Opinion: ‘Georgia before they became Georgia’ is premature for Texas

It’s too early to call Texas what Georgia was before the 2021 season, but they have potential to win a title with Sarkisian.

The hype for the Texas Longhorns football program is explosive. Fox Sports host RJ Young and The Athletic writer Andy Staples have stoked the fire this offseason.

Young and Staples discussed Texas’ potential on RJ Young’s college football segment of The Number One College Football Show. In it, both bought in to the concept that the Longhorns are similar to Kirby Smart’s Georgia before the Bulldogs won their first national title.

There’s “proof of concept” in Austin, Andy Staples suggests. The Longhorns have won a conference title and 12 games, including a double-digit road win over fellow playoff team Alabama. They made their first College Football Playoff last season.

Few teams can claim the same success with their current coaches staff. Albeit, there is still more to prove for Texas as it looks to take the next step.

The talent and depth is there for head coach Steve Sarkisian’s team heading into a fourth season on the Forty Acres. The majority of those that naysay that assertion have allegiance to the team in Norman or College Station. They were the loudest to reject Texas’ ability to win a Big 12 title or 10 games, much less 12, only a season ago. They struck out swinging.

The question for Sarkisian’s program is year-to-year consistency.

Consistency has been an issue for starting quarterback Quinn Ewers, though it has improved. Andy Staples’ hesitation on Texas revolves around whether or not Ewers can take a step to the next level. It’s a fair question.

Texas’ ability to elevate to a national title contender hinges on Ewers improving at a rate similar to last year’s trajectory. You might know the statistical improvement he made last season. Ewers improved from a 58.1% completion rate to 69% in 2023. That’s a playoff caliber mark. So, too, was Ewers’ 8.8 yards per attempt a season ago. Even so, playoff caliber and title contending production are two different things.

Ewers passed for just 22 touchdowns last season. That’s a borderline at best mark for a playoff contending quarterback. The number might have to improve, and so does his play at the beginning of games.

The Texas offense notoriously endured slow starts in the 2023 season against Rice, Wyoming, Oklahoma and Washington. It needs its quarterback to move from a game manager of the offense to one who can take complex defensive looks in stride. The inability to do so made Rice and Wyoming games tense in first halves and led to losses against Oklahoma and Washington.

The receiving corps is there for Ewers to have a more explosive season despite what some suggest. Transfer receivers Isaiah Bond (Alabama), Silas Bolden (Oregon State) and Matthew Golden (Houston) add three productive power conference starters to the fold.

Five-star Ryan Wingo joins blue chip talents in Johntay Cook and DeAndre Moore have emerged as players who look to have a path to significant playing time. They should have plenty of time to get open behind one of college football’s most experienced and talented offensive lines.

Texas has the players to become a title winner in one of the next few seasons. The talent is being developed. 11 players were selected in the 2024 NFL draft. Several more are expected to be drafted over the next two departing classes. That said, they will need to duplicate success which won’t be easy in a more competitive Southeastern Conference.

Texas probably isn’t the next Georgia. But it could be a title contender in 2024. It simply needs to continue along the same trajectory that saw the team go from an 8-5 season to 12 wins in 2023.

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Texas lands in top five of another post-spring college football poll

The Athletic’s post-spring top 25 has Texas ranked a little lower than Joel Klatt’s.

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What makes Texas’ returning experience at offensive line advantageous

It’s hard to pick up blitzes with a unit that has never worked together. Texas doesn’t have to worry about that.

College football teams across the country are losing plenty of experience along the offensive line. Texas is one of the few that is retaining the core of its line. It’s a huge advantage.

Kelvin Banks Jr., Devon Campbell Jr., Hayden Conner and Cole Hutson enter their third year of consistent playing time in Austin. They’re joined by fourth year starting center Jake Majors, key contributors Cam Williams and Malik Agbo and another lineman primed to break out in Neto Umeozulu.

The list above includes seven or eight starter quality offensive lineman. That’s not the norm in college football and certainly not on Texas’ 2024 schedule.

There is some confusion as to why Texas is expected to win 10 games and return to a College Football Playoff. Much of that revolves around what it lost on the defensive line.

In fairness, losing two All-American caliber defensive tackles is a huge deal. Albeit, given the offensive line turnover among teams on the Longhorns’ schedule it’s uncertain how many teams can capitalize.

Of the four most difficult matchups on the Texas schedule, three face significant upheaval on the offensive line. Michigan, whose offensive dominance was predicated on bullying opponents in the trenches, loses all five offensive linemen. Oklahoma, who seemed to do better than Michigan in the portal, will have five new starters on the offensive line.

Texas A&M wasn’t the most shining example of great offensive line play in 2023. It loses multi-year starter in five-star center Bryce Foster.

So who is going to make Texas’ defensive interior pay for what it lost? Outside of Georgia, there’s question about several teams’ ability to attack the Longhorns’ perceived weakness.

More than being able to impose its will in the running game, which should happen for Texas in 2024 with former freshmen starters becoming juniors and seniors becoming super-seniors, the Longhorns are more set up to succeed in handling stunts, twists and blitzes that teams dish out.

Like it or not, first year offensive lines are almost certain to struggle against various pressures that defenses throw at them. It’s much easier for defensive tackles to maintain gap integrity than for five new offensive linemen to read several variables at one time and act in cohesion. It’s simply an unrealistic expectation regardless of how those players have performed elsewhere.

While Texas won’t be immune to giving up pressure, it doesn’t have the same level of concern many of its top opponents should have in their offensive line. For the Longhorns and head coach Steve Sarkisian it’s a huge advantage, and one that could vault the team to another College Football Playoff in 2024.

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Texas’ Trey Moore more prolific than Buffalo’s Khalil Mack in sacks

Texas edge Trey Moore was more dominant in the Group of Five than former Top 5 pick Khalil Mack. Still unsure it translates to the SEC?

Some believe Group of Five production doesn’t translate to major college football. Sometimes it doesn’t, but sometimes it does.

One lower level player’s college stardom spelled success at the NFL level. Former University of Buffalo star Khalil Mack followed dominance in college football to the NFL and a Top 5 pick in the 2014 NFL draft.

Mack put up impressive stats in his time at Buffalo. Here’s a look at his college career.

Year Total tackles Tackles for loss Sacks
2010 68 14.5 4.5
2011 65 20.5 5.5
2012 94 21.0 8.0
2013 100 18.5 10.5

Objectively, Mack was a force at Buffalo and a better overall player than Texas edge Trey Moore has been in two seasons at UTSA. When it comes to sacking opposing quarterbacks, Moore has been better.

Khalil Mack’s best sack total for a season at the college level was 10.5 sacks in his fourth year. Trey Moore averaged more sacks (11.0) than Mack’s career best year in two seasons as a starter at UTSA. The former Roadrunner totaled eight sacks in his first season of extended playing time in San Antonio. He put up 14 sacks in 2023. That’s 22 sacks in two seasons.

Some think Moore’s production won’t translate for the Longhorns next season. Where they get their certainty in that belief is unsure, but the confidence is certainly unfounded.

Sacks are sacks. It would be surprising if Moore amassed 14 sacks again in 2024, but all signs point to him being a force for the Longhorns. Group of Five production translated for Khalil Mack at the professional level. The upcoming season will reveal whether or not Moore can make an impact for the Texas defense in the SEC.

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