Tag: Red Sox Yankees odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (60-63) welcome the Boston Red Sox (65-58) to Yankee Stadium Sunday. First pitch is set for 1:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Boston leads 7-1

The Red Sox have been dominant in the rivalry this season, and they have won the 1st 2 games of the 3-game series ending Sunday. They won 8-3 Friday and 8-1 Saturday and are 7-3 in its last 10 games. Boston is 30-30 on the road.

The Yankees sit last in the AL East and are 16 games behind the Baltimore Orioles. They have won just 2 of their last 10 games and are 35-30 at home this season.

Red Sox at Yankees projected starters

RHP Josh Winckowski vs. RHP Clarke Schmidt

Winskowski (3-1, 3.20 ERA) will make 1st start after 44 relief appearances this season. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 64 2/3 innings.

  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 7.56 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 8 H, 5 BB, 3 K in 3 appearances (1 start)
  • 2023 road stats: 0-0, 3.07 ERA in 29 1/3 IP in 19 appearances

Schmidt (8-7, 4.76 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 117 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 2 1/3 IP, 9 H, 8 ER, 2 BB, 3 K in a 11-3 road loss over the Atlanta Braves Monday
  • 2023 home stats: 3-5, 3.97 ERA in 65 2/3 IP in 14 appearances (13 starts)

Red Sox at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:39 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-190) | Yankees -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

BET YANKEES (-120).

The Red Sox are starting a reliever and will go to their bullpen early. Boston’s relievers rank 15th in the majors in ERA (4.07). The Red Sox haven’t swept a 3-game series since they beat the Athletics from July 7-9.

The Yankees have performed well lately with Schmidt on the mound, winning 5 of hislast 6 starts. At this value, take the Yankees to avoid the sweep.

Back YANKEES (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The value isn’t here for either side. The Red Sox on the road should be able to keep the game close, but at +1.5 (-190), it is just too expensive to play.

Similarly, Boston has owned New York this season, and the home side isn’t worth betting on to win by multiple runs.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 9 (-120).

The Red Sox have gone Over in the 1st 2 games of this series after 7 straight Unders. They have given up 4 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 5 games as well.

New York is 29-34-2 O/U at home this season, and it has also gone Under in 5 of Schmidt’s last 7 starts. New York is also 34-40-2 O/U as a favorite.

Take UNDER 9 (-120).

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Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (64-58) and New York Yankees (60-62) meet Saturday for game 2 of a 3-game series. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 1:05 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 6-1

Boston won 8-3 as a -121 road favorite in Friday’s series opener. Boston was red-hot from the first pitch, scoring 7 of their 8 runs in the first 2 innings. SP Brayan Bello pitched 6 innings, allowing only 1 run on 6 hits and a walk, while striking out 4.

Friday’s win ended a 2-game losing streak for the Red Sox, who are 6-4 in their last 10 and 29-30 on the road. The Yankees, meanwhile, have lost 6 in a row, are 2-8 in their last 10 and 35-29 at home.

Red Sox at Yankees projected starters

RHP Kutter Crawford vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Crawford (5-6, 3.80 ERA) makes his 16th start — and 24th appearance — of the season. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 90 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 6-3 home win vs. Detroit Tigers Sunday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 1-1, 2.08 ERA (13 IP, 3 ER), 11 H, 6 BB, 14 K across 4 appearances (2 starts) last season

Cole (10-3, 2.76 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 156 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 8-7 loss at Miami Marlins Sunday
  • Career vs. Red Sox (regular season): 7-4, 4.31 ERA (94 IP, 45 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 through 16 starts, including 0-1 this season — 1 start, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 3-2 loss at New York June 14

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Red Sox at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Yankees -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-145) | Yankees -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Yankees 2

Moneyline

LEAN RED SOX (+140).

The Red Sox are much hotter than the Yankees and have owned them this season, including wins in the last 5 meetings.

It’s only a LEAN because of Cole. The Yankees ace has been dominating this season, but I’m not sure he’ll be enough for the Yankees to overcome their current cold streak vs. their rivals here.

BOSTON (+140) is worth a small wager.

Run line/Against the spread

BET RED SOX +1.5 (-145).

With how cold the Yankees are, I don’t see them winning by multiple runs even if they pull off a win here. So, it’s safe to bet on the Red Sox to cover.

The Yankees might be 6 wins over .500 at home, but they’re 3-5 in their last 8 home games. With New York’s recent struggles, Boston should be able to keep this game close even if they lose.

Divvy up 1½ units between the BOSTON ML (+140) and the BOSTON RL (-145).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

The Under is 7-2 in Boston’s last 9. The Under is also 3-2 in each of Crawford and Cole’s last 5 starts. Plus, the Under is 6-2 in the last 8 New York-Boston matchups.

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Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (63-58) and New York Yankees (60-61) kick off a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 5-1

The Red Sox lost 10-7 as -172 road favorites Thursday vs. the Washington Nationals, losing the series 2-1 after winning the opener. The Red Sox are 6-4 in their last 10 games and 28-30 on the road.

New York lost 2-0 as a +176 road underdog Wednesday and were swept by the Atlanta Braves. They did not score in the last 2 games and were outscored 18-3 in the 3-game series. The Yankees have lost 5 straight games to fall  below .500. New York is 2-8 in the last 10 games and 35-28 at home.

Red Sox at Yankees projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. LHP Nestor Cortes

Bello (8-7, 3.81 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 113 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 5 K in a 6-2 home loss Saturday vs. Detroit Tigers
  • Career vs. New York: 1-2, 1.44 ERA (25 IP, 4 ER), 19 H, 8 BB, 21 K through 4 starts

The Yankees did not officially name a starter, but Cortes (5-2, 4.97 ERA) is likely to make his 13th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 63 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 8 K in 3-1 win to Houston Astros on Aug. 5
  • 2023 home stats: 2-0, 4.58 ERA in 7 games

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Red Sox at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Yankees -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+155) | Yankees +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 2, Yankees 1

Moneyline

LEAN RED SOX (-105).

The Red Sox are on a 4-game winning streak vs. the Yankees and are 2-1 in Bello’s last 3 starts vs. New York. The Yankees are only 1-5-2 in their last 8 series’ overall, combining for 14 losses during that stretch. Boston is also the hotter team going 6-4 in their last 10 vs. New York’s 2-8 record.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Yankees to cover here but at +1.5 (-190) the line is far too rich, bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-110). 

The Under is 8-2 in Boston’s last 10 games and 6-1 in the last 7 Boston-New York matchups. The Under is also 3-1 in Bello’s last 4 starts overall and 3-0 in his last 3 starts vs. New York.

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Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Red Sox (32-33) and New York Yankees (38-28) close out a 3-game set Sunday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Red Sox took Game 1 of the series 3-2, handing RHP Gerrit Cole (7-1) his 1st loss of the season Friday. The Yankees rebounded with a 3-1 victory Saturday. Boston sits in last place in the AL East, 14 games out. The Red Sox have won just 7 of the last 20 overall.

The Yankees are 5-5 over the last 10, and they’re clearly not the same team with OF Aaron Judge on the injured list. They have scored 8 runs over the last 3 games and will need a strong effort on the mound to prevail. They are 21-16 at home and 11-11 in the division.

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Red Sox at Yankees projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. RHP Clarke Schmidt

Bello (3-4, 3.97 ERA) makes his 10th start of 2023. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 45 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K Monday in 4-1 home defeat to Tampa Bay Rays
  • 2 career starts vs. Yankees: 0-2, 0.82 ERA, 10 K in 11 IP

Schmidt (2-6, 4.96 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 61 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 3-2 home setback to against Chicago White Sox Tuesday
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 0-1, 6.75 ERA (6 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 3 HR in 4 relief appearances — all last season
  • 2023 splits: 1-5 with a 4.66 ERA in 8 home starts vs. 1-1 with a 5.48 ERA in 5 road starts

Red Sox at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:53 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-200) | Yankees -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Yankees 3

Moneyline

Bello has been good against the Yanks, and they’re not swinging the bats with the same authority. The key to this one is the first team to score 4 runs. With fair conditions and the advantage of Bello’s experience in this rivalry, I’m leaning RED SOX (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

You’ll have to pay double your return to get a run of insurance on the Red Sox (-200). There’s no sense in that.

PASS and look to the total.

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Over/Under

As mentioned, the Yankees have scored just 8 runs in their last 3 games. The Red Sox have just 9 runs in their last 4 games. The forecast calls for a 76-degree day with a 9-mph wind shooting toward the left-field foul pole.

The Under has cashed in Schmidt’s last 4 starts. The Under also cashed in Boston’s last 5 against teams over .500.

It feels like an UNDER 8.5 (-110) kinda night.

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Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (37-28) welcome the Boston Red Sox (32-32) to Yankee Stadium for the 2nd of their 3-game series Saturday. First pitch is set for 7:35 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 1-0.

The Red Sox beat the Yankees 3-2 to open up the 3-game series Friday. Boston is 15-16 on the road this season yet is just 4-8 over its last 12 games.

The Yankees are 20-16 at home this season yet just 1-3 in their last 4 home games. They have played well over the last few weeks, posting a 6-5 record over their last 11 games.

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Red Sox at Yankees projected starters

RHP Tanner Houck vs. RHP Domingo German

Houck (3-5, 5.46 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 57 2/3 IP.

  • Houck gave up 4 earned runs and 5 hits through 5 innings in a 6-2 loss to the Rays his last time on the mound.
  • The Red Sox are 5-6 in his 11 starts this season, but they have lost the last 5 straight times he has pitched.

German (3-3, 3.69 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 61 IP.

  • The 30-year-old had the best win percentage in the MLB in 2019 but hasn’t surpassed double-digit wins since.
  • The Yankees are 6-5 with German on the mound this season. They have won 3 straight games that he has started.

Red Sox at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+155) | Yankees +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

TAKE YANKEES (-120).

New York is 17-10 following a loss this season. It is also 27-17 as a favorite, both of which bode well for the home side here. With a significantly lower ERA, German is also the better pitcher taking the mound.

Boston is 18-21 straight up as an underdog, which while impressive, still aids the case to back New York. Take YANKEES (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Red Sox as road favorites here doesn’t make much sense. They are below .500 on the road and haven’t performed well lately with Houck on the mound.

Considering the Yankees are expensive on the typical run line, pass here and take the moneyline option.

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Over/Under

TAKE UNDER 8.5 (-105).

The Yankees have gone Under in 4 of their last 5 games this season. They are just 30-34-1 O/U as well.

While Boston has consistently hit the Over this year, they have gone Under in their last 6 straight Game 2s of a series which is notable. It has gone Under in 5 of its last 7 games as well.

Take the UNDER 8.5 (-105).

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Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Red Sox (31-32) and New York Yankees (37-27) open up a 3-game set Friday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is at 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Yankees won 13-6 last year

The Red Sox are flailing, losers of 5 of 6 to enter this rivalry weekend. They were defeated 10-3 by the Cleveland Guardians Thursday and are 3-7 in the last 10 games. The Red Sox are in last place in the AL East, 14 games behind the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays.

The Yankees split a doubleheader with the Chicago White Sox Thursday after air quality impacted their series. They won the nightcap 3-0 after dropping the 1st game 6-5. New York is 6-4 in the last 10 and sits in 3rd place in the division, 8 1/2 games out.

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Red Sox at Yankees projected starters

RHP Garrett Whitlock vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Whitlock (2-2, 5.61 ERA) makes his 6th start of 2023. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 25 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K Saturday against the Rays
  • In 12 career relief outings against the Yankees, he’s 3-1 with a 2.00 ERA, 0.61 WHIP and 13.0 K/9 over 18 innings

Cole (7-0, 2.82 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 79 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K Saturday against the Los Angeles Dodgers
  • In 15 career starts vs. Boston, he’s 7-3 with a 4.40 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 11.3 K/9 over 88 IP

Red Sox at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:25 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

Cole had a little trouble with Boston last year, despite going 2-0 in 5 starts, as he had a 5.59 ERA and allowed 9 HRs in 29 IP. His stuff was still there with 40 K’s and a 1.04 WHIP. His K-rate is the lowest in 5 years, and his walk rate is a career worst, but he’s still finding ways to navigate it. He’ll need to because the Yankees aren’t scoring as many runs with OF Aaron Judge out. They have just 24 runs in the last 7 games.

However, they should have enough to hold off the struggling Red Sox. Take the YANKEES -155.

Run line/Against the spread

We’re projecting Boston to keep it within 1, but it’s not a strong enough feel considering they’ve lost 4 of 5, and all of those L’s were by 2 or more.

Instead, I’m going with GERRIT COLE UNDER 6.5 K’S (+100). Boston is the 6th-toughest to strike out at 7.97 K’s/game.

And we touched on Cole’s diminished K-rate. He has reached 7 K’s in 2 of his last 7 starts.

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Over/Under

It’s 67 degrees with a 6-mph wind coming in from right-center. The Under is 5-1 in Boston’s last 6 against teams over .500. We touched on the Yankees’ issues scoring runs without Judge. Boston has scored 15 runs in the last 6 games.

Take the UNDER 8 (-110).

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Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (72-79) and New York Yankees (93-58) meet Sunday  at 7:08 p.m. ET (ESPN) to close out their 4-game series at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 12-6

Boston has lost 4 straight games and is just 5-11 since Sept. 5. Against the Yanks, the Red Sox have lost 5 in a row and they’ve allowed 5-plus runs in each of those setbacks.

The Yankees have shaken off some 2nd-half hitting woes to log a .967 OPS while winning 6 straight. And Yankee Stadium has given New York’s AL entry a lift in recent weeks. The Yanks are 13-2 in their last 15 games in the Bronx.

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Red Sox at Yankees projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. LHP Nestor Cortes

Bello (2-6, 4.75 ERA) has appeared in 11 games, making 9 starts. He has a 1.73 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 47 1/3 IP.

  • Faced the Yankees 2 starts back (Sept. 14) and allowed 3R (0 ER) on 6 hits and 1 BB (6K) in 5 IP
  • Has a 2.80 ERA across his last 35 1/3 IP

Cortes (10-4, 2.67 ERA) is tabbed for his 27th start. He has clocked a 0.97 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 145 IP.

  • Faced Boston (and Bello) on Sept. 14: allowed 1R on 3H in 5 IP with 2 BB and 7 K
  • Owns a 2.25 ERA, 0.90 WHIP over his last 4 starts
  • Has held batters to a .701 OPS over his career; at Yankee Stadium he’s allowed a mere .648 OPS

Red Sox at Yankees odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:27 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-150) | Yankees -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Red Sox 3

Money line

Boston is a slight lean, but with the streaks in play that lean is better leveraged on the Run Line.

Run line/Against the spread

Both teams play in more 1-run games than average. In Boston’s last 9 losses, 5 have been by 1 run and 2 have been by 2 runs.

Figure the bullpens being heavily involved here. That’s less of a Yankee advantage than what shows in surface stats.

TAKE BOSTON +1.5 (-150). The price here isn’t terribly attractive: consider a partial-unit play unless the tag drops to -145 or better.

Over/Under

The team numbers for these teams would lean just slightly Under, and that would be a reversal of what’s happened the first 3 games of this series (Over 3-0). But there is enough Over lean to Cortes and the Yankee bullpen on a breeze-out night at Yankee Stadium to make this view mixed.

PASS.

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Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (72-77) and New York Yankees (91-58) meet Friday at 7:05 p.m. ET to continue a 4-game set at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 10-6

Boston is just 5-9 in its last 14 games overall and just 1-4 in its last 5 games against New York.

The Yankees have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games. New York managed a 5-4 victory in 10 innings in Thursday’s opener.

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Red Sox at Yankees projected starters

LHP Rich Hill vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Hill (7-7, 4.70 ERA) has logged a 1.34 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 107 1/3 IP across 23 starts.

  • Has been undone by a .366 batting average on balls in play over his last 5 starts
  • Has allowed just 1 home run in his last 5 turns
  • Has held current New York bats to an aggregate .600 OPS

Cole (12-7, 3.41 ERA) is tabbed for his 31st start. He has notched a 1.03 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 through 182 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 4 runs in a start at Boston Sept. 13 and owns a 5.28 ERA over his last 5 starts against the Red Sox
  • Has filed a 2.89 ERA and 0.99 WHIP at Yankee Stadium since 2020

Red Sox at Yankees odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:43 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Yankees -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-117) | Yankees -1.5 (-103)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Red Sox 3

Money line

Boston is a slight lean, but there isn’t enough earning potential to make it worth a play. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Both teams play in more 1-run games than average.

Hill makes this start on 5 days’ rest, which he has leveraged well over the latter years of his career (3.92 ERA on 5-day rest this season). The veteran lefty has a history of fine finishes in September.

TAKE BOSTON +1.5 (-117).

Over/Under

Both starting pitchers have indicators more likable than their surface stats. On a cooled-off autumn evening at Yankee Stadium, there is value in backing the UNDER 7.5 (-112).

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Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (72-75) and New York Yankees (89-58) meet Thursday at 7:15 p.m. ET to open a 4-game set at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 9-6

Boston is just 5-8 in its last 13 games. In their last 4 games against New York, the Red Sox are 1-3. In their last 6 against the Yanks, the BoSox have scored just 2.83 runs per game.

The Yankees have gone 7-2 in their last 9 games. They enter this series off 3 straight wins and having scored a whopping 35 runs along the way.

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Red Sox at Yankees projected starters

RHP Michael Wacha vs. RHP Jameson Taillon

Wacha (11-1, 2.61 ERA) has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 114 IP in 20 starts.

  • Tossed 7 shutout frames against the Yankees Aug. 14 and owns a 1.38 ERA in his last 5 starts vs. New York (2020-22)
  • Has a 1.72 ERA at Fenway and a 3.36 mark elsewhere
  • Has benefited from generous rates around the margins, including a .249 batting average on balls in play.

Taillon (13-5, 4.04 ERA) is tabbed for his 30th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 158 IP.

  • Has a 3.26 ERA in his last 5 starts against Boston (2021-22)
  • Owns a 3.50 Yankee Stadium ERA in the last 2 seasons

Red Sox at Yankees odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:16 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-165) | Yankees -1.5 (+133)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Yankees 3

Money line

Wacha has been the stronger pitcher of late. And he has not allowed an earned run in his last 4 starts against the Yankees (2021-22).

Taillon is coming off a 94-pitch effort after 99 tosses the game before that. Twice this season he has gone 94-plus in back-to-back starts. His next-time-outs resulted in 9 ER over 12 IP. And that was on 5 days’ rest each time; he gets 4 here. Over his career, the veteran righty owns a 3.04 ERA on 4-day rest. Five days have yielded a 4.72 mark.

Combining this action with a Run Line play on Boston makes for decent value.

BACK THE RED SOX (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

Both teams play in more 1-run games than average.

TAKE BOSTON +1.5 (-165).

Over/Under

There is a theoretical Under lean here, but with a pair of fly-ball pitchers on the mound and a double-digit breeze blowing out to the short Yankee Stadium porch in right field in the forecast … and a hefty price … the action is nixed.

PASS.

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Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (48-43) and New York Yankees (62-28) meet in the middle contest of a 3-game series at Yankee Stadium in The Bronx (FOX). First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Series tied 4-4

The Red Sox picked up the 5-4 victory in 11 innings in the series opener Friday night, earning their third consecutive win over the rival Yankees since July 9.

The Yankees pushed across a run in the bottom of the ninth to force extra innings, and that helped Over bettors cash a ticket regardless of who scored in extras. New York has now cashed the Over in 3 straight and 8 of the past 9 outings.

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Red Sox at Yankees projected starters

RHP Nick Pivetta vs. RHP Jameson Taillon

Pivetta (8-6, 4.08 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 103 2/3 IP.

  • Is 4-3 with a 3.59 ERA and .218 opponent batting average with 51 K across 52 2/3 IP over 9 road starts.
  • Has managed an 0-1 record with a 10.00 ERA and .324 OBA in just 9 IP across 2 starts vs. NYY.

Taillon (9-2, 4.01 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 94 1/3 IP.

  • Has registered a 5-1 record with a 3.73 ERA with 45 K across 50 2/3 IP in 9 home outings.
  • Was pounded for 6 runs, 7 H (including 3 HR) with 1 BB and 3 K across 5 IP in a no-decision at BOS last Sunday.

Red Sox at Yankees odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Red Sox +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Yankees -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-150) | Yankees -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Yankees 5

Money line

The RED SOX (+135) are a solid value at plus-money. They handled Taillon well last time they faced each other Sunday night, and Pivetta has been much better on the road than at home this season. Bank on the BoSox to get it done for a second consecutive evening.

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Run line/Against the spread

The RED SOX +1.5 (-150) are a decent play against the spread, and the price isn’t out of line. If you want a little insurance and just can’t fathom the idea of betting against the Yankees, it’s not a bad play. Personally, though, I just like Boston straight up.

Over/Under

The OVER 8.5 (-125) has connected in 3 in a row for New York and 8 of the previous 9. These are usually high-scoring affairs, and these rivalry games go long into the night, too. That was the case last night, and it will be another game with plenty of offense Saturday.

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