The San Francisco Giants (31-20) play Game 3 of a four-game series at the Los Angeles Dodgers (31-20) Saturday. First pitch at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (on FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
2021 series: Dodgers lead 4-1
San Francisco evened this series with an 8-5, 10-inning victory Friday to claim its first W vs. Los Angeles in five tries this season.
As expected with this rivalry, there was some drama. Dodgers C Austin Barnes ripped a game-tying, pinch-hit, 3-run homer with two outs in the bottom of the ninth, which was followed by Giants LF Mike Tauchman (a defensive replacement) robbing PH Albert Pujols of a walk-off homer.
RHP Logan Webb is expected to be activated off the injured list to start for the Giants Saturday. Webb, who missed one start due to a right shoulder strain, is 3-3 with a 4.09 ERA (44 IP, 20 ER), 1.41 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 in 8 starts and 1 relief appearance this season.
- Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 6-3 victory at Cincinnati Reds May 17
- Career vs. Dodgers: 0-2, 5.27 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 16 H, 4 BB, 11 K in 3 starts
LHP Julio Urias is the Dodgers’ projected starter. He is 7-1 with a 3.03 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 21 ER), 0.82 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 and 1.0 BB/9 in 10 starts.
- Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 11-5 victory at Giants Sunday
- Career vs. Giants: 1-2, 2.22 ERA (52 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 10 starts and 6 relief appearances
- 2021 vs. Giants: 1-0, 3.00 ERA in 1 start (Sunday)
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Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:56 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Giants +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-125) | Dodgers -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Giants 4, Dodgers 3
Money line (ML)
There’s good value in the Giants (+165), who aren’t 11 games over .500 because of luck.
They rank second in the NL with 71 homers – behind the Atlanta Braves’ 80 – and the rotation is fifth in the NL with a 2.99 ERA.
However, I’m going to PASS on an ML play and focus on the spread.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
SAN FRANCISCO +1.5 (-125) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Giants have the best ATS record in baseball, but beware, the Dodgers are 8-2 in Urias’ 10 starts.
If you want to take a shot at the nice payoff with the Giants ML, I could see divvying up the 1½-unit ATS wager with San Francisco +165.
ATS records: Giants 33-18 | Dodgers 24-27
Over/Under (O/U)
PASS. The Over is 7-2 in Urias’ starts but 3-5 in Webb’s starts. Don’t be surprised if this turns into a pitcher’s duel, but I don’t trust the bullpens enough to back the Under 7.5 (-105).
O/U records: Giants 24-25-2 | Dodgers 26-24-1
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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
| JOHNNY’S RECORD | W-L | SP | ROI |
| 2021 MLB | 52-51-2 | 16-18-1 | -3.16 |
| 2020 MLB | 80-59-1 | 39-21 | +24.79 |
| 2021 (all sports) | 155-137-3 | 65-60-1 | +8.74 |
| *–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment | |||
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