Tag: San Diego Padres betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Braves (12-4) take a 6-game winning streak to California as they open a 3-game series on Monday against the San Diego Padres (8-9). First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET at Petcao Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 3-1

The Braves opened their 6-game road trip with a 3-game sweep of the Kansas City Royals which followed a 3-game sweep at home of the Cincinnati Reds.

The Padres are coming off a home series loss to the Milwaukee Brewers. They lost 3 of 4 games, including 1-0 on Sunday.

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Braves at Padres projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. LHP Ryan Weathers

Fried (0-0, 2.71 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 0 BB and 2 K in 3 1/3 IP.

  • Returns after missing a start with a hamstring strain
  • 2-0 with 2.05 ERA in 3 career starts vs. Padres

Weathers (1-0, 2.70 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 3 BB and 5 K in 10 IP.

  • Padres 2-0 in his 2 starts this season
  • Making 1st career start against Braves

Braves at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:02 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Padres +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braaves -1.5 (+110) | Padres +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Braves at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Braves 3

Moneyline

Weathers has been very sharp so far this season with Padres winning both his previous starts. The Braves have the better bullpen (2.95 ERA vs. Padres’ 3.62 bullpen ERA) but expect the Padres’ offense to bounce back a little after getting shut out on Sunday.

The Padres scored 4 or more runs in all 4 games in Atlanta earlier this season.

BET PADRES (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

The Braves are 7-9 ATS overall this season and 5-9 ATS as favorites. The Padres are 8-9 ATS. The Padres are 5-1 ATS this season as underdogs. Four of those wins are outright.

I like the Padres to cover, but also to win outright and the monelyline bet is a much better value than the run line.

PASS.

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Over/Under

Three of the 4 games between the 2 teams in Atlanta had totals of 9 or more. The Braves have had 7 straight games with totals of 9 or more while  5 of the last 7 for the Padres have had fewer than 9 runs.

Expecting the starters to be effective and both bullpens pitching well to start the season, BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (10-5) close out their 4-game road series against the San Diego Padres (8-8) Sunday. First pitch from Petco Park is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 2-1

The Brewers dropped Saturday’s game 10-3 after winning the first 2 games of the series. Padres IF Jake Cronenworth homered twice, including a 2-run shot in the 5th inning to break a 3-3 tie. The Brewers are 3-3 part way through a 10-game road trip.

The Padres snapped a 3-game skid with the win. They are 2-4 in the last 6 games.

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Brewers at Padres projected starters

LHP Wade Miley vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Miley (1-1, 2.45 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3 BB and 6 K through 11 IP.

  • Picked up his 100th career win in his 1st start of the year
  • Career vs. San Diego: 1-6 with 5.28 ERA across 15 starts

Darvish (0-1, 4.76 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 5 BB and 8 K through 11 1/3 IP.

  • The Padres has lost both of his starts this season
  • Allowed 5 ER on 6 H and 1 BB with 5 K over 6 1/3 IP in last start at the New York Mets Monday

Brewers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Padres -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-145) | Padres -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Brewers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Brewers 2

Moneyline

The Padres have not yet lost a series at home and the Brewers have not yet won a series on the road.

After a rough outing in his last start, expect Darvish to see results closer to his first outing.

But at -175, it is a little rich to bet the Padres.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Six of the Padres’ 8 wins have been by more than 1 run.

All of the Brewers’ losses have been by more than 1 run.

BET PADRES -1.5 (+120).

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Over/Under

The Under is 4-0 in Padres’ last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Only 3 of the Brewers’ last 9 games have had 9 or more total runs.

BET UNDER 8 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (9-4) and San Diego Padres (7-7) continue a 4-game series Friday. First pitch at Petco Park is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Milwaukee leads 1-0

The Brewers took Thursday’s series opener 4-3 in 10 innings. Milwaukee is 2-2 on its first road trip of the series, a 10-gamer that started with a 2-1 series loss at the Arizona Diamondbacks over the weekend.

The Padres have lost 2 games in a row and 3 of their last 4. San Diego banged out a .775 OPS in its first 10 games but has slashed a mere .181/.283/.299 (.582 OPS) across those 4 games.

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Brewers at Padres projected starters

LHP Eric Lauer vs. RHP Michael Wacha

Lauer (1-1, 7.71 ERA) is tabbed for his 3rd start of the 2023 season. He has a 1.82 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 9 1/3 IP.

  • Current San Diego batters own an aggregate .858 OPS against him
  • Logged a 3.69 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 158 2/3 IP last season but posted a 4.76 ERA over 81 1/3 IP on the road
  • Allowing 22 runs in 11 2/3 IP in spring training

Wacha (2-0, 3.00 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 12 IP.

  • Has run hot and cold through his first 2 starts, allowing 6 runs in his debut on April 1 and 0 R last time out on Saturday
  • Owns a 4.04 ERA and 1.30 WHIP across 227 career games

Brewers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Brewers +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Padres -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-145) | Padres -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Brewers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Brewers 4

Moneyline

A San Diego bounce-back seems likely, but getting value on the Padres at this price appears very unlikely. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Over is a likable play here. The Padres figure as the most appealing side, but even there it is only palatable as a partial-unit play if the return goes up to +125. PASS.

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Over/Under

It will be a cool night in pitcher-friendly Petco Park. However, an outward breeze is expected and both starters are fly-ball pitchers. Lauer and Wacha have benefitted from favorable batting-average-on-balls-in-play (BABIP) figures over the last 2 seasons (2022-23). Put the Milwaukee bullpen (.244 BABIP) in that same bin through the first couple of weeks of this season.

The Milwaukee offense is about league average. A scuffling San Diego attack (4.26 runs per game, 23rd MLB) is on its best side against left-handers, and the Friars have good numbers against Lauer. The Padres have been hamstrung by a .200 batting average with runners in scoring position. That figure comes alongside an unlucky .200 BABIP.

The back ends of the bullpens are not in shape.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-115).

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Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (8-4) continue a 10-game road trip Thursday with the opener of a 4-game series against the San Diego Padres (7-6). First pitch from Petco Park is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023. San Diego won 4 of 7 meetings in 2022.

The Brewers are coming off a 2-1 series loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks after dropping Wednesday’s finale 7-3. Milwaukee allowed 12 hits en route to its 3rd loss in the last 5 games.

The Padres return home following a 4-3 road trip. San Diego enters off a 2-1 series loss to the New York Mets after falling 5-2 Wednesday. The Padres scored both runs in the top of the 1st inning but gave up singles in the 2nd, 3rd, 5th, 6th and 7th innings.

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Brewers at Padres projected starters

RHP Bryse Wilson vs. RHP Nick Martinez

The Brewers have yet to announce a starter, but Wilson (0-0, 0.00 ERA) is rumored to make his 1st start of the season.

  • This would normally be LHP Eric Lauer‘s turn in the rotation but he is reportedly pushed back
  • Has tossed 6 scoreless innings with 2 H, 3 BB and 7 K across 3 relief appearances
  • Went 3-8 with a 5.98 ERA and 1.48 WHIP over 20 games as a starter for the Pittsburgh Pirates in 2022

Martinez (0-1, 6.17 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 7 BB and 9 K through 11 2/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 4 ER in each of his starts
  • Has allowed 4 R on 9 H and 3 BB with 9 K over 9 IP in 1 start and 1 relief appearance in his career vs. Milwaukee

Brewers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Padres -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-155) | Padres -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Brewers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Padres 2

Moneyline

The Brewers have been hot and cold when it comes to plating runs recently. They’ve been shutout in 2 of their last 3 losses and were held scoreless in 8 innings Wednesday. However, Milwaukee bounced back and scored at least 6 runs in victories in the 2 games following being shutout.

The Padres seem to have to keep their opponent under 5 runs. San Diego has held opponents to 4 runs or fewer in each of its wins and has allowed 5 runs or more in each of its losses.

Expect the Brewers to bounce back with their bats and pick up the outright win.

BET BREWERS (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

The Padres are 2-5 ATS as favorites this season.

The Brewers are 2-3 ATS as underdogs, but the plus money odds on the moneyline are the better play considering I expect the outright win.

PASS.

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Over/Under

The Padres and the Brewers both have 4 games with 10 or more total runs this season.

Only 1 of their matchups last season had more than 9 runs.

BET UNDER 9 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (7-5) and New York Mets (6-6) wrap up a 3-game set Wednesday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

The Padres won 4-2 as +124 underdogs Tuesday. SS Xander Bogaerts hit a 2-run HR in the top of the 9th inning for the Padres, who have won 4 of their last 5 games.

The Mets closed as -134 favorites in Tuesday’s loss. New York has lost 2 of its last 3 games after back-to-back wins vs. the Miami Marlins Friday and Saturday.

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Padres at Mets projected starters

LHP Blake Snell vs. RHP Tylor Megill

Snell (0-1, 7.88 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 2.13 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 12.4 K/9 through 8 IP.

  • Posted an 8-10 record with a 3.38 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 in 128 IP across 24 starts in 2022
  • 6 career starts vs. New York: 3-3 with a 2.73 ERA (33 IP, 10 ER)

Megill (2-0, 1.64 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 11 IP.

  • Was 4-2 in 9 starts and 6 relief appearances last year with a 5.13 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 47 1/3 IP
  • Has never faced the Padres in his career

Padres at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mets -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+150) | Mets +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Padres at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Padres 4

Moneyline

BET METS (-110).

New York should bounce back after blowing a 2-1 lead in the 9th inning last time out. The Mets are 47-19 in their last 66 games after a loss and 13-6 in their last 19 at home vs. teams with a winning record.

The Padres should let down after their late comeback win and struggle to beat the Mets at Citi Field in back-to-back games.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

New York +1.5 (-185) should hit, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Mets should win straight up. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-110).

The Over is 8-1-1 in San Diego’s last 10 games after allowing 2 or fewer runs in its previous contest and 7-2 in its last 9 vs. right-handed starters. The Mets should bounce back offensively Wednesday since the Over has gone 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after scoring 2 or fewer runs.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (6-5) and New York Mets (6-5) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Tuesday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0.

The Padres had a 3-game win snapped with a 5-0 loss as +117 underdogs in the series opener Monday. San Diego was coming off a 3-1 series win at the Atlanta Braves.

The Mets closed as -127 home favorites in Monday’s win. SS Francisco Lindor and OF Jeff McNeil drove in 2 runs each for the Mets, who have won 3 of their last 4 games.

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Padres at Mets projected starters

LHP Ryan Weathers vs. LHP David Peterson

Weathers (0-0, 3.60 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 2 ER on 5 H and 1 BB with 2 K across 5 IP in his debut vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks on April 3.

  • Started just 1 game in 2022.
  • Posted a 4-7 record with a 5.32 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 94 2/3 IP across 18 starts and 12 relief appearances in 2021.
  • Has never faced the Mets in his career.

Peterson (0-1, 6.00 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 2.11 WHIP, 6.0 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 9 IP.

  • Last start: allowed 5 ER on 5 H and 5 BB with 5 K in 4 IP in a no-decision at the Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday.
  • Went 7-5 with a 3.83 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 105 2/3 IP across 19 starts and 9 relief appearances in 2022.
  • Allowed 1 ER on 2 H and 0 BB with 2 K through 2 IP in 2 relief appearances vs. the Padres in the 2022 postseason.

Padres at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mets -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-175) | Mets -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Padres at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Mets 5

Moneyline

BET PADRES (+115).

San Diego plays up to the level of its competition and is 5-1 in its last 6 games vs. teams with a winning record. The Mets are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. winning teams and Peterson wasn’t great against San Diego last year.

The Padres are 6-2 in their last 8 games after scoring 2 or fewer runs in their previous contest and should be able to bounce back Tuesday after getting shut out in the series opener.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

San Diego +1.5 (-175) should hit, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Padres should win straight up. Bet the moneyline and/or total instead.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-105).

San Diego has been bouncing back offensively after poor performances and the Over is 6-1-1 in its last 8 games after scoring 2 or fewer runs in its previous contest. The Over is 6-1 in New York’s last 7 home games vs. left-handed starters and should cash again Tuesday since both pitchers are capable of giving up a lot of runs early.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Corey Scott on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (4-4) and Atlanta Braves (6-2) play the 3rd game of a 4-game set Saturday at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Padres won the 2nd game of the series 5-4 as -104 favorites Friday. SS Xander Bogaerts drove in the game-winning run with a single in the top of the 6th inning.

The Braves were on a 4-game win streak before Friday’s loss. Last season’s NL Rookie of the Year OF Michael Harris II (back) has been placed on the 10-day IL after banging his back on the outfield wall in Atlanta’s 7-6 series-opening win Thursday.

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Padres at Braves projected starters

RHP Michael Wacha vs. RHP Charlie Morton

Wacha (1-0, 6.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 4 ER on 6 H and 3 BB with 2 K in 6 IP in his debut vs. the Colorado Rockies last Saturday.

  • Went 11-2 with a 3.32 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 127 1/3 IP across 23 starts for the Boston Red Sox in 2022.
  • Career vs. Atlanta: 0-4 with a 5.23 ERA (32 2/3 IP, 19 ER) in 6 starts and 2 relief appearances.

Morton (1-0, 5.06 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 3 ER on 9 H and 2 BB with 1 K in 5 1/3 IP in his debut at the St. Louis Cardinals Monday.

  • Posted a 9-6 record with a 4.34 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 172 IP across 31 starts in 2022.
  • Career vs. the Padres: 6-2 with a 2.55 ERA (67 IP, 19 ER) in 11 starts.

Padres at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Braves -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-150) | Braves -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Padres at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Padres 5

Moneyline

BET BRAVES (-155).

Atlanta should bounce back after losing Friday for the 1st time in 5 games and Morton has had much more success in his career vs. the Padres than Wacha has had against the Braves.

Atlanta is a tough place to go and win consecutive road games since the Braves have won 44 of their last 58 at Truist Park. The Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 road games and should let down after escaping with the close win Friday.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Four of the last 6 meetings between these teams was decided by 1 run. San Diego +1.5 (-150) should hit, but the Atlanta moneyline is the safer play. Bet the Atlanta moneyline and/or the total instead.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-115).

The Over has hit in San Diego’s last 7 games vs. right-handed starters and is 6-2 in Atlanta’s last 8 after a loss. These teams have played high-scoring games vs. each other lately, with the Over hitting in 4 of the last 5 meetings, and Saturday’s matchup should be another offensive showcase.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Corey Scott on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (3-4) and Atlanta Braves (6-1) play the 2nd game of a 4-game series Friday at Truist Park. First pitch is at 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0

Atlanta took Thursday’s opener 7-6 on SS Orlando Arcia’s walk-off RBI single in the 9th. The Padres led 6-4 after the top of the 8th, but the Braves scored 2 in the bottom half of the inning and won it in the 9th.

San Diego OF Juan Soto’s slow start continued as he went 0 for 4, dropping his early batting average to .160. The Padres big hit was a 3-run homer from DH Matt Carpenter in the 4th.

Atlanta knocked San Diego LHP Blake Snell (3 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 2 K) out of the game in the 4th inning, but the Braves bullpen gave up 3 runs to put them in a vulnerable spot. Batting in the 9 spot, Arcia finished 3 for 4 with a homer, double and the winning RBI single. He’s batting .370 and has been a big reason why Atlanta is off to a 6-1 start.

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Padres at Braves projected starters

RHP Nick Martinez vs. LHP Jared Shuster

Martinez (0-1, 5.14 ERA) makes his 2nd start of the season. He allowed 4 earned runs on 6 hits and 2 walks with 5 K’s across 7 innings in his 1st start, a 4-1 home loss to the Colorado Rockies March 31.

  • Career vs. Braves: 0-1, 5.14 ERA (7 IP, 4 ER) in 1 start and 1 relief appearance
  • Last season vs. Braves: L, 5 IP, 7 H, 3 HR, 4 BB, 3 K in 5-2 home loss April 16
  • Current Braves are batting .308 with a .457 wOBA in 42 plate appearances against Martinez

The rookie Shuster (0-1, 7.71 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 4 earned runs on 6 hits and 5 walks with just 1 K in 4 2/3 innings of a 4-1 loss at the Washington Nationals Sunday.

  • His 4-seam fastball averaged 90.1 mph in his 1st career start. He threw it 43% of the time, followed by a changeup at 32% and a slider at 25%.
  • Current Padres are hitting .181 with 3 HR and 6 RBIs in 72 at-bats against left-handed pitchers

Padres at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:24 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Braves -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-185) | Braves -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Padres at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Braves 4

Moneyline

The Padres almost got it done Thursday, and I believe they’ll solve the rookie lefty Friday. The key will be keeping Atlanta off the board early as the Braves have been scoring early during their opening 6-1 streak. Atlanta’s bullpen is also taxed and showed vulnerability Thursday. If the Braves don’t get length from the rookie, the same holes will show Friday.

TAKE THE PADRES (+105).

Run line/Against the spread

I’m going to steer clear of the run line with such unpredictable starters on the mound. Instead, I’ll side with the PADRES FIRST 5 INNINGS (-105) with their veteran starter on the mound. Only risk a HALF UNIT here because Atlanta has been mashing early in games.

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Over/Under

I’m going with a contrarian pick here because 90% of the tickets are on the Over, according to Pregame.com. The forecast calls for a cool 58 degrees with a 50% chance of rain in Atlanta. There’s an expected sharp 15% breeze going directly to the right-field foul pole as well. Conditions like these neutralize a bloated Over line because of 2 so-so starters. The Under is 4-0-1 in Martinez’s last 5 starts against teams above .500.

Slight LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (3-3) and Atlanta Braves (5-1) open a 4-game series Thursday at Truist Park. First pitch is at 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting this season. Padres won the series 4-3 in 2022.

San Diego comes to “Hotlanta” in search of its groove after splitting a 4-game series with the Colorado Rockies and a 2-game series with the Arizona Diamondbacks. Newly acquired SS Xander Bogaerts has opened the season impressively as he’s 2nd in the majors with 21 total bases while hitting .409 with 3 homers, 7 RBIs and 3 doubles.

Atlanta was a force to be reckoned with in its 3-game sweep at the St. Louis Cardinals to open the week. OF Ronald Acuna Jr. (.370), C Travis d’Arnaud (.385), 1B Matt Olson (.308), SS Orlando Arcia (.304) and 2B Ozzie Albies (.304) are all raking above .300 after the 1st week.

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Padres at Braves projected starters

LHP Blake Snell vs. RHP Spencer Strider

Snell (0-1, 6.23 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 3 ER on 6 H and 1 BB with 9 K across 4 1/2 IP in his debut against the Rockies last Thursday.

  • Has only faced Atlanta once in his career (in 2018 as a member of the Tampa Bay Rays).
  • Was a better road pitcher with a 3.06 ERA against a 3.56 home ERA last year.

Strider (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He pitched 6-scoreless innings with 3 H and 3 BB with 9 K at the Washington Nationals Saturday.

  • He had 2 relief outings against San Diego last year and allowed 2 ER on 2 H and 3 BB while fanning 5 in 4 2/3 IP.
  • Was unhittable at home in 16 games (10 starts) last year: 6-1, 2.17 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 14.5 K/9.

Padres at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:52 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Braves -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-145) | Braves -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Padres at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Padres 2

Moneyline

The Braves (-165) came into St. Louis and punched the Cardinals in the mouth early in every game. They’re raking on another level right now, and I look for them to take advantage of Snell’s early season struggles. However, I’m going to PASS on the moneyline and look to the run line for a better value.

Run line/Against the spread

The Braves have won all 5 of their games by multiple runs and all 3 of San Diego’s losses have been by multiple runs. Toss in the Braves’ ace on the hill, and I like their prospects for a multi-run win.

Take the BRAVES -1.5 (+120) for a solid return at home.

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Over/Under

Let me preface this by stating this could go either way. The Braves could tattoo Snell, or it could be the 5-2 game I’m projecting.

I’m LEANING UNDER 8 (+100) because both teams had to travel. It’s a big ballpark, and I feel like the total is inflated due to the teams’ hot bats, which will cool off. I’ll also take AUSTIN RILEY OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES (+125). He hit .329 with 11 homers, 25 RBIs and 14 doubles in 149 at-bats against lefties last year.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (2-2) visit the San Diego Padres (2-2) Monday with the 1st pitch at 9:40 p.m. ET at Petco Park.  Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Padres won 2022 season series 14-5

The Diamondbacks split a 4-game series at the Los Angeles Dodgers to start the season, winning 2-1 on Sunday. A 2-out, 9th-inning bunt single by OF Jake McCarthy drove in the winning run. Starter Zach Davies pitched 5 strong innings, allowing 1 ER, 4H, 2 BBs and 4 K’s.

The Padres split their opening series against the Colorado Rockies, winning the final 2 games. On Sunday, a 3-run HR by SS Xander Bogaerts in the 2nd inning was enough offense in a 3-1 win. Starter Seth Lugo went 7 innings and allowed only 1 run on 4 hits.

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Diamondbacks at Padres projected starters

RHP Ryne Nelson vs. LHP Ryan Weathers

Nelson was 1-1 with 1.47 ERA in 2022. He had a 0.82 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 18 1/3 IP last season.

  • 2 of 3 starts as rookie were against Padres
  • 1-1 with 2.19 ERA against Padres in 12 1/3 IP

Weather was 0-0 with a  9.82 ERA in 2022. He had a 2.73 WHIP, 4 BB and 3 K through 3 2/3 IP.

  • Had 4.91 ERA in 5 spring training appearences
  • Is 0-1 with 6.75 ERA vs. Arizona in 4 appearances (2 starts)

Diamondbacks at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Padres -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-175) | Padres -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Diamondbacks at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

The Diamondbacks were 2-7 in San Diego last season and 5-14 against the Padres overall.

Both teams will have their 5th starter on the mound so expect the bullpens to factor in early. San Diego’s bullpen only worked 2 innings in their win on Sunday, while Arizona’s pitched 4 innings and has gone 14 innings through 4 games.

The rested Padres relievers will be the difference.

BET PADRES (-140).

Run line/Against the spread

The Padres’ 2 wins were both by at least 2 runs while Arizona’s 2 losses have both been by at least 6 runs.

The Padres had baseball’s 2nd-worst home ATS record last season at 32-53 ATS.

Betting the Diamondbacks to cover isn’t as good a value at -175 as the Padres on the moneyline at -140, so PASS on this bet.

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Over/Under

Both teams have had 2 games of more than 8 runs and 2 of fewer than 8. Ten of their 19 games last season had fewer than 8 total runs.

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

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