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Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (56-60) and Los Angeles Dodgers (68-49) close out a 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 3-2

The Pirates are scuffling. They have dropped 6 straight games and 8 of their last 9. After losing the Friday opener 9-5, they fell 4-1 Saturday, not scoring until the 9th inning.

The Dodgers’ lead in the NL West is down to 2½ games over the San Diego Padres, but they have won 5 of their last 7. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games.

Pirates at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Bailey Falter vs. RHP Tyler Glasnow

Falter (5-7, 3.87 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 through 97 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 2 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 6-0 home loss to Padres Tuesday
  • Pirates are 2-7 in his last 9 starts
  • Allowed 5 ER in 4 IP and took loss in 11-7 defeat to Dodgers at home June 6
  • Is 0-1 with 6.43 ERA in 2 career appearances (1 start) vs. Dodgers

Glasnow (9-6, 3.54 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 through 127 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 5-3 home win over Philadelphia Phillies
  • Career vs. Pirates: 0-1, 1 road start (June 4), 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 1-0 defeat

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Dodgers -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (+105) | Dodgers -1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Pirates at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Pirates 4

Moneyline

The Pirates have lost 6 straight and 8 of 9, and they have allowed 6 or more runs in 7 of those games.

The Dodgers (-275) are 37-22 at home.

But at -275 odds to win, there is no reason to bet the moneyline.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Despite going 1-8 in their last 9 games, 5 of the Pirates’ losses have been by only 1 run.

They are 35-23 ATS on the road, while the Dodgers are 28-30 ATS at home.

This is a rare instance where you get plus odds on the underdog.

BET PIRATES +1.5 (+105).

Over/Under

Ten of the Dodgers’ last 12 games have had 8 or more total runs.

Three of the 5 games between the 2 teams this season have had totals in double digits.

BET OVER 8 (-120).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (56-59) and Los Angeles Dodgers (67-49) play the 2nd contest of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is set for 9:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Pirates are on a 5-game skid, slipping 3 games under .500. They’re also 1-7 in the past 8 games, while the Over is 6-2 in the slide. Pittsburgh has cashed at a 9-3 clip in the past 12 outings, too.

The Dodgers picked up the 9-5 win in Friday’s series opener, covering on the run line as favorites (-222) as L.A. took care of the Over (7.5) on its own. The Dodgers are 4-2 in the past 6 games, while the Over is 7-2 in the past 9 outings.

Pirates at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Paul Skenes vs. RHP River Ryan

Skenes (6-1, 1.99 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 86 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 6-5 home loss vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday
  • 2024 road splits: 3-0, 0.96 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 0.72 WHIP, .152 opponents’ batting average, 8 BB, 54 K in 6 starts
  • Career vs. Dodgers: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 8 K in 1 start, a 10-6 home victory June 5

Ryan (1-0, 1.72 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 15 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H (1 HR), 3 BB, 4 K in 3-2 road win vs. Oakland A’s Sunday
  • 2024 home splits: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 0 ER (1 R), 4 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 1 start, a 3-2 win vs. San Francisco Giants July 22
  • Never faced Pirates before

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Dodgers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:29 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates -104 (bet $104 to win $100) | Dodgers -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates -1.5 (+155) | Dodgers +1.5 (-188)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Pirates at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 3, Dodgers 2

Moneyline

The PIRATES (-104) are worth a look as a slight underdog behind the All-Star rookie Skenes. This should be a well-pitched game, as Ryan has been solid in his brief time since coming up to the Dodgers (-112), too.

Pittsburgh is a risky play, as it has lost 5 in a row, but the Bucs are 7-4 in the past 11 starts by Skenes.

Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers +1.5 (-188) are a little on the pricey side, if you can’t back Los Angeles with the rookie Ryan and would like a little insurance instead.

AVOID, and just play L.A. straight up if you like it.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (+100) might be the best play on the board in this battle between rookie pitchers.

You’ll be going against the trend a little, as the Over is 7-2 in the past 9 games for the Dodgers, including Friday’s 9-5 win over the Bucs.

For the Pirates, the total has gone high at a 9-3 clip in the past 12 outings dating back to July 27, so don’t get too carried away.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (56-58) open a 6-game road trip on Friday with the 1st game of a 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (66-49) First pitch from Dodger Stadium is at 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 2-1

The Pirates have lost 4 straight games and 6 of their last 7. They were swept at home in a 3-game series by the San Diego Padres. They lost the finale on Thursday 7-6.

The Dodgers have lost 2 in a row, losing their last series to the Philadelphia Phillies. They were off on Thursday afetr losing the finale on Wednesday 9-4.

Pirates at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. RHP Jack Flaherty

Keller (10-5, 3.30 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 132 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No decision, 4 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 4-2 home win over Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday
  • Has a 2.17 ERA over last 5 starts, all Pirates wins
  • Is 2-2 with 5.79 ERA in 4 career starts vs. Dodgers

Flaherty (8-5, 2.80 ERA) makes his 20th start and 2nd with the Dodgers. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 112 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 R, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 10-0 road win over Oakland A’s on Saturday
  • Is 3-0 with 1.14 ERA over last 4 starts, including 12 scoreless innings over his last 2 starts
  • Is 9-1 with 2.52 ERA in 16 career games (15 starts) vs. Pirates

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-135) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Pirates at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Pirates 3

Moneyline

Both pitchers are playing extremely well. The Pirates have won Keller’s last 5 starts. Flaherty has  1.14 ERA over his last 4 starts and has not allowed a run in his last 2.

The Dodgers’ have the 2nd-most home wins in all of baseball with 35. They are 7-3 in their last 10 home games. They have not lost 3 straight at home since losing 3 straight April 17-20.

Expect the Dodgers to win but don’t bet them on the moneyline at -190.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Five of the Pirates’ last 6 losses have been only by 1 run. They are 35-21 ATS on the road.

The Dodgers are 26-30 ATS at home this season.

BET PIRATES +1.5 (-135).

Over/Under

Both pitchers have been great, as Keller hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in his last 5 starts and Flaherty has allowed only 3 runs total in his last 4.

This game has the making of a pitchers duel.

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros (55-52) welcome the Pittsburgh Pirates (55-52) to Minute Maid Park Wednesday for the finale of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 2-0, beating the Astros 6-2 Tuesday and 5-3 Monday.

The Pirates have won 3 straight games, scoring at least 5 in each of those. Pittsburgh has been much better on the road as of late, winning 7 of their last 9 away games. It is 29-26 on the road this season 59-48 against the spread (ATS). The Pirates are 5-1 ATS in their last 6.

The Astros have lost 3 in a row, scoring 3 or fewer runs in each. That streak comes on the back of a 3-game winning streak, including 2 wins against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Houston, which sits 2nd in the AL West, is 56-51 ATS, yet failed to cover 4 in a row.

Pirates at Astros projected starters

RHP Jake Woodford vs. LHP Framber Valdez

Woodford (0-2, 10.80 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 2.40 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 8 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 7 R, 10 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 14-2 home loss to the Boston Red Sox on June 6
  • 2023 away splits (hasn’t pitched on the road in 2024): 0-1, 4.91 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.53 WHIP, 2 HR, 6.4 K/9 in 5 appearances (4 starts)
  • Career vs. Astros: 0-0, 15.43 ERA (2 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 2.57 WHIP, 3.9 K/9 in 1 appearance

Valdez (9-5, 3.43 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 110 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 2 BB, 10 K in 5-0 home win over the Los Angeles Dodgers Friday
  • 2024 home splits: 5-2, 3.00 ERA (57 IP, 19 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 6 HR, 8.7 K/9 in 9 starts
  • Career vs. Pirates: 1-1, 7.20 ERA (10 IP, 8 ER), 1.70 WHIP, 6.3 K/9 in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Astros odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:04 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Astros -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-120) | Astros -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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Pirates at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 6, Pirates 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Astros are a sizable favorite, and they are too expensive to take on the moneyline Wednesday. The Pirates are also too risky given the disadvantage in pitching to start the game. Avoid this play.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ASTROS -1.5 (+100).

The Astros have a talented team and have played well at home for the bulk of the season. While they have failed to cover in 4 straight games, they have covered in 6 straight Valdez starts. Houston has allowed just 3 runs in his last 3 starts.

The Pirates have allowed 21 runs through Woodford’s 2 starts this season and have lost both of his starts by at least 5 runs. Given that pitching disadvantage, despite recent team trends, still take the home side and back ASTROS +1.5 (+100).

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Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-106).

Both offenses have been clicking as of late.

The Astros have scored at least 5 runs in 3 of their last 6 games and have gone Over in 4 of their last 7. Houston has allowed at least 5 runs in 4 straight games as well, so while Valdez has been strong, it still could give up multiple runs.

The Pirates have gone Over in 3 of their last 4 and are clicking offensively, scoring at least 5 in all 4. Given Woodford’s weaknesses, expect Pittsburgh to allow numerous runs as well.

Take OVER 8.5 (-106).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (53-52) and Houston Astros (55-50) open a 3-game set at Minute Maid Park Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Astros won 2-1 last year

The Pirates avoided a 3-game sweep at the Arizona Diamondbacks, winning 6-5 in 10 innings as +104 underdogs in the Sunday finale as the Over (8.5) hit. Pittsburgh had just a 9.5% win probability with 2 outs in the 9th inning, according to ESPN Analytics, before C Joey Bart doubled in the tying run.

The Astros won 2 of 3 games against the Los Angeles Dodgers over the weekend. They wrapped up the series with a 6-2 setback as -130 home favorites Sunday with the Under (8.5) hitting. The loss ended a 3-game win streak for the Astros, their longest since winning 4 in a row July 9-12.

Pirates at Astros projected starters

RHP Paul Skenes vs. RHP Jake Bloss

Skenes (6-1, 1.93 ERA) makes his 13th start. The 22-year-old has a 0.87 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 74 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 8 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 2-1 home setback vs. St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday
  • 2024 road stats: 3-0, 0.86 ERA (31 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.61 WHIP, 13.8 K/9 in 5 starts
  • Has never faced Astros

Bloss (0-1, 6.94 ERA) makes his 4th start. The rookie has a 1.63 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 11 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 8-2 defeat at Oakland A’s Tuesday
  • 2024 home stats: 0-0, 4.70 ERA (7 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 1.57 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 in 2 starts
  • Has never faced Pirates

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Astros +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates -1.5 (+135) | Astros +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Pirates at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 4, Astros 3

Moneyline

Skenes has allowed 1 run or fewer in 5 of his last 7 starts. While Houston is 10th in MLB in runs per game, Skenes faced the New York Mets (7th) and Milwaukee Brewers (9th) earlier in July and gave up a total of just 2 runs over 14 innings.

Bloss has allowed 2 or more ER in all 3 of his career appearances. With such an advantage for Pittsburgh at starting pitcher, let’s take the bullpens out of the equation and back the Pirates to get an early lead in a low-scoring game.

BET PIRATES FIRST 5 INNINGS (-160).

Run line/Against the spread

Houston +1.5 (-160) will likely hit, but it’s hard to beat MLB long term betting into lines with this much vig.

PASS. Bet the 1st 5 innings and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The last time a team scored 3 or more runs against Pittsburgh when Skenes was starting was a 3-1 win for the Tampa Bay Rays June 23. If Skenes goes deep into this game, it’s unlikely that Houston will score more than 2 runs, and Pittsburgh’s 22nd-ranked offense rarely does much to help the Over hit (5-9-1 O/U as an away favorite this season).

At 7.5, this is an okay line to bet. I wouldn’t recommend it at 7, though — unless you like the Over.

BET UNDER 7.5 (-120).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (55-50) welcome the Pittsburgh Pirates (52-52) to Chase Field Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-0

The Pirates lost the series opener 4-3 Friday as +148 underdogs. They were again defeated 9-5 Saturday, failing to cash as +161 underdogs.

Pittsburgh is 26-26 on the road this season and 5-3 over its last 8 away games. The Pirates have played well over the last few weeks, winning 8 of their last 12 games.

The Diamondbacks, who are 28-24 at home this season, are riding a 4-game win streak, scoring 4 or more runs in each victory. They are 10-3 over their last 13 games and 55-50 against the spread (ATS) this season.

Pirates at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. RHP Yilber Diaz

Keller (10-5, 3.34 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 121 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 2-1 home win over St. Louis Cardinals Monday
  • 2024 away splits: 5-3, 4.04 ERA (55 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 6 HR, 8.1 K/9 in 10 starts
  • Career vs. Diamondbacks: 1-0, 2.45 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 0.82 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 3 starts

Diaz (1-1, 5.40 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 4.2 K/9 through 15 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 7 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 0 K in 10-4 road loss to Kansas City Royals Monday
  • 2024 home splits: 1-0, 1.50 ERA (12 IP, 2 ER), 0.92 WHIP, 1 HR, 5.3 K/9 in 2 starts
  • Never faced Pirates before

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates -102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -116 (bet $116 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Pirates -1.5 (+155) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-188)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pirates at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 4, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

BET PIRATES (-102).

The Pirates have consistently won with Keller on the mound, winning 5 of his last 6 starts and 14 of his 20 on the season. He has allowed 2 ER or fewer in 3 straight starts, and the team has allowed 4 or fewer runs in each of those games. The Pirates haven’t been swept in a 3-game series since late April either.

The Diamondbacks haven’t completed a sweep since early May. They have won 4 of their last 6 games but have allowed 5 or more runs in 3 of their last 5, which could be problematic given the difference in pitching to start this battle.

With those trends in mind, take PIRATES (-102).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s not much value here. The Pirates are too risky to take as run-line favorites, while the Diamondbacks are too expensive to play as run-line underdogs, especially considering they’ve won 4 in a row.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-110).

The Diamondbacks have allowed 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 8 games and are 3-5 O/U over that span.

The Pirates have gone Under in 6 of their last 7 games and allowed 2 or fewer 4 times over that span. They are 46-55-3 O/U on the season. Pittsburgh’s offense has struggled as well, scoring just 16 runs over its last 6 games.

Take UNDER 8.5 (-110).

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St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (52-48) take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (51-49) Tuesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at PNC Park at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 4-3

The Cards dropped Monday’s series opener 2-1 after a weak spot in their bullpen was exposed in the 8th inning. Three hits in the bottom of the 8th did them in, coupled with an inability to drive runs in. The lone run they got was 2B Nolan Gorman smoking one off the right field foul pole for his 19th of the season. The Cards are just 4-6 over their last 10 games.

The Pirates continue their surge, winners of 8 of 10 to pull within a game of St. Louis for 2nd in the division. OF Bryan Reynolds is hitting .349 with 2 homers and 7 RBIs over the last 15 days. The Bucs are feeling good about this one with stud RHP Paul Skenes on the mound.

Cardinals at Pirates projected starters

RHP Lance Lynn vs. RHP Paul Skenes

Lynn (5-4, 4.39 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 96 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 11-3 home victory July 13 against Chicago Cubs
  • June 13 vs. Pirates: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 4-3 home win
  • Last 5 starts vs. Pirates: 1-3, 9.86 ERA, 1,95 WHIP, 15 K in 21 IP

Skenes (6-0, 1.90 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 through 66 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 1 BB, 11 K in 1-0 victory July 11 at Milwaukee Brewers
  • June 11 vs. St. Louis: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 2-1 road win

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cardinals at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:06 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Pirates -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-140) | Pirates -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cardinals at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 4, Pirates 3

Moneyline

If the Cards were to get to Skenes, the right time is now. He pitched an inning in the All-Star Game, but his last start was 12 days ago. What happens when power pitchers get too much rest? They have a tendency to leave it up in the zone. He has been fighting his control a little lately, too, with 2 walks in 2 of his last 3 starts.

Furthermore, the Pirates used their top 2 arms in the bullpen in Aroldis Chapman and David Bednar Monday, while the Cards used expendable arms. This is an important game, and if you’re going to give us +150, let’s take a shot. Take the CARDINALS +150.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Cards are priced within range in the instance they can’t get it done. They lost Skenes’ first start against them 2-1. And as mentioned, the Pirates’ pen aces would be going on back-to-back days.

Take the CARDINALS +1.5 (-140).

Over/Under

The Under is 5-2 in the 7 games these teams have faced off in this year. The Cards are 6-4 O/U in their last 10, and the Pirates are 4-6. The big question is whether Lynn can keep the ball in the yard. The wind is blowing right-to-left at 5 mph, and it doesn’t appear to be a big factor.

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (52-47) take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (50-49) Monday in the opener of a 3-game set at PNC Park at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 4-2

With a 6-2 win Sunday, the Cards took 2 of 3 from the Atlanta Braves on the road. They could have easily swept the series, but the bullpen faltered in Game 1 of a doubleheader Saturday. The offense is clicking. They hit 4 homers Sunday and 7 in the 3-game series — including round-trippers from struggling 1B Paul Goldschmidt and 3B Nolan Arenado. Emerging OF Alec Burleson went 6-for-13 (.462) with 6 RBIs in the series.

The Pirates took 2 of 3 at home from the Philadelphia Phillies over the weekend. They dropped Sunday’s game 6-0, though, which snapped a 6-game winning streak. The Bucs are 8-2 over their last 10. OF Bryan Reynolds is 11-for-19 (.579) with 1 homer and 5 RBIs in his last 5 games.

Cardinals at Pirates projected starters

RHP Andre Pallante vs. RHP Mitch Keller

Pallante (4-4, 4.21 ERA) makes his 9th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 51 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 6-4 home setback July 10 against Kansas City Royals
  • In 8 starts this season: 4-3, 3.70 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 vs. 0-1, 6.30 ERA, 1.90 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 in 9 relief outings
  • 1 career start vs. Pittsburgh: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 3-2 road win in 10 innings July 4

Keller (10-5, 3.46 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 114 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 9-4 win July 14 at Chicago White Sox
  • 2 starts vs. St. Louis this season: 0-2, 7.36 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 9 K in 11 IP
  • Career vs. Cardinals: 2-3, 3.97 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 7.3 K/9 in 12 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cardinals at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Pirates -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-190) | Pirates -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Cardinals at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 4, Pirates 3

Moneyline

The Birds are flyin’ high after their road series win in Atlanta. With stud RHP Paul Skenes pitching Tuesday, they will throw everything on the table to win this game. Keller is a very good pitcher, but for whatever reason, the Cards have his number.

Take the CARDINALS +105.

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Run line/Against the spread

I’m targeting Cardinals OF Lars Nootbaar here. Noot hit safely in all 3 games over the weekend and is 4-for-10 (.400) with a homer. He also hits Keller well with a .417 BA and 1 homer in 17 career at-bats. Take LARS NOOTBAAR OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+100).

Over/Under

It’s slated to be a humid 73-degree evening with a 5-mph breeze blowing in. The Under is 4-2 in the 6 meetings this season. One of those Overs cashed with Keller on the mound, and it has cashed in his last 4 starts. I think he’ll make an adjustment, though, and I’ll take the UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (62-34) and Pittsburgh Pirates (48-48) return from the All-Star break to open a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from PNC Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

Philadelphia was overwhelmed 18-3 by the Oakland Athletics Sunday while failing to cover as a -229 home favorite. The Phillies lost 2 of their last 3 games and have allowed at least 6 runs in 4 of their last 5 losses, the lone outlier being a 5-1 loss vs. Atlanta.

Pittsburgh beat the Chicago White Sox 9-4 Sunday while covering as a -152 road favorite. The Pirates won 4 straight going into the break and have eclipsed the 6-run mark in back-to-back outings.

Phillies at Pirates projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. LHP Martin Perez

Nola (11-4, 3.38 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 119 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 9 K in a 5-1 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers on July 11
  • Career vs. Pittsburgh: 4-3, 3.98 ERA (54 1/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 in 9 starts

Perez (1-5, 5.15 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 73 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 9-0 loss at Milwaukee Brewers on July 10
  • Career vs. Philadelphia: 4-1, 2.96 ERA (48 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.48 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 9 appearances (8 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Pirates +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+125) | Pirates +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Phillies at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 3, Pirates 2

Moneyline

PASS. 

I like Philadelphia to win here as a -140 favorite, but with the Pirates 7-3 in their last 10 games and the Phillies only being 5-5 over that same span, Philly is not worth the risk of betting on straight up. Bet on the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PIRATES +1.5 (-155).

Pittsburgh has covered as an underdog in 2 of its last 3 vs. Philly and in each of its last 5 wins vs. the Phillies. The Pirates are also the hotter team entering this matchup and are 53-43 ATS this season,. They are 15-6 ATS as a home underdog.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

The Under has hit in 2 of Pittsburgh’s last 3 home games, including in its last game while covering as an underdog. For Philly, the Under is 3-2 in its last 5 games and has hit in back-to-back road games. The Under has also hit in 4 of the last 5 Philadelphia-Pittsburgh meetings.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (47-48) visit the Chicago White Sox (27-70) on Sunday afternoon. First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 2-0

The Pirates have won 3 games in a row after taking down the White Sox 6-2 on Saturday and covering as -129 road favorites. LF Bryan Reynolds led the way on offense with 4 RBIs.

Chicago has lost 3 games in a row after Saturday’s loss as a +119 home underdog. LF Eloy Jimenez and CF Luis Robert Jr. had RBIs while RHP Chris Flexen allowed 2 ER in 6 IP to take the loss.

Pirates at White Sox projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. RHP Chad Kuhl

Keller (10-5, 3.40 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.18 BB/9 and 8.25 K/9 in 111 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 8 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 8-2 win against New York Mets Monday
  • Has never faced the White Sox

Kuhl (0-0, 4.15 ERA) makes his 6th appearance and 2nd start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 6.23 BB/9 and 8.31 K/9 in 17 1/3 IP.

  • Last appearance: No-decision, 2 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 3-2 loss against Minnesota Twins Wednesday
  • Career vs. Pirates: 0-1, 10.13 ERA (8 IP, 9 ER), 12 H, 8 BB, 5 K in 2 starts; last outing in 2023

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at White Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:56 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates -205 (bet $205 to win $100) | White Sox +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates -1.5 (-120) | White Sox +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Pirates at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 7, White Sox 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on the Pirates (-205) moneyline.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PIRATES -1.5 (-120).

Pittsburgh has won 5 of its last 6 games with 4 of the 5 wins coming by 2 or more runs. It has won back-to-back games against Chicago by 3 and 4 runs and has scored 4 or more runs in 4 of its last 6 games. Meanwhile, 4 of Chicago’s last 5 losses have come by 2 or more runs with the team scoring 2 or fewer runs in each of its last 3 games.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-120).

The Pirates have scored 6 or more runs in 3 of their last 6 games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 6. They have also scored 10 runs combined in their last 2 games against Chicago. Against Kuhl, who has struggled this season with a 4.15 ERA and a 6.23 BB/9, the Pirates offense will carry this game to the Over.

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