers scattered throughout the course.

(Photo Credit: Orlando Ramirez – USA TODAY Sports)

23. Phil Mickelson

Mickelson missed the cut as the host of last week’s American Express. He has 70 career rounds played on Torrey Pines’ South Course and is among the most experienced in the field at the venue. He can still score on the long holes.

22. Bubba Watson

The 2011 champion hasn’t played here in the last five years. His length off the tee gives him an edge over most of the field, as he remains in search of his 2018 form which saw him win three times on Tour.

21. Byeong Hun An

An made his 2020 debut with a missed cut last week after going T-6, T-8 and T-14 over the Tour’s three-event swing through Asia to conclude the 2019 calendar year. He’s great tee-to-green and on approach, but putting remains an issue.

20. Ryan Palmer

Palmer’s a favorite of the key stats for Torrey Pines. He’s a great ball-striker with a strong tee-to-green game. He followed up a co-runner-up finish in 2018 with a T-13 last year.

19. Brandt Snedeker

The 2016 winner of this event has made the cut each of the three preceding years. He lacks the distance of the long hitters and top contenders, but if the California weather turns south, it plays to his advantage.

18. Scottie Scheffler

Scheffler will be put to the test in the strongest field in which he’s played against since the 2019 US Open. He finished third last week, but the strength of the field has risen considerably.

17. Sungjae Im

Im collected another top-10 result last week for his third of the PGA Tour season. Like Scheffler (and the entire field) he faces much stiffer competition this week, but he regularly works his way into contention.

16. Billy Horschel

Horschel has two 8th-place finishes here in his last four appearances. He’s not in good form right now, but the familiar venue can get him back on track.

(Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

15. Collin Morikawa

Morikawa has steadily risen up the OWGR since turning pro last year, as he’s yet to miss a cut. He’s a safe pick to play a full 72 holes each week.

14. Cameron Smith

Smith took last week off after winning the Sony Open in Hawaii. He tied for ninth here last year after making the cut in his third straight trip to Torrey Pines.

13. Tony Finau

Finau has been a regular contender here with four straight top-20 finishes, including two top 10s. He tied for 14th last week and can make up strokes on the longer holes.

12. Patrick Reed

Ranked 12th in the world entering this week, Reed missed the cut last week but returns to a venue where he tied for 13th last year.

11. Jason Day

Already a two-time winner over his last four appearances at Torrey Pines, Day picked up a T-5 in 2019. He’s the top sand player in the field. The only concern is his return from an injury which forced him to withdraw from the Presidents Cup.


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10. Rickie Fowler

Fowler had a stretch of three straight missed cuts here from 2016-18 before tying for 66th last year. He tied for 10th last week and will be preparing to defend his 2019 win at the Waste Management Open next week.

9. Francesco Molinari

Molinari makes his return to Torrey Pines after skipping last year’s event. He’s coming off a missed cut last week, but he positions himself well off the tee and gains his strokes tee to green at longer venues.

8. Marc Leishman

Leish has made the cut four of the last five years with a top finish of T-8 in 2018. He enters the week ranked 28th in the world and typically steps up in stronger fields.

(Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

7. Gary Woodland

The 2019 US Open champ will be taking an advanced look at the 2021 US Open venue. It’s considerably longer than Pebble Beach Golf Links, at which he won last year’s third major, but he has a strong history here, including a T-9 in 2019.

6. Xander Schauffele

Schauffele bucked a trend of three consecutively missed cuts here to finish T-25 last year. He can struggle off the tee at times, but he can score low if the conditions allow.

5. Hideki Matsuyama

Matsuyama tied for third a year ago. His strengths are positioning off the tee and his play from tee to green.

4. Jon Rahm

The 2017 champion finished just T-29 in 2018 before rebounding with a T-5 last year. He has three worldwide wins since July.

3. Justin Rose

The defending champ and former world No. 1 is coming off a runner-up finish at the Asian Tour’s SMBC Singapore Open.

(Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)

2. Tiger Woods

As noted above, there’s plenty on the line for Tiger this week at one of his favorite courses. He’s three months away from his defense of the Masters, but his hand-picked schedule before then includes only tournaments he plans on winning.

1. Rory McIlroy

The reigning PGA Tour Player of the Year is having his 2020 debut overshadowed by Tiger’s hunt for history. He hasn’t played this even often, but he tied for fifth a year ago.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

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How to bet Tiger Woods at the Farmers Insurance Open: Outright odds & props

Looking at Tiger Woods’ chances of success at the 2020 Farmers Insurance Open, including PGA Tour betting options within the tournament.

Tiger Woods is shooting for solo control of the PGA Tour’s all-time wins record this week at the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines Golf Course, as he competes against many of the world’s top golfers in his 2020 debut. Below, we’ll look at Tiger’s betting odds to win the Farmers Insurance Open outright and on the various prop bets available within the tournament.

ALSO SEE: Farmers Insurance Open odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Tiger Woods’ history at Torrey Pines

Torrey Pines is well known as a favorite course of Tiger’s. He has won this event a record seven times, as well as the 2008 US Open, also held at this venue. Per Data Golf, no member of this week’s field has gained more strokes per round at Torrey Pines (South) than Tiger’s 3.12 across 47 rounds.

He has played here each of the last three years. After a rare missed cut in 2017, he finished T-23 in 2018 and T-20 last year, three months ahead of his fifth career win at the Masters.

Tiger Woods’ key stats for the Farmers Insurance Open

Based on historical tournament data from Fantasy National, my key stats for the week are:

  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green
  • Strokes Gained: Ball Striking
  • Birdies or Better Gained
  • Good Drives Gained
  • Proximity from 150-175 Yards
  • Sand Saves Gained

The model looks at the last 36 rounds on courses longer than 7,400 yards.

Tiger ranks 28th in the field by the model with a top rank of sixth in Birdies or Better Gained. His play from the sand has been the weakest part of his game of late, and he struggles relative to the field from the key proximity distance.

Outright odds for the Farmers Insurance Open

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:15 a.m. ET.

With a win already under his belt early in the 2019-20 PGA Tour season (Zozo Championship) and a record 83rd career win in sight, I’m betting Tiger to win the Farmers Insurance Open. At +1100 at BetMGM, he’s the sportsbook’s No. 3 favorite behind Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who rank No. 2 and 3, respectively, in the Official World Golf Ranking.

Tiger enters the week ranked sixth in the world. His lighter schedule of late makes the stat model less representative of his current play. He is a contender whenever he’s in the field, and that’s doubly true at Torrey Pines. These odds are tolerable early in the season with a $10 bet on Tiger to win the tournament returning a profit of $110.

Best Props on Tiger Woods to win the Farmers Insurance Open


Looking to place a bet on Tiger Woods or this tournament? Get some action on it at BetMGMSign up and bet at BetMGM now!


I’m looking to bet Tiger only to win the tournament outright. Due to his already low odds there, he’s lacking the necessary value on any other wager.

A top-5 finish is paying out at just +275. A top-10 result is only +125. In group betting, Tiger is lumped in with Rahm, McIlroy, Justin Rose and Xander Schauffele. Those are his four top competitors, by the OWGR measure and the betting odds. Take the higher odds at +1100 for the outright win with the 2020 Farmers Insurance Open champion most likely to come from within this group.

Get some action in this one by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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