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The New York Yankees (60-63) welcome the Boston Red Sox (65-58) to Yankee Stadium Sunday. First pitch is set for 1:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Boston leads 7-1
The Red Sox have been dominant in the rivalry this season, and they have won the 1st 2 games of the 3-game series ending Sunday. They won 8-3 Friday and 8-1 Saturday and are 7-3 in its last 10 games. Boston is 30-30 on the road.
The Yankees sit last in the AL East and are 16 games behind the Baltimore Orioles. They have won just 2 of their last 10 games and are 35-30 at home this season.
Red Sox at Yankees projected starters
RHP Josh Winckowski vs. RHP Clarke Schmidt
Winskowski (3-1, 3.20 ERA) will make 1st start after 44 relief appearances this season. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 64 2/3 innings.
- Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 7.56 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 8 H, 5 BB, 3 K in 3 appearances (1 start)
- 2023 road stats: 0-0, 3.07 ERA in 29 1/3 IP in 19 appearances
Schmidt (8-7, 4.76 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 117 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 2 1/3 IP, 9 H, 8 ER, 2 BB, 3 K in a 11-3 road loss over the Atlanta Braves Monday
- 2023 home stats: 3-5, 3.97 ERA in 65 2/3 IP in 14 appearances (13 starts)
Red Sox at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:39 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-190) | Yankees -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 4, Red Sox 3
Moneyline
BET YANKEES (-120).
The Red Sox are starting a reliever and will go to their bullpen early. Boston’s relievers rank 15th in the majors in ERA (4.07). The Red Sox haven’t swept a 3-game series since they beat the Athletics from July 7-9.
The Yankees have performed well lately with Schmidt on the mound, winning 5 of hislast 6 starts. At this value, take the Yankees to avoid the sweep.
Back YANKEES (-120).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The value isn’t here for either side. The Red Sox on the road should be able to keep the game close, but at +1.5 (-190), it is just too expensive to play.
Similarly, Boston has owned New York this season, and the home side isn’t worth betting on to win by multiple runs.
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Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 9 (-120).
The Red Sox have gone Over in the 1st 2 games of this series after 7 straight Unders. They have given up 4 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 5 games as well.
New York is 29-34-2 O/U at home this season, and it has also gone Under in 5 of Schmidt’s last 7 starts. New York is also 34-40-2 O/U as a favorite.
Take UNDER 9 (-120).
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