Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (45-25) host the Philadelphia Phillies (33-34) Saturday for the second game of their three-game series at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco won the first game of the series 5-3 with starting RHP Johnny Cueto getting a win in a quality start and the Giants’ bullpen pitching three scoreless innings in relief.

Season series: Giants lead 3-1.

RHP Aaron Nola makes his 15th start for the Phillies. Nola is 5-4 with a 3.69 ERA (83 IP, 34 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 7-0, with 7 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 9 K Sunday vs. the New York Yankees.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 54 at-bats with a .333/.379/.407 slash line, 16/3 K/BB, 0 HR and 8 RBIs.

LHP Alex Wood is on the mound for the Giants. Wood is 6-3 with a 3.71 ERA (63 IP, 26 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 over 11 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-2, with 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 7 K Monday vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • vs. Phillies on the current roster: 110 at-bats with a .209/.267/.282 slash line, 35/8 K/BB, 1 HR and 7 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Phillies at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:26 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Giants -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (+165) | Giants +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Phillies 4, Giants 2

Money line (ML)

GIMME the PHILLIES (-105) for 1 unit because Nola has pitched well against good teams this season and his advancing pitching numbers against these Giants batters are eye-popping.

For instance, against teams with a winning record this season, Nola is 4-2 with a higher K/BB rate, lower WHIP and lower ERA by two full runs than against sub .500 teams.

While both starters have impressive advanced pitching numbers against their respective opponents, Nola has been dominant vs. current Giants hitters. He’s posted a 1.02 FIP with a .255 expected opponent’s wOBA, .303 expected slugging percentage and a 28.6% strikeout rate.

And for what it’s worth, Nola is way more effective when making a start in the daytime vs. the night.

He’s 2-0 in five starts with a 1.67 ERA, 0.75 WHIP and 9.3 K/BB rate in the day compared to a 3-4 record with a 5.07 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 4.1 K/BB rate in nine nighttime starts.

Also, Philly is above average vs. left-handed pitching, ranking 13th in wRC+, 14th in wOBA and 15th in OPS, while Bryce Harper and J.T. Realmuto have a .863 OPS or higher vs. Wood.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the Giants +1.5 (-200) have the second-highest cover rate at home (20-12 ATS record in San Francisco) while the Phillies -1.5 (+165) are just 2-8 ATS as a road favorite this season with a minus-3.3 run line margin.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-110) because, as I stated earlier, Wood’s advanced pitching numbers against Philly’s lineup are very good and the “sharp” money is betting the Under whereas the public is on the Over.

According to Pregame.com, over 75% of the early money wagered is on the Under but 70% of the early action is on the Over and, in sports gambling, it’s generally wiser to follow the money when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the bettors.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (33-33) are at Oracle Park Friday to start a three-game series with the host San Francisco Giants (44-25). First pitch will be at 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Giants lead 2-1.

RHP Vince Velasquez is on the mound for the Phillies. He is 2-1 with a 4.25 ERA (48 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 across nine starts and four bullpen appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 5 K Saturday against the New York Yankees.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 50 at-bats with a .160/.276/.360 slash line, 15/8 K/BB, 3 HR and 8 RBIs.

RHP Johnny Cueto makes his 11th start for the Giants. He is 4-3 with a 4.00 ERA (54 IP, 24 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5-0, with 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 3 BB and 2 K Sunday at the Washington Nationals.
  • vs. Phillies on the current roster: 166 at-bats with a .283/.350/.476 slash line, 39/14 K/BB, 6 HR and 15 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Phillies at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Giants -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies +1.5 (-175) | Giants -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Phillies 8, Giants 6

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the PHILLIES (+110) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a quarter unit because both teams are 7-3 in their last 10 games and it’s a “contrarian” play vs. a betting market that’s backing the Giants.

Philly beat the Los Angeles Dodgers Thursday and won four straight against the New York Yankees and Atlanta Braves last week while San Francisco’s current four-game winning streak was at home against an Arizona Diamondbacks team that’s historically bad on the road.

Furthermore, the Giants’ money line is fairly cheap considering they are in first place in an NL West Division with the defending World Series champion Dodgers and a San Diego Padres team dripping with talent.

According to Pregame.com, nearly 90% of the action is on San Francisco’s money line and it’s too robotic of a play for a majority of the market to make.

Fading the Giants in this spot also works because Velasquez’s numbers vs. current Giants hitters are sharper than Cueto’s against current Phillies batters.

The reason for backing Philly on the First 5 Innings line is because the Phillies bullpen has the worst WAR in the majors.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the PHILLIES +0.5 (-130) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a half unit because of all the previous analysis, plus, Philly’s half-run of insurance for the First 5 Innings is reasonably priced.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-110) for a half unit.

Cueto has given up 4 home runs in his last two starts, Velasquez’s exit velocity, hard-hit rate and fly-ball rates are all higher than the MLB average and the weather forecast calls for double-digit winds blowing out to left-centerfield.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (39-23) and Washington Nationals (25-34) meet Saturday at 2:05 p.m. ET for the first game of a double-dip at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Kevin Gausman is the projected Game 1 starting pitcher for the Giants. Gausman is 7-0 with a 1.27 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 10.8 K/9, and 1.9 BB/9 in 77 2/3 IP over 12 starts.

Over his last 5 starts, the veteran righty has logged just 1.1 BB/9 against 12.9 K/9. During that stretch, he’s posted a tidy 0.28 ERA.

RHP Erick Fedde takes the mound for the Nationals. He is 3-4 with a 4.35 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 8.2 K/9, and 4.1 BB/9 in 39 1/3 IP over 8 starts.

Fedde has been on the COVID-19 Injured List and hasn’t made a Major League start since May 16. He did make a rehab start for Single-A Wilmington on June 5.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:06 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Nationals +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants -1.5 (+120) | Nationals +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 6 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Giants 4, Nationals 3

Money line (ML)

This four-game series was to have started Thursday night but that contest was postponed due to rain. The Giants then defeated the Nationals, 1-0, on Friday night. The Saturday doubleheader will be comprised of two 7-inning games.

With the win in the opener, San Francisco has won nine of its last 12 games, and this pitching matchup is very much in the Giants’ favor. Fedde coming off the IL and having six days off since his rehab stint is problematic for Nats’ bettors. Over his career, he’s coughed up an .836 OPS when starting on long rest.

BACK THE GIANTS (-160). 

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the pricey run line action. Stick with the ML play in the 7-frame game environment.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Giants’ offense has been tremendous on the road (.756 OPS heading into the series); the Nats look to be under-performing on their quality of contact and are a decent play to pick up the pace with the bats. With this contest being the first of two on the day, bullpen management also figures to expose some lesser arms if things swing a few runs one way or the other.

BACK THE OVER 6 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (39-23) and Washington Nationals (25-34) meet Saturday at 2:05 p.m. ET for the first game of a double-dip at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Kevin Gausman is the projected Game 1 starting pitcher for the Giants. Gausman is 7-0 with a 1.27 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 10.8 K/9, and 1.9 BB/9 in 77 2/3 IP over 12 starts.

Over his last 5 starts, the veteran righty has logged just 1.1 BB/9 against 12.9 K/9. During that stretch, he’s posted a tidy 0.28 ERA.

RHP Erick Fedde takes the mound for the Nationals. He is 3-4 with a 4.35 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 8.2 K/9, and 4.1 BB/9 in 39 1/3 IP over 8 starts.

Fedde has been on the COVID-19 Injured List and hasn’t made a Major League start since May 16. He did make a rehab start for Single-A Wilmington on June 5.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:06 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Nationals +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants -1.5 (+120) | Nationals +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 6 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Giants 4, Nationals 3

Money line (ML)

This four-game series was to have started Thursday night but that contest was postponed due to rain. The Giants then defeated the Nationals, 1-0, on Friday night. The Saturday doubleheader will be comprised of two 7-inning games.

With the win in the opener, San Francisco has won nine of its last 12 games, and this pitching matchup is very much in the Giants’ favor. Fedde coming off the IL and having six days off since his rehab stint is problematic for Nats’ bettors. Over his career, he’s coughed up an .836 OPS when starting on long rest.

BACK THE GIANTS (-160). 

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the pricey run line action. Stick with the ML play in the 7-frame game environment.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Giants’ offense has been tremendous on the road (.756 OPS heading into the series); the Nats look to be under-performing on their quality of contact and are a decent play to pick up the pace with the bats. With this contest being the first of two on the day, bullpen management also figures to expose some lesser arms if things swing a few runs one way or the other.

BACK THE OVER 6 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (38-23) and Washington Nationals (25-33) meet Friday at 7:05 p.m. ET for the delayed start of a four-game series at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Anthony DeSclafani makes his 13th start for the Giants. DeSclafani is 5-2 with a 3.51 ERA , 1.11 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 66 2/3 IP.

Increases in walks and fly balls have led to the veteran right-hander posting a 9.45 ERA over his last 3 starts. Recent-vintage DeSclafani has been a solid pitcher on the road, owning a 3.62 ERA in his last 144 1/3 road innings.

RHP Max Scherzer takes the mound for the Nationals. Scherzer is 5-4 with a 2.22 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 in 77 IP across 12 starts.

He has picked up 28 K just 3 BB over his last 3 starts. Four current San Francisco bats have faced Scherzer before and own a .604 OPS against him.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:57 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Nationals -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-145) | Nationals -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Nationals 5, Giants 3

Money line (ML)

This series was to have started Thursday night but that contest was postponed due to rain. The series now includes a Saturday doubleheader, so that figures to affect bullpen use in this game.

San Francisco comes in having won seven of its last 10 games. Washington is back in its home environment after a 4-5 road swing.

PASS on the ML, and look for better profit margins elsewhere.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

TAKE WASHINGTON -1.5 (+120). The Scherzer upside/DeSclafani downside combo is likely enough and provides enough margin to make for some run-line value on the Nationals. The Washington bullpen has posted improved analytics over recent weeks.

Over/Under (O/U)

BACK THE OVER 7.5 (-110). Both starters are toting around low batting-average-on-balls-in-play figures with DeSclafani owning a .251 and Scherzer’s .242 coming in even lower. The Giants’ offense has been tremendous on the road (.756 OPS); the Nats look to be under-performing on their quality of contact and are a decent play to pick up the pace with the bats. Also, mix in the possibility of a take-one-for-the-team effort (to save pitching for Saturday) for a long reliever if the game goes sideways either way.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (38-23) visit the nation’s capital Thursday to start a four-game series with the Washington Nationals (25-33) at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco just split a two-game mini interleague series at the Texas Rangers after losing 4-3 in extra innings Wednesday, but the Giants have won seven of their last 10 games.

Washington wrapped up a nine-game road swing by also splitting a two-game mini interleague series with the Tampa Bay Rays thanks to a 9-7 extra-innings win Wednesday. The Nationals were 4-5 on their road trip.

Season series: 0-0.

RHP Anthony DeSclafani makes his 13th start for the Giants. DeSclafani is 5-2 with a 3.51 ERA (66 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 7-2, in 6 IP with 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 4 K vs. the Chicago Cubs last Thursday.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 124 at-bats with a .266/.321/.435 slash line, 30/8 K/BB, 5 HR and 13 RBIs.

RHP Max Scherzer takes the mound for the Nationals. Scherzer is 5-4 with a 2.22 ERA (77 IP, 19 ER), 0.82 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 across 12 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 2-1, in 7 2/3 IP with 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 9 K Friday at the Philadelphia Phillies.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 100 at-bats with a .170/.215/.390 slash line, 36/6 K/BB, 4 HR and 11 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Nationals -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-140) | Nationals -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Nationals 7, Giants 2

Money line (ML)

PASS because we are a little late to the party and the price on the Nationals (-190) is too rich for my blood. The game opened at Washington (-164) on most books but has been steamed up to the current number.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET the NATIONALS -0.5 (-145) FIRST 5 INNINGS for 1 unit since Washington has an overwhelming edge in starting pitching matchup and Nationals hitters three through six have an .871 OPS or better vs. DeSclafani.

Also, I’d argue DeSclafani’s basic pitching numbers are a little flukey as indicated by his .251 BAbip while he is grading in the 18th percentile in hard-hit rate and 33rd percentile in exit velocity.

Furthermore, DeSclafani’s 9% meatball rate is the highest of his career. To put that in perspective the Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff leads the majors in meatball rate at 7.9%.

The reason why I’m focusing on Washington’s First 5 Innings line is that the Nationals -1.5 (+115) isn’t fat enough and Washington’s bullpen has a worse xFIP and SIERA despite San Francisco’s bullpen ranking 28th in WAR.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” on the Over 7.5 (+100) since both bullpens are taxed from playing extra-inning games Wednesday and if either starter can’t eat up a lot of innings then these lineups could both do damage in the late game.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (32-20) go for a three-game sweep of their NL West rival Los Angeles Dodgers (31-21) on Sunday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The bats have come to play in this series as San Francisco won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 19-11.

Season series: Dodgers 4-2.

RHP Kevin Gausman makes his 11th start for the Giants. Gausman is 5-0 with a 1.53 ERA (64 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 0.85 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9, and 10.6 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 8-0, in 5 IP with 0 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, and 9 K on May 25 at Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 0-2 with a 4.44 ERA (24 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.44 WHIP, and 9.6 K/9 over 4 starts and 1 bullpen outing.
  • vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 119 at-bats with a .328/.404/.538 slash line, 23/16 K/BB, 6 HR, and 20 RBIs.

LHP Clayton Kershaw is the projected starter for the Dodgers. Kershaw is 7-3 with a 2.94 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 21 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9, and 9.9 K/9 across 11 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 9-2, in 7 2/3 IP with 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, and 6 K at Houston Astros on May 25.
  • Career vs. Giants: 24-13 with a 1.79 ERA (352 2/3 IP, 70 ER), 0.88 WHIP, and 9.2 K/9 over 49 starts and 2 relief appearances.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 361 at-bats with a .191/.232/.288 slash line, 99/17 K/BB, 8 HR, and 19 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-150) | Dodgers -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Giants 5, Dodgers 3

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the GIANTS (+145) for a quarter unit because this game is priced as if Kershaw is far better than Gausman when in reality these starters are fairly comparable and, if anything, Gausman is having the better season.

In fact, Gausman has a better FIP and xFIP than Kershaw, and San Francisco’s lineup is almost as tough on lefties as L.A.’s is against righties.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the GIANTS +0.5 (-105) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a three-fourths unit because Gausman is having a career season and I want to avoid the late innings since both bullpens are sketchy.

For instance, 8 of Gausman’s 10 outings have been quality starts, 4 of which were against the tough lineups of the San Diego Padres and Cincinnati Reds.

Also, I want to isolate my handicap to the First 5 Innings because while the Dodgers may lead the majors in blown saves with 14 the Giants are second with 13.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the OVER 7.5 (+100) because the Giants have a 12-7 O/U record as a road dog, the Dodgers are 13-11-1 O/U as a home favorite and they’re 7-4 O/U in Kershaw starts.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (31-20) play Game 3 of a four-game series at the Los Angeles Dodgers (31-20) Saturday. First pitch at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (on FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

2021 series: Dodgers lead 4-1

San Francisco evened this series with an 8-5, 10-inning victory Friday to claim its first W vs. Los Angeles in five tries this season.

As expected with this rivalry, there was some drama. Dodgers C Austin Barnes ripped a game-tying, pinch-hit, 3-run homer with two outs in the bottom of the ninth, which was followed by Giants LF Mike Tauchman (a defensive replacement) robbing PH Albert Pujols of a walk-off homer.

RHP Logan Webb is expected to be activated off the injured list to start for the Giants Saturday. Webb, who missed one start due to a right shoulder strain, is 3-3 with a 4.09 ERA (44 IP, 20 ER), 1.41 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 in 8 starts and 1 relief appearance this season.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 6-3 victory at Cincinnati Reds May 17
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 0-2, 5.27 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 16 H, 4 BB, 11 K in 3 starts

LHP Julio Urias is the Dodgers’ projected starter. He is 7-1 with a 3.03 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 21 ER), 0.82 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 and 1.0 BB/9 in 10 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 11-5 victory at Giants Sunday
  • Career vs. Giants: 1-2, 2.22 ERA (52 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 10 starts and 6 relief appearances
  • 2021 vs. Giants: 1-0, 3.00 ERA in 1 start (Sunday)

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:56 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-125) | Dodgers -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Giants 4, Dodgers 3

Money line (ML)

There’s good value in the Giants (+165), who aren’t 11 games over .500 because of luck.

They rank second in the NL with 71 homers – behind the Atlanta Braves’ 80 – and the rotation is fifth in the NL with a 2.99 ERA.

However, I’m going to PASS on an ML play and focus on the spread.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

SAN FRANCISCO +1.5 (-125) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Giants have the best ATS record in baseball, but beware, the Dodgers are 8-2 in Urias’ 10 starts.

If you want to take a shot at the nice payoff with the Giants ML, I could see divvying up the 1½-unit ATS wager with San Francisco +165.

ATS records: Giants 33-18 | Dodgers 24-27

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS. The Over is 7-2 in Urias’ starts but 3-5 in Webb’s starts. Don’t be surprised if this turns into a pitcher’s duel, but I don’t trust the bullpens enough to back the Under 7.5 (-105).

O/U records: Giants 24-25-2 | Dodgers 26-24-1

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 52-51-2 16-18-1 -3.16
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 155-137-3 65-60-1 +8.74
*SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (30-20) play Game 2 of a four-game set at the Los Angeles Dodgers (31-19) Friday. First pitch at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

2021 series: Dodgers lead 4-0

The Dodgers won 4-3 Thursday and swept a three-game series in San Francisco last weekend.

RHP Anthony DeSclafani is Friday’s projected starter for the Giants. He is 4-2 with a 3.54 ERA (56 IP, 22 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 in 10 starts this season.

  • Last outing: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 10 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 11-5 home defeat to Dodgers Sunday
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1-6, 6.75 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 7 starts
  • 2021 vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 33.75 ERA in 1 start (Sunday)

RHP Walker Buehler is L.A.’s projected starter. He is 3-0 with a 2.78 ERA (58 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 0.89 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 and 1.2 BB/9 in 9 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 6-3 victory at Giants Saturday
  • Career vs. Giants: 5-0, 2.68 ERA (37 IP, 11 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 6 starts and 2 relief appearances
  • 2021 vs. Giants: 1-0, 1.29 ERA in 1 start (Saturday)

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-120) | Dodgers -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Giants 2

Money line (ML)

Back the DODGERS (-200) to WIN 0.75 UNITS. This is my STRONGEST PLAY – which customarily is 1½ times your usual wager – but I’m pulling back a little due to the high price.

The pitching matchup heavily favors the Dodgers, who are 6-0 in their last six meetings with the Giants dating back to last year.

As mentioned above, Buehler is 5-0 in his career vs. the Giants, including a win this season when he pitched 1-run ball for 7 innings. DeSclafani, who gave up a career-high 10 runs to L.A. Sunday, is 1-6 in his career vs. the Dodgers.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Back LOS ANGELES -1.5 (+105) to WIN A QUARTER UNIT. Twenty-four of the Dodgers 31 victories this season have been by at least 2 or more runs.

Be warned: The Dodgers are 2-2 ATS vs. the Giants, who own the best ATS record in baseball.

ATS records: Giants 32-18 | Dodgers 24-26

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 7.5 (-110) is worth a QUARTER-UNIT play. DeSclafani should pitch better than he did Sunday vs. the Dodgers. Before that outing, he posted a 2.03 ERA (53 1/3 IP, 12 ER) in his first 9 starts.

Buehler features a 2.33 ERA (54 IP, 14 ER) across his last 9 regular-season starts at Dodger Stadium over the last two years. He’s 2-0 with a 2.97 ERA (33 1/3 IP, 11 ER) in 5 starts this season.

O/U records: Giants 23-25-2 | Dodgers 25-24-1

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 52-48-2 16-17-1 -1.135
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 155-134-3 65-59-1 +10.765
*SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (30-20) play Game 2 of a four-game set at the Los Angeles Dodgers (31-19) Friday. First pitch at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

2021 series: Dodgers lead 4-0

The Dodgers won 4-3 Thursday and swept a three-game series in San Francisco last weekend.

RHP Anthony DeSclafani is Friday’s projected starter for the Giants. He is 4-2 with a 3.54 ERA (56 IP, 22 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 in 10 starts this season.

  • Last outing: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 10 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 11-5 home defeat to Dodgers Sunday
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1-6, 6.75 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 7 starts
  • 2021 vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 33.75 ERA in 1 start (Sunday)

RHP Walker Buehler is L.A.’s projected starter. He is 3-0 with a 2.78 ERA (58 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 0.89 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 and 1.2 BB/9 in 9 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 6-3 victory at Giants Saturday
  • Career vs. Giants: 5-0, 2.68 ERA (37 IP, 11 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 6 starts and 2 relief appearances
  • 2021 vs. Giants: 1-0, 1.29 ERA in 1 start (Saturday)

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-120) | Dodgers -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Giants 2

Money line (ML)

Back the DODGERS (-200) to WIN 0.75 UNITS. This is my STRONGEST PLAY – which customarily is 1½ times your usual wager – but I’m pulling back a little due to the high price.

The pitching matchup heavily favors the Dodgers, who are 6-0 in their last six meetings with the Giants dating back to last year.

As mentioned above, Buehler is 5-0 in his career vs. the Giants, including a win this season when he pitched 1-run ball for 7 innings. DeSclafani, who gave up a career-high 10 runs to L.A. Sunday, is 1-6 in his career vs. the Dodgers.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Back LOS ANGELES -1.5 (+105) to WIN A QUARTER UNIT. Twenty-four of the Dodgers 31 victories this season have been by at least 2 or more runs.

Be warned: The Dodgers are 2-2 ATS vs. the Giants, who own the best ATS record in baseball.

ATS records: Giants 32-18 | Dodgers 24-26

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 7.5 (-110) is worth a QUARTER-UNIT play. DeSclafani should pitch better than he did Sunday vs. the Dodgers. Before that outing, he posted a 2.03 ERA (53 1/3 IP, 12 ER) in his first 9 starts.

Buehler features a 2.33 ERA (54 IP, 14 ER) across his last 9 regular-season starts at Dodger Stadium over the last two years. He’s 2-0 with a 2.97 ERA (33 1/3 IP, 11 ER) in 5 starts this season.

O/U records: Giants 23-25-2 | Dodgers 25-24-1

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 52-48-2 16-17-1 -1.135
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 155-134-3 65-59-1 +10.765
*SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]