Tag: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets odds predictions pick betting line spread

NLDS Game 4: Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets clash Wednesday in Game 4 of their best-of-5 NLDS. First pitch at Citi Field is set for 5:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Series: Mets lead 2-1; Phillies won 7-6 in regular-season series

The Phillies lost 7-2 in Tuesday’s Game 3. Since their final series of the regular season, Philadelphia has slashed a mere .198/.287/.313 (.600 OPS) over its last 6 games.

The Mets went 3-of-8 with runners in scoring position on Tuesday. In its 2 wins this series, New York has gone 7-of-15 (.467) in such situations.

Phillies at Mets projected starters

LHP Ranger Suarez vs. LHP Jose Quintana

Suarez made 27 starts in the regular season. He went 12-8 with a 3.46 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 150 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 2 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 9-1 loss at Washington Nationals Sept. 27
  • Career vs. Mets: 4-3, 3.52 ERA (53 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 53 H, 22 BB, 40 K in 16 appearances (9 starts)
  • Owns a 1.62 ERA across 33 1/3 IP in career postseason play

Quintana made 31 starts in the regular season, clocking a 10-10 mark with a 3.75 ERA. He logged a 1.25 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 170 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 4-2 win at Milwaukee Brewers Thursday in NL Wild Card Series
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-2, 3.53 ERA (66 1/3 IP, 26 ER), 59 H, 17 BB, 75 K in 12 starts
  • Owns a 2.92 ERA across 24 2/3 IP in postseason play

Phillies at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 10:21 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mets -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+150) | Mets +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Phillies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Phillies 3

Moneyline

New York is 4-1 over its last 5 games against Philadelphia.

Suarez has scuffled of late. With a drop in velocity and alongside too many walks, the veteran lefty logged a 6.04 ERA in September. And how will he handle the 11-day layoff between starts? In his career Suarez has allowed a .694 OPS; on rest of 6 days or more, that figure balloons to .750.

Quintana, who pitches in front of a rested New York bullpen, is coming off a solid Wild Card start, has a good October history and per ESPN has held current Philadelphia batters to an aggregate .644 OPS.

The Mets are a lean but would be more of a full-value one with a better price. Consider a partial-unit play on the METS (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: No interest here.

Over/Under

With the pitching in this game, including the way both clubs figure to play out relief frames in high-leverage mode, look for runs to be at a premium on a cool, autumn evening in New York.

BACK THE UNDER 7.5 (-115).

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NLDS Game 3: Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets battle in Game 3 of their best-of-5 NLDS Tuesday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 5:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoff series: Tied 1-1; Phillies won regular-season series 7-6

Philadelphia evened the series with a 7-6 win in Game 2 Sunday, covering as a -136 home favorite with the Over (8.5) hitting. After Mets 3B Mark Vientos tied it at 6-all with a 1-out, 2-run homer in the top of the 9th, Phillies RF Nick Castellanos won it with a walk-off RBI single bottom of the inning.

Castellanos (3-for-5, 2 runs) finished with 2 RBIs as did 1B Bryce Harper and 2B Bryson Stott. Harper (2-run shot) and Castellanos connected for back-to-back HRs in the bottom of the 6th to tie it at 3-3.

The Mets, who were +125 underdogs, received 4 RBIs from Vientos (3-for-4, 2 runs), who also homered in the 3rd inning, a 2-run shot for a New York 2-0 advantage. 1B Pete Alonzo (solo homer in 6th for 3-0 lead) and LF Brandon Nimmo (solo HR in 7th for 4-3 lead) also homered for the Mets.

Phillies at Mets projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. LHP Sean Manaea

Nola (14-8, 3.57 ERA) made 33 starts with a 1.20 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 199 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 6-3 victory at Washington Nationals Sept. 29
  • 2024 vs. Mets: 1-1, 4.05 ERA (13 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 10 H, 2 HR, 2 BB, 15 K in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 10-9, 3.46 ERA (164 IP, 63 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 in in 28 starts
  • Last start vs. Mets: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 2 HR, 2 BB, 7 K in 11-3 home defeat Sept. 13
  • Career postseason: 5-3, 3.70 ERA (48 2/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 9 starts — all for Phillies

Manaea (12-6, 3.47 ERA) made 32 starts in the regular season with a 1.08 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 181 2/3 innings. This is his 2nd start in the playoffs.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 5-3 loss at Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday in Game 2 of NL Wild Card Series
  • 2024 vs. Phillies: 1-1, 5.40 (16 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 14 H, 4 HR, 2 BB, 14 K in 3 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 2-2, 5.19 ERA (26 IP, 15 ER), 24 H, 6 BB, 24 K in 4 starts and 2 relief appearances
  • Last start vs. Phillies: Win, 7 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 HR, 0 BB, 6 K in 6-3 home victory Sept. 21
  • Career postseason: 0-3, 10.66 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 19 H, 7 HR, 3 BB, 13 K in 3 starts and 1 relief outing for Oakland A’s (2019 and ’20), San Diego Padres (2022) and Mets (2024)

Phillies at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 2:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+150) | Mets +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Phillies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Mets 4

Moneyline

BET PHILLIES (-115).

Philadelphia started the playoffs slow scoring only 2 runs in its 1st game — a 4-run loss to New York in Game 1 Saturday. But the bats showed up in Game 2 with 7 runs, the type of run production that led Philly to one of MLB’s best records this season (95-67).

Heading on the road, in what will surely be a loud October environment in New York, expect the Phillies offense to play a major role in its success Tuesday.

The Phillies have scored 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games, including 6 or more runs in 4 of those games. The Mets have allowed 4 or more runs in 3 of their last 5 games and 6 of their last 10. Even with this being their 1st home game of the postseason, the Mets will struggle against Nola and the Philly offense Tuesday.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The odds are better on the Philadelphia moneyline.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7 (-120).

The Mets have hit the Over in 4 of their 5 postseason games so far and have scored 6 runs in back-to-back games. The Phillies have cashed 7 Overs in a row are with an O/U of 8-1-1 in the last 10 games. They have scored 6 or more runs in 2 of their last 3 games.

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Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (92-63) and the New York Mets (86-68) wrap up a 4-game series Sunday. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 7-5

The Phillies beat the Mets 12-2 on Friday night to clinch a postseason berth for the 3rd consecutive season. They lost 5-1 on Saturday. With a victory Sunday, Philadelphia can clinch its 1st NL East Division title since 2011.

Philadelphia is struggling lately, going 2-4 in the past 6 games, all on the road. The Over has cashed in the 1st 3 games of this series, averaging 7.0 runs per game (RPG), while allowing 6.0 RPG.

New York has won 5 of the past 6 games while the Over has connected in 5 consecutive outings. The Mets have scored 38 runs in the 5-game span, or 7.6 RPG. They’ve allowed 7.0 RPG in the 1st 3 games of this set, too.

Phillies at Mets projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Tylor Megill

Wheeler (16-6, 2.56 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 186 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 5-1 road victory vs. Milwaukee Brewers Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 6-3, 2.85 ERA, 85 1/3 IP, 27 ER, 9 HR, 0.97 WHIP, .197 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 22 BB, 90 K in 14 starts
  • Last 7 games: 5-1, 1.84 ERA, 44 IP, 9 ER, 6 BB, 49 K, 0.80 WHIP
  • Career vs. Mets: 5-4, 3.64 ERA, 89 IP, 36 ER, 4 HR, 19 BB, 85 K, 1.17 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 14 starts

Megill (4-5, 4.08 ERA) makes his 14th start and 15th appearance. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 68 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 R (0 ER), 2 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 10-1 home victory vs. Washington Nationals Tuesday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-3, 3.68 ERA, 44 IP, 18 ER, 4 HR, 1.20 WHIP, .221 OBA, 17 BB, 45 K in 9 appearances (8 starts)
  • Last 7 games: 2-1, 3.38 ERA, 34 2/3 IP, 13 ER, 12 BB, 34 K, 1.10 WHIP
  • Career vs. Phillies: 3-1, 2.54 ERA, 28 1/3 IP, 8 ER, 17 H, 7 BB, 28 K, 0.85 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 7:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Mets +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+110) | Mets +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: +100 | U: -130)

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Phillies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Mets 2

Moneyline

The PHILLIES (-160) are a solid play as moderate favorites, as they look to spray the champagne and celebrate a division title on national TV Sunday night.

The Mets (+135) have delayed the celebration as long as possible, but the pitching scales are slightly tipped in favor of the visitors with Wheeler on the bump.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more adventurous, play PHILLIES -1.5 (+110) at plus-money rather than going with the moneyline.

Philadelphia has managed 10 victories in the past 17 games since Sept. 4, and 7 of those victories have come by 2 or more runs. So, if you like the Phils to get the win, you should like them to cover the run line, too.

Over/Under

UNDER 7 (-130) is a solid play in this series finale, but it was a much better play when it opened at 7.5 at plus-money.

There is a lot on the line, and this should have a playoff feel in the Sunday Night Game of the Week. The Under is 5-1 in Wheeler’s past 6 starts for the Phillies. And, for the Mets, the total has gone low in 3 of Megill’s previous 5 starting assignments.

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Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (85-69) welcome the Philadelphia Phillies (92-62) to Citi Field Saturday for the 3rd of their 4-game series. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 7-4

The Mets opened the series with a 10-6 win Thursday then dropped the second game 12-2 Friday. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and have tallied at least double figures in 3 of their last 4. New York is 44-35 at home this season and 80-74 against the spread (ATS). It sits 2nd in the NL East.

The Phillies got back to their winning ways Friday after losing 2 straight games. They lost 2 of 3 to the Milwaukee Brewers in their series before facing New York. Philadelphia is 40-36 on the road this season and 7-77 ATS. It sits atop the competitive NL East.

Phillies at Mets projected starters

LHP Ranger Suarez vs. LHP Sean Manaea

Suarez (12-7, 3.13 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 143 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 6-2 road loss to the Milwaukee Brewers Monday
  • 2024 away stats: 7-5, 2.78 ERA (77 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 13 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 4-3, 3.51 ERA (48 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 6.7 K/9 in 15 appearances (8 starts)

Manaea (11-5, 3.26 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 171 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 2-1 home win over the Washington Nationals Monday
  • 2024 home stats: 5-3, 3.74 ERA (86 2/3 IP, 36 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 15 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-2, 5.68 ERA (19 IP, 12 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 5 appearances (3 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+165) | Mets +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Phillies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Phillies 3

Moneyline

BET METS (-115).

The Mets sit in the top half of the league following a loss with a 38-30 record. New York is 3-1 over its last 4 losses and has tallied 32 runs over its last 4 games, so it has the bats to be able to get on base against a solid pitcher in Suarez.

The Mets have won Manaea’s last 7 starts as well. The Phillies have struggled as of late and may have some fatigue as the season drags on and their playoff spot is secured. That said, they re 2-3 over their last 5.

Take METS (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no good value here. The Phillies are too risky as a run-line favorite, and the Mets aren’t worth taking here as a run-line underdog. Avoid this play.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (+100).

The Phillies have gone Over in 2 straight games and are 4-3-1 O/U in their last 8. Philadelphia has scored at least 5 runs in 3 of its last 4 games and are 4-1-1 O/U in Suarez’s last 6 starts.

The Mets have gone Over in 4 straight games and have allowed 18 runs in their last 2 combined. They are 7-2 O/U in their last 9 and 78-71-5 O/U on the season. Back OVER 7.5 (+100).

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Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (85-68) welcome the Philadelphia Phillies (91-62) to Citi Field for the 2nd of their 4-game series Friday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 6-4

The NL East-leading Phillies lost the series opener to the Mets 10-6 Thursday, closing as a +126 moneyline underdog. Philadelphia has lost 3 of its last 4 games, but is 6-4 over its last 10. The Phillies are are 5-5 in their last 10 road games and 39-36 on the road for the season. They are 76-77 against the spread (ATS).

The Mets have been on a roll, winning 4 straight games and 6 of their last 8. Their offense has been electric, scoring at least 10 runs in 3 straight games. They have outscored opponents 30-7 over their last 3 games. New York is 2nd in the NL East. It is 44-34 at home and 80-73 ATS.

Phillies at Mets projected starters

LHP Cristopher Sanchez vs. LHP David Peterson

Sanchez (10-9, 3.24 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 172 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 2-1 home win over the Mets Sunday
  • 2024 away stats: 3-6, 5.13 ERA (66 2/3 IP, 38 ER), 1.67 WHIP, 6.3 K/9 in 13 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 1-2, 3.62 ERA (32 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 in 8 appearances (5 starts)

Peterson (9-2, 2.85 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 110 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 2-1 road loss to the Phillies Sunday
  • 2024 home stats: 4-1, 2.82 ERA (44 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.37 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-2, 4.57 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 11.0 K/9 in 9 appearances (8 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 9:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+155) | Mets +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Phillies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Phillies 2

Moneyline

BET METS (-105).

The Mets batters have been on a tear as of late. While Sanchez allowed just 1 run to New York, he hasn’t been nearly as good on the road this season. The Mets have won 6 of Peterson’s last 8 starts and have allowed just 13 total runs in his last 5 games.

Also, the Phillies have struggled of late, especially on the road. They have lost 5 of their last 6 road games, dropping 2 of 3 on the road to the Milwaukee Brewers in the series prior. Put it all together and take METS (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s just no great value here. The Mets are far too expensive to play as a run-line underdog while the Phillies are far too expensive to take as a road run-line favorite.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

These pitchers squared off on Sunday and a total of 3 runs were scored in that game. The Phillies have gone Under in 2 of their last 3 games and are 1-3-1 O/U in their last 5. They are 71-74-8 O/U on the season.

The Mets have been hot offensively, but have given up 2 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 5 games and are batting at an unsustainable pace. They have scored 4 or fewer in 3 of their last 6.

Take UNDER 7.5 (-115) given the quality of starting pitching set to take the mound.

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Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (91-61) and New York Mets (84-68) open a 4-game NL East battle Thursday. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Philadelphia leads 6-3

Philadelphia lost 2-1 to the Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday while failing to cover as a -102 road favorite. The Phillies have yet to clinch the NL East, but are still near locks to make the postseason.

New York destroyed the Washington Nationals 10-0 Wednesday while covering as a -165 home favorite. The Mets have won 3 straight and are 2 games ahead of Atlanta for 2nd in the NL East and have over a 70% chance to make the playoffs.

Phillies at Mets projected starters

RHP Taijuan Walker vs. RHP Luis Severino

Walker (3-6, 6.29 ERA) makes his 15th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.63 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 78 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 6 ER, 13 H, 1 BB, 0 K in a 10-0 outing vs. Houston Astros on Aug. 28
  • Career vs. Mets: 1-3, 3.18 ERA (45 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 6.0 K/9 in 9 appearances (8 starts)

Severino (10-6, 3.77 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 172 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 6-4 loss at Philadelphia Saturday
  • Career vs. Philadelphia: 1-0, 2.08 ERA (13 IP, 3 ER), 9 H, 1 BB, 14 K in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Mets -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-185) | Mets -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Phillies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Mets 2

Moneyline

LEAN PHILLIES (+120).

Philadelphia has won the last 2 meetings vs. New York and is 7-3 in its last 10 vs. the Mets. The Phillies are also 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the Mets in the Big Apple.

This is a lean because Philadelphia is only 1-3 in its last 4 road games while the Mets have won 3 straight at home.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I expect the Phillies to cover here as +1.5 (-185) underdogs, but with this line set so favorably their odds are better on the moneyline. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8 (-110).

The Under has hit in back-to-back games for Philadelphia and is 3-0-1 in its last 4. For NY, the Under is 2-1-1 in its last 4 losses. The Under has also hit in each of the last 2 matchups between these squads in New York and is 3-2 in the last 5 meetings overall.

This is a lean because the Under is only 4-5-1 in New York’s last 10 overall and 5-4-1 in Philadelphia’s last 10 overall.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (44-19) and New York Mets (27-35) open a 2-game set as part of the MLB World Tour London Series Saturday. First pitch from London Stadium is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 3-1

The Mets are riding a 3-game win streak, their 2nd-longest of the season. New York swept the Washington Nationals in 3 games in its last series, wrapping it up with a 9-1 road victory in the finale Wednesday. It is 5-10 over its last 15 games. The Mets sit 3rd in the NL East and are 29-33 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Phillies have also won 3 in a row, sweeping the Milwaukee Brewers at home Monday through Wednesday. They closed out that series with a 2-0 win, holding the Brewers to just 2 runs in all 3 games combined. The Phillies are 6-1 over their last 7 games and sit atop the NL East. They are 36-27 ATS on the season.

Phillies vs. Mets projected starters

LHP Ranger Suarez vs. LHP Sean Manaea

Suarez (9-1, 1.70 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 0.80 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 74 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 2 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 6-1 home victory over St. Louis Cardinals Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 4-1, 1.85 ERA (34 IP, 7 ER), 0.65 WHIP, 3 HR, 9.3 K/9 in 5 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 3-3, 3.56 ERA (43 IP, 17 ER), 40 H, 18 BB, 30 K in 7 starts and 7 relief appearances

Manaea (3-2, 3.63 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 57 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 10 K in 10-5 home setback to Arizona Diamondbacks Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 3-0, 2.81 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 1 HR, 7.0 K/9 in 5 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies (regular season): 1-1, 3.52 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 14 H, 5 BB, 15 K in 2 starts and 2 relief appearances

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Phillies vs. Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:14 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -162 (bet $162 to win $100) | Mets +136 (bet $100 to win $136)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-105) | Mets +1.5 (-114)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -118 | U: -104)

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Phillies vs. Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Mets 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Phillies (-162) are on fire, while the Mets are not, and with Philadelphia having one of its best pitchers take the mound, expect it to come out on top. However, at -162, it isn’t worth a moneyline play.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+100).

Philadelphia has been both dominant as of late and with Suarez on the mound. It has covered in 5 of its last 7 games and is 30-23 ATS as a favorite this season, the 3rd-best ATS record as a favorite in the majors.

The Phillies are 11-1 ATS with Suarez on the mound, losing just once. Only 1 of those games, a 5-4 win over the Atlanta Braves as underdogs March 31, was within 1 run as well. As for the Mets, they are just 18-16 ATS as underdogs, which ranks in the bottom half of the league, and lost 10-5 in Manaea’s last start.

That said, play PHILLIES -1.5 (+100).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9.5 (-104).

The Phillies have gone Under in 4 straight games and are 0-7-1 O/U in their last 8. They are 28-32-4 O/U on the season. Philadelphia is 0-2-1 O/U in Suarez’s last 3 starts.

The Mets have been the opposite as of late, going 5-0-1 O/U in their last 6, but they are 4-6-1 O/U in their last 10. New York has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 2 straight games, so it might be able to limit the high-powered Phillies offense.

Back UNDER 9.5 (-104).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (29-13) and New York Mets (19-21) meet for the 2nd-game of a 4-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Philadelphia leads 1-0

Philadelphia won 5-4 win in 10 innings in Monday’s series opener while covering as a +106 road underdog. 2B-SS Bryson Stott went 2-of-4 at the plate with 1 HR and 2 RBIs, including the game-winning sacrifice fly.

New York led 4-2 entering the 9th, but allowed the Phillies to tie it and win it in the 10th. The Mets have allowed 4 or more runs in each of their last 3 losses.

Phillies at Mets projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Jose Butto

Nola (4-2, 3.67 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 49 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 5-3 loss at Toronto Wednesday
  • Career vs. Mets: 9-8, 3.40 ERA (150 2/3 IP, 57 ER), 123 H, 48 BB, 190 K in 26 starts

Butto (1-2, 3.00 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 33 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 3 K in a 7-5 loss at St. Louis Tuesday
  • Career vs. Phillies: 0-2, 8.36 ERA (14 IP, 13 ER), 18 H, 6 BB, 14 K in 3 starts

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Phillies at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:07 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -146 (bet $146 to win $100) | Mets +124 (bet $100 to win $124)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+114) | Mets +1.5 (-137)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Phillies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Mets 3

Moneyline

BET PHILLIES (-146).

Philadelphia has won 3 of its last 4 road games and is 8-2 in its last 10 overall while the Mets are only 1-3 in their last 4 and 4-6 in their last 10. The Phillies have also won back-to-back games against New York and are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. 

The Phillies have both the better record and more talented roster. Because of this and Philly’s current streak, I expect the Phillies to cover as -1.5 (+112) favorites. However, Philadelphia’s odds are safer on the moneyline and I am not a fan of doubling down, so bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

The Over has hit in 4 consecutive road games for the Phillies and is 7-2-1 in its last 10 overall. The Over has also hit in each of the last 3 Philadelphia-New York matchups in New York, being 6-3-1 in the last 10 meetings overall.

Be aware that the Over is only 5-5 in New York’s last 10 games.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (28-13) and New York Mets (19-20) open a 4-game series Monday. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Phillies won 7-6 last season (home teams went 11-2)

New York avoided the sweep by defeating the Atlanta Braves 4-3 on Sunday Night Baseball, thanks to a walkoff 2-run HR by CF Brandon Nimmo. All 3 games vs. the Braves at Citi Field went under the total, as the Mets bullpen has been solid, collectively sporting an NL-low 2.79 ERA.

Philadelphia lost for just the 2nd time in 11 games as the Marlins emerged as 7-6 winners in Miami Sunday. In contrast to the Mets, all 3 games between the Phillies and Marlins went over the total. Philadelphia’s offense has produced the 2nd-most runs (213) and RBIs (203), and it has the 2nd-highest OBP (.336) in the league this season.

Phillies at Mets projected starters

LHP Cristopher Sanchez vs. LHP Sean Manaea

Sanchez (2-3, 3.22 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 36 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 10-1 victory over Toronto Blue Jays Tuesday
  • Sports lowest barrel percentage (3.6%) among 57 starting pitchers in NL with at least 30 IP

Manaea (2-1, 3.31 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 35 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 4-3 victory over St. Louis Cardinals May 6
  • Features 2nd-lowest home-run-to-fly-ball percentage (2.2%) — but 3rd-highest BB/9 — among qualified NL starters

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Phillies at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mets +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+142) | Mets +1.5 (-172)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -114 | U: -106)

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Phillies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Philadelphia 4, New York 3

Moneyline

BACK PHILLIES (-120).

Philadelphia boasts 4 players in the top 15 for OBP among qualified hitters vs. LHP (3B Alec Bohm, C J.T. Realmuto, DH Kyle Schwarber and 2B Bryson Stott). Phillies 1B Bryce Harper leads all MLB hitters in hard-hit percentage (45.5%) with Schwarber in 3rd (42.3%) and LF Brandon Marsh in 7th (40.2%).

I expect them to support their starter and bullpen enough to pull out the road win.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I would not fault anyone for laying the juice with the Mets +1.5 (-172) since they have positive momentum after Sunday night’s walkoff win. Mets 1B Pete Alonso is 6 for 16 with 6 RBIs over his last 4 games, so there is a decent chance the Polar Bear stays hot and keeps his team in it.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-106).

Both teams are dealing with injuries, and Baseball Savant ranks Citi Field as the most inferior ballpark in the NL when it comes to run production.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (29-27) welcome the Philadelphia Phillies (25-30) to Citi Field Thursday. First pitch is set for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 2-0

The Phillies have struggled as of late, losing 6 of their last 9 games. Philadelphia is just 11-20 on the road this season.

New York is 14-9 at home this season. The Mets have won 9 of their last 13 games. They are on a 7-game home winning streak.

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Phillies at Mets projected starters

RHP Taijuan Walker vs. RHP Max Scherzer

Walker (4-2, 5.57 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 53 1/3 innings.

  • Phillies are 7-4 in his 11 starters
  • Allowed a season-high 10 hits against the Braves in his last start
  • Spent the last 2 seasons with the Mets and earned his lone All-Star appearance with the club in 2021

Scherzer (4-2, 3.54 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 3.54 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 40 2/3 innings.

  • The 38-year-old 3-time Cy Young winner hasn’t been an All-Star the last 2 seasons
  • Mets are 6-2 in his starts
  • Has allowed just 2 ER over his last 3 starts (18 IP).

Phillies at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:32 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Mets -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-145) | Mets -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Phillies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Phillies 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Mets have gotten 2 outstanding pitching performances in this series. While those may continue, the Phillies’ bats should heat up at some point.

There’s too much talent not to. Philadelphia has played well with Walker on the mound, but it just isn’t quite even value to play it to win outright at (+145). Ultimately, this is a PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES +1.5 (-145).

The juice is there, but the Mets have not been good as a favorite this season. They are just 12-29 on the run line as a favorite. New York is 4-13 on the run line as a favorite at home.

Scherzer has given up at least 6 hits in 2 of his last 4 starts as well. The Phillies have only been swept 3 times this season and should be able to bounce back Thursday with Walker on the mound.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-105).

If there’s one thing both teams have been good at, especially in the 1st 2 games, it is hitting the Under. Philadelphia is 23-28-4 O/U this season and 1-3 O/U in its last 4 games.

It has scored just 1 run in the last 2 games against the Mets. The Mets have scored just 6. New York is 5-28-3 O/U this season and 3-4 O/U in its last 7.

With 2 strong pitchers on the mound, take the UNDER 8.5 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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