TCU vs Texas Tech Prediction Game Preview

TCU vs Texas Tech game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 10 game on Saturday, November 5

TCU vs Texas Tech prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 10, Saturday, November 5


TCU vs Texas Tech How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 5
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Amon G Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
How To Watch: FOX
Record: TCU (8-0), Texas Tech (4-4)
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TCU vs Texas Tech Game Preview

Why Texas Tech Will Win

Poor Texas Tech. What’s the point of even showing up?

TCU is the hipster favorite to crash the College Football Playoff party with its high-powered offense and intimidating defense that’s making big plays – and knocking around quarterbacks – on a regular basis.

Poor, poor Texas Tech … if only the passing game could show up again after royally screwing up in the 45-17 loss to Baylor last week …

The offense is going to be a problem for the Horned Frogs. Throw for 300 on this D and the game is going to be tight.

TCU didn’t have to deal with Oklahoma’s Dillon Gabriel or Jalon Daniels of Kansas – it knocked both quarterbacks out of the respective games – and banged up the Kansas State quarterbacks.

However, it got pushed a bit by SMU allowing 372 yards in the 42-34 win. Now it’s up to the Red Raiders to start winging it around and put pressure on the TCU secondary from the start.

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Why TCU Will Win

The Texas Tech quarterback situation is … interesting.

It has three viable options now after health problems early on, but it appeared to be Behren Morton’s gig after two great performances against Oklahoma State and West Virginia. Baylor had other ideas.

Morton couldn’t get anything going last week, threw three picks, Donovan Smith threw two passes with one interception, and Tyler Shough came in and threw two passes – one to each team.

It was an aberration for the high-powered passing team, but it exposed one potential issue – pass protection.

Baylor allowed six sacks, but that’s not new for this group. The line is the worst in the Big 12 in sacks and tackles for loss allowed. TCU doesn’t have too much of a pass rush, but it can generate pressure.

That, and …

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What’s Going To Happen

TCU doesn’t turn the ball over.

The O has given it up just six times all year, and the offense is in a wonderful groove that won’t stop against the Texas Tech defense that’s fine, not great.

This will be a fun shootout with both teams having their moments, but TCU will come through late with two big scoring drives to get out with a much, much tougher game than it might like.

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TCU vs Texas Tech Prediction, Line

TCU 40, Texas Tech 30
Line: TCU -9.5, o/u: 69.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
TCU vs Texas Tech Must See Rating (out of 5): 3
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TCU vs Texas Tech Prediction, College Basketball Game Preview

TCU vs Texas Tech prediction, college basketball game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win on Saturday.

TCU vs Texas Tech prediction, college basketball game preview, how to watch: Saturday, February 12


TCU vs Texas Tech How To Watch

Date: Saturday, February 12
Game Time: 4:00 ET
Venue: United Supermarkets Arena, Lubbock, TX
How To Watch: Big 12 Network/ESPN+
Record: TCU (16-5), Texas Tech (18-6)
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TCU vs Texas Tech Game Preview


Why TCU Will Win

The defense continues to be terrific.

The Horned Frogs have a nice mix that can work on just about anyone. It might allow way to many teams to shoot well, but it manages to keep scores low – it allows 63 points per game – and it rebounds everything.

There are more than enough offensive boards to make up for the mediocre three-point shooting, there aren’t a ton of second chance points on the other end, and when the inside game is working, everything else comes together.

Texas Tech isn’t going to come out and hang 90 on the board – it’s going to want to play a relatively low scoring, tough battle, too, but …

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Why Texas Tech Will Win

TCU is playing great defense and gets a whole lot of rebounds. Texas Tech’s D is better.

It’s No. 1 in the Big 12 and among the best in the nation at keeping teams from hitting their shots, allowing just 38% from the field and doing a nice job of slowing down the three.

No, it doesn’t rebound quite as well as TCU does, and it’s going to have to fight a bit to grab the defensive boards, but this shouldn’t be an issue.

TCU isn’t going to be scary from the outside, so as simple as this sounds …

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What’s Going To Happen

Texas Tech needs to just make its shots.

It was able to get by West Virginia despite an inability to hit anything from the outside, and it got rocked by Oklahoma after making 2-of-17 from three.

TCU doesn’t have a strong enough offense to crank up big points, but it’s not bad on the road and the rebounds will be there. Texas Tech’s defense, though, will be too good.

The Red Raiders are 14-0 at United Supermarkets. That’s not stopping.

TCU vs Texas Tech Prediction, Lines

Texas Tech 70, TCU 56
Line: Texas Tech -10.5, o/u: 127.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 2.5

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TCU vs Texas Tech Prediction, Game Preview

TCU vs Texas Tech prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 9

TCU vs Texas Tech prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 9


TCU vs Texas Tech How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 9
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX
How To Watch: ESPN
Record: TCU (2-2), Texas Tech (4-1)
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TCU vs Texas Tech Game Preview


Why TCU Will Win

It’s a stunningly flawed TCU team – more on that in a moment – but the parts that work are really, really strong.

The offense is amazing on third downs – it’s No. 2 in the nation converting 50% or more of its chances in every game. The punting game is amazing, QB  Max Duggan is a veteran who’s great in the red zone, and the offensive line is giving everyone time to work.

Texas Tech’s secondary is getting bombed on and the offense never has the ball. It’s about pacing, but TCU might be able to control the game and the clock a bit. In a strange way, the inability of the Horned Frog D to rush the passer doesn’t hurt – Texas Tech gets rid of the ball fast.

However …

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Why Texas Tech Will Win

It would be nice if TCU could generate some pressure on the QB, but it just doesn’t.

Former Utah State starting quarterback Henry Colombi followed head coach Matt Wells to Texas Tech, and he’s coming through large after Tyler Shough went down. The veteran threw for close to 300 yards with three touchdowns over the last two weeks, and he was steady enough in the win over West Virginia.

Again, TCU doesn’t get to the quarterback, and that’s partly why it’s so awful at coming up with third down stops. Texas Tech can run a little bit, and TCU is bad at stopping that, too.

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What’s Going To Happen

Is this that strange week when TCU all of a sudden flips a switch and is good at defense again?

The Horned Frogs couldn’t stop Texas from running, couldn’t stop Cal from passing well, and it couldn’t seem to stop anything against SMU.

It’s not like Texas Tech is playing any defense, either, but at home, the offense will be just a little bit sharper with the ground game cranking up to control the clock a bit more.

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TCU vs Texas Tech Prediction, Line

Texas Tech 34, TCU 30
Line: TCU -1.5, o/u: 61
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5

Must See Rating: 3

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TCU at Texas Tech odds: Red Raiders short dogs at home

Previewing Saturday’s TCU at Texas Tech college football matchup, with college football betting odds, picks and best bets

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The Texas Christian Horned Frogs (4-5, 2-4 Big 12) and Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-5, 2-4) do battle at Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, Texas, at noon ET Saturday in an elimination game of sorts.

We analyze the TCU-Texas Tech odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.

TCU at Texas Tech: Three things you need to know

1. With a game at Oklahoma still on the schedule, TCU can ill-afford a sixth loss in this one if its wants to attain bowl eligibility. The Horned Frogs are coming off a demoralizing 29-23 loss in triple-overtime last week at home to unbeaten Baylor.

2. Texas Tech is in the same boat, as the Red Raiders cannot afford a loss in this one with Kansas State and Texas remaining on the schedule. If they want to go bowling, a win Saturday is imperative.

3. TCU is 2-5 against the spread in the past seven meetings, while going 1-4 ATS in the past five trips to Lubbock.


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TCU at Texas Tech: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Prediction

TCU 34, Texas Tech 29

Moneyline (ML)

TCU (-159) nearly dealt Baylor the Bears’ first loss last week, but Baylor forced overtime with a long field in the final minute of regulation. The Horned Frogs then blew it defensively and are in a tough spot heading into this one. Despite some terrible luck against the number against Texas Tech (+130), look to the Horned Frogs to win this one outright.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Iowa State to win would return a profit of $6.30.

Against the Spread (ATS)

TCU (-2.5, -134) hits the road looking to turn things around against the number in this series. The Horned Frogs are also just 2-6 ATS in the past eight road games, and 1-4 ATS in the past five inside the Big 12. While Texas Tech is 3-1-1 ATS in the past five, and 3-0-1 ATS in the past four at home, Texas Tech’s awful defense will be the difference here. The Red Raiders rank 121st in total yards allowed (470.3) and 127th in passing yards given up (308.6).

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER (56.5, -110) is the worth a look. TCU struggled offensively last week, at least in regulation, before a bad-beat over connected. The Horned Frogs should find a lot more room to operate in Lubbock. The over is 6-1 in the past seven for TCU, and 6-1 in the school’s past seven conference games, too. The over is 4-1-1 in Texas Tech’s past six overall, too.

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TCU vs. Texas Tech Fearless Prediction, Game Preview

TCU vs. Texas Tech fearless prediction and game preview.

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TCU vs. Texas Tech fearless prediction and game preview.


TCU vs. Texas Tech Broadcast

Date: Saturday, November 16
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
Venue: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX
Network: ESPN2

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TCU (4-5) vs. Texas Tech (4-5) Game Preview

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Why TCU Will Win

A whole lot of parts to the puzzle are still working.

The defense continues to be the best in the Big 12, the secondary is able to hole its own just fine, and the run defense is a bit of a wall. Granted, it hasn’t dealt with a whole slew of running teams, but it’s been good.

There aren’t any worries this week against the run, and the secondary that’s been holding everyone but Texas to under 300 yards should be able to keep the big plays to a bare minimum. Iowa State and Oklahoma State were the only teams to hit the home runs on the Horned Frogs, and the only way Texas Tech is winning games is by going ballistic.

Jett Duffey has been fantastic, but merely hitting a ton of short to midrange throws isn’t getting it done. It he’s not throwing for over 350 yards, Texas Tech isn’t winning, and that’s not happening against this TCU defense.

The secondary is generally doing a solid job of tackling in the open field, and it’s coming up with plenty of takeaways. However …

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Why Texas Tech Will Win

Texas Tech isn’t giving it up.

This isn’t a timely offense, and it’s not moving the chains well enough, but it’s not giving away many cheap points. The Red Raiders lead the Big 12 in turnover margin with an O that’s careful to not screw up and a D that’s making up for several problems by taking the ball away.

The pass rush is just good enough to be a bother, and the great punting game is doing just enough to tilt the field. The defense is giving up too many yards after coming up with strong field position, but the TCU offense isn’t consistent enough to do that too many times.

QB Max Duggan is looking like a keeper, but the freshman has been off lately. He did just enough to keep the team in the game against Baylor, but he was wildly erratic and threw three picks for the second game in a row.

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What’s Going To Happen

Both teams are in desperate need of something positive.

TCU might have beaten Texas a few weeks ago, but it’s also on a run of losing four games in the last five. Texas Tech hit the West Virginia Layup, but it lost five games in its previous six before that.

Both teams have massive flaws, but Duffey is going to be a bit sharper than Duggan. Give this one to the home team in what should be an interesting – but not all that well-played – close game.


TCU vs. Texas Tech Prediction, Line

Texas Tech 30, TCU 26
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TCU -2.5, o/u: 56.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5
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Must See Rating: 3

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