Tag: San Francisco Giants betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (51-65) and San Francisco Giants (75-41) meet Saturday for the third game of their four-game series at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Rockies LHP Kyle Freeland (3-6, 4.65 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 71 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed 1 ER in four of his seven road starts. In the remaining three road starts he gave up more than 3 ER only once.
  • Has a 3.41 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and .321 BABIP across 29 IP through five starts since the All-Star break.

Giants LHP Sammy Long (1-1, 5.81 ERA) makes his fourth start and his eighth appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 26 1/3 IP.

  • Making his first start since July 3. Gave up 10 ER on 15 H and 5 BB with 15 K through 15 IP in his three previous starts.
  • Has a 1.65 ERA across 27 1/3 IP through six starts and three relief appearances at Low-A, Double-A and Triple-A this season.

Rockies at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Giants -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-115) | Giants -1.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Prediction

Giants 4, Rockies 3

Money line (ML)

The pitching matchup in this one actually leans well toward Colorado with Freeland taking the mound against the rookie Long.

The problem is the scenario just does not set up well – Colorado simply does not produce results away from Coors Field, as evidenced by their league-worst road record of 13-44 and league-worst 3.04 runs per game away from home.

There may be some backing to make a small value-based wager on the Rockies at +180, but they’re 1-7 this season at Oracle Park and it’s hard to fully put trust in the team to get it done.

The safest move in this scenario is PASS. We can’t trust the Rockies to produce and we can’t pay the chalk price on the Giants with their rookie hurler.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Freeland has been shelled in one of his seven road starts this season but he’s given up 3 or fewer earned runs in the other six outings. San Francisco isn’t bad against lefties, but it doesn’t hit them particularly well either.

Colorado on the other hand does hit lefties pretty well and is top five in metrics such as OPS and wOBA against southpaws. While Long’s 3.37 FIP and 4.60 xFIP suggest he has perhaps been a bit hard done by compared to his surface numbers, if there’s a guy the Rockies might get to it could be him.

Take the insurance and look toward COLORADO +1.5 (-115).

Over/Under (O/U)

We’ve already touched on Freeland’s road numbers, Colorado’s inability to get it done at the plate anywhere but Coors field, and Long’s underlying stats belying his surface ERA.

On top of that, both of these bullpens have been pretty solid in the second half and the public is hammering the Over.

The play looks to be toward UNDER 8.5 (-108).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (51-64) meet the San Francisco Giants (74-41) Friday at Oracle Park for the second game of their four-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco smoked Colorado in the series opener Friday 7-0 thanks in part to a scoreless 6 inning, 8 strikeout gem thrown by Giants starting RHP Logan Webb who allowed only 3 hits and 2 walks.

Season series: Giants lead 7-3.

RHP Austin Gomber takes the hill for the Rockies. Gomber is 9-6 with a 3.79 ERA (97 1/3 IP, 41 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 19 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 7-4, with 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 9 K Saturday against the Miami Marlins.
  • Gomber is 0-2 this year against San Francisco with a 12.38 ERA (8 IP, 11 ER), 8 H, 8 BB and 8 K in two starts.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster (37 PA): 3.89 FIP with a .233 batting average (BA), .317 wOBA, .247 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 21.6 K% and 88.3 mph exit velocity (EV).

RHP Anthony DeSclafani is San Francisco’s projected starter. DeSclafani is 10-5 with a 3.28 ERA (126 1/3 IP, 46 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 22 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB and 5 K in San Francisco’s 11-8 victory Aug. 2 at the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • DeSclafani is 2-0 this season against Colorado with a 0.00 ERA (15 IP), 9 H, 2 BB and 17 K in two starts.
  • vs. Rockies on the current roster (75 PA): 2.20 FIP with a .186 BA, .219 wOBA, .311 xSLG, 29.3 K% and 85.8 mph EV.

Rockies at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:19 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Giants -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-125) | Giants -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Giants 5, Rockies 1

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Giants (-220) because they are clearly the correct pick and should win this game outright. However, the obviousness of San Francisco in this spot is baked into the line which is too expensive for me.

Furthermore, the Giants are a massive favorite with a short total. This is another reason to not fade San Francisco because if oddsmakers are projecting a lower scoring game then it’s hard not to side with this heavy of a favorite.

That said, I’d entertain parlaying San Francisco’s money line with a similarly priced favorite to get a much better payout. I don’t see much value in playing the Giants (-220) straight up.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the GIANTS -1.5 (+100) for a half unit because they have the second-best cover rate in the MLB as a home favorite at 25-18 ATS and in games against NL West competition at 33-18 ATS. Also, the Rockies have a losing run line record on the road and against divisional foes.

However, my weariness about San Francisco’s run line here is because, again, oddsmakers have set a short total so if there are fewer runs to go around it’s harder to cash the GIANTS -1.5 (+100) bet.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (+100) for a half unit and I would wait until closer to the first pitch in hopes of getting an 8-run total since the market is backing the Over.

However, both bullpens rank in or around the top 10 in several advanced pitching metrics following the All-Star Break and Colorado’s lineup hasn’t been able to hit DeSclafani in their two earlier meetings.

Also, Gomber’s pitching peripherals aren’t too shabby and he’s been nuked in one outing vs. the Giants but only allowed 2 ER in their April 9 meeting.

Lastly, this total is suspiciously low considering the Over has cashed in six of the last seven Rockies-Giants meetings and San Francisco’s lineup ranking second in wRC+ at home.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (51-63) and San Francisco Giants (73-41) open a four-game series Thursday at Oracle Park. First pitch is set for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Giants lead 6-3

The Rockies lost 5-1 at the Houston Astros Wednesday getting swept in the two-game series following a four-game win streak. The Giants own a four-game win streak following Wednesday’s 7-2 home victory vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks.

RHP German Marquez is projected to start the opener for the Rockies. He is 10-8 with a 3.42 ERA (136 2/3 IP, 52 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 23 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 14-2 home rout of Miami Marlins Friday
  • 2021 vs. Giants: 0-3, 13.06 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 16 H, 8 BB, 13 K in three starts
  • Career vs. Giants: 4-7, 6.68 ERA (67 1/3 IP, 50 ER), 1.56 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 13 starts

RHP Logan Webb is the projected starter for the Giants. He is 5-3 with a 3.19 ERA (79 IP, 28 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 15 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 9 K at Milwaukee Brewers Friday – Giants lost 2-1 in 10 innings
  • 2021 vs. Rockies: 0-1, 9.35 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 11 H, 5 BB, 11 K in two starts
  • Career vs. Rockies: 2-1, 5.92 ERA (24 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.52 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in four starts and one relief appearance

Rockies at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Giants -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-155) | Giants -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Prediction

Giants 7, Rockies 3

Money line (ML)

SAN FRANCISCO (-180) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

Not only do the Giants have the best record in baseball, they’re the best home team at 37-17.

The Rockies, who are 12 games under .500 overall, feature the majors’ worst road mark at 13-42.

Plus, as mentioned above, Colorado’s Marquez has been horrendous vs. San Francisco this season.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Back GIANTS -1.5 (+122) for a QUARTER UNIT.

San Francisco is the best ATS team in the majors posting a 72-42 record. Colorado is also on the positive side of the ATS scoreboard six games over .500 at 60-54.

However, the Rockies are 23-32 ATS on the road while the Giants are 32-22 ATS at home.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 7.5. (-110) is the play.

O/U records: Rockies 51-60-2 | Giants 54-56-4

While both clubs are Under teams, the Over is 6-0 in the last six head-to-head meetings.

Plus, the Rockies are 10-5 O/U in their last 15 games overall.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
SINCE JULY 8 10-7 3-4 +1.35
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (64-39) host the Houston Astros (64-40) Saturday for the second game of their three-game interleague set at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Astros won the first game of the series 9-6 as 2B Jose Altuve went 3-for-6 with 2 home runs and 5 RBIs. Also, Houston’s lineup nuked San Francisco’s bullpen by plating 6 runs across 4 innings of work.

Season series: Astros lead 1-0.

RHP Zack Greinke makes his 22nd start for the Astros. He is 10-3 with a 3.48 ERA (126 2/3 IP, 49 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9.

  • Last outing: Win, 3-1, with 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 4 K Sunday against the Texas Rangers.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster (177 PA): 2.02 FIP with a .212 batting average (BA), .240 wOBA, .289 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 26.6 K% and 86.3 mph exit velocity (EV).

LHP Alex Wood is San Francisco’s projected starter. He is 9-3 with a 3.65 ERA (93 2/3 IP, 38 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 17 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 6-1, with 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 8 K Sunday against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Astros at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Astros +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Giants -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Astros +1.5 (-200) | Giants -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Astros 7, Giants 3

Money line (ML)

Let’s go with the hot hand and BET an ASTROS (+100) team that’s won eight of their last 10 games.

Since the All-Star Game, Houston’s lineup is 10th or better in wRC+, wOBA and WAR while San Francisco’s lineup ranks 19th or worse in each of those categories.

Also, Greinke has been more effective on the road this season and has always pitched well at San Francisco’s home ballpark. Greinke is 5-0 on the road with a 2.25 ERA (60 IP, 15 ER), 0.85 WHIP and 4.8 K/BB through nine starts.

For his career, Greinke is 6-0 with a 1.19 ERA (53 IP, 7 ER), 0.89 WHIP and 5.4 K/BB in eight starts at San Francisco’s ballpark.

TAKE the ASTROS (+100) for 1 unit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the ASTROS -1.5 (+165) on the alternate line for a tiny wager, if at all, because Houston has clear edges in the starting pitching and hitting matchups and San Francisco’s bullpen is taxed from throwing a lot of pitches recently.

However, the Giants covered the spread in eight of their 12 games as home underdogs this season and the Astros bullpen has been the weakest facet of Houston’s game throughout the season.

The best play in this game is to stick with the Astros (+100) on the money line, but Houston is clearly the right side so I don’t hate SPRINKLING on ASTROS -1.5 (+165).

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” toward the Over 8.5 (-105) as a “contrarian play” against a majority of the market that’s taking the Under. Since that’s my only handicapping angle I’ll stay away from the total in Astros-Giants.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (63-40) kick off a three-game interleague set at the San Francisco Giants (64-38) Friday in Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Houston has won seven of its last nine games, including three straight series victories. The Astros took two of three from the visiting Cleveland Indians (July 19-21), swept the Texas Rangers in three (July 23-25) and won two of three at the Seattle Mariners (Monday through Wednesday).

San Francisco won the rubber match of their three-game set with the Los Angeles Dodgers Wednesday. It was the Giants’ second series win against their long-time rivals in the past 10 games.

LHP Framber Valdez is Houston’s projected starter. Valdez is 6-2 with a 2.97 ERA (66 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 11 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 4-1, with 6 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 6 BB and 4 K against the Texas Rangers Saturday.
  • 2021 road splits: 3-2 with a 2.94 ERA (33 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.10 WHIP and 2.6 K/BB rate in five starts.

RHP Kevin Gausman takes the hill for the Giants. Gausman is 9-4 with a 2.21 ERA (122 IP, 30 ER), 0.92 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 20 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 10-2, with 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 4 BB and 2 K Saturday vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • 2021 home splits: 4-2 with a 3.10 ERA (52 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 0.84 WHIP and 4.3 K/BB rate in eight starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Astros at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Astros +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Giants -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Astros +1.5 (-200) | Giants -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Astros 6, Giants 5

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the ASTROS (+105) for a half unit because the Giants’ Gausman has looked shaky in recent starts. He’s allowed 8 earned runs in just 7 1/3 innings in his last two starts.

FanGraphs graded Gausman’s last start against the lowly Pirates a 19. The previous outing was a 32 against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Also, San Francisco’s lineup is around league average against left-handed pitching in wRC+, OPS and wOBA but has the third-worst hard-contact rate. Houston’s lineup is clearly the top in MLB vs. right-handed pitching and ranks in the top 3 in wRC+, wOBA, OPS and BB/K rate.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the Astros +1.5 (-200) is way out of my price range despite Houston’s 8-4 ATS record as a road underdog this season. I only “lean” to the Astros outright and don’t like them enough to buy Houston’s overpriced insurance.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET the OVER 7.5 (-115) for 1 unit as my favorite play in this game because Houston is 9-2-1 O/U as a road underdog this year and San Francisco is 19-17-1 O/U as a home favorite.

Not only has Gausman regressed from his early-season dominance in the past two starts, but Valdez has control issues that could lead to San Francisco’s lineup putting up some crooked numbers in innings.

Valdez grades in the 26th percentile in BB%. He was pulled while flirting with a no-hitter during his last start because he walked 6 in 6 innings and threw 99 pitches.

If Valdez duplicates that performance against the Giants, he could be in trouble because San Francisco’s lineup has the highest BB/K rate vs. left-handed pitching and has hit the ninth-most home runs against lefties.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (62-41) and San Francisco Giants (63-38) wrap up a three-game series Thursday at Oracle Park. First pitch is set for 3:45 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Dodgers lead 8-7

Los Angeles shut out San Francisco 8-0 Wednesday, rebounding from a 2-1 loss in Tuesday’s opener.

LHP David Price is projected to start the series finale for the Dodgers. He is 4-0 with a 3.35 ERA (40 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in six starts and 20 relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in start vs. Colorado Rockies Friday – Dodgers lost 9-6 in 10 innings
  • 2021 as starter: 0-0, 2.84 ERA (19 IP, 6 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 in six starts
  • Career vs. Giants: 0-2, 2.45 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.72 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in four starts and one relief appearance

RHP Johnny Cueto is penciled in to start for the Giants. He is 6-5 with a 4.09 ERA (88 IP, 40 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 and 1.7 BB/9 in 16 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 6-4 home loss to Pittsburgh Pirates Friday
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 8-9, 3.92 ERA (133 1/3 IP, 58 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 in 23 starts

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Dodgers at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:38 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Giants +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+125) | Giants +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Giants 3, Dodgers 2

Money line (ML)

SAN FRANCISCO (+105) offers great value at plus money.

The Giants feature the best home record in the National League at 32-16.

It’s no fluke – at this point of the season – that they have the best overall record in baseball.

Plus, the Giants are expected to activate SS Brandon Crawford, who has been out since July 19 with a left oblique strain.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

While the Giants own the best ATS record in the majors, AVOID backing their -1.5 spread since the juice is a bit costly at -155.

However, five of their seven victories vs. the Dodgers have been by 2 or more runs.

ATS records: Dodgers 49-54 | Giants 63-38

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 8.5 (-105) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

Price and Cueto are Under pitchers.

The Under is 5-1 in Price’s starts.

The Under is 9-6 when Cueto takes the hill, including 7-2 in his last nine starts.

O/U records: Dodgers 49-49-5 | Giants 48-50-3

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
SINCE JULY 8 8-7 2-4 -1.275
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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MLB best bets: Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants game predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with expert MLB betting picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (61-35) start a three-game set with the visiting Pittsburgh Pirates (36-60) Friday at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 2-2.

RHP Chad Kuhl is on the bump for the Pirates. He is 3-5 with a 4.31 ERA (56 1/3 IP, 27 ER), 1.37 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 across 12 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 4-1, with 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 5 BB and 3 K last Friday against the New York Mets.
  • 2021 road stats: 1-4 with a 6.07 ERA (29 2/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.55 WHIP and 1.5 K/BB rate through seven starts.

RHP Johnny Cueto is San Francisco’s projected starter. He is 6-5 with a 4.01 ERA (83 IP, 37 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 over 15 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB and 5 K in San Francisco’s 2-1 loss at the St. Louis Cardinals Sunday.
  • Cueto earned a no-decision against Pittsburgh May 15, with 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 8 H, 0 BB and 2 K in San Francisco’s 8-6 road loss.
    • vs. Pirates on the current roster (44 PA): 2.40 FIP with a .268 batting average, .277 wOBA, .438 expected slugging percentage, 15.9 K% and 86.5 mph exit velocity.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Pirates at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Giants -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-130) | Giants -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Giants 4, Pirates 1

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the GIANTS (-190) because they are better than the Pirates in every facet of the game and San Francisco has the best winning percentage both at home and against right-handed starters.

However, these things are already baked into the line and close to 90% of the cash wagered is on the Giants, according to Pregame.com.

Their money line is a little pricier than I’d like with Cueto on the bump; however, this isn’t the NFL where the “any given Sunday” mantra applies and there’s an ocean-sized gap between these two sides.

That said, I’d play it safe here and risk only 1 unit on San Francisco’s money line. As in, if your standard wager is $100, put that on the GIANTS (-190) to earn a profit of $52.63.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET the GIANTS -1.5 (+105) based on all the previous analysis combined with San Francisco having the second-best cover rate as a home favorite with a 20-14 ATS record. Pittsburgh has the second-worst cover rate on the road at 19-30 ATS.

Personally, I’ll be greedy and take San Francisco’s run line instead of the money line to go for a bigger payout but, either way, the Giants are the right side in this contest.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Under 8 (-105) because three of the four Pirates-Giants meetings went Under the total and San Francisco is 5-9 O/U when Cueto gets the start.

However, the Pirates are 8-4 O/U in games Kuhl starts and I’m even less confident in Pittsburgh’s bullpen than Kuhl.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (60-35) and Los Angeles Dodgers (59-38) play the finale of a four-game set Thursday at Dodger Stadium on ESPN+. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Anthony DeSclafani is the projected starting pitcher for the Giants. He is 10-4 with a 2.78 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 over 113 1/3 innings across 19 starts.

DeSclafani lost his last start, allowing three runs on five hits and no walks in six innings at the St. Louis Cardinals Saturday. It was his third consecutive quality start.

While he has been on fire against most everyone else, he is 0-2 with a 10.95 ERA with five homers allowed in 12 1/3 innings in three outings against the Dodgers this season.

RHP Walker Buehler is the projected starting pitcher for L.A. He is 10-1 with a 2.37 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 over 121 1/3 innings across 19 starts.

Buehler has won back-to-back starts, and three consecutive decisions across his past four outings.

He allowed just one unearned run with three hits and a walk and seven strikeouts across 6 2/3 innings in a 3-1 win over the Giants June 29. He is 2-0 with a 0.92 ERA across 19 2/3 innings with a .185 opponent batting average in three starts against San Francisco this season.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:39 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-140) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Giants 1

Money line (ML)

The DODGERS (-175) are moderate favorites and the play in this series finale. DeSclafani has struggled against L.A., while Buehler has handled his business against San Francisco.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The DODGERS -1.5 (+115) are worth a roll of the dice at plus-money on the run line. Buehler has been untouchable against the Giants this season, while DeSclafani hasn’t been able to solve the Dodgers.

Look for the dominance to continue for Buehler against Frisco.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 7.5 (-105) is the play.

The Under has cashed in eight of the past 11 for the Giants as underdogs. The Under is also 14-6 in the past 20 road outings for San Francisco. Plus, the Under is 11-2-2 in the past 15 at home for Los Angeles against a right-handed starter.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (59-35) meet the Los Angeles Dodgers (59-37)  Wednesday at Dodger Stadium for the third of their four-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

These teams split the first two games of the series with San Francisco winning the first 7-2 and L.A. taking the second meeting 8-6.

Season series: Dodgers lead 7-4.

RHP Logan Webb is San Francisco’s projected starter. Webb is 4-3 with a 3.54 ERA (56 IP, 22 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 across 11 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 2 K in San Francisco’s 7-2 victory at the St. Louis Cardinals Friday.
  • Webb beat L.A. earlier this season (May 29) with a stat line of 5 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 0 BB and 7 K in the Giants’ 11-6 road win.
    • vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 2.78 FIP with a .234 batting average (BA), .316 wOBA, .406 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 27.8 K% and 86.1 mph exit velocity (EV) in 54 plate appearances.

LHP Julio Urias makes his 20th start for the Dodgers. Urias is 12-3 with a 3.78 ERA (112 IP, 47 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 10-4, with 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB and 3 K Friday at the Colorado Rockies.
  • Urias is 1-1 against L.A. this season with a 6.55 ERA (11 IP, 8 ER), 14 H, 2 BB and 15 K in two starts.
    • vs. Giants on the current roster: 3.15 FIP with a .300 BA, .354 expected wOBA, .417 xSLG, 26.7 K% and 86.8 mph EV in 90 plate appearances.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-135) | Dodgers -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Giants 3

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the DODGERS (-175) for 1 unit because both L.A.’s bullpen and lineup edge out San Francisco’s while this starting pitching matchup is essentially a wash.

For instance, this month, the Dodgers’ batters have the highest WAR, second-highest in both wRC+ and hard-contact rate and third-highest wOBA.

Furthermore, L.A’s bullpen is good to very good whereas San Francisco’s is average to below average. The Dodgers relievers rank ninth in WAR (the Giants 19th), sixth in xFIP (the Giants 15th) and fifth in home runs allowed per nine-inning rate (the Giants 14th).

However, these margins are thinner than I’d like so I’m only putting 1 unit on L.A.’s money line. As in, if your usual sports betting wager is $100 then bet that on DODGERS (-175) to earn a profit of $57.14.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because San Francisco has the best cover rate as a road underdog this season (24-4 ATS) with the highest run line margin (plus-3.3 runs) while L.A. is 20-21 ATS in games against divisional foes.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-110) for a quarter unit because both lineups have been cranking this month, the Dodgers are 13-4 O/U when Urias gets the start, and the Under has cashed in five of the past seven Giants-Dodgers meetings.

However, we do have split action in the betting market with the presumed “sharp” money on the Under and the “public” backing the Over. So I’m a little hesitant about my Over since I’m rolling with the “average Joe”.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (59-34) and Los Angeles Dodgers (58-37) play the second game of a four-game set Tuesday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Alex Wood is the projected starting pitcher for the Giants. He is 8-3 with a 3.67 ERA and 1.15 WHIP with 9.4 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 over 83 1/3 IP across 15 starts.

Wood has won back-to-back starts, and three straight decisions across his past five outings. His last loss was June 1 against the Los Angeles Angels. Wood is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA across 12 innings in two starts against the Dodgers this season.

The Dodgers hadn’t confirmed a starting pitcher at the time of publishing but are expected to go with a bullpen day.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:17 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-165) | Dodgers -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Giants 7, Dodgers 5

Money line (ML)

The GIANTS (+120) are a value play on the road against the Dodgers, who are in a bind. They’re likely to turn to a young pitcher before transitioning to the bullpen this NL West showdown as they look to bounce back after a 7-2 loss in Monday’s series opener. It will end just like Monday did.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The GIANTS +1.5 (-165) are a little on the expensive side, and I’d prefer to play them just straight up. However, Wood has struggled against his former team this season so if you would like a little insurance this price isn’t too steep.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 8.5 (-115) is the play again Tuesday after cashing in the series opener. The Over is 3-0-1 in the last four for the Dodgers following a loss, and the Over is 23-9-1 in the last 33 for the Giants against NL West foes.

Look for San Francisco to roll up plenty of offense against a young hurler.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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