Sugar Bowl: Baylor vs. Georgia odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Wednesday’s Sugar Bowl matchup between Baylor and Georgia, with NCAA football betting odds, picks and best bets.

The New Year’s Day quartet of big-time bowl games ends with the Sugar Bowl, as the Georgia Bulldogs (11-2), the SEC runner-up, face the Baylor Bears (11-2), the Big 12 runner-up. They will kick off Wednesday, Jan. 1 at 8:45 p.m. ET at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans.

We analyze the Georgia-Baylor odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Georgia vs. Baylor: Three things you need to know

1. Baylor’s only two losses of the season came against Oklahoma, the No. 4 team in the country playing in a College Football Playoff semifinal.

2. Georgia has the No. 2 scoring defense in the country, allowing only 12.5 points per contest and surrendering more than 20 points once — against No. 1 LSU in the SEC Championship Game.

3. Georgia RB D’Andre Swift has rushed for 1,216 yards on the season, or 35 yards fewer than Baylor’s top two running backs combined.


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Georgia vs. Baylor: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:40 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Georgia 27, Baylor 13

Moneyline (ML)

Georgia was considered a possible playoff team until its loss in the SEC title game. Baylor can score points but played an inferior schedule. Georgia’s -239 won’t win much money but is the smartest bet in this matchup. Baylor’s +190 has a big payout but it isn’t worth the wager in this matchup. Take GEORGIA239.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Georgia returns a profit of $4.18.

Against the Spread (ATS)

Georgia is favored in this game at -5.5 (-110). Baylor has been a very good bet against the spread, covering in nine of its 13 games (compared to only seven covers for Georgia). However, Baylor’s defense is suspect and Georgia’s defense is suffocating. This will be a lopsided win. Take the BULLDOGS -5.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

The total is set at 41.5 points. The question will be whether Baylor can score more than two touchdowns in this game. Georgia’s games stayed under the point total in 10 of 13 games. Baylor’s stayed under in seven.

Georgia’s defense will keep the Bears from scoring much and the Bulldogs will be able to slow the game down in the second half. Take UNDER 41.5 (-115).

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Everything Georgia football fans need to know about Baylor

Georgia won each prior meeting, but the game in New Orleans will be the first in which they’ve faced each other outside Sanford Stadium.

With conference championship week having come to a close, bowl season is upon us. The Georgia Bulldogs are headed to the Sugar Bowl to square off with the Baylor Bears, with whom they’ve competed four times across the programs’ histories.

Georgia won each prior meeting, but the contest in New Orleans will be the first in which the Dawgs have faced the Bears outside Sanford Stadium. It will be the first time the teams have played since 1989.

Baylor and Georgia enter the game with identical records (11-2), both having lost one regular season game and their respective conference title games.

The Bears’ two losses both came against playoff-bound Oklahoma by a combined ten points.

Led by third-year head coach Matt Rhule, Baylor will make its second consecutive bowl game following an incredible turnaround: the Bears finished with just one regular season win in Rhule’s first season, six in his second, and eleven in 2019.

Georgia’s second-longest active bowl streak continues with a second consecutive trip to the Allstate Sugar Bowl. It will be Baylor’s first Sugar Bowl appearance since 1957, when the Bears shocked a second-ranked and previously undefeated Tennessee Volunteers squad by a score of thirteen to seven.

Baylor possesses a balanced, powerful offense that averages 257 yards passing and 175 yards rushing per game.

However, The Bears’ powerful offense may arrive to the Mercedes-Benz Superdome shorthanded; starting quarterback Charlie Brewer was knocked out early in the second quarter of this weekend’s Big XII Championship and stayed sidelined for the remainder of the game.

Backup quarterback Gerry Bohanon, who was also recruited by UGA, was later replaced by third-string QB Jacob Zeno against Oklahoma. Zeno led a comeback that took his team to overtime before coming up short. Prior to his team’s most recent game against the Sooners, Bohanon had attempted just 21 passes wearing green and gold. Zeno has attempted nine passes all year.

Baylor has a run-first offense, attempting 82 more rushes than passes in 2019 (476 to 394).

If Brewer, who’s posted a solid 20:6 touchdown-to-interception ratio with a 65% completion rate, remains out, expect an even heavier rushing attack procured by the Bears’ massive offensive linemen (three of whom have played together for over three years). Behind them, shifty tailbacks JaMycal Hasty and John Lovett have combined for 1251 yards and 12 touchdowns this season.

On Defense, Baylor hasn’t allowed north of 30 points all year to anyone who doesn’t attend school in Norman, Oklahoma. This group of players amounts to one of the most physical defenses the team has produced in years, nearly half-full of seniors (Henry Black, Jameson Houston, James Lockhart, Chris Miller and Blake Lynch) all playing the best statistical season of each of their college careers.

They give up just 19.3 points per game facing an injury-plagued Georgia team that has failed to score over 27 points in all but one game (against Georgia Tech) since their first loss of the season to South Carolina two months ago.

Baylor presents a cohesive defensive unit against a rattled Silver Britches offense. Whether their signal caller is missing or not, the Bears are not to be underestimated.

Georgia opens as favorite in Sugar Bowl vs Baylor

The Georgia Bulldogs and the Baylor Bears will meet on January 1st for the 2020 Sugar Bowl. See the opening spread for the Dawgs here.

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The Georgia Bulldogs lost a tough one this past Saturday, falling to LSU in the SEC Championship by a score of 37-10.  The Dawgs have lost SEC Championships two years in a row, and have dropped from #4 in the CFP rankings to #5 yet again.  Oklahoma jumped to the #4 spot after their Big 12 Championship win over Baylor.

The Dawgs will play in the Sugar Bowl for a 2nd straight year and open as 7.5 point favorites over the Baylor Bears.

Odds via BetMGM. Access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 1:45 p.m.

Want to get in on the action? Place your bet now at BetMGM.

Most teams in the college football world would kill for a chance to play in the Sugar Bowl, but for Dawgs fans it feels like more of a consolation game than anything.  Last year hit a little bit harder due to dropping after an incredible game against Alabama in the SEC Championship.

Georgia opened the Sugar Bowl last year to Texas as two touchdown favorites, but we all know how that went.

Georgia will be without some key contributors, including Dominick Blaylock, Lawrence Cager and possibly a few starters who are headed to the pros  Hopefully Kirby Smart and the Dawgs can pull out an impressive victory and go into next season with a chip on their shoulder and smile on their faces.

The Sugar Bowl kicks off at 8:45 p.m. on New Years Day in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans, and will be airing on ESPN.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.