Tag: Royals Guardians odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (74-58) and Cleveland Guardians (75-57) play the 3rd contest of a 4-game set Tuesday. First pitch from Progressive Field is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Royals lead 6-2

The Royals have been a major thorn in the side of the Guardians this season, winning 6 of 8 meetings to date. Kansas City swept a doubleheader Monday at Progressive Field, winning Game 1 by a 4-3 score while pounding Cleveland 9-4 in Game 2. The Royals cashed as underdogs in both outings.

The Guardians have managed a plus-71 run differential, while the Royals have a plus-102 differential, which is 2nd in the American League. Kansas City has outscored Cleveland 42-31 in the previous 8 games. The Over/Under has split 4-4.

Kansas City has climbed to within a game of Cleveland in the AL Central, going 9-3 across the past 12 outings, while the Over is 13-5-1 in the previous 19 contests.

Cleveland has hit a poor time to hit the skids, going just 3-8 in the past 11 contests, including just 2-3 in the previous 5 outings at home. The Over has a slight 5-3 edge in the past 8 games for Cleveland while going 3-2 in the past 5 outings at home.

Royals at Guardians projected starters

RHP Michael Lorenzen vs. RHP Gavin Williams

Lorenzen (7-6, 3.47 ERA) makes his 23rd start and 24th appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 124 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 3-0 road victory vs. Los Angeles Angels Wednesday
  • 2024 road splits: 5-4, 3.80 ERA (73 1/3 IP, 31 ER), 1.30 WHIP, .226 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 35 BB, 54 K in 14 appearances (13 starts)
  • Career vs. Guardians: 1-0, 1.64 ERA (11 IP, 2 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 4.9 K/9 in 2 starts

Williams (2-6, 5.13 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 47 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H (1 HR), 4 BB, 5 K in 6-0 road setback vs. New York Yankees Thursday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-4, 8.66 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.98 WHIP, .351 OBA, 8 BB, 24 K in 4 starts
  • Career vs. Royals: 1-0, 1.62 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.96 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 in 3 starts

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Royals at Guardians odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Guardians -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-176) | Guardians -1.5 (+146)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -114 | U: -106)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 6, Guardians 4

Moneyline

The ROYALS (+120) are a solid play in Game 3 of this series as Kansas City looks to pull even with the Guardians (-142) in the AL Central.

Cleveland has held a firm grip on the division to this point, but that grip has loosened lately with a 3-8 skid in the past 11 outings. To make matters worse, Williams has been horrific at home, posting an 0-4 record and 8.66 ERA in 17 2/3 IP across 4 starts at Progressive Field. He simply cannot be trusted. Williams is just 1-3 with a 7.36 ERA across 18 1/3 IP in 4 August starts.

Run line/Against the spread

The Royals +1.5 (-176) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, if you require a little bit of insurance and cannot bring yourselves to play Kansas City straight up for whatever reason. It isn’t worth it.

PASS.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-114) is a great play in this Tuesday battle.

The Over has cashed in 4 of the past 5 games for the Royals while going 6-4-1 in the past 11 outings on the road.

For the Guardians, the Over has a 3-2 edge in the past 5 games, all at home. With Williams struggling at home, the Royals could fill up the stat sheet against him, doing most of the heavy lifting for the Over themselves.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (36-26) and Cleveland Guardians (40-20) wrap up a 2-game series at Progressive Field Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 1-0

The Royals and Guardians were rained out Wednesday, and the teams will make up that game as part of a split doubleheader Monday, Aug. 26.

Cleveland won the series opener 8-5 on Tuesday at Progressive Field, cashing as a moderate favorite (-128) with the Over (8) coming through. The Guardians enter play Thursday with a 5-game lead in the AL Central over the 2nd-place Royals. The Guardians are 21-7 at home.

The Royals have allowed 7 or more runs in 4 of the previous 5 outings, and the Over has cashed at a 4-1 pace in that stretch. Kansas City has plated 4 or more runs in 5 of the past 6 contests, averaging 5.4 runs per game (RPG) in the 6-game stretch.

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Royals at Guardians projected starters

RHP Brady Singer vs. RHP Tanner Bibee

Singer (4-2, 2.63 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 61 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 7-4 road win in 11 innings vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 25
  • 2024 road splits: 0-1, 3.60 ERA (20 IP, 8 ER), 1.45 WHIP, .256 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 3 HR, 9 BB, 20 K in 4 starts

Bibee (4-1, 3.74 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 65 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 7-1 home win vs. Washington Nationals May 31
  • 2024 home splits: 2-1, 5.29 ERA (32 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.21 WHIP, .250 OBA, 5 HR, 8 BB, 34 K in 6 starts

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Royals at Guardians odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +128 (bet $100 to win $128) | Guardians -152 (bet $100 to win $152)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-172) | Guardians -1.5 (+142)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Royals 3

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-152) are a solid play as moderate favorites in the series finale. Originally, RHP Nick Sandlin was supposed to serve as the opener Wednesday, but with the postponement, the team turns to the more proven Bibee to counter RHP Brady Singer for the Royals (+128).

Cleveland has rolled up an impressive 21-7 record at home, and Kansas City has managed just a 14-16 mark on the road.

Play the 1st-place Guardians to get the job done and complete the 2-game sweep.

Run line/Against the spread

The Royals +1.5 (-172) are a little on the pricey side, and Kansas City can’t be trusted. If you like the Royals, back them straight up. There is little value playing them for a little insurance, especially when it costs you nearly 2 times your potential return.

AVOID.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-110) is the lean for the series finale, but go with a half-unit at most.

While the Guardians have cashed the Over at a 7-3-2 pace in the previous 12 contests, the Under has hit in 2 of the past 3 games for Cleveland, all at home. The Under is 3-1 in Bibee’s past 4 starting assignments, too.

The Royals have cashed high in 4 of the past 5 games, and the Over is 4-0 in Singer’s past 4 starts, so that’s why you need to be careful.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians, ppd.

Wednesday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians game has been postponed due to inclement weather.

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Update 5:21 p.m. ET: Wednesday’s game between the Kansas City Royals and Cleveland Guardians has been postponed due to inclement weather. The game will be made up as part of a split doubleheader Monday, Aug. 26.

Original column below (published 6:29 a.m. ET)

The Kansas City Royals (36-26) and Cleveland Guardians (40-20) play the middle contest of a 3-game series at Progressive Field Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 1-0

The Royals were tripped up 8-5 in the series opener Tuesday at Progressive Field. Cleveland covered as a moderate favorite (-128) as the Over (8) cashed. The Guardians have opened up a 5-game lead in the AL Central over the Royals, while improving to 21-7 at home.

Kansas City has allowed 7 or more runs in 4 of the past 5 games, and it’s no surprise the Over has hit at a 4-1 clip in the 5-game span. The Royals have also scored 4 or more runs in 5 of the past 6 outings, averaging 5.4 runs per game (RPG) during the 6-game stretch.

Cleveland has picked up wins in 3 of the past 4 outings. Since May 21, the Guardians have cashed the Over at a 7-3-2 clip in the past 12 outings. Cleveland has racked up 75 runs in the 12-game span, an average of 6.3 RPG.

While the Guardians will use RHP Nick Sandlin as an opener, as LHP Logan Allen (6-3, 5.83 ERA) will move from the rotation to work in middle relief after Sandlin. Allen was pounded for 7 ER in just 1 2/3 IP at Colorado last time out.

Royals at Guardians projected starters

RHP Brady Singer vs. RHP Nick Sandlin

Singer (4-2, 2.63 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 61 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 7-4 road win in 11 innings vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 25
  • 2024 road splits: 0-1, 3.60 ERA (20 IP, 8 ER), 1.45 WHIP, .256 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 3 HR, 9 BB, 20 K in 4 starts

Sandlin (4-0, 2.77 ERA, 1 SV) makes his 1st start and 30th appearance. He has a 0.77 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 26 IP.

  • 1st Major League start after 170 career relief appearances
  • 2024 home splits: 2-0, 3.09 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 0.94 WHIP, .214 OBA, 1 HR, 2 BB, 13 K in 13 relief appearances

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Royals at Guardians odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:22 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +104 (bet $100 to win $104) | Guardians -122 (bet $100 to win $122)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals -1.5 (+158) | Guardians +1.5 (-192)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Royals 4

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-122) are a good play against the Royals (+104) in the middle game of this set.

The Cleveland bats stayed hot Tuesday, belting the previous red-hot RHP Seth Lugo. It will be another tough go against Singer, who has been the team’s 2nd-best pitching option.

Cleveland has been hot at home, going 21-7, while Kansas City is just 14-16 in its 30 road outings. Back the home side.

Run line/Against the spread

The Guardians +1.5 (-192) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s quite a bit pricey for a little bit of insurance. If you like Cleveland, just play it straight up.

AVOID.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-122) is the lean after the total went high in Tuesday’s battle.

Cleveland has registered the Over at a 7-3-2 clip in the past 12 outings. While Allen isn’t starting, he is expected to get a bulk of the innings in relief of Sandlin. The Over is 4-1-1 in Allen’s past 6 appearances.

For Kansas City, the total has cashed in Singer’s past 4 starts, while the Over is 4-1 in the previous 5 outings for the Royals.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (36-25) and Cleveland Guardians (39-20) open a 3-game series at Progressive Field Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Guardians won 7-6 last season

The Royals snapped a 3-game losing skid with a 4-3 win over the San Diego Padres Sunday at Kauffman Stadium. Despite the win, Kansas City is still just 2-6 in the past 8 outings, and while still occupying 2nd place in the AL Central, it is now 4 games back of the Guardians.

The Guardians took 2 of 3 from the Washington Nationals over the weekend, improving to 15-4 in the past 19 contests. The Under has cashed in the past 2 games, although the Over is 6-3-2 in the previous 11 outings.

Kansas City is 2-6 in the past 8 road games inside the division dating back to April 17. Cleveland has posted a 7-2 mark in 9 home games inside the division.

Royals at Guardians projected starters

RHP Seth Lugo vs. RHP Triston McKenzie

Lugo (9-1, 1.72 ERA) makes his 13rd start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 78 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 6-1 road win vs. Minnesota Twins Wednesday
  • 2024 road splits: 6-0, 0.86 ERA (42 IP, 4 ER), 0.81 WHIP, .163 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1 HR, 10 BB, 41 K in 6 starts

McKenzie (2-3, 3.77 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 in 57 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 13-7 road win vs. Colorado Rockies May 28
  • 2024 home splits: 2-1, 3.31 ERA (35 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.44 WHIP, .208 OBA, 7 HR, 25 BB, 32 K in 7 starts

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Royals at Guardians odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Guardians -120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals -1.5 (+172) | Guardians +1.5 (-210)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 3, Guardians 2

Moneyline

The ROYALS (+102) are a strong play as short ‘dogs on the road. Lugo has been amazing on the road this season, winning all 6 of his starts away from home while posting an ERA of just 0.86 in those outings.

The Guardians (-120) won’t make it easy, and Cleveland holds a 4-game lead in the AL Central over these Royals. McKenzie has been very erratic this season, however, walking 25 batters in just 35 1/3 IP at home. The pitching scales are tipped in favor of the visitors.

While McKenzie has a decent ERA, he has served up 7 HR at home. On the flip side, Lugo has put up All-Star numbers, allowing just 1 HR in 42 IP on the road.

Run line/Against the spread

The Guardians +1.5 (-210) will set you back more than 2 times if you require a little bit of insurance and cannot back Cleveland straight up.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-114) is a strong play in this series opener.

The Under has cashed in the past 2 games for the Guardians while going 4-1-1 in McKenzie’s past 6 starting assignments.

For the Royals, they cashed the Under in Sunday’s game, snapping a 3-0 Over run. In Lugo’s past 8 starts, the total has gone low at a 6-1-1 pace.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Kansas City Royals (29-74) and the Cleveland Guardians (50-51) wrap up a 3-game series Wednesday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 6-3 after Tuesday’s 5-1 victory

The Royals picked up a 5-3 win Monday night, but Kansas City has failed to win consecutive games since July 1-2 against the Los Angeles Dodgers of all teams. Kansas City has managed to win just once (Monday) in the previous 7 games, and the Under is 5-1-1 during the span. The Under is also 12-4-1 in the last 17 games overall, too.

Cleveland is 3 games behind the 1st-place Minnesota Twins. It is 14-14 against its AL Central rivals this season, while going 27-24 at home. Conversely, Kansas City is just 14-38 inside the division.

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Royals at Guardians projected starters

RHP Alec Marsh vs. RHP Gavin Williams

Marsh (0-4, 6.20 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 20 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 5 H (3 HR), 2 BB, 3 K in a 5-4 road loss vs. the New York Yankees Friday
  • 2023 road splits: 0-2, 6.10 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 7 ER – 4 HR), .216 opponent batting average (OBA) in 2 starts

Williams (1-2, 3.74 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 33 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 3 K in a 6-5 home win vs. the Philadelphia Phillies Friday
  • 2023 home splits: 1-1, 4.98 ERA (21 2/3 IP, 12 ER – 4 HR), .286 OBA in 4 starts
  • 2023 vs. Kansas City: 1-0, 12 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 9 H (0 HR), 2 BB, 13 K in 2 starts

Royals at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Guardians -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-110) | Guardians -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 6, Royals 4

Moneyline

The Guardians (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, and that’s quite expensive for a standalone wager. While Cleveland won convincingly  Tuesday, there is still quite a bit of risk and not enough reward for a team which has split the series so far.

AVOID.

Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (-110) won and covered the run line as the favorite Tuesday, and it’s a good bet in the series finale.

Cleveland has won 4 of the last 6 games against Kansas City since July 6, all at Progressive Field, and the Guardians are 4-2 as a favorite on the run line in those outings. If you like Cleveland to win, you should like it to cover the run line.

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Over/Under

PASS on the Over/Under 10, as I expect the total to come right down on the number.

If there was a lean, I’d go Under, as it has cashed in 5 of the past 6 meetings in Cleveland, while going 5-1-1 in the last 7 games overall for Kansas City.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Kansas City Royals (29-73) and the Cleveland Guardians (49-51) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Tuesday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 5-3 after losing Monday’s series opener 5-3

The Royals snapped a 5-game losing streak with Monday’s victory. Kansas City built a 4-0 lead, and the bullpen held on for the win, despite that it managed just 7 hits to 10 hits for Cleveland. K.C. has won the last 2 meetings in the season series.

The Guardians have dropped the past 2 games at home and are now just 4-7 in the past 11 games overall dating back to July 9, which was a 4-1 setback to the Royals at Progressive Field. The Under (8.5) result Monday was a rarity, as the Over is 6-2 across the past 8 games for Cleveland.

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Royals at Guardians projected starters

RHP Zack Greinke vs. RHP Aaron Civale

Greinke (1-10, 5.40 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 96 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 1 K in a 3-0 home loss vs. Detroit Tigers Thursday
  • 2023 road splits: 0-6, 7.42 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 36 ER – 12 HR), .285 opponent batting average (OBA) in 9 starts
  • 2023 vs. Cleveland: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 11 H, 2 BB, 0 K in a 4-3 home win on June 29

Civale (3-2, 2.71 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 63 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 7-5 road loss vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Wednesday
  • 2023 home splits: 2-1, 3.48 ERA (31 IP, 12 ER – 2 HR), .224 OBA in 5 starts
  • 2023 vs. Kansas City: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 9 K in a 3-0 home win July 7

Royals at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Guardians -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-125) | Guardians -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 6, Royals 3

Moneyline

The Guardians (-210) will cost you over 2 times your potential return, and that’s just not an attractive price for a standalone wager.

The Royals (+170) picked up the victory in the series opener, but Greinke has been horrific this season and especially so on the road. He cannot be trusted, so don’t be tempted to play Kansas City again after its big win Monday.

AVOID.

Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (+105) look to bounce back after the embarrassing loss in the series opener. The veteran Greinke is winless on the road this season, and he sports an ERA north of 7 in those outings. Civale has been a lot more consistent, and he is sharp on his home mound.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-115) is the lean Tuesday, but go lightly.

We saw the Under cash by a half of a run in the series opener, which goes along with the head-to-head trends. However, Greinke has been very giving on the road this season. And the Over is 4-1 in the past 5 starts by Civale, although the Under cashed in his start against the Royals in early July, so be careful.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (28-73) and the Cleveland Guardians (49-50) open a 3-game series Monday at Progressive Field in Cleveland. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 5-2, including 3 wins in 4 games at Progressive Field July 6-9

The Royals enter on a 5-game losing streak and are just 2-8 in 10 games since the All-Star break. Kansas City has been able to cobble together just 3.7 runs per game in the 2nd half, and 18 of the team’s 37 runs in the stretch came in the 2 victories.

The Guardians dropped an 8-5 game against the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday, although Cleveland still won the interleague series 2-1. Cleveland has won 2 straight series, and it has racked up 38 runs in the previous 6 games.

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Royals at Guardians projected starters

LHP Ryan Yarbrough vs. LHP Logan Allen

Yarbrough (2-5, 5.21 ERA) makes his 6th start and 13th overall appearance. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 in 38 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 3-2 home loss vs. the Detroit Tigers Wednesday
  • 2023 road splits: 1-3, 3.57 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 7 ER – 2 HR), .262 opponent batting average (OBA) in 10 starts
  • 2023 vs. Cleveland: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 4-1 road win July 9

Allen (4-2, 3.21 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 67 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 10-1 road win vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates last Tuesday
  • 2023 home splits: 1-1, 3.94 ERA (32 IP, 14 ER – 4 HR), .290 OBA in 6 starts
  • 2023 vs. KC: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 14-1 road win June 28

Royals at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:49 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Guardians -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-120) | Guardians -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Royals 4

Moneyline

The Guardians (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, and that’s too much risk for not enough reward.

The Royals (+165) are a tempting play, as Yarbrough won the only game for Kansas City against Cleveland this season. However, Allen has been rock-solid lately, allowing 3 or fewer runs in each of his last 8 outings.

AVOID.

Run line/Against the spread

The ROYALS +1.5 (-120) is a decent play on the run line, even though Kansas City has been horrific overall this season. Yarbrough has already won in Cleveland once this season, and he should help the Royals keep it somewhat close in this series opener.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-120) is worth a look, but go lightly.

You’ll be going against the series trends, as the Under has cashed in 4 of the last 5 meetings.

The Over is 2-1 in the last 3 games for Kansas City, while hitting in 3 of the last 5 games on the road.

For Cleveland, the Over is on a 6-1 run in the last 7 games, while going 3-2 in the last 5 at home.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (25-62) and Cleveland Guardians (42-44) open a 4-game series on Thursday. First pitch from Progressive Field will be at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead, 2-1.

The Royals own the 2nd-worst record in baseball. After taking 2 of 3 from the Los Angeles Dodgers, the Royals were swept by the Minnesota Twins and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. They’ve scored the 2nd-fewest runs (326) and have the 3rd-worst ERA (5.29) in the majors.

The Guardians have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games after losing 2 of 3 against the Atlanta Braves. The pitching staff has done its job this season, ranking 7th in team ERA (3.86). However, their bats have yet to wake up, scoring just 345 runs (27th in MLB).

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Royals at Guardians projected starters

RHP Jordan Lyles vs. RHP Tanner Bibee

Lyles (1-11, 6.68 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 91 2/3 innings.

  • Has the most losses of any pitcher in baseball this year
  • Has allowed between 3 and 5 ER in each of his last 4 starts
  • His 5.40 ERA in June lowered his season ERA from 7.30 to 6.68

Bibee (5-2, 3.46 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 65 innings.

  • Started July strong with win vs. Chicago White Sox: 5 2/3 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 9 K in 6-0 win Saturday
  • Has allowed more than 3 runs just once in his last 9 outings

Royals at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:47 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Guardians -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-110) | Guardians -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 6, Royals 4

Moneyline

Put simply, the Royals are one of the worst teams in baseball and they have one of the worst starters on the mound Thursday. It’s surprising the Guardians are only -210 to win outright, but even at that number, they’re not worth the risk.

I would PASS on the moneyline and bet on the spread instead, where there’s better value on the Guardians.

Run line/Against the spread

Lyles managed to earn the win in his last start despite giving up 4 ER, his 1st victory of the season. It was also the 1st time the Royals won a game started by Lyles this year, losing his first 15 starts of the season.

Only twice this season have the Royals lost by 1 run when Lyles was the starter, so they’ve struggled to even cover the run line with him on the mound. BET GUARDIANS -1.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

The Royals have allowed 22 runs in their last 3 games, struggling badly to limit their opponents’ bats. The total has gone Over in 5 of their last 6 games, a trend that I expect to continue Thursday with Lyles pitching.

BET OVER 9 (-105).

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Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Guardians (37-40) and the Kansas City Royals (22-56) open a 3-game series at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City on Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Guardians won season series 12-7 in 2022

The Guardians have alternated losses and wins in the last 4 games. That’s the bad news. The good news is that the Cleveland offense has appeared to gain steam lately, racking up 4.9 runs per game (RPG) across the past 10 outings, which is nearly a full run better than the team’s season average of 3.92 RPG, according to covers.com.

The Royals rank 28th in the majors with just 295 runs scored, 7 fewer runs than the Guardians, who rank 27th.

Kansas City has alternated losses and wins across the last 7 games since June 19, and the Royals are just 6-14 inside the division, while going 10-28 on their home field.

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Guardians at Royals projected starters

RHP Gavin Williams vs. RHP Brady Singer

Williams (0-0, 6.35 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 4 ER, 4 H, 3 BB and 4 K in 5 2/3 IP in a no-decision vs. the Oakland Athletics in his major league debut last Wednesday

  • 2023 minor league stats: 4-2, 2.39 ERA (46 IP, 15 ER – 6 HR) with a 0.98 WHIP between 12 starts with a Double-A Akron and Triple-A Columbus

Singer (4-7, 6.34 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 76 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 2 K in a 9-4 road loss vs. the Detroit Tigers last Wednesday
  • 2023 home splits: 2-4, 5.84 ERA (44 2/3 IP, 29 ER – 6 HR) with a .291 OBA in 9 starts

Guardians at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Royals +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+105) | Royals +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Guardians at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 6, Royals 4

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-150) are the play, although Williams is still a bit of an unknown quantity.

Still, the Royals (+125) cannot be trusted, as Singer has been erratic this season, and Kansas City has managed to win just 10 of 38 games at home, good for a winning percentage of just .263.

Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (+105) are worth a look at plus-money on the run line, but play it lightly.

Again, Williams has had just 1 start under his belt in the big leagues, and if Kansas City is going to get well, it could be against an unknown rookie. Of course, we’ve seen Singer plenty, and he has coughed up 4 or more runs in 3 of his last 6 outings, and 8 of his 14 starts.

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Over/Under

OVER 9 (-120) is the lean with Williams and Singer on the mound, although these are the teams ranked 27th and 28th in scoring in the majors, so be careful.

The Over has cashed in each of the past 6 meetings between these AL Central Division foes, although this is the 1st meeting this season.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The  Kansas City Royals (65-96) wrap a 4-game set with the Cleveland Guardians (91-70) in the two teams’ final regular season games. First pitch from Progressive Field is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Guardians lead 11-7

The Guardians have won 3 of their last 5 games, all vs. the Royals. Having already clinched a playoff spot they look to end the season with a win before a tough wildcard series against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Royals look to end out a tough season with a win before looking to make some much-needed changes in the offseason. K.C. will finish last in the AL Central.

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Royals at Guardians projected starters

RHP Jonathan Heasley vs. RHP Aaron Civale

Heasley (4-9, 5.00 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 through 99 IP.

  • Is 1-1 with 8 H, 5 ER, 3 BB and 4 K over his last 2 starts
  • Last start at the Detroit Tigers Thursday: 5 R (4 ER) on 6 H and 1 BB with 1 K over 4 2/3 IP

Civale (4-6, 5.04 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 91 IP.

  • Is 2-0 with 6 ER on 11 H and 1 BB with 14 K over his last 3 starts
  • Last start vs. KC Friday: 3 R (2 ER) on 3 H and 0 BB with 5 K over 6 IP

Royals at Guardians odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:06 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Guardians -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-150) | Guardians -1.5 (+117)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Royals 2

Moneyline

LEAN GUARDIANS (-180).

This should be a game the Guardians win as they’re not only the better team but they are also playing for more: it has no meaning for the Royals as they are simply trying to end an underwhelming season, but the Guardians are looking to get hot and keep it going into the playoffs.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN GUARDIANS -1.5 (+117).

Only 4 games out of the 18 games in the season series have been decided by 1 run. The odds say that trend should continue Wednesday, and I agree. This is your strongest play in this game, but neither team has won 2 in a row across the last 7 meetings in this series so don’t be surprised if that continues.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-105).

Many of the games in this season series have gone Over this total, but I don’t think that continues Wednesday. Neither team is playing its strongest pitcher so this game should be one where both teams are able to put up runs.

However, I doubt a Royals team that is playing just to end its season and a Guardians team that is shifting its focus towards the playoffs will put a lot of runs on the board in this one.

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