The New York Yankees (37-28) welcome the Boston Red Sox (32-32) to Yankee Stadium for the 2nd of their 3-game series Saturday. First pitch is set for 7:35 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Red Sox lead 1-0.
The Red Sox beat the Yankees 3-2 to open up the 3-game series Friday. Boston is 15-16 on the road this season yet is just 4-8 over its last 12 games.
The Yankees are 20-16 at home this season yet just 1-3 in their last 4 home games. They have played well over the last few weeks, posting a 6-5 record over their last 11 games.
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Red Sox at Yankees projected starters
RHP Tanner Houck vs. RHP Domingo German
Houck (3-5, 5.46 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 57 2/3 IP.
- Houck gave up 4 earned runs and 5 hits through 5 innings in a 6-2 loss to the Rays his last time on the mound.
- The Red Sox are 5-6 in his 11 starts this season, but they have lost the last 5 straight times he has pitched.
German (3-3, 3.69 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 61 IP.
- The 30-year-old had the best win percentage in the MLB in 2019 but hasn’t surpassed double-digit wins since.
- The Yankees are 6-5 with German on the mound this season. They have won 3 straight games that he has started.
Red Sox at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+155) | Yankees +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 4, Red Sox 3
TAKE YANKEES (-120).
New York is 17-10 following a loss this season. It is also 27-17 as a favorite, both of which bode well for the home side here. With a significantly lower ERA, German is also the better pitcher taking the mound.
Boston is 18-21 straight up as an underdog, which while impressive, still aids the case to back New York. Take YANKEES (-120).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Red Sox as road favorites here doesn’t make much sense. They are below .500 on the road and haven’t performed well lately with Houck on the mound.
Considering the Yankees are expensive on the typical run line, pass here and take the moneyline option.
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Over/Under
TAKE UNDER 8.5 (-105).
The Yankees have gone Under in 4 of their last 5 games this season. They are just 30-34-1 O/U as well.
While Boston has consistently hit the Over this year, they have gone Under in their last 6 straight Game 2s of a series which is notable. It has gone Under in 5 of its last 7 games as well.
Take the UNDER 8.5 (-105).
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