Wisconsin creates a sense of deja vu versus Purdue

Immediate reaction to the Wisconsin Badgers’ win over the Purdue Boilermakers.

What does it mean? I don’t know. However, the pattern is clear: The Wisconsin Badgers have — to varying degrees — played the same game the past three weeks. The reason this Saturday’s game against the Purdue Boilermakers was more lopsided than the previous few weeks is that Purdue is a thinner, more banged-up team than Iowa or Nebraska. Wisconsin’s level of play has been fairly similar, with a lot of the same characteristics continuing to emerge, for better or worse:

Jonathan Taylor running wild: check. The offensive line blasting the opposing defensive front: check. Jack Coan making the necessary throws, but not being spectacular (because he didn’t really need to be): check. Wisconsin’s offense leading the team: check.

The defense being very inconsistent: check. The back seven allowing important completions at various stages of a game: check. An opponent’s speed and play design creating big gains against the Badgers: check. Wisconsin not being able to shut down an opponent’s passing game: check.

The 62-yard field goal by Zach Hintze was something entirely new — maybe the Badgers will be tied late at Minnesota next week and need a long boot — but a lot of this game against Purdue recalled the previous two weeks. I’m not going to say it’s good. I’m not going to say it’s bad. It just IS. This team has fallen into a pattern with good and bad components. That is the foremost observation to make for a team which owned a different identity in the first half of the season, played poorly in two consecutive games, and has now produced a third act in this 2019 season’s theatrical production. It began against Iowa and hasn’t ended.

Now this three-act play moves to Minneapolis for a monster game. These Badgers — the ones who have appeared the past three weeks — are smashing opponents in the mouth but playing sloppy ball just when they are on the verge of landing knockout punches. That isn’t necessarily a recipe for a loss, but it is certainly a recipe for danger. It doesn’t mean certain defeat against the Golden Gophers, but it hardly inspires confidence in a decisive victory, either. This is what Wisconsin is right now. Will we see a different iteration of the Badgers next Saturday? That’s the question everyone in Madison — and across a nation of Big Ten and college football fans — wants to know. We have to wait several days to find out.

Wisconsin knows exactly what Purdue is going through

One particular vantage point of Saturday’s game between the Wisconsin Badgers and the Purdue Boilermakers is explained.

The Wisconsin Badgers and their fans would love to forget 2018, though the 2019 team’s 8-2 record has represented a concrete attempt to move past that difficult season. Yet, as the Badgers prepare for their home finale this upcoming weekend, their opponent has made it hard to forget the 2018 season. You see, the Purdue Boilermakers have followed a path Wisconsin fans know well, based largely on the 2018 season. In a very real way, 2018 Wisconsin can strongly relate to 2019 Purdue.

One part of the 2018 season which was hard to forget for Wisconsin fans — like it or not — was the tidal wave of injuries which swamped the team during the season. In early October, the Badgers were already dealing with injuries to, among many others, Travian Blaylock, Deron Harrell, Caeser Williams, Faion Hicks, and D’Cota Dixon. They had to go far deeper into their depth chart than any team or coaching staff can reasonably expect in a given season. That was one piece of a frustrating and uneven football season — not the only one, but a core component which explained why Wisconsin fell off the pace in the Big Ten.

One fundamental challenge for the Badgers this season was to take all of the snaps played by younger players in 2018 and translate those added reps into a stronger, more complete defense. That challenge was met in the first half of this season, and it helps explain why Wisconsin has bounced back to a degree in 2019. UW’s opponent this Saturday hopes this same dynamic will pay off next year.

Purdue’s injuries to centerpiece players on offense have been devastating. The Boilermakers have beaten Nebraska and Northwestern in spite of these injuries, but they won’t make a bowl game as a direct result of attrition and the erosion of their roster. Quarterback Elijah Sindelar was knocked out early in the season. Purdue likely would have been able to beat Illinois with Sindelar, and it would have a very good chance of beating Indiana with him as well. More than that, Purdue lost star receiver Rondale Moore. Backup quarterbacks and receivers have had to play a lot. The short-term pain has been considerable, but the Boilermakers hope it will become a blessing when the 2020 season starts.

The 2018 Wisconsin Badgers and the 2019 Purdue Boilermakers are staring at each other across the sands of time. These two schools will meet on Saturday, knowing where the other one stands. Paul Chryst can tell Jeff Brohm before Saturday’s game, “Hey, man. I know what you’re going through. Good luck next year… well, except against us!”

Wisconsin can restore order in one basic way against Purdue

A simple note on the meaning of this Saturday’s game between the Wisconsin Badgers and the Purdue Boilermakers.

The obvious and primary point of significance for the Wisconsin Badgers in this Saturday’s game against the Purdue Boilermakers is that UW can stay in the Big Ten West race, setting up a super showdown against the Minnesota Golden Gophers on Nov. 30. Everyone knows that. Yet, beneath the surface, this game against Purdue is important for another powerful reason. Wanna guess what it is?

Giving the seniors a win in their final home game? True, but not quite what I was looking for. Cleaning up bad habits or tendencies on defense before the Minnesota game? Well, that is accurate enough as well, but also not the response I had in mind.

Here is the larger reason why Wisconsin-Purdue is so important to the Badgers: They can go unbeaten at home this year. That’s a very big deal.

In 2015, 2016 and 2018, Wisconsin lost at Camp Randall Stadium. The 2017 season was a triumphant victory march for the Badgers, their best non-Rose Bowl-winning season in program history. (They won the Orange Bowl instead.) That team went unbeaten at home.

The 2019 Badgers can restore what the 2017 team established and the 2018 team failed to sustain. This matters as a point of pride — no visitors win in our house! — but the value of protecting Camp Randall is greater than that. As tough as the Big Ten is, being able to maintain an airtight fortress in Madison matters. Creating an expectation that no visitor will win in Camp Randall will enable this 2019 team to pass the baton to the 2020 team and give this program a chance to take a great home-field culture and make it even better.

No home-field loss from 2018 stung more than Minnesota coming into Madison and beating the Badgers. Wisconsin needs to plant its flag against the Gophers in 2020, and going unbeaten at home in 2019 is one small but real part of building back a heavyweight identity against P.J. Fleck. Minnesota has clearly announced itself as a threat to Wisconsin’s Big Ten West supremacy, so in a larger context which transcends individual seasons, the Badgers need to tell the Gophers, “No visitors celebrate here” in Madison.

Beating Purdue and sealing a perfect 2019 record in Camp Randall Stadium won’t make this year a complete success. Beating Minnesota on Nov. 30 will do that. Nevertheless, after the wobbles and struggles of 2018, achieving a perfect home record will represent one tangible and resonant way in which Wisconsin restored order this season.

Purdue at Wisconsin odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Purdue Boilermakers at Wisconsin Badgers betting odds and lines, with college football matchup analysis and picks.

The Purdue Boilermarkers (4-6, 3-4 Big Ten West) and Wisconsin Badgers (8-2, 5-2 West) square off at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, Wisc. at 4:00 p.m. ET Saturday. We analyze the Purdue-Wisconsin odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Purdue at Wisconsin: Three things you need to know

1. Purdue limps into this one needing to win their final two regular-season games to attain bowl eligibility. Its passing game has been strong with 298.5 yards per game to rank 17th in the nation, but it’s 128th in rushing offense at just 77.1 yards per game.

2. Wisconsin RB Jonathan Taylor leads the Big Ten with 1,463 rushing yards and a total of 21 touchdowns.

3. The Badgers rank fourth in total yards allowed (259.7), third in the nation in passing yards allowed (154.3) and sixth in points allowed (13.4 PPG).


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Purdue at Wisconsin: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Wisconsin 45, Purdue 17

Moneyline (ML)

You can’t bet Wisconsin (-2500) on the moneyline, as the investment is nowhere near the risk, and Purdue (+1030) doesn’t have a snowball’s chance in … well, you know.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Wisconsin to win outright would return a profit of $0.40.

Against the Spread (ATS)

WISCONSIN (-24.5, -106) is laying the points and will run roughshod over the leaky defense of Purdue (+24.5, -115). While Purdue has been able to stay in some games with a respectable pass offense, the Boilersmakers haven’t faced a stingy defense like Wisconsin.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 47.5 (-115) is a slam-dunk play. In fact, the Badgers could take care of the Over by themselves without much trouble. The Under is super low because of Wisconsin’s sturdy defense, but the rush attack should roll up huge numbers. If this game isn’t in the high 50’s it would be a surprise.

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Five Purdue players who Badger fans need to know

Here are five Purdue Boilermakers who Badger fans should keep a close eye on throughout Saturday’s matchup between Wisconsin and Purdue.

No. 12 Wisconsin will look to claim its third victory in a row on Saturday afternoon when it hosts 4-6 Purdue at Camp Randall.

This season has been a struggle for the Boilermakers, who were expected to take another step forward this year after making a surprise run to a bowl game in 2018. Unfortunately, Purdue has been held back from achieving its goals as the result of a series of devastating injuries to star players. In fact, you would be hard-pressed to find any team in college football that has been bitten by the injury bug more than the Boilermakers.

Purdue gave Wisconsin one hell of a scare in last season’s triple-overtime thriller in West Lafayette, but the Badgers have won a whopping 13 games in a row against Purdue and is a heavy 25.5-point favorite to make it 14 this weekend. However, head coach Jeff Brohm still has some talented players at his disposal on both sides of the ball, and we have seen the Badgers struggle at home against far worse teams than this.

Here are five players on the opposing sideline who Badger fans should keep a close eye on throughout the game.

Aidan O’Connell – Quarterback

2019 stats: 67.6% passing, 402 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT

O’Connell is the third quarterback to step in as the starter for the Boilermakers this season following injuries to the original No. 1 signal-caller, Elijah Sindelar, and his replacement, freshman Jack Plummer, and will probably be forced to stay in that role the rest of the year.

A redshirt sophomore walk-on, O’Connell is seeing the first action of his college career, and for the most part, he’s performed valiantly. He led Purdue’s game-winning touchdown drive after replacing the injured Plummer against Nebraska on Nov. 2 and did the same in his first career start against Northwestern the following week.

Brohm was heavily reliant on O’Connell to move the Boilermakers down the field against the Cornhuskers; he went 34-50 for 271 yards and a couple of interceptions in the win. After struggling against Nebraska last week, this Wisconsin secondary will be tested early and often on Saturday.

David Bell – Wide Receiver

2019 stats: 65 rec, 791 yds (12.2 avg), 5 TD

Oct 26, 2019; West Lafayette, IN, USA; Purdue Boilermakers wide receiver David Bell (3) dives for extra yardage against the Illinois Fighting Illini during the fourth quarter at Ross-Ade Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

Bell was one of the top additions to Brohm’s impressive 2019 recruiting class as a consensus 4-star prospect and the Gatorade Player of the Year in Indiana, and he has been an instant impact addition for the Boilermakers as a true freshman this season.

He was always going to be heavily involved in the offense this season, but Bell has taken on a larger than expected role with superstar wide receiver Rondale Moore out with an injured hamstring suffered in Purdue’s fourth game of the season. The Indianapolis native currently leads the Big Ten in receptions and ranks No. 4 and No. 5 in receiving yards and receiving touchdowns, respectively.

Bell is coming off of an impressive performance against Northwestern in which he caught 14 passes for 116 yards and a touchdown.

NEXT: Brycen Hopkins/George Karlaftis/Ben Holt

Badgers vs. Green Bay is a perfect Wisconsin-Purdue appetizer

Reflections on Wisconsin basketball, Green Bay hoops, and the Bennett family in a week which includes a Wisconsin-Purdue football game.

Saturday, Wisconsin plays the Purdue Boilermakers in football. It is somehow so perfect that on Thursday, two days before that pigskin production, the Badgers play the Green Bay Phoenix in basketball.

“Really?”, you might be asking. “How do you connect the dots on that one?” Fair question. The basic point which will be explained in this article is as follows: If there is a single non-Wisconsin Big Ten school which rises to the forefront of the Wisconsin-Green Bay basketball game, it is Purdue. The reality behind that statement is much simpler than you might think. It just requires a little time to map out the connection.

One of the most significant moments in the history of college basketball in the state of Wisconsin was the Green Bay Phoenix’s win over California and a man named Jason Kidd in the 1994 NCAA Tournament. The year 2019 marks the 25th anniversary of that triumph for Dick Bennett. The potency of that 1994 win for Green Bay lies partly in the fact that it helped Bennett take the next step up the ladder to Madison and the Badgers in the fall of 1995. What Bennett developed at UW is still going today under the guidance of Greg Gard. There is a line of events and a series of roots which grew into tall trees and long, sturdy branches which have Wisconsin in great shape today. The success of Green Bay basketball 25 years ago was one of those central roots.

When Dick Bennett coached Green Bay to that huge win over Cal and Jason Kidd, he had a star player on his UWGB team. You might have heard of him: Tony Bennett.

The relationship which was coach-and-player became coach-and-assistant at Wisconsin and then at Washington State. Dick Bennett wanted to give Tony Bennett a program, so he stepped away at Washington State so that his son could become a collegiate head coach. In a very short time, Tony Bennett had already given a strong indication that as great as his dad was, he had the ability to become an even greater college basketball coach.

Taking Washington State to the Sweet 16? Making Washington State a top-four NCAA Tournament seed in consecutive seasons? No one does that. No one HAD done that… until Tony Bennett did it. Some really good basketball coaches had worked at Washington State in the past: George Raveling, Kelvin Sampson, Marv Harshman. None of them did what Tony Bennett managed to do.

Given what he pulled off in Pullman, Washington, Tony Bennett came to Virginia as a man capable of transforming the Cavaliers. The surprise isn’t that he succeeded; it is that he made Virginia successful at the very highest reaches of college basketball. Over the past six years, Virginia has won more ACC regular-season championships and gained more No. 1 seeds at the ACC Tournament than Duke or North Carolina. Virginia has become a heavyweight team with elite annual results.

There was, however, one missing piece in Tony Bennett’s resume, and entering the 2019 Elite Eight, a familiar story came full circle… with Purdue being part of the drama. This is why Purdue is the non-Wisconsin Big Ten school which offers the perfect accompaniment this week (albeit in football) to a Wisconsin-versus-Green Bay basketball game.

If Green Bay’s success helped give Badger basketball Dick Bennett, and if Badger basketball helped Tony Bennett begin his storied coaching career, one must then realize that Green Bay’s 1994 triumph is part of a chain of events which led to the 2000 NCAA Tournament and Dick Bennett’s ultimate coaching breakthrough.

Nearly 20 years before his son finally reached a Final Four at Virginia, Dick Bennett arrived at college basketball’s mecca. How did he do it, or more precisely, which school was the last obstacle standing in the way of that cathartic moment? Purdue. Wisconsin defeated the Boilermakers in the 2000 West Regional Final in Albuquerque. Bennett defeated Gene Keady, who is — and always will be — a valid answer to the question, “Who is the best college basketball coach to never make the Final Four?”

How wildly improbable it was, 19 years later, that Purdue, of all teams, would stand in Tony Bennett’s path as Virginia tried to make the Final Four for the first time in 35 years and give Tony the achievement his career had somehow not yet attained. Three years earlier, in 2016, Virginia played 10th-seeded Syracuse in the Elite Eight and gained a big early lead. That was a veteran Virginia team, the last team one would have expected to panic and get rattled by full-court defensive pressure. Yet, Syracuse’s press unnerved the Cavaliers, who imploded in the second half. Before the Virginia loss to UMBC — a 1 seed falling to a 16 seed — Tony Bennett had already tasted a supremely bitter defeat. UMBC wasn’t the first gut punch Tony had absorbed; he experienced that sensation two years earlier.

If Tony couldn’t beat Purdue, he would have to go through yet another year of “can’t win the big one” refrains. A career would have taken on the baggage which accumulates when an elite coach somehow doesn’t attain the one feat he is expected to capture at some point. Somehow, Virginia raced upcourt when trailing in the final seconds of regulation. Somehow, the Cavaliers tied the game on one of the most memorable plays in college basketball history. Somehow, the Hoos got to overtime. Somehow, they won and cross the threshold.

The end result: A Dick Bennett protege — his son — had beaten a Gene Keady protege, Matt Painter, in a regional final 19 years after the mentors had locked horns in Albuquerque. Wisconsin beat Purdue in the year 2000. A member of the Bennett family beat Purdue once again in 2019. This is how Purdue is the perfect Wisconsin football opponent at the end of the same week marked by a Badger-Green Bay basketball battle.

Wisconsin versus Green Bay is always a special game, but now that a member of the Bennett family has a national championship — lifting Dick and Tony to the height of their legacy in their moment of ultimate triumph — the presence of Green Bay on the other side of the court lends even more stature to this particular edition of Badgers versus Phoenix.

The rise of the Bennett family to the very top of the college basketball coaching profession is the perfect backdrop for a game between two schools whose existences and legacies are soaked in the contributions and influence of Dick and Tony Bennett. You could not have scripted this 2019 basketball reunion any better… and you could not have had a Wisconsin football game at the end of this week against a more appropriate opponent.

Marquette comeback against Purdue gets Wisconsin’s attention

Looking at the Marquette Golden Eagles’ win over the Purdue Boilermakers before Marquette faces the Wisconsin Badgers on Sunday.

The shiny object found in the Marquette Golden Eagles’ 65-55 win over the Purdue Boilermakers on Wednesday night was the 40-point second half the Golden Eagles slapped on Matt Painter’s crew. If Marquette has established an identity in recent years, it is that it can explode on offense at any time. Markus Howard can break free. Seton Hall might have Myles Powell, but Howard makes sure that Marquette always has as much firepower as the opposition, if not more. A 40-point second half is on brand for MU and Steve Wojciechowski.

Yet, while looking at the shiny object — 40 points after halftime in a relatively low-scoring game — one shouldn’t ignore the more substantive aspect of a game in which Marquette came back from a 13-point halftime deficit (38-25). The Golden Eagles held Purdue to just 17 points after the intermission.

If Marquette — which got run off the floor by Ja Morant and Murray State in the first round of the 2019 NCAA Tournament — is to improve as a program and become more of a national force in the Big East Conference, it will come at the defensive end of the floor. Being good enough and tough enough to hold Purdue to 17 points in a half sends a very positive message before Marquette faces the Wisconsin Badgers on Sunday. Such a feat is… well… very Wisconsin-like.

As we size up the Golden Eagles before they visit the Kohl Center on Sunday afternoon, we are brought in touch with a fundamental question: As good as Marquette was in that second half, was the 40-17 drubbing the Golden Eagles handed to the Boilermakers a primary product of MU’s ability to adjust, or was it more a result of Purdue not finding an answer to the departure of Carsen Edwards?

From the Marquette side of the equation, the Golden Eagles have to feel confident they can defend at a high level. They can’t control Purdue’s limitations; they got punched in the mouth in the first half and could have wobbled. Instead, they roared back against a team which came within an eyelash of making the Final Four last spring. Marquette did what was within its power to do. To that extent, the Golden Eagles deserve ample credit.

It is the Purdue dimension of this question which is more encouraging to Wisconsin. Purdue, for those not getting up to speed on college basketball as football enters its crucial home stretch, lacked answers at crunch time versus Texas — in Mackey Arena — a few days earlier. If Purdue had solved Texas but then stumbled against Marquette, the Golden Eagles could be viewed in a more favorable light. Because Purdue couldn’t use home-court advantage well against a previous opponent, however, this loss to Marquette seems like a trend more than a plot twist or an aberration.

Wisconsin can therefore look at Purdue and arrive at the conclusion that Marquette pounced on an especially vulnerable opponent. Wisconsin can look at the statistics and see that Marquette shot just 7 of 25 from 3-point range and won by 10… because Purdue was just 6 of 24 from long distance and a shocking 9 of 21 from the free throw line. If Purdue can’t stand on its own this season without Carsen Edwards, Wisconsin — lacking Micah Potter for no legitimately good reason — can stand on the strength of its balance and its defense.

Wisconsin doesn’t just have a chance to beat Marquette this Sunday. The Badgers can send a message to Purdue and the rest of the Big Ten about their resourcefulness, their balance, and their quality. Just imagine what a win without Potter could do for a team which is still settling into this season. A win over Marquette would settle some scores and enable Wisconsin to feel a lot more settled and calm about its long-term prospects.