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Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (54-39) welcome the Pittsburgh Pirates (44-48) to American Family Field Thursday for the finale of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 5-4

The Brewers slaughtered Pittsburgh Wednesday, winning 9-0, but that came on the back of a 12-2 Pittsburgh win Tuesday.

Milwaukee has lost 4 of its last 6 games, including dropping 2 of 3 to the Los Angeles Dodgers on the road in its series prior. The Brewers, who sit atop the NL Central, are 50-43 against the spread (ATS). They are 28-14 at home this season.

The Pirates, who are 22-24 on the road, have have won 2 of their last 3 games. Pittsburgh is 4-3 over its last 7 road games. It is 49-43 ATS on the season.

Pirates at Brewers projected starters

RHP Paul Skenes vs. RHP Aaron Civale

Skenes (5-0, 2.12 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 in 59 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 14-2 home win over the New York Mets Friday
  • 2024 away splits: 2-0, 1.11 ERA (24 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.74 WHIP, 2 HR, 13.7 K/9 in 4 starts
  • In his first MLB season and has never faced Brewers

Civale (2-6, 5.18 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 14.4 K/9 in 92 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 8-5 road loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers Friday
  • 2024 home splits: 1-4, 4.25 ERA (48 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 11 HR, 9.6 K/9 in 9 starts
  • Career vs. Pirates: 1-1, 4.63 ERA (23 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 23 H, 4 BB, 16 K in 4 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Brewers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates -118 (bet $118 to win $100) | Brewers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates -1.5 (+134) | Brewers +1.5 (-162)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Pirates at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 5, Brewers 3

Moneyline

BET PIRATES (-118).

All the excitement around Skenes is coming to fruition, and the Pirates play better when he’s on the mound. Pittsburgh is 7-3 in his starts and has won 5 of his last 7 appearances. He has allowed 2 or fewer ER in 8 of those 10 starts.

The Pirates have scored 8 or more runs in 3 of their last 6 games, so their offense has started to shine as well. The Brewers, who have scored 3 or fewer in 4 of their last 7, have struggled to find consistency, having not won back-to-back games in over a week.

For this value and given the pitching difference, back PIRATES (-118).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Pirates are better played on the moneyline than the run line considering how good Milwaukee has been all season long at home. Similarly, the Brewers are too expensive as a run-line underdog.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

The Brewers are 50-38-5 O/U on the season and have topped the Over in 4 of their last 5 games. Either they or their opponent have scored at least 9 in 3 straight.

Pittsburgh has gone Over in 3 straight games. It is 6-3 O/U in its last 9. Considering the trends for both sides, back OVER 7.5 (-115).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (44-47) and Milwaukee Brewers (53-39) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Wednesday. First pitch from American Family Field is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 4-4

The Pirates have won back-to-back games after taking down the Brewers 12-2 Tuesday as +144 road underdogs. C Joey Bart hit a grand slam in the 6th inning, 1 of 5 Pirates homers on the night. RHP Quinn Priester allowed 1 ER in 6 innings to pick up the win.

Milwaukee failed to cash as a -156 home favorites in Tuesday’s loss. RHP Colin Rea allowed 7 ER in 5 innings to pick up the loss. SS Oneil Cruz was out of the lineup after leaving Monday night’s game with hamstring tightness.

Pirates at Brewers projected starters

LHP Martin Perez vs. RHP Tobias Myers

Perez (1-4, 4.85 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 68 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 3-2 home loss against St. Louis Cardinals Thursday
  • Career vs. Brewers: 0-2, 8.31 ERA (21 2/3 IP, 20 ER), 2.03 WHIP, 4.6 K/9 in 4 appearances (3 starts), including 0-1 with 16.20 ERA (5 IP, 9 ER) in 1 start this year

Myers (5-3, 3.52 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 64 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 4-3 loss at Colorado Rockies Thursday
  • Career vs. Pirates: 0-1, 1.80 ERA (5 IP, 1 ER), 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 2-1 road loss April 23

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:24 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Brewers -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-160) | Brewers -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Pirates at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Pirates 5

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (-150).

Milwaukee has scored 5 or more runs in 2 of its last 4 games and faces Perez, who has struggled this season. Pittsburgh has scored 2 runs in 3 of its last 6 games and 4 in 6 of its last 10. While it has limited opponents’ scoring in recent games, Perez has a 4.85 ERA and faces a Brewers team that can heat up quick.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is better opportunity on the Brewers moneyline.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (+100).

The Over has hit in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these teams. Pittsburgh has scored 8 or more runs in back-to-back games and hit the Over in 3 of its last 5.

Milwaukee has hit the Over in 3 of its last 4 games and scored 5 or more runs in 2 of its last 4.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (43-47) and Milwaukee Brewers (53-38) open a 3-game series Tuesday with 1st pitch from American Family Field set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Milwaukee leads 4-3

Pittsburgh stomped the New York Mets 8-2 Monday while covering as a -117 home favorite. RHP Mitch Keller earned the win with 8 IP, allowing 2 ER, 7 H with 0 BB and 6K. Monday’s win came after back-to-back losses.

Milwaukee routed the Los Angeles Dodgers 9-2 Sunday as a +156 road underdog. DH Christian Yelich went 3-of-4 with a HR and 3 RBIs. The win ended a 3-game losing streak for the Brewers.

Pirates at Brewers projected starters

TBD vs. RHP Colin Rea

No Pittsburgh pitcher announced at time of publishing

Rea (8-2, 3.34 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 94 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K in a 3-0 win at Colorado Rockies Wednesday
  • Career vs. Pittsburgh: 2-2, 5.56 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 26 H, 6 BB, 16 K in 5 appearances (4 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Brewers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:29 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +138 (bet $100 to win $138) | Brewers -164 (bet $164 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-164) | Brewers -1.5 (+136)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Pirates at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 5, Pirates 4

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (-164).

Milwaukee enters as the slightly hotter team, being 2-1 in its last 3 home games while the Pirates have dropped 3 straight on the road. The Brewers are also 2-1 in their last 3 meetings with the Pirates in Milwaukee, being 4-1 in the last 5 matchups overall.

Betting on a line set this heavily (-164) always comes with a fair amount of risk.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PIRATES +1.5 (-164). 

Pittsburgh is 49-41 ATS this season and has finished within a run of the Brewers in 2 of its last 4 losses vs. Milwaukee.

With the teams 5-5 in their last 10 meetings, expect this to be a very tightly contested game. As with the moneyline, betting on a line set at -164 is always risky.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-105).

The Over has hit in 2 of Milwaukee’s last 3 games and is 48-37-6 for the Brewers this season. For Pittsburgh, the Over is 4-3 in its last 7 games. The Over has also hit in 3 of the last 4 Pittsburgh-Milwaukee matchups and is 2-1 in the last 3 meetings in Milwaukee.

This is only a lean because the O/U is 5-5 in the last 10 meetingss and because the Over has only hit in 4 of each team’s last 10 overall.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (42-47) and New York Mets (44-44) wrap up a 4-game series Monday at PNC Park. First pitch is set for 12:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 5-1

The Pirates lost 3-2 Sunday as +114 underdogs and 5-2 Saturday as +117 dogs after opening the series with a 14-2 rout as -137 favorites Friday — the lone Over game of the 3. The Bucs have been struggling recently as they are 3-6 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in their last 9 games. They are 48-41 ATS on the season, but 22-23 ATS and 21-24 SU at home.

The Mets, who are 23-19 SU on the road, have been streaky the last 2 weeks, putting together a 4-game win streak and two 2-game win streaks, while suffering a 3-game skid and a 2-game slide in the last 13 outings. New York is riding 1 of those 2-game win streaks. It is 43-35 ATS on the season but 23-18 ATS on the road.

Mets at Pirates projected starters

RHP Christian Scott vs. RHP Mitch Keller

Scott (0-2, 4.32 ERA) makes his 7th start. The rookie has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 33 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 7-5 loss at Washington Nationals Wednesday
  • 2024 away splits: 0-1, 4.96 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 2 HR, 6.1 K/9 in 3 starts
  • Never faced Pirates before

Keller (9-5, 3.48 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 103 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER (6 R), 9 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 7-4 home setback to St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday
  • 2024 home splits: 4-2, 3.02 ERA (50 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 5 HR, 8.7 K/9 in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 2-1, 1.89 ERA (19 IP, 4 ER), 12 H, 2 HR, 6 BB, 15 K in 3 starts, including W in last start vs. NY behind 7-inning, 1 run outing in 2023

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Pirates odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 10:56 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Pirates -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+152) | Pirates +1.5 (-184)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mets at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 5, Mets 3

Moneyline

BET PIRATES (-108).

The Pirates have been virtually unbeatable in recent outings with Keller starting, winning 8 of his last 10 starts. Pittsburgh has also been solid following a loss which it is here, having gone 25-21 after being defeated.

Meanwhile, the Mets who are 2-3 in their last 5 games, have been awful when Scott takes the hill. They are just 1-5 in his 6 starts and have lost 4 of those 5 by multiple runs.

Couple it all together and PITTSBURGH (-108) is the way to go.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s just no great value here. The Mets (-1.5, +152) might be plus-money on the run line, but as mentioned, they don’t win with Scott on the mound. Similarly, the Pirates (+1.5, -184) are too expensive as a run-line underdog.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).

The Pirates are 1-3 O/U in their last 4 games and are 40-45-4 O/U on the season. Pittsburgh is 2-3 O/U in Keller’s last 5 starts as well. It has scored 2 or fewer in 3 of its last 4, so its offense has struggled immensely as of late.

The Mets are also 1-3 O/U and have scored 5 or fewer runs in 5 straight and 3 or fewer in 3 of the 5. They have allowed 2 or fewer runs in 3 of the last 4. Be warned, the Mets are 46-39-3 O/U on the season

TAKE UNDER 8.5 (-105).

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New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (42-43) and Pittsburgh Pirates (41-45) open a 4-game series Friday. First pitch from PNC Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: New York leads 3-0

New York lost 1-0 to the Washington Nationals Thursday while failing to cover as a -107 road favorite. The Mets have dropped back-to-back games, now falling to a below .500 record on the season.

Pittsburgh was handed a 3-2 loss in 10 innings by the St. Louis Cardinals Thursday while failing to cover as a -103 home favorite. The Pirates have lost 2 of their last 3.

Mets at Pirates projected starters

RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Paul Skenes

Severino (5-2, 3.42 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 97 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 10-5 loss vs. Houston Astros Sunday
  • Career vs. Pittsburgh: 3-0, 0.53 ERA (17 IP, 1 ER), 11 H, 4 BB, 13 K in 3 starts

Skenes (4-0, 2.06 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 in 52 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 9 K in a 2-1 loss at Atlanta Saturday
  • First career start vs. Mets for the 22-year-old rookie

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:47 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Pirates -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-200) | Pirates -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mets at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 6, Pirates 3

Moneyline

LEAN METS (+105).

New York enters as the slightly hotter team, being 6-4 in its last 10 overall while Pittsburgh is 4-6 in its last 10 and only 1-3 in its last 4 at home.

The Mets have also won 4 straight vs. the Pirates and are 7-3 in the last 10 matchups.

This is only a lean because Pittsburgh is 2-1 in its last 3 meetings with New York at home and because the Mets are only 3-2 in their last 5 road games.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I expect the Mets to cover here with ease, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as +1.5 (-200) favorites. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

The Over has hit in 2 of Pittsburgh’s last 3 home games. For New York, the Over is 7-2-1 in its last 10 games overall. The Over has also hit in 4 of the last 5 New York-Pittsburgh matchups and is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (44-41) and Pittsburgh Pirates (41-44) meet Thursday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from PNC Park is set for 12:35 p.m. (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: St. Louis leads 3-2

Pittsburgh escaped with a 5-4 win in 10 innings over St. Louis Wednesday while covering as a -119 home favorite. SS Oniel Cruz hit the walk-off RBI single to cap-off a 2-run inning for the Pirates. The Pirates have won 2 of their last 3 games.

After taking the lead in the 10th the Cardinals blew the lead and had a 2-game win streak snapped.

Cardinals at Pirates projected starters

RHP Andre Pallante vs. LHP Martin Perez

Pallante (4-3, 4.50 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.58 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 38 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 1-0 win over Cincinnati Reds Friday
  • Career vs. Pittsburgh: 0-1, 5.14 ERA (14 IP, 8 ER), 13 H, 11 BB, 5 K in 13 relief appearances

Perez (1-4, 5.28 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 61 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 6-1 loss at Atlanta Braves Friday
  • Career vs. St. Louis: 1-0, 2.79 ERA (19 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 16 H, 5 BB, 8 K in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cardinals at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:38 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Pirates -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+145) | Pirates +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cardinals at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Pirates 5

Moneyline

LEAN CARDINALS (-115).

St. Louis enters as the slightly hotter team, being 6-4 in their last 10 games and 3-2 in their last 5 road games vs. divisional opponents while the Pirates are 5-5 in their last 10 and have dropped 2 of their last 3 at home.

The Cardinals are also 3-1 in their last 4 matchups vs. Pittsburgh.

This is only a lean because the teams are 5-5 in their last 10 meetings.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Pirates to cover here, but the line is set just slightly too riskily to bet on at +1.5 (-175). Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-115). 

The Over has hit in 4 of St. Louis’ last 5 road games and is 6-4 in their last 10 overall. The Over has also hit in back-to-back Cardinals-Pirates matchups, and is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings in Pittsburgh.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (44-40) take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (40-44) Wednesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at PNC Park at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 3-1

We nailed 2 of 3 wagers Tuesday as the Cards opened up a 6-0 lead in the first 4 innings and held on for a 7-4 victory. Cardinals 2B Nolan Gorman, mired in a miserable slump, took a pitch low and away, to the deepest part of the park in left-center for a grand slam. INF/OF Brendan Donovan added 3 hits and an RBI as well. He’s hitting .388 with 3 HR and 12 RBIs over the last 15 days.

The Buccos cashed the Over 8 with 4 runs in the 5th inning on homers by OFs Jack Suwinski and Andrew McCutchen. They did nothing against the Cards’ bullpen, though. The Pirates have lost 3 of 4 and are now 9-11 over their last 20 games.

Cardinals at Pirates projected starters

RHP Miles Mikolas vs. RHP Jared Jones

Mikolas (6-7, 5.32 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 through 94 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 9 ER (career high), 12 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 11-4 home defeat Thursday against Cincinnati Reds
  • Last 5 starts vs. Pirates: 1-2, 2.30 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 26 K in 31 1/3 IP
  • Home/road splits: 1-3, 6.18 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 8 home starts vs. 5-4, 4.59 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 in 9 road starts

Jones (5-6, 3.66 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 86 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 4-3 home victory June 22 against Tampa Bay Rays
  • Never faced St. Louis before
  • Home/road splits: 3-2, 2.20 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 8 home starts; 2-4, 5.59 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 in 7 road starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cardinals at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:22 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Pirates -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-190) | Pirates -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Cardinals at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 6, Cardinals 4

Moneyline

I’m all aboard the Bucs train today. The Cards predominately struggle against a pitcher they haven’t seen before. Jones has an electric arm and is much better at home. Mikolas has allowed 13 ER in his last 2 starts, as he just doesn’t miss enough bats.

Take the PIRATES -130 here.

Run line/Against the spread

I would consider the Pirates here if their bullpen wasn’t in shambles. They’re 4th-worst in MLB with a 4.58 ERA.

So let me present 2 prop options: Jones has 3+ walks in 4 straight starts and 2+ BB in 6 straight. Take JARED JONES OVER 1.5 WALKS (-120).

Another option: MILES MIKOLAS OVER 2.5 EARNED RUNS (-145). Mikolas allowed 3+ ER in 10 of his 17 starts thus far. The Pirates scored 4 off of Kyle Gibson Tuesday, and he struck out the side in 2 innings and 8 overall in a dominant start until the end.

Over/Under

The winds are swirling out toward left-center at 10 mph for this one. It’s a little risky to go Over here with these teams tied at 22nd with 4.0 R/game. It’s the starting pitching and the Pirates’ bullpen that pushes it Over for me.

Take the OVER 8 (-120) with the wind blowing out.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (43-40) take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (40-43) Tuesday in the opener of a 3-game set at PNC Park at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 2-1

The Cards split with the Cincinnati Reds over the weekend with a 2-0 victory Sunday. SS Masyn Winn was the catalyst atop the order, going 2-for-4 with an RBI. He is quietly having a great rookie year, hitting .286 and playing great defense. He’s a +4000 to win NL Rookie of the Year at BetMGM Sportsbook. The Cards are 7-3 over the last 10.

The Bucs staved off a sweep, taking Sunday’s tilt 4-2 against the Atlanta Braves. SS Oneil Cruz went 2-for-3 with his 12th homer of the season. They are .500 in each split over the last month at 5-5, 10-10 and 15-15 over the last 10, 20 and 30 days.

Cardinals at Pirates projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. RHP Mitch Keller

Gibson (5-3, 3.70 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 87 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 5 BB, 4 K in 6-2 home defeat Wednesday against Atlanta Braves
  • 4 career starts vs. Pirates: 2-1, 3.65 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 25 K in 24 2/3 IP

Keller (9-4, 3.20 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 98 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER (4 R), 6 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 9-5 victory June 25 at Cincinnati Reds
  • Last 5 starts vs. St. Louis: 0-1, 3.00 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 26 K in 30 IP
  • June 13 vs. St. Louis: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 4-3 road setback

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cardinals at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:55 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Pirates -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-190) | Pirates -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cardinals at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 4, Pirates 2

Moneyline

Gibson was erratic in his last start, but it came after missing a turn due to a stiff back. He’ll shore that up in this one. The Pirates are operating without closer David Bednar (oblique) and have the 4th-worst bullpen ERA at 4.61. If the Pirates get a lead to de facto closer Aroldis Chapman, though, he owns the Cards. In 41 games, he’s 2-0 with a 1.86 ERA, 57 K’s in 38 2/3 IP and 18 saves. The Cards have scored 2+ off Keller in 3 of his last 4 starts against them, and if they can get a lead and avoid Chapman, they should roll.

Take the CARDINALS +105.

Run line/Against the spread

I’m going with KYLE GIBSON OVER 4.5 K’s (-125) here. He has 6+ K’s in 4 of 5 starts and 5+ in each of his 4 career starts vs. Pittsburgh. The Pirates are the 4th-easiest team to K in baseball.

Over/Under

The Cards are 6-4 O/U over their last 10, and Pittsburgh is 3-7. The Over has cashed just 4 of the last 10 meetings between the teams. The Under has cashed in 3 straight matchups. That’s where I’m going — take the UNDER 8 (-110).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (45-35) welcome the Pittsburgh Pirates (39-42) to Truist Park (39-42) for the 2nd game of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Braves, who are one of the best home teams in the MLB with a 25-13 record, beat the Pirates 6-1 Friday, closing as a -213 favorite. They have won 10 of their last 15 games yet are 2-3 over their last 5. Atlanta is 38-42 against the spread (ATS) on the season and 2-3 ATS over its last 5. DH Marcell Ozuna leads test team with 21 HR and 67 RBI.

The Pirates are 20-22 in the road games and snapped a 2-game road winning streak with their loss Friday. Pittsburgh is 6-5 over its last 11 games and is 3-2 over its last 5 on the road. The Pirates are 42-39 ATS on the season. They have closed as an underdog in 4 straight games and are 24-24 straight up as an underdog this season.

Pirates at Braves projected starters

RHP Paul Skenes vs. LHP Max Fried

Skenes (4-0, 2.14 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 through 46 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 8 K in a 3-1 home loss to the Tampa Bay Rays Sunday
  • 2024 away splits: 2-0, 0.98 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 0.55 WHIP, 1 HR, 13.7 K/9 in 5 starts
  • Has yet to face the Braves in his career

Fried (7-3, 3.00 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 46 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K in a 3-1 road win over the New York Yankees Sunday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-1, 3.19 ERA (31 IP, 11 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 1 HR, 7.3 K/9 in 5 starts
  • Career vs. Pirates: 3-1, 4.76 ERA (34 IP, 18 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 in 6 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Braves -154 (bet $154 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-172) | Braves -1.5 (+142)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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Pirates at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Pirates 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Braves, especially considering how Skenes has pitched on the road, aren’t worth the play as an expensive favorite. Similarly, Fried has been too good as well to play the Pirates as a road under.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PIRATES +1.5 (-172).

Pittsburgh has had Skenes start in 3 road games, and it is 3-0 in those. Skenes has allowed 3 ER through 18 IP on the road. The Pirates are 24-18 ATS on the road and 32-16 ATS as an underdog, the fifth-best covering rate as an underdog in the majors.

The Braves, who are 1-2 ATS in Fried’s last 3 starts, have struggled as of late.  They rank in the bottom half of the league in covering after a win at just 16-21 ATS following a victory. Both teams have strong pitching options that should keep this game close.

Back PIRATES +1.5 (-172).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-114).

The Pirates have gone Under in 2 straight and in 4 of their last 6. Pittsburgh is 37-41-3 O/U on the season. Both pitchers are 3.00 ERA or better on the season, and each have trended on the season towards the Under.

The Braves, who have gone Under in Fried’s last 3 starts, are 0-3 O/U in their last 3. They are 1-5 O/U in their last 6 and 30-47-3 O/U on the season. Back UNDER 7.5 (-114).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (44-35) welcome the Pittsburgh Pirates (39-41) to Truist Park on Friday for the 1st game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 2-1

The Braves lost to the Chicago White Sox 1-0 Thursday in a make-up game. Atlanta has lost 2 straight and is just 2-4 over its last 6 games. It will return home after a 7-game road trip and the Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 home games and 24-13 for the season. The Braves are 37-42 against the spread (ATS).

The Pirates, who are 20-21 on the road, have won 2 straight games and are 5-4 in their last 9. Pittsburgh is coming off a 6-1 road win over the Cincinnati Reds Wednesday, closing as +121 on the moneyline. It is 4-4 over its last 8 on the road. The Pirates are 42-38 ATS on the season.

Pirates at Braves projected starters

LHP Martin Perez vs. RHP Charlie Morton

Perez (1-3, 4.71 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 57 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 2 K in an 8-1 home loss to the Atlanta Braves on May 26
  • 2024 away splits: 1-1, 4.88 ERA (27 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 6 HR, 5.5 K/9 in 5 starts
  • Career vs. Braves: 0-1, 3.48 ERA (10 1/3 IP,4 ER), 1.84 WHIP, 6.1 K/9 in 2 starts

Morton (4-4, 4.20 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 79 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 5 BB, 4 K in an 8-3 road loss to the New York Yankees Saturday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-2, 4.12 ERA (39 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.37 WHIP, 3 HR, 8.9 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Pirates: 0-0, 6.00 ERA (6 IP, 4 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 18.0 K/9 in 1 start

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:58 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Braves -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-134) | Braves -1.5 (+112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -124 | U: +102)

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Pirates at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Pirates 3

Moneyline

PASS.

While the Pirates could pull off the upset, the better play here is to back the road side on the run line.

The Braves haven’t been playing well enough over the last week to back here and aren’t worthy of a play as it will cost you almost 2x your bet in potential return.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PIRATES +1.5 (-130).

The Pirates are a streaky team and have been both incredible for betters on the run line after a win and as an underdog. They are 32-15 ATS as an underdog this season, the 4th-best record in the MLB, and they are 24-14 ATS following a win.

Meanwhile, while Atlanta has 1 of the best home records in the MLB, it is just 17-20 ATS at home. Without much difference in the strength of the starting pitcher, take PIRATES +1.5 (-130) to keep the game close.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (+102).

The Braves have gone Under in 2 straight games and in 4 of their last 5. Atlanta has scored 3 or fewer in 5 of its last 6 games as well. It is 30-46-3 O/U on the season.

Pittsburgh’s offense has been better as of late, but it still has scored 3 or fewer in 4 of its last 8 games and has tallied 5 or fewer in 6 of those. The Pirates are 37-40-3 O/U on the season. Take UNDER 8.5 (+102).

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