St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (47-42) take on the Washington Nationals (42-48) Monday in the finale of a 4-game set at Nationals Park at 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 2-1

The Cards bats were ablaze in the DC heat Sunday with an 8-3 victory. Each Cardinals starter had a hit, and C Willson Contreras hit his 9th homer and had 3 RBIs. Cardinals 3B Nolan Arenado‘s bat is coming alive recently, as he’s hitting .360 over his last 7 days. His BA has risen to .270 on the season. His lack of pop is still a concern, but the notoriously dead-pull hitter has been using all fields to get on base.

OF Jesse Winker continues to be a pest with 2 more hits Sunday. He’s 4-for-11 (.364) with 4 runs and 2 RBIs in the series. He has a .352-11-34 line in 238 career at-bats against St. Louis. High-end prospect OF James Wood has been productive in his first 25 at-bats, hitting .320, and he hit his first MLB homer Saturday.

Cardinals at Nationals projected starters

RHP Miles Mikolas vs. LHP Mitchell Parker

Mikolas (6-7, 5.19 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 through 100 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 5-4 loss in 10 innings Wednesday at the Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Last 5 regular season starts vs. Nationals: 2-2, 2.48 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 17 K in 29 IP

Parker (5-4, 3.61 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 84 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 7-5 home win Wednesday against New York Mets
  • Has not faced St. Louis in his career
  • Home/road splits: 3-0, 3.11 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 in 6 home starts vs. 2-4, 4.02 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.5 K/9 in 9 road starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cardinals at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Nationals -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+155) | Nationals +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cardinals at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 7, Nationals 5

Moneyline

The Cards are 15-11 against left-handed starters this year. Parker has also allowed 11 ER in 17 IP for a 5.82 ERA in his last 3 GS. The Nats’ defense has also been abysmal in the series. All of these factors, despite having little faith in Mikolas, lend me to roll with the CARDINALS -105.

Run line/Against the spread

We’re avoiding the RL and going back to the well with JESSE WINKER OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-120). As mentioned, he’s 4-for-11 (.364) with 4 runs and 2 RBIs in the series and has a .352-11-34 line in 238 career at-bats against St. Louis.

Over/Under

The Over has cashed in all 3 games of the series. The Cardinals are 7-3 O/U in their last 10, and the Nats are 6-3-1. The Over has cashed in 9 of 10 meetings between the clubs. It’s slated to be 93 degrees with a 7-mph gust blowing out to left-center. I see no reason these trends shouldn’t continue.

Take the OVER 9 (-115).

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St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (46-42) and Washington Nationals (42-47) meet Sunday for the 3rd game of a 4-game series. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Washington routed St. Louis 14-6 Saturday while covering as a -126 home favorite after losing the series opener 7-6. The Nationals jumped out to a 9-0 in the 2nd innings and never allowed the Cardinals to make it a close game. Washington has won 3 of its last 4 games.

RHP Lance Lynn took the loss for the Cardinals (2 2/3 IP, 10 ER, 9 H, 4 BB, 2 K), which ended a 2-game win streak.

Cardinals at Nationals projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. LHP DJ Herz

Gibson (6-3, 3.88 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 92 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 8 K in a 7-4 win at Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
  • Career vs. Washington: 1-3, 8.31 ERA (21 2/3 IP, 20 ER), 25 H, 9 BB, 17 K in 4 starts

Herz (1-2, 4.67 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 12.3 K/9 in 27 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 10 K in a 7-2 loss vs. New York Mets Tuesday
  • First career start vs. St. Louis

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cardinals at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Nationals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+125) | Nationals +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Cardinals at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Nationals 5

Moneyline

LEAN CARDINALS (-125).

St. Louis is the slightly hotter team, being 6-4 in its last 10 games and 2-1 in its last 3 on the road while the Nationals are only 4-6 in their last 10 and 3-3 in their last 6 at home.

The Cardinals are also 3-1 in their last 4 matchups vs. Washington and also being 3-2 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.

Run line/Against the spread

BET NATIONALS +1.5 (-150).

Washington has been a very good ATS team this season, being 52-37 overall on the year and 24-18 ATS at home. The Nationals are also 31-16 ATS following a loss this season.

With neither team having a major advantage over the other, and Washington riding high after routing the Cardinals Saturday, this appears a very safe bet.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-120).

The Over has hit in 4 of St. Louis’ last 5 games on the road and is 6-3 in its last 9 overall. For Washington, the Over is 3-1 in its last 4 games and is 6-3-1 in its last 10. The Over has also hit in 5 consecutive St. Louis-Washington matchups and is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (45-41) take on the Washington Nationals (41-46) Friday in the opener of a 3-game set at Nationals Park at 6:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Cards won 4-2 last season

The Cards prevailed in Pittsburgh 3-2 in 10 innings against the Pirates Thursday as they took 2 of 3 from them. OF Alec Burleson had 2 hits and is leading the offense right now. Burly is hitting .354 with 3 HR and 17 RBIs in the last 15 days. The Cards are 13-7 in their last 20 games.

The Nats took the final 2 of a 4-game series against the New York Mets. They came away with a 1-0 thriller Thursday as OF Jesse Winker‘s pinch-hit homer in the 8th was the difference. No. 3 prospect in baseball, OF James Wood, has hits in 3 of his first 4 MLB games and is hitting .308 in 13 ABs.

Cardinals at Nationals projected starters

RHP Sonny Gray vs. LHP Patrick Corbin

Gray (9-5, 2.98 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 through 87 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER (6 R), 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 9-4 home defeat Saturday against Cincinnati Reds
  • His 11.2 K/9 is the 2nd-best of his career
  • Last 5 starts vs. Nationals: 2-1, 4.32 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 20 K in 25 IP (hasn’t faced them since 2021)

Corbin (1-8, 5.49 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 through 95 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 5-0 setback Sunday at Tampa Bay Rays
  • Has allowed the most ER in MLB
  • Last 5 regular-season starts vs. St. Louis: 1-1, 2.79 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 33 K in 29 IP (hasn’t faced it since 2021)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cardinals at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:22 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Nationals +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (-105) | Nationals +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Cardinals at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Nationals 5

Moneyline

The Cards should win this game. Gray has been a little spotty, but his stuff has remained electric. St. Louis has been solid against lefties, too, at 13-10, and Corbin continues to live up to his standard for one of the worst contracts in MLB.

That said, I’m not spending -165 on them. Instead, we’re keying in on Winker, who hit the go-ahead homer Thursday. He’s 2-for-4 lifetime off Gray, and he KILLS the Cardinals. He’s hitting .352 with 11 homers and 32 RBIs in 224 career at-bats against them. Take JESSE WINKER OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+120).

Run line/Against the spread

This is a spot where you would have to consider the Cards here with their ace on the mound against an inferior team. The problem, though, is I know this team. They are just 13-26 ATS when favored. They play SO many 1-run games and have fared well at 16-12 in them. However, you just can’t trust them to cover the 1.5. That said, I also don’t want to pay -115 for a run on the Nats’ side.

PASS.

Over/Under

The Cards are 5-5 O/U in their last 10, and the Nats are 6-3-1. It’s projected to be a scorcher at 96 degrees, over 50% humidity and a 6-mph breeze blowing out to left-center.

That’s a recipe for an OVER 9 (-105) to hit.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (44-41) and Pittsburgh Pirates (41-44) meet Thursday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from PNC Park is set for 12:35 p.m. (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: St. Louis leads 3-2

Pittsburgh escaped with a 5-4 win in 10 innings over St. Louis Wednesday while covering as a -119 home favorite. SS Oniel Cruz hit the walk-off RBI single to cap-off a 2-run inning for the Pirates. The Pirates have won 2 of their last 3 games.

After taking the lead in the 10th the Cardinals blew the lead and had a 2-game win streak snapped.

Cardinals at Pirates projected starters

RHP Andre Pallante vs. LHP Martin Perez

Pallante (4-3, 4.50 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.58 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 38 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 1-0 win over Cincinnati Reds Friday
  • Career vs. Pittsburgh: 0-1, 5.14 ERA (14 IP, 8 ER), 13 H, 11 BB, 5 K in 13 relief appearances

Perez (1-4, 5.28 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 61 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 6-1 loss at Atlanta Braves Friday
  • Career vs. St. Louis: 1-0, 2.79 ERA (19 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 16 H, 5 BB, 8 K in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cardinals at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:38 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Pirates -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+145) | Pirates +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cardinals at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Pirates 5

Moneyline

LEAN CARDINALS (-115).

St. Louis enters as the slightly hotter team, being 6-4 in their last 10 games and 3-2 in their last 5 road games vs. divisional opponents while the Pirates are 5-5 in their last 10 and have dropped 2 of their last 3 at home.

The Cardinals are also 3-1 in their last 4 matchups vs. Pittsburgh.

This is only a lean because the teams are 5-5 in their last 10 meetings.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Pirates to cover here, but the line is set just slightly too riskily to bet on at +1.5 (-175). Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-115). 

The Over has hit in 4 of St. Louis’ last 5 road games and is 6-4 in their last 10 overall. The Over has also hit in back-to-back Cardinals-Pirates matchups, and is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings in Pittsburgh.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (44-40) take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (40-44) Wednesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at PNC Park at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 3-1

We nailed 2 of 3 wagers Tuesday as the Cards opened up a 6-0 lead in the first 4 innings and held on for a 7-4 victory. Cardinals 2B Nolan Gorman, mired in a miserable slump, took a pitch low and away, to the deepest part of the park in left-center for a grand slam. INF/OF Brendan Donovan added 3 hits and an RBI as well. He’s hitting .388 with 3 HR and 12 RBIs over the last 15 days.

The Buccos cashed the Over 8 with 4 runs in the 5th inning on homers by OFs Jack Suwinski and Andrew McCutchen. They did nothing against the Cards’ bullpen, though. The Pirates have lost 3 of 4 and are now 9-11 over their last 20 games.

Cardinals at Pirates projected starters

RHP Miles Mikolas vs. RHP Jared Jones

Mikolas (6-7, 5.32 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 through 94 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 9 ER (career high), 12 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 11-4 home defeat Thursday against Cincinnati Reds
  • Last 5 starts vs. Pirates: 1-2, 2.30 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 26 K in 31 1/3 IP
  • Home/road splits: 1-3, 6.18 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 8 home starts vs. 5-4, 4.59 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 in 9 road starts

Jones (5-6, 3.66 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 86 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 4-3 home victory June 22 against Tampa Bay Rays
  • Never faced St. Louis before
  • Home/road splits: 3-2, 2.20 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 8 home starts; 2-4, 5.59 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 in 7 road starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cardinals at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:22 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Pirates -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-190) | Pirates -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Cardinals at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 6, Cardinals 4

Moneyline

I’m all aboard the Bucs train today. The Cards predominately struggle against a pitcher they haven’t seen before. Jones has an electric arm and is much better at home. Mikolas has allowed 13 ER in his last 2 starts, as he just doesn’t miss enough bats.

Take the PIRATES -130 here.

Run line/Against the spread

I would consider the Pirates here if their bullpen wasn’t in shambles. They’re 4th-worst in MLB with a 4.58 ERA.

So let me present 2 prop options: Jones has 3+ walks in 4 straight starts and 2+ BB in 6 straight. Take JARED JONES OVER 1.5 WALKS (-120).

Another option: MILES MIKOLAS OVER 2.5 EARNED RUNS (-145). Mikolas allowed 3+ ER in 10 of his 17 starts thus far. The Pirates scored 4 off of Kyle Gibson Tuesday, and he struck out the side in 2 innings and 8 overall in a dominant start until the end.

Over/Under

The winds are swirling out toward left-center at 10 mph for this one. It’s a little risky to go Over here with these teams tied at 22nd with 4.0 R/game. It’s the starting pitching and the Pirates’ bullpen that pushes it Over for me.

Take the OVER 8 (-120) with the wind blowing out.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (43-40) take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (40-43) Tuesday in the opener of a 3-game set at PNC Park at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 2-1

The Cards split with the Cincinnati Reds over the weekend with a 2-0 victory Sunday. SS Masyn Winn was the catalyst atop the order, going 2-for-4 with an RBI. He is quietly having a great rookie year, hitting .286 and playing great defense. He’s a +4000 to win NL Rookie of the Year at BetMGM Sportsbook. The Cards are 7-3 over the last 10.

The Bucs staved off a sweep, taking Sunday’s tilt 4-2 against the Atlanta Braves. SS Oneil Cruz went 2-for-3 with his 12th homer of the season. They are .500 in each split over the last month at 5-5, 10-10 and 15-15 over the last 10, 20 and 30 days.

Cardinals at Pirates projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. RHP Mitch Keller

Gibson (5-3, 3.70 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 87 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 5 BB, 4 K in 6-2 home defeat Wednesday against Atlanta Braves
  • 4 career starts vs. Pirates: 2-1, 3.65 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 25 K in 24 2/3 IP

Keller (9-4, 3.20 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 98 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER (4 R), 6 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 9-5 victory June 25 at Cincinnati Reds
  • Last 5 starts vs. St. Louis: 0-1, 3.00 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 26 K in 30 IP
  • June 13 vs. St. Louis: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 4-3 road setback

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cardinals at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:55 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Pirates -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-190) | Pirates -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cardinals at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 4, Pirates 2

Moneyline

Gibson was erratic in his last start, but it came after missing a turn due to a stiff back. He’ll shore that up in this one. The Pirates are operating without closer David Bednar (oblique) and have the 4th-worst bullpen ERA at 4.61. If the Pirates get a lead to de facto closer Aroldis Chapman, though, he owns the Cards. In 41 games, he’s 2-0 with a 1.86 ERA, 57 K’s in 38 2/3 IP and 18 saves. The Cards have scored 2+ off Keller in 3 of his last 4 starts against them, and if they can get a lead and avoid Chapman, they should roll.

Take the CARDINALS +105.

Run line/Against the spread

I’m going with KYLE GIBSON OVER 4.5 K’s (-125) here. He has 6+ K’s in 4 of 5 starts and 5+ in each of his 4 career starts vs. Pittsburgh. The Pirates are the 4th-easiest team to K in baseball.

Over/Under

The Cards are 6-4 O/U over their last 10, and Pittsburgh is 3-7. The Over has cashed just 4 of the last 10 meetings between the teams. The Under has cashed in 3 straight matchups. That’s where I’m going — take the UNDER 8 (-110).

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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (39-44) and St. Louis Cardinals (42-40) meet Sunday for the finale of a 4-game series. First pitch from Busch Stadium is set for 2:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 3-3

Cincinnati beat St. Louis 9-4 Saturday, cashing as a +176 road underdog. RHP Carson Spiers came away with the win, allowing 1 ER on 3 hits and 1 walk with 4 K’s in 6 IP. The Reds are 2-1 in their last 3 games.

St. Louis moved to 1-2 in its last 3 outings with Saturday’s loss. The Cardinals have allowed 9 or more runs in 2 of 3 games against the Reds in this series (both losses).

Reds at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Hunter Greene vs. RHP Lance Lynn

Greene (5-3, 3.79 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 92 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 9-5 home defeat vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
  • Career vs. St. Louis: 1-3, 3.79 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 12.9 K/9 in 7 starts

Lynn (3-3, 3.86 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 81 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 4-3 home victory over Atlanta Braves Monday
  • Career vs. Cincinnati: 12-5, 3.20 ERA (123 2/3 IP, 44 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 across 20 starts and 3 relief appearances

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:20 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds -116 (bet $116 to win $100) | Cardinals -102 (bet $102 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+138) | Cardinals +1.5 (-166)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 7, Reds 3

Moneyline

LEAN CARDINALS (-102).

St. Louis enters as the slightly hotter team at 6-3 in its last 9 home games, while the Reds are only 5-5 in their last 10 overall. The Cardinals have also not taken back-to-back home losses since the beginning of May, when they lost 2 straight vs. the New York Mets.

This is only a lean because they’ve split the last 10 meetings 5-5 and are evenly matched, so a moneyline bet always comes with some risk.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I expect St. Louis to cover here as a +1.5 (-166) home underdog, but the line is too risky to bet on. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

The Over has hit in 6 of St. Louis’ last 9 home games and is 5-2 in Cincinnati’s last 7 overall. The Over has also hit in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these teams in St. Louis.

Be aware that the Under is 6-4 in the last 10 matchups between these squads.

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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (38-43) take on the St. Louis Cardinals (41-39) Friday in the 2nd game of a 4-game set at Busch Stadium at 8:15 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Reds smoked the Cardinals with an 11-4 victory Thursday. They scored in each of the first 5 innings as Cardinals SP Miles Mikolas allowed a career-high 10 runs, 9 of them earned. Reds SS Elly De La Cruz had 3 hits, and 2B Jonathan India extended his hitting streak to 9 games with his 6th consecutive multi-hit performance as the Reds snapped a 2-game slide.

Reds SP Andrew Abbott wasn’t great, walking 6, but he only gave up 2 hits and received enough run support to earn the win as he managed to allow just 2 earned runs in 5 innings.

The Cardinals, who lost Wednesday vs. the Atlanta Braves, have won 5 of 7. They finished with 7 hits Thursday and added 2 garbage-time runs in the 8th inning. A good sign for St. Louis was 3B Nolan Arenado went yard for the first time since June 5.

Reds at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Frankie Montas vs. RHP Andre Pallante

Montas (3-5, 4.48 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 66 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 4-3 home loss vs. Boston Red Sox
  • Career vs. Cardinals: 0-1, 9.00 ERA (9 IP, 9 ER), 1.78 WHIP, 7.0 K in 2 starts
  • 2024 vs. Cardinals: 1 start, loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 5-3 home setback May 29

Pallante (3-3, 5.23 ERA) makes his 6th start and 15th appearance. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 32 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-Win, 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 6-5 home victory vs. San Francisco Giants June 20
  • Starter/reliever splits: As a starter — 3-2, 4.76 ERA (22 IP 2/3, 12 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 in 5 outings vs. as a reliever — 0-1, 6.30 ERA (10 IP, 7 ER), 1.90 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 in 9 appearances
  • Career vs. Reds: 4-0, 1.55 ERA (29 IP, 5 ER), 1.41 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 in 13 games (3 starts)
  • 2024 vs. Reds: 1 start, win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 5-3 road victory May 29

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:10 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Cardinals -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-185) | Cardinals -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 7, Reds 5

Moneyline

Pallante has been a bit better as a starter, but that’s not exactly hard to do. He’s the kind of pitcher that would be successful if you time machined him back to the 90’s. He touches 95 and is a groundball specialist, but the league feasts on that nowadays. The Cards will have to score 6 or more in order to take this one.

Fortunately for them, the weather conditions (see below), and the opposing starter are conducive for that. In his last 3 starts, Montas has allowed 9 ERs in 12 1/3 innings (6.57 ERA).

Run line/Against the spread

The Cards are 23-16 on the RL at home this season, 2nd-best record in the majors — behind the Kansas City Royals (25-18), per teamrankings.com. Each of the 4 games between the Reds and Cardinals this season have been decided by 2+ runs.

I prefer the CARDINALS -1.5 (+150) over the ML. If the ML were closer to +100, I’d lean that way, but I absolutely don’t think -130 is a wise move on the ML. I give the RL as good of a chance of an outright win, so let’s take the value.

Over/Under

It’s slated to be 87 degrees with a 9-mph breeze blowing out to left-center. The Over cruised to a cash Thursday, and while the Under hit in all 3 head-to-head meetings Cincinnati in May, the totals were 9+. The Cards are 7-3 O/U over their last 10.

It’s hot and humid, with a breeze blowing out. I like OVER 8.5 (-115).

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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (37-43) visit the St. Louis Cardinals (41-38) on Thursday. First pitch from Busch Stadium is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 2-1

Cincinnati has lost back-to-back games after falling 6-1 against Pittsburgh on Wednesday and failing to cover as a -132 home favorite. Held to just 4 hits, 2B Jonathan India was the only Reds player to have a RBI while RHP Graham Ashcraft allowed 6 ER in 5 1/3 innings to take the loss.

The Cardinals got back in the win column on Wednesday after winning the 2nd half of a doubleheader 4-1 against the Braves and covering as home underdogs. They lost the 1st game 6-2. RF Alec Burleson led the way on offense with 2 RBIs while LHP Matthew Liberatore allowed 0 ER in 6 innings to pick up the win.

Reds at Cardinals projected starters

LHP Andrew Abbott vs. RHP Miles Mikolas

Abbott (6-6, 3.40 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.76 BB/9 and 7.44 K/9 in 84 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 5-2 win against Boston Red Sox Friday.
  • Career vs. Cardinals: 1-2, 6.89 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 16 H, 8 BB, 10 K in 3 starts
  • Gave up 6 ER on 7 H in May 28 loss to Cardinals

Mikolas (6-6, 4.68 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 1.69 BB/9 and 6.68 K/9 in 90 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 9-4 win against San Francisco Giants Saturday.
  • Career vs. Reds: 5-7, 5.26 ERA (102 2/3 IP, 60 ER), 105 H, 23 BB, 72 K in 18 starts; last outing in 2023.

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:36 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Cardinals -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-185) | Cardinals -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 4, Reds 3

Moneyline

BET CARDINALS (-135).

St. Louis is 7-3 in its last 10 games and has won 5 of its last 6. It took 2 of 3 from Atlanta and swept San Francisco, both at home. The Reds have lost 7 of their last 10 games, including back-to-back games and 4 of their last 5, and have also dropped each of their last 4 series.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is minimal value on the run line in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

The Under has hit in 7 of Cincinnati’s last 10 games and in 2 of 3 of St. Louis’. Cincinnati has scored 4 or fewer runs in 7 of its last 10 games while holding opponents to 4 or fewer in 5 of its last 9 games. St. Louis has scored 4 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 10 games including each of its last 3 while allowing 4 or fewer in 4 of its last 5.

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Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (43-33) take on the St. Louis Cardinals (40-37) Wednesday in the finale of a 3-game set at Busch Stadium at 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cards lead 1-0; Tuesday’s game was rained out and will be made up as part of a doubleheader at 1:45 p.m. ET Wednesday (had not yet been decided at press time)

After storms foiled Tuesday night’s game, the Braves had an extra 24 hours of bitterness following the 4-3 loss Monday night. Atlanta made things interesting in the 9th when Cards closer Ryan Helsley allowed 2 ER on 2 H and 2 BB before shutting the door. The Braves are 7-3 over their last 10 games.

The Cards caught a break when the Braves pushed back LHP Chris Sale to Thursday. He will not pitch in this game as originally scheduled. The Cards also switched things up, bumping RHP Andre Pallante from the afternoon game. They’ll go with a bullpen game, starting LHP Matthew Liberatore initially. Entering Wednesday, INF/OF Brendan Donovan has hit safely in 8 straight games and has an RBI in 7 straight games. The Cards are 7-3 over their last 10 games.

Braves at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Bryce Elder vs. LHP Matthew Liberatore

Elder (1-2, 6.46 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.94 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 23 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 6 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 9-1 home defeat May 19 vs. San Diego Padres
  • 1 career start vs. St. Louis: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 5-2 road victory April 5, 2023

Liberatore (1-2, 4.46 ERA) makes his 5th start and 27th appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 through 38 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 4-3 loss June 19 at Miami Marlins
  • Starter/reliever splits: As a starter – 0-1, 7.24 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 6.6 K/9 in 13 2/3 IP vs. as a reliever – 1-1, 2.92 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 6.6 K/9 in 24 2/3 IP
  • 2 appearances (1 start) vs. Braves: 0-0, 0.00 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 5 1/3 IP

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Cardinals -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+145) | Cardinals +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Braves at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 7, Cardinals 3

Moneyline

The Cards have a solid bullpen, but it’s more about the last 3 guys, as the middle relief has been pretty meh. The Braves scored 3 runs in 3 straight games entering today, and their bats are due for a breakout.

I love the BRAVES -115 at this price.

Run line/Against the spread

Liberatore is great against lefties with a .135/.167/.212 slash line. However, righties blister him to a .310/.394/.548 slash line this season. You know who is right-handed? Braves 3B Austin Riley is, and he homered Monday night. Props were not available at press time, but when they are, take AUSTIN RILEY OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI.

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Over/Under

The wind is slated to be blowing in from left-center at 9 mph, but it’s also expected to be super humid after the rain passed through. Those 2 factors should counteract each other, and Liberatore gave up 2 homers to his first 2 batters in his last start. He’s just not a good starter at this level. So I’m taking the OVER 8.5 (-115) as the Braves bats awaken.

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