TCU at Texas Tech odds: Red Raiders short dogs at home

Previewing Saturday’s TCU at Texas Tech college football matchup, with college football betting odds, picks and best bets

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The Texas Christian Horned Frogs (4-5, 2-4 Big 12) and Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-5, 2-4) do battle at Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, Texas, at noon ET Saturday in an elimination game of sorts.

We analyze the TCU-Texas Tech odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.

TCU at Texas Tech: Three things you need to know

1. With a game at Oklahoma still on the schedule, TCU can ill-afford a sixth loss in this one if its wants to attain bowl eligibility. The Horned Frogs are coming off a demoralizing 29-23 loss in triple-overtime last week at home to unbeaten Baylor.

2. Texas Tech is in the same boat, as the Red Raiders cannot afford a loss in this one with Kansas State and Texas remaining on the schedule. If they want to go bowling, a win Saturday is imperative.

3. TCU is 2-5 against the spread in the past seven meetings, while going 1-4 ATS in the past five trips to Lubbock.


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TCU at Texas Tech: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Prediction

TCU 34, Texas Tech 29

Moneyline (ML)

TCU (-159) nearly dealt Baylor the Bears’ first loss last week, but Baylor forced overtime with a long field in the final minute of regulation. The Horned Frogs then blew it defensively and are in a tough spot heading into this one. Despite some terrible luck against the number against Texas Tech (+130), look to the Horned Frogs to win this one outright.

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Against the Spread (ATS)

TCU (-2.5, -134) hits the road looking to turn things around against the number in this series. The Horned Frogs are also just 2-6 ATS in the past eight road games, and 1-4 ATS in the past five inside the Big 12. While Texas Tech is 3-1-1 ATS in the past five, and 3-0-1 ATS in the past four at home, Texas Tech’s awful defense will be the difference here. The Red Raiders rank 121st in total yards allowed (470.3) and 127th in passing yards given up (308.6).

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER (56.5, -110) is the worth a look. TCU struggled offensively last week, at least in regulation, before a bad-beat over connected. The Horned Frogs should find a lot more room to operate in Lubbock. The over is 6-1 in the past seven for TCU, and 6-1 in the school’s past seven conference games, too. The over is 4-1-1 in Texas Tech’s past six overall, too.

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