Tag: St. Louis Cardinals betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

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The Chicago Cubs (46-51) and St. Louis Cardinals (50-45) wrap up a 4-game series Sunday at Busch Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: St. Louis leads 6-2

Thanks to a postponed game on May 24, Saturday was a busy day for these teams.

In Game 1 of their Saturday doubleheader, the Cardinals pulled away almost immediately and won 11-3. St. Louis scored 9 runs in the 1st inning, although only 4 runs were earned, as Cubs RHP Hayden Wesneski had 2 errors. Seven Cardinals recorded an RBI.

St. Louis won 5-4 in Game 2 despite the Cubs scoring 4 runs in the 2nd inning and leading 4-3 for a majority of the game. Cardinals 3B Nolan Arenado helped St. Louis sweep the doubleheader with a a go-ahead 2-run single in the 8th inning.

Cubs at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Jameson Taillon vs. RHP Miles Mikolas

Taillon (6-4, 2.99 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 87 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 9-2 victory at Baltimore Orioles Tuesday
• 2024 road splits: 1-2, 3.07 ERA (41 IP, 14 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 5.9 K/9 in 7 starts
• Career vs. Cardinals: 5-2, 3.36 ERA (80 1/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 14 starts

Mikolas (7-7, 4.88 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 107 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 0 R, 6 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 6-0 road win against Washington Nationals Monday
• 2024 home splits: 1-3, 6.18 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 8 starts
• Career vs. Cubs: 6-4, 2.62 ERA (110 IP, 32 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 in 21 appearances (19 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cubs at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Cubs +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Cardinals -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-175) | Cardinals -1.5 (+145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Cubs at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 7, Cardinals 4

Moneyline

The CUBS (+115) are 28-22 (56%) after a loss. The Cardinals are 15-16 (48.4%) as home favorites, the 5th-worst record in MLB.

Plus Mikolas has struggled at home this season, posting a 6.18 ERA.

BET CUBS (+115).

Run line/Against the spread

While I like Chicago for Sunday’s game, picking it at +1.5 just doesn’t give you the value. Also, the Cubs haven’t had back-to-back 1-run games since mid-June.

PASS.

Over/Under

St. Louis is a top-5 Over team after a win, with a 28-20-1 (58.3%) record. And as a favorite, it posts an even better Over percentage at 60.9% (28-18).

In July, the Cardinals have cashed the Over in 9 of their 12 games, while the Cubs are 6-6, a recent jump from their 45% Over rate this season.

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-120).

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The Chicago Cubs (46-49) and St. Louis Cardinals (48-45) play the 2nd and 3rd game of a 4-game set at Busch Stadium Saturday. First pitch for Game 1 of the doubleheader is set for 2:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 4-2

The Cubs took down the Cardinals 5-1 as +178 underdogs in the series opener Friday as the Under (8) hit.

The last couple of months have been a struggle for the Cubs, but they are hot heading into the break. They have won 5 games in a row to pull back within 3 games of the final Wild Card spot.

The Cardinals pushed themselves into the playoff hunt with their recent play, but after winning 12 of 17 games, they have dropped each of their last 3 contests.

Cubs at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Hayden Wesneski vs. RHP Lance Lynn

Wesneski (3-5, 3.67 ERA) makes his 7th start and 24th appearance. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 56 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 5-0 home victory vs. Los Angeles Angels Sunday
• Prior to last start, had recorded 7 K’s in 2 straight starts; had also allowed 8 ER in 9 innings over that span
• Has been better as starter than reliever; has registered 3.41 ERA and 8.5 K/9 in 31 2/3 innings across 6 starts
• Career vs. Cardinals: 0-1, 4.91 ERA (3 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 1.64 WHIP, 14.7 K/9 in 3 appearances (1 start), including 0-1 with 9.00 ERA (1 IP, 1 ER) in 1 relief appearance this year

Lynn (4-4, 4.48 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 90 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 10 ER (11 R), 9 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 14-6 defeat at Washington Nationals July 6
• Had allowed just 1 ER in 12 2/3 innings with an 11/1 K/BB in final 2 starts of June
• Has been much better at Busch Stadium than in away games this season; has posted 3.66 ERA and 9.8 K/9 in 9 home starts
• Career vs. Cubs (regular season): 6-8, 5.43 ERA (122 2/3 IP, 74 ER), 1.43 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 24 appearances (23 starts), including 0-0 with 13.50 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 7 ER) in 1 start last year

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cubs at Cardinals odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:51 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Cubs +108 (bet $100 to win $108) | Cardinals -126 (bet $126 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-196) | Cardinals -1.5 (+162)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Cubs at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 6, Cardinals 4

Moneyline

Lynn has been very up and down lately. He had the 2 strong starts mentioned above, sandwiched between some clunkers, resulting in a 7.14 ERA over his last 6 starts.

Wesneski has had his ups and downs as well but is coming off a strong start, and he’s looked good as a starter. In a game that looks like a toss-up, side with the team that is hot and an underdog. Back the CUBS +108.

Run line/Against the spread

This sets up to be a pretty tight game, but the odds are too high to take the Cubs and the +1.5 runs. Lynn has shown he’s capable of throwing a gem when you least expect it, so the recommendation is to PASS.

Over/Under

Both pitchers have been prone to the long ball, with Wesneski sporting a 1.6 HR/9 and Lynn boasting a 1.9 mark over his last 6 starts. With a slight breeze expected to be blowing out, siding with the OVER 9 (-105) looks like the smart play here.

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The Chicago Cubs (45-49) take on the St. Louis Cardinals (48-44) Friday in the opener of a 4-game set at Busch Stadium at 8:15 p.m. ET (Apple TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cards lead 4-1

The Cubs have won 4 in a row, despite losing OF Cody Bellinger to the IL with a broken finger. They swept the Baltimore Orioles in Camden Yards by a combined score of 21-2. They put it on the O’s 8-0 Thursday as their top 3 hitters combined to go 7-for-13 (.538) with 5 RBIs.

The Cards dropped a doubleheader against the Kansas City Royals Wednesday by scores of 6-4 and 8-5. They went with a bullpen game in the nightcap and just couldn’t stop the bleeding despite having 10 hits in the game. OF Alec Burleson is 6-for-16 (.375) with 2 homers and 6 RBIs during a 4-game hitting streak.

Cubs at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Kyle Hendricks vs. RHP Sonny Gray

Hendricks (1-7, 7.53 ERA) makes his 12th start and 17th appearance. He has a 1.58 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 63 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 2 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 7-0 home defeat Saturday against Los Angeles Angels
• June 14 relief outing vs. St. Louis: 4 1/3 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 3-0 home loss
• Last 5 starts vs. Cardinals: 3-1, 2.18 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 14 K in 33 IP

Gray (9-5, 3.30 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 through 92 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 7-6 win in 11 innings July 5 at Washington Nationals
• May 26 vs. Cubs: Win, 5 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 4-3 home victory
• Last 5 starts vs. Cubs: 1-1, 3.42 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 37 K in 23 2/3 IP

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cubs at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:57 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Cubs +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Cardinals -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-120) | Cardinals -1.5 (+100)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Cubs at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 4, Cubs 3

Moneyline

The Cards are massive favorites in this game because they have their ace on the mound and are facing a pitcher with a 7+ ERA. Throw that out the window. If you asked anyone familiar with the Cardinals who they would hate to face in a 1-game playoff, Hendricks won’t be far down the list of candidates. He’s 13-4 with a 2.62 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 27 outings (26 starts) in his career, which spans 172 IP. That’s a full year of dominance over the course of his career.

Gray has also been lit up for 11 runs (8 ER) in his last 2 starts. So there’s no chance I’d consider the Cardinals at 1:2 odds.

I think the Cards find a way to win, but I’m taking CUBS FIRST 5 INNINGS +155.

Run line/Against the spread

No thanks to either side of the RL here. Instead, I love ALEC BURLESON OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-150). Lefties are hitting .305 with an .897 OPS against Hendricks this season. Burleson is 2-for-4 lifetime against him.

Over/Under

There are isolated thunderstorms in the area Friday, but they are expected to clear by 1st pitch. That said, the humidity is high on what’s slated to be an 83-degree evening. A light 3-mph breeze is blowing out to left-center.

The Cards are 7-3 O/U in their last 10, and the Cubs are 5-5. The Over is just 2-7-1 in the last 10 meetings between the clubs. However, with the humidity and 2 pitchers that aren’t on top of their game, I’ll take the OVER 8 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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