Tag: Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals odds predictions pick betting line spread

Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Cincinnati Reds (82-78) and St. Louis Cardinals (69-91) clash Saturday as they continue a 3-game, final-weekend series. First pitch at Busch Stadium is slated for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 6-5

The Reds entered the final weekend 1 1/2 games behind the Miami Marlins for the final slot in the NL Senior Circuit brackets. Both teams won Friday (Cincinnati pounded St. Louis 19-2), so the Reds need to gain ground on Saturday or their October hopes will be dashed.

The scuffling Cardinals have scored just 4 runs over their last 3 games. They have averaged just 2.33 runs per game on a .586 OPS since Sept. 13. St. Louis is 11-20 across its last 31 games at Busch Stadium.

Reds at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Connor Phillips vs. LHP Drew Rom

Phillips (1-0, 5.66 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 through 20 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 R, 5 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 13-12 loss at Pittsburgh Pirates Saturday
  • A 22-year-old rookie who made his Major League debut Sept. 5; clocked a 3.77 ERA across 105 combined innings at Double-A and Triple-A this season

Rom (1-4, 7.98 ERA) is tabbed for his 8th start. He has logged a 2.05 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 29 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 11 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 12-2 loss at San Diego Padres Sunday
  • A 23-year-old rookie who made his MLB debut Aug. 21; posted a 4.82 ERA in 97 IP at Triple-A this season
  • Has yielded 11 R over his last 6 2/3 IP
  • Faced the Reds on Sept. 8, allowing 9 base runners and 4 R (including 2 HR) in 3 2/3 IP

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Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines updated at 8:21 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Reds -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Cardinals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+135) | Cardinals +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Cardinals 4

Moneyline

St. Louis has the edge in team analysis (based on value, clearly, and not talent), but there are some good things in Phillips’ line. However, the Cardinals are just stumbling to the finish line, phased out partly, handing out charity/tip-of-the-cap at-bats to pitchers, etc. They are a no-bet proposition at least until their first tee times next week.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

No interest: PASS.

Over/Under

Both teams yield more than 5 runs per game. Cincinnati was feeling it yesterday and today draws a rookie they pounded a few weeks back.

On a warmed-up day in St. Louis, BACK THE OVER 9 (-115).

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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Cincinnati Reds (81-78) and St. Louis Cardinals (69-90) clash Friday in the opener of a 3-game, final-weekend series. First pitch at Busch Stadium is slated for 8:15 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 5-5

Cincinnati had a big June and July, going a combined 33-22. Things slipped in August, but the Reds have rallied. After the club defeated the New York Mets Sept. 16, it was 6 games over-.500 (78-72) and tied with the Arizona Diamondbacks for the 3rd-and-final NL Wild Card berth. However, the Reds have gone just 3-6 since and they head into the final weekend 1 1/2 games behind the Miami Marlins for the final slot in the Senior Circuit brackets.

The limping-to-the-finish-line Cardinals were shut out by the Milwaukee Brewers Thursday and have averaged just 2.36 runs per game on a .588 OPS since Sept. 13. St. Louis is 11-19 across its last 30 games at Busch Stadium.

Reds at Cardinals projected starters

LHP Brandon Williamson vs. RHP Jake Woodford

Williamson (4-5, 4.54 ERA) is lined up for his 23rd start. He’s posted a 1.29 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 111 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 4-2 win vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Sunday
  • 2023 Road stats: 2-3, 4.85 ERA in 55 2/3 IP across 12 starts
  • Allowed 4 R (3 ER) over 4 1/3 IP when he faced the Redbirds May 23 in his only career start against them

Woodford (2-2, 5.09 ERA) makes his 8th start and 15th appearance. He has registered a 1.65 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 through 46 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 5-2 win at San Diego Padres Saturday
  • Hadn’t started since April due to shoulder injuries, trips to the minors and pitching out of the bullpen
  • 2023 Home stats: 2-1, 5.20 ERA in 27 2/3 IP across 3 starts and 6 relief appearances
  • Allowed 3 R on 7 H and 2 BB in 5 IP in his only other career start against the Reds (2021)
  • Owns a 3.98 ERA and 1.34 WHIP over 79 career games

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Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines updated at 7:38 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Reds -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Cardinals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+135) | Cardinals +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Cardinals 4

Moneyline

Overall team numbers peg Cincinnati as being overcooked and St. Louis as being a value, but wagering that value in the middle is something that’s dependent on the pitching match-up. Friday’s mound meeting — with a recently injured Woodford and a suspect Redbird bullpen — does not leverage anything for St. Louis.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

No interest: PASS.

Over/Under

The St. Louis bullpen owns a top-10 ERA this month (3.71 ERA) but that’s a figure tamped down by a .253 BABIP. The Cincy ‘pen is under a fatigue caution flag after being overused in the Reds series at Atlanta.

Both teams yield more than 5 runs per game. BACK THE OVER 9 (-105).

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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The St. Louis Cardinals (27-38) welcome the Cincinnati Reds (30-35) to Busch Stadium Sunday. First pitch in the finale of the 3-game series is set for 2:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 3-3

After a 5-game win streak, the Reds have cooled off and have won just 4 of their last 10 games and are 13-17 on the road this season. The Reds won Saturday 8-4 after losing 7-4 on Friday.

The Cardinals are 13-17 at home and have struggled immensely of late, losing 6 of their last 8 games. They are in last place in the NL Central.

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Reds at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Hunter Greene vs. RHP Adam Wainwright

Greene (1-4, 3.92 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 12.8 K/9 in 62 innings.

  • Has been significantly better at limiting HRs this season, just 1.2 per 9 IO vs. 1.7 per 9 he allowed last season
  • The Reds are just 3-9 with Greene starting this season
  • Has allowed just 1 ER over his last 2 starts, pitching 6 innings in each

Wainwright (2-1, 5.97 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.74 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 in 31 2/3 innings.

  • The Cardinals are 3-3 with Wainwright on the mound this season
  • Has given up at least 3 ER in 5 of 6 starts

Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:37 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Cardinals -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-175) | Cardinals -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Cardinals 4

Moneyline

BET REDS (+115).

Greene has been starting to find his stride over his last few starts. Since baseball’s top prospect, SS Elly De La Cruz, joined the lineup the Reds have been averaging 5 runs per game.

As for the Cardinals, this is a position they have performed poorly in. St. Louis is 9-13 as a home favorite this season, and with the struggling, aging Wainwright, backing the road side makes sense.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The odds for both sides of the run line don’t pose much value. The Reds are too pricey to be backed at +1.5 (-175), and the Cardinals, having lost Saturday, aren’t playing well enough to make their -1.5 (+145) good value.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-120).

The Reds are 37-28 O/U on the season and have gone Over in 4 of their last 5 games. While Greene has pitched better as of late, he has allowed 4 ER in 3 of his last 6 starts.

The Cardinals have gone Over in 2 straight games. They are 18-11-1 O/U at home this season. Back the OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (57-86) and St. Louis Cardinals (84-60) continue a 5-game series Friday. The contest at Busch Stadium is slated to begin at 8:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: St. Louis leads 9-6

Cincinnati went into this series having lost 6 games in a row and logging a 5.54 ERA along the way. But the Reds prevailed 3-2 in Thursday’s game at Busch. Cincy got by despite going 0-for-6 with runners in scoring position. The Reds are just 2-for-their-last-19 in that department.

The Cardinals had scored 4-or-more runs in 7 of their 8 previous games heading into Thursday.  The 3-2 setback marked just the 6th home loss St. Louis has endured since the All-Star break.

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Reds at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Fernando Cruz vs. RHP Jack Flaherty

The 32-year-old rookie Cruz (0-0, 1.42 ERA) will make his 2nd career start in his 7th MLB appearance – expect this to be “opener” start. He’s pitched 6 1/3 innings, allowing 1 run on 2 hits and 4 walks with 7 K’s.

  • Last outing: 1 2/3 hitless, scoreless innings with 0 BB and 0 K as an opener Tuesday in the 2nd game of a home doubleheader vs. Pittsburgh
  • Hasn’t allowed a run in last 4 1/3 IP over 4 appearances

Flaherty (0-1, 4.50 ERA) is tabbed for his 6th start of the season. He has a 1.89 WHIP, 7.0 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 through 18 IP.

  • Has had 2 stays on the IL this season die to shoulder problems
  • Owns a 2.75 ERA over his last 72 IP at home (2020-present)

Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Cardinals -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (+105) | Cardinals -1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 5, Reds 3

Money line

AVOID.

The sizable juice here is obscuring the true odds — and any profit potential — on both sides.

Run line/Against the spread

Thursday’s opener aside, both clubs tend to play in fewer 1-run games than average.

St. Louis is 6-2 over its last 8 home games against the Reds. Cincinnati’s .649 road OPS ranks 25th in the league.

Peg the Redbirds as being a slight lean here. TAKE ST. LOUIS -1.5 (-130).

Over/Under

The Under is 5-1 across the last 6 Cincinnati-St. Louis meetings. Both clubs have some real-vs.-expected batting numbers and quality-of-contact stats that point to both offenses being a bit too far over their skis.

Consider a partial-unit play on the UNDER 8.5 (-120).

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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (56-86) and St. Louis Cardinals (84-59) open a 5-game series Friday. The contest at Busch Stadium is slated to begin at 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: St. Louis leads 9-5

Cincinnati is coming off a 4-game home series against the Pittsburgh Pirates, and the Reds were swept while scoring just 8 total runs. Overall, Cincy has lost 6 games in a row and its pitchers own a 5.54 ERA over that stretch.

The Cardinals have hit their way to an 8-game lead in the NL Central by going 12-5 since Aug. 27. St. Louis has a solid .761 OPS over that stretch.

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Reds at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Chase Anderson vs. RHP Miles Mikolas

Anderson (0-3, 9.00 ERA) has logged a 1.67 WHIP, 9.0 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 through 9 IP across 4 games (3 starts).

  • Has spent much of this season at Triple-A where he owns a 4.50 ERA and 1.33 WHIP across 80 IP
  • Owns a 4.25 ERA across 194 career MLB games

Mikolas (11-11, 3.42 ERA) is tabbed for his 30th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 181 1/3 IP.

  • Owns a 5.06 ERA over his last 7 starts
  • Has registered a 2.23 ERA and 0.80 WHIP over his 13 starts at home in 2022

Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Cardinals -290 (bet $290 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (+102) | Cardinals -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 5, Reds 3

Money line

AVOID.

The sizable juice here is obscuring the true odds — and any profit potential — on both sides.

Run line/Against the spread

Both sides tend to play in fewer 1-run games than average. The last 8 games of the season series — which have included 5 Cardinals wins — have been games decided by multiple runs.

With this game being the lead edge of a series that includes a Saturday doubleheader, middle relief could be hung out to dry in the interest of avoiding late-series bullpen fatigue. That’s a St. Louis edge in this one.

BACK THE CARDINALS -1.5 (-125).

Over/Under

Both clubs have some real-versus-expected batting numbers and quality-of-contact stats that point to both offenses being a bit too far over their skis. However, Mikolas has some indicators that swing the other way — toward a higher total — and Anderson is a small-sample-size question mark.

PASS.

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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (34-57) close out the first half against the St. Louis Cardinals (50-44) Sunday in the finale of a 3-game set at Busch Stadium. First pitch is set for 2:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series:  The Cards lead 6-2.

This game has a 95% chance of rain, and considering it’s the last game before the All-Star break, they aren’t going to be very lenient in rain delays. Keep that in mind when placing wagers.

The Cards’ bats came alive for an 11-3 win Saturday. It was the first time they dropped a 10-spot since June 18. They’re battling wounded right now with 3B Nolan Arenado (back) iffy, OF Harrison Bader (foot), OF Juan Yepez (forearm) and C Yadier Molina (knee) already out and SS Edmundo Sosa (foot) possibly sidelined after he left Saturday’s game after crashing into the side wall. Despite all the injuries, they’ve won 5 of their last 7 contests.

The Reds had won 5 of their last 7 games entering the series, including taking 2-of-3 contests from the MLB-leading New York Yankees. They’ve allowed 18 runs in the first 2 games against St. Louis, though. Can they salvage a game against a Cards squad that always has trouble closing out sweeps?

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Reds at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Graham Ashcraft vs. LHP Steven Matz

Ashcraft (4-2, 4.45 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 through 54 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed 4 ER on 9 H with 2 K in 4 2/3 IP in St. Louis June 12.
  • Is awful away from home with a 6.66 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in 5 starts.

Matz (3-3, 6.03 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 37 1/3 IP.

  • Making his first start since May 22 due to a shoulder issue.
  • His numbers are a little deceiving as his walk rate is decent, and his K-rate is great, but he has allowed 15 ER in 5 IP over 2 bad starts; his ERA is 2.78 outside of those starts.
  • Held the Reds to 1 ER on 7 H and 2 BB with 6 K across 5 IP April 22.

Reds at Cardinals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:43 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Reds +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Cardinals -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-140) | Cardinals -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 7, Cardinals 3

Money line

Matz was able to throw 81 pitches in his last rehab start, which means he should be good for 90 or so in this go-around. Anyone that follows the Cardinals knows — it’s kind of a running joke — that they have trouble sweeping teams. They’ve already had 2 chances to sweep the Reds this year and lost the finale both times. The same happens here as they’re short-handed and looking to get to the All-Star break as healthy as possible. Take the REDS (+145).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Reds are 42-49 on the RL on the season, which is 8 wins better than their actual record. They’re 23-22 on the RL on the road. There could be some fireworks in this game, too, as the Reds hit 4 Cardinals batters Saturday. I like the Reds to win, and as long as the RL stays at a reasonable price – I’m in for REDS +1.5 (-140).

Over/Under

The Reds hit 4 Cardinals batters Saturday, and there could be some fireworks in this one. The Over has cashed in 4 straight between these teams, and this feels like a game that could wind up 13-4. Let’s LEAN OVER 9.5 (+100). It’s just a lean with the impending rain potentially shortening it.

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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (48-44) host the Cincinnati Reds (34-55) for the 1st of a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from Busch Stadium is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: St. Louis leads 4-2, winning both previous series 2-1.

The Reds come into this series as hot as they’ve been all season, beating the Yankees in 2 of 3 following a 3-game sweep of the Tampa Bay Rays. Cincinnati has won 6 of its last 7.

St. Louis will get a healthy dose of the Reds as they play 6 straight games, each team’s first series immediately following the All-Star break. The Cardinals have won 3 of their last 5, but just 5 of their last 15.

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Reds at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Hunter Greene vs. RHP Andre Pallante

Greene (3-10, 5.70 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 85 1/3 IP.

  • Was impressive his last time on the mound with 6 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 4 BB and 9 K in a 5-4 win over Tampa Bay. The Reds are just 4-13 with Greene as the starting pitcher.
  • In his 2 games against St. Louis, both losses, Greene has allowed 6 H and 4 ER  in 8 1/3 IP. He has given up a league-high 22 HR.

Pallante (2-4, 3.18 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.43WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 65 IP.

  • Making his 26th appearances this season. Has pitched against the Reds twice, allowing just 5 hits and no earned runs in 6 2/3 IP.
  • First season in the big leagues after being the Cardinals 4th-round pick in the 2019 MLB Draft.

Reds at Cardinals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:49 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Reds +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Cardinals -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-145) | Cardinals -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 5, Reds 2

Money line

PASS.

If there is value on the money line, it’s backing the Reds, but with the track record Green has had this season, I’d be hesitant to back Cincinnati. St. Louis at -170 is just too pricey to consider.

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Run line/Against the spread

BET CARDINALS -1.5 (+120).

The Reds might be hot, but on the season, they are still are one of the worst road teams in the MLB. Cincinnati sits 28th in away runs and 25th in away batting average.

Couple that with St. Louis having the 6th-best home batting average, and the edge goes to the Cardinals. St. Louis is also in the top half of the league in home runs, which Greene gives up many of.

The Cardinals are 3-3 on the run line against Cincinnati this season, and at this value, backing St. Louis makes sense.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (+100).

In the 6 games these teams have played, this total would have been 4-2 with 4 of the 6 games not reaching a combined 7 runs. St. Louis is 42-46-4 O/U this season.

St. Louis has also gone under this total in 4 of the 6 games which Pallante has gone more than 3 innings. Cincinnati is 4-4 O/U over their last 8 as well, so despite being hot, it hasn’t necessarily translated to big-time games at the plate.

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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (20-39) try to salvage a game against the St. Louis Cardinals (34-26) Sunday in the finale of a 3-game set at Busch Stadium. First pitch is set for 2:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: The Cardinals lead the series 4-1.

The Cardinals have been victorious, 2-0 and 5-4, but they have not played well in the series. They scored 2 runs off of Reds errors Friday night, and they were down to their last out when SS Tommy Edman hit a 2-run walkoff homer Saturday. Before that, though, they lost the tying run trying to steal third with 1 out in the 8th inning, and another player was benched for poor effort.

The Reds were up 4-1 in the 8th Saturday after RHP Hunter Greene allowed 1 run on 2 hits and 2 walks with 7 Ks over 5 innings. Their bullpen couldn’t hold it. It’s also cooked for this game, and they’ll need length out of a rookie starter. SS Kyle Farmer had 4 singles Saturday.

Reds at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Graham Ashcraft vs. RHP Dakota Hudson

Ashcraft (3-0, 1.14 ERA) makes his 5th career start. He has a 0.85 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 4.9 K/9 in 23 2/3 IP.

  • Utilizes a cutter (98-mph average), slider, fastball (97-mph average) and sinker.
  • Has a .197 BABIP, which means he’s pretty lucky on batted balls becoming outs, and that ERA might not be sustainable much longer.
  • First time facing the Cardinals.

Hudson (4-2, 2.76 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 5.2 K/9 in 58 2/3 IP.

  • Threw 6 2/3 shutout innings allowing 2 H, 4 BB with 4 K in April 23 victory over the Reds.
  • Has 6-0 record with a 2.29 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 9 career games (8 starts) against the Reds.
  • Current Reds hitters have hit just .180 with a 23.9 K% in 71 plate appearances against him.

Reds at Cardinals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:51 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Reds +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Cardinals -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-135) | Cardinals -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 4, Reds 3

Money line

It’s really tempting to fade the Cards because they have trouble sweeping opponents, and their first 2 wins in the series were gifts. Hudson has been too good against the Reds, though. Ashcraft throws hard and could give the Cards trouble, but he only has 13 Ks in 23 2/3 innings, and that BABIP will regress. That said, we’re not risking twice our payout in this one. LEAN CARDINALS FIRST 9 INNINGS (incl. Tie) -160.

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Run line/Against the spread

I like the Reds +1.5 side, but I don’t like the idea of paying the -135 price tag for a bad team to stay within a run. The Cards haven’t played well enough to warrant the -1.5 risk either. PASS.

Over/Under

The temperature is slated to be 95 degrees with a small gust blowing out to right-center field. There is a 38% chance of rain, too, which could alter some things. The Over snuck by Saturday, but that was the first time in the last 6 games between these 2 that it cashed. Again, it’s just a lean because of the unpredictable nature of the Cards’ offense and the Reds’ starter, but LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-122).

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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (75-67) and St. Louis Cardinals (71-69) meet Saturday for the second game of a three-game series at Busch Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Louis Castillo is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He is 7-15 with a 4.20 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 9.2 K/9, and 3.6 BB/9 over 163 IP across 29 starts.

  • Owns a 3.43 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in the second half but even then has not pitched well away from home (6.45 ERA on the road).
  • Current St. Louis batters own an aggregate .793 OPS against him.

RHP Miles Mikolas is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He is 0-2 with a 5.06 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 7.2 K/9, and 3.0 BB/9 through 21 1/3 IP over five starts for the Redbirds.

  • Has yielded 4 ER in each of his last two starts. He owns a 5.71 ERA in four starts since his Aug. 20 return to action after a stint on the 60-day injured list for a forearm injury suffered in late May.
  • Current Cincinnati bats own a collective .936 OPS and .333 isolated power against Mikolas.

Reds at Cardinals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:51 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Cardinals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Reds -1.5 (+130) | Cardinals +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Cardinals 4, Reds 3

Money line (ML)

The Reds won Friday’s series opener 4-2. Cincinnati has struggled since going 10-2 over a 12-game stretch from late July to early August. The Reds are 14-16 over their last 30 games. Over that stretch, they are 7-10 with a .687 OPS on the road.

The Cards are just 2-5 in their last seven games. St. Louis has been a solid fade candidate for much of the second half of the season, but they have recently swung around to a state of equilibrium.

Add to that some growing fade on the Reds and the fact that Cincy often struggles away from its home yard.  The Cardinals have had the better bullpen over the last five or six weeks, and the back end of that bullpen is in better shape than its Cincy counterpart heading into Saturday night.

BACK THE CARDINALS (+105).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the run line unless the St. Louis price drops to -150 or better.

Over/Under (O/U)

There is not much to go on here except for some slight lean toward the starting pitching and some fade the Reds offense.

Consider a partial-unit play on the UNDER 8.5 (-125).

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