Tag: Phillies Braves odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (81-76), after a series-opening loss, hope to even things up and pull closer to the division lead against the Atlanta Braves (84-72). First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Phillies vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Phillies RHP Aaron Nola (9-8, 4.64 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 through 174 2/3 IP.

  • Has won his last two starts, although he allowed 6 runs in 6 innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates his last time out.
  • Is 1-1 with a 4.44 ERA over 24 1/3 innings across four starts against the Braves this season.

Braves LHP Max Fried (13-7, 3.12 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 158 2/3 IP.

  • Has not allowed a run in his last 16 innings and has not allowed more than 3 earned runs in any start since July 23.
  • Has won six straight decisions; the Braves have won his last four starts and nine of his last 10.

Phillies at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:06 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Braves -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies +1.5 (-175) | Braves -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Prediction

Braves 4, Phillies 3

Money line (ML)

The Phillies are 9-8 against the Braves this season. They have lost two games in a row but have won nine of their last 13 games.

The Braves, though, are hotter. They have won four games in a row and eight of their last nine, and now lead the Phillies by 3.5 games in the division with five games remaining in the regular season.

Fried is pitching extremely well right now and, while the Braves have lost his two starts this season against Philly, he will shut down their bats tonight.

Take the BRAVES (-145).

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Phillies are 74-82 ATS overall and 38-38 ATS on the road.

The Braves are 75-81 ATS but have the league’s worst home ATS record at 25-50 ATS. Atlanta is 9-8 ATS against Philadelphia this season and has covered the spread in eight of its last 11 games.

It will be a close game with the division on the line. Take the PHILLIES +1.5 (-175).

Over/Under (O/U)

Eight of the 17 games between the two teams have had totals of 9 or more runs.

The Phillies’ last three games had fewer than 9 runs and so have nine of their last 11 games.

Four of the  Braves’ last 10 games had 9 or more runs and only one of Fried’s last five starts has finished with 9 or more runs.

Take UNDER 8.5 (-125).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (81-75) visit Truist Park Tuesday to start a pivotal three-game series with the NL East rival Atlanta Braves (83-72) at 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Phillies vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Atlanta has won seven of its past eight games, which includes a three-game sweep this past weekend at the San Diego Padres. Philly had its five-game winning streak snapped Sunday in a 6-0 loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Both teams are 7-3 over their last 10 games. The Phillies are one loss or one St. Louis Cardinals win from being eliminated from the Wild Card race. They sit 2 1/2 games behind the Braves in the NL East.

Season series: Phillies lead 9-7.

RHP Zack Wheeler is Philly’s projected starter. Wheeler is 14-9 with a 2.79 ERA (206 1/3 IP, 64 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 over 31 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision in Philly’s 4-3 victory vs. the Baltimore Orioles Wednesday with a stat line of 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 9 K.
  • Wheeler is 2-1 in four starts against Atlanta this season with a 1.35 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 0.94 WHIP and 5.7 K/BB.
  • vs. Braves on the current roster: 4.15 FIP with a .257 batting average (BA), .328 wOBA, .379 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 23.6 K% and 88.2 mph exit velocity (EV) in 199 plate appearances (PA).

RHP Charlie Morton makes his 32nd start for the Braves. Morton is 13-6 with a 3.53 ERA (176 IP, 69 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 8 K in Atlanta’s 6-4 loss at the Arizona Diamondbacks Thursday.
  • Morton is 2-2 against Philly this year with a 3.06 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 18 H, 9 BB and 21 K in four starts.
  • vs. Phillies on the current roster: 3.50 FIP with a .284 BA, .320 wOBA, .365 xSLG, 20.9 K% and 85.4 mph EV in 182 PA.

Phillies at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Braves -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies +1.5 (-200) | Braves -1.5 (+160)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Prediction

Braves 4, Phillies 2

Money line (ML)

GIMME the BRAVES (-130) for 1 unit because their lineup is more productive against right-handed pitching and the Phillies’ relief pitching has been awful this month.

For instance, Atlanta’s lineup ranks higher than Philly’s vs. right-handed pitching in wRC+ and wOBA and has the seventh-best hard-hit rate in the majors compared to the Phillies’ 25th-best hard-hit rate against righties.

Furthermore, the Philly bullpen’s ERA is more than 2 runs higher than Atlanta’s in September, and the Phillies relief pitching ranks in the bottom-8 of the league in xFIP, SIERA, K-BB% and home run per nine-inning rate.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because betting on Atlanta to cover at home has been very costly this season—the Braves are 18-46 ATS as home favorites—while Philly has been great for backers in away games—the Phillies are 30-14 ATS as a road underdog. Also, eight of the 16 Phillies-Braves meetings this season have been decided by a single run.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-107) for a tiny wager, if at all, because I much prefer Atlanta straight-up than the total in this contest.

However, this is a “pros vs. joes” game in the betting market, according to Pregame.com. More than 70% of the cash is wagered on the Under but nearly two-thirds of the bets placed are on the Over. But, the sportsbooks are reacting to the presumed sharp money as the total has been brought down from the 8-run opener to the current price.

That said, both lineups are stacked with mashers including the reigning NL MVP Freddie Freeman and one of the favorites to win the 2021 NL MVP Bryce Harper. Plus Philly’s bullpen could certainly get raked, and Atlanta is 15-14 O/U when Morton gets the start.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (16-17) play the Philadelphia Phillies (18-16) Sunday for the rubber match of their three-game set at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Braves with MLB picks and predictions.

Atlanta battled back from a 3-run deficit twice in its 8-7 extra-innings victory Saturday. The Braves were down 3-0 after the second inning but scored two in the bottom of the 9th to send it into extras.

Atlanta then rallied from three runs back entering the bottom of the 12th to win with a walk-off RBI single by RF Ehire Adrianza.

Season series: Phillies lead 5-3.

RHP Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies. He is 3-1 with a 2.89 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 0.99 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 7 starts.

  • Last outing: Win in 6 IP with 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 10 K Tuesday vs. the Milwaukee Brewers.
  • Career vs. Braves: 11-6 with a 3.03 ERA (130 2/3 IP, 44 ER), 1.15 WHIP and 8.1 K/9 in 21 starts.
    • vs. Braves on the current roster: 197 at-bats with a .254/.323/.447 slash line and 11 HR.

RHP Huascar Ynoa is the projected starter for the Braves. He is 3-1 with a 2.36 ERA (34 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 over 6 starts and 1 relief appearance.

  • Last outing: Win in 7 IP with 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 4 K at the Washington Nationals Tuesday. Ynoa helped himself out and provided his own run support by hitting a grand slam.
  • Career vs. Phillies: 0-0 with a 2.45 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 1.09 WHIP and 4.9 K/9 over 1 start and 3 relief appearances.
    • vs. Phillies on the current roster: 18 at-bats with a .222/.333/.444 slash line.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Phillies at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Braves -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (+150) | Braves +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Phillies 4, Braves 3

Money line (ML)

GIMME the PHILLIES (-110) for 1 unit because Philly has its ace on the mound against an Atlanta lineup that’ll be easier to navigate if OF Ronald Acuna Jr. misses tonight’s game due to a finger injury.

There’s a bit of noise in Ynoa’s basic pitching stats because Statcast grades Ynoa in the 22nd percentile of exit velocity and in the seventh percentile of hard-hit rate (50.6%).

A big reason for Ynoa’s sub-3.00 ERA is his fortunate .225 BABIP and 87.5% left-on-base rates.

Both bullpens are middle to bottom-10 units and while Atlanta has been a little more productive in the batter’s box this year, Nola has pitched well vs. Braves hitters.

Furthermore, there’s less noise in Nola’s numbers as Statcast grades Nola in the 74th percentile of hard-hit rate, 78th percentile of expected wOBA and 91st percentile in BB%.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because Ynoa has good stuff and should give his team a chance to win, Nola just has the edge and more importantly, the Phillies are 6-18 on the run line as road favorites since the start of last season.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-105) for a quarter unit since it has slightly reduced vig because all the Under action in the market has steamed this total down from the 8-run opener.

Both starters are strong and winds are blowing from left to right, which doesn’t aid the hitters, and we are getting the worst of the number.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (15-17) host the Philadelphia Phillies (18-15) Saturday at 7:20 p.m. ET in Truist Park for Game 2 of their three-game set. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Braves with MLB picks and predictions.

Philadelphia drilled Atlanta 12-2 last night after chasing Braves starter Charlie Morton when the Phillies lineup went through the entire lineup, scoring six runs in just two outs in the 1st inning.

Season series: Phillies 5-2.

RHP Vince Velasquez is the projected starter for the Phillies. Velasquez is 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.64 WHIP, 6.4 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 over 3 starts and 3 relief appearances.

  • Last outing: Win, 4-3, in 6 IP with 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 6 K Monday vs. the Milwaukee Brewers.
  • Career vs. the Braves: 1-6 with a 4.83 ERA (59 2/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.59 WHIP and 10.9 K/9 over 12 starts and 2 relief appearances.
    • Vs. Braves on the current roster: 148 at-bats with a .304/.373/.486 slash line, 43/15 K/BB rate, 4 HR and 15 RBIs.

RHP Ian Anderson gets the nod for the Braves. Anderson is 2-1 with a 3.27 ERA (33 IP, 12 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 across 6 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 7-2, in 4 IP with 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 5 K at the Toronto Blue Jays Sunday.
  • Career vs. the Phillies: 0-0 with a 4.35 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.16 WHIP and 11.3 K/9 in 2 starts.
    • Vs. Phillies on the current roster: 41 at-bats with a .220/.273/.439 slash line, 16/3 K/BB rate, 3 HR and 5 RBIs.

RISK-FREE FIRST BET! Place your legal, online MLB bets at BetMGM Sportsbook in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offer, terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Phillies at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Braves -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies +1.5 (-135) | Braves -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Braves 7, Phillies 5

Money line (ML)

PASS even though Atlanta’s the right side, and where I’m putting my money in the following section because based on recent performance the Braves (-175) for the game and -165 for the First 5 Innings is too pricey.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The story of Philadelphia’s 2020 season was the terribleness of its bullpen, but it has slightly improved. Philadelphia’s bullpen ERA and FIP are bottom-10 and Atlanta’s are top-10, but those stats can be misleading.

For instance, the Phillies’ relievers are top-10 in xFIP and SIERA, which are pitching-only ERA estimators, while the Braves’ relievers are bottom-10 in those metrics.

I say all this to lead into my point that I trust Atlanta could get an early lead given this starting pitching matchup, but I’m not very confident the Braves hold onto a lead.

Also, Atlanta’s lineup is top-6 in wOBA, wRC+, BB/K and ISO vs. right-handed pitching whereas Philadelphia’s lineup is in the bottom-third of the Majors in each of those categories.

BET the BRAVES -0.5 (-120) FIRST 5 INNINGS for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9 (+105) alternate total for a quarter unit only since these teams have a combined 2-7 O/U record when these starters are on the mound, and I do not want to lay -120 with the regular total. However, the Over has cashed in four consecutive Phillies-Braves meetings, all in Atlanta.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (4-4) go for a three-game sweep of the visiting Philadelphia Phillies (5-3) on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Atlanta took the first two games of the series, winning Friday 8-1 as a -123 favorite and 5-4 Saturday as a -136 fave. Braves 1B Freddie Freeman homered in each game and knocked in the eventual winning run Saturday with a seventh-inning fielder’s choice groundout.

LHP Matt Moore is the Phillies’ projected starting pitcher for the series finale. He failed to get out of the fourth inning in his first start of 2021, yielding 2 runs on 4 hits and 4 walks with 4 strikeouts in 3 1/3 innings of a no-decision vs. the New York Mets Monday. He played in Japan last season after pitching just two games for the Detroit Tigers in 2019.

  • Last season in Japan: 6-3, 2.65 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 10.4 K/9, 2.8 BB/9 in 85 IP across 15 games
  • Career vs. Braves: 1-0, 3.86 ERA (7 IP, 3 ER) in 1 start, a 6-3 win at Atlanta in 2017

LHP Drew Smyly is the Braves’ projected starter. He worked 6 innings and allowed 4 runs (2 earned) on 4 hits and 1 walk with 8 K’s in a no-decision at the Washington Nationals Tuesday.

  • Last season: 0-1, 3.42 ERA (26 1/3 IP, 10 ER) in 5 starts and 2 relief appearances for the San Francisco Giants
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1 scoreless, hitless inning with 1 K in 2014 with the Tigers

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Phillies at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Braves -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies +1.5 (-135) | Braves -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Phillies 6, Braves 5

Money line (ML)

Back the PHILLIES (+135) for a HALF UNIT. It’s hard to picture the Phillies getting swept. They have too much talent. Moore started off OK in his first outing, retiring the first seven batters before losing command. If he does get in trouble vs. Atlanta, look for the Philly offense to come through in the late innings.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. Since I’m backing the Phillies ML, I’m not going to bother with looking for a little insurance – where they can lose by at least 1 run – and paying the -135 juice.

ATS records: Phillies 5-3 | Braves 4-4

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 9 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. After opening the season with 3 consecutive Unders, the Phillies have played 5 Overs in a row. The Braves are 4-1 O/U in their last five games.

O/U records: Phillies 5-3 | Braves 4-4

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY PARLAY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 8-12 3-3 -2.6375
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 record (all sports) 110-97-1 52-44 +10.4125
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (5-2) and Atlanta Braves (3-4) tangle in the middle contest of their three-game set at Truist Park on Saturday evening. Game 2 is slated for a 7:20 p.m. ET start time.  Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Zach Eflin is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. Last season, Eflin went 4-2 with a 3.97 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 10.7 K/9, and 2.3 BB/9 in 59 IP over 10 starts and one relief outing. He logged a tremendous start against Atlanta in his April 4 debut; he allowed 1 earned run over 7 innings with 8 strikeouts.

Over his career, Eflin has been a fast starter with a .641 OPS allowed in March/April, but he has been a shaky option in road games with a .832 OPS allowed.

RHP Ian Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. Anderson came up in late August of last year and went 3-2 with a 1.95 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9 across 32 1/3 IP over six turns in the Atlanta rotation. He opened his 2021 season with a 5-inning start against the Phillies April 4, and allowed 1 earned run with 7 strikeouts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Phillies at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Braves -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies +1.5 (-165) | Braves -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Braves 5, Phillies 4

Money line (ML)

The Braves went into this series ready for a bounce toward more production on offense. A club that was nearly 100 points better in OPS at home last season (.797 road OPS vs. .868 home OPS) got that boost Friday when the Braves downed the Phils 8-1.

Atlanta has good numbers against Eflin (.777 OPS, .226 isolated power); look for the home half of their 2021 looks against him to be better.

BACK ATLANTA (-140).

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

SKIP THE RUN LINE PLAY, except for perhaps a partial-unit add-on flyer to leverage the above play on the Braves. ATLANTA -1.5 (+140) would fit that purpose; a +145 tag or better would make for solid value.

Over/Under (O/U)

Atlanta at home, upside value in the Braves offense getting off to a slow start not fully supported by analytics and both sides getting a second bite at the apple against starters (and relievers) they saw just a week ago.

It all adds up to the OVER 8 (-115) being a nice play.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (5-1) and Atlanta Braves (2-4) open a three-game set at Truist Park on Friday. The NL East foes will get the series going at 7:20 p.m. ET.  Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Zack Wheeler is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. Last season, Wheeler went 4-2 with a 2.92 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 6.7 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 in 71 IP over 11 starts. He went seven shutout frames against these  Braves in his 2021 debut April 3. In that game, Wheeler fanned 10 while allowing just one base runner (one hit, no walks).

RHP Charlie Morton is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. Last year he went 2-2 with a 4.74 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 in 38 IP over nine starts. In his April 3 debut against the Phillies and Wheeler, Morton yielded three runs on eight base runners in 5 IP. The veteran hurler makes this start on five days’ rest, which in recent years has been very much his best interval between turns.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Phillies at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Braves -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies +1.5 (-175) | Braves -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Braves 4, Phillies 3

Money line (ML)

Phillies pitching and defense has been terrific through the first week of the season. In six contests, Philadelphia has yielded more than three runs in a game just once. Atlanta has won back-to-back games after starting the season 0-4. Friday’s game marks the Braves’ first at home and the Phillies’ first on the road.

Wheeler owns a 1.37 ERA over his last 19 2/3 IP against Atlanta, but overall Braves hitters own a respectable .758 OPS against him. Likewise, Morton was on the short end of the stick in last week’s meeting, but Phillies batters collectively have posted a mere .651 OPS against him.

The Atlanta offense is ready for a bounce toward more production. Figure a slate of home games as providing a boost: the Braves were 100 points better in OPS at home last season (.797 road OPS vs. .898 home OPS).

BACK ATLANTA -135 on just a slight lean on account of price.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Braves are the likable side in a game with a likable Under. SKIP THE RUN LINE PLAY, one that brings in enough juice to nix any value opportunity.

Over/Under (O/U)

An inward breeze is in the forecast. Both teams are coming in on a day of rest, and the rested bullpens and solid starters figure to land this one at 8 runs or below with enough frequency to warrant a solid lean on the UNDER 8 (-115).

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]