Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The Philadelphia Phillies (58-31) and Atlanta Braves (48-39) conclude their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Truist Park is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves 3-2

The Phillies offense only managed 1 run on 7 hits against the Braves in a 5-1 loss Saturday. LHP Ranger Suarez suffered his 2nd loss in his last 3 starts,  allowing 5 ER in 5  IP. SS Trea Turner provided the lone RBI on a single in the 3rd inning.

The Braves got a much needed win behind a brilliant performance from RHP Spencer Schwellenbach. (6 IP, 7 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 6 K) and the bullpen no-hit the Phillies over the final 3 innings. DH Marcell Ozuna and 2B Ozzie Albies both hit 2-run HRs.

Phillies at Braves projected starters

RHP Michael Mercado vs. RHP Reynaldo Lopez

Mercado (1-0, 1.50 ERA) makes his 3rd MLB appearance and 2nd start. The 25-year-old rookie has a 0.67 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 6 IP.

  • First MLB start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 6-4 win at the Chicago Cubs Tuesday
  • Called up from Triple-A Lehigh Valley on June 23

Lopez (6-2, 1.83 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 83 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 5-3 home setback against San Francisco Giants Tuesday
  • 2024 home splits: 3-0, 1.40 ERA (45 IP, 8 R (7 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Only start vs Phillies: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 10-5 road victory Aug 4, 2019, as a member of the Chicago White Sox

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies +152 (bet $100 to win $152) | Braves -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-142) | Braves -1.5 (+118)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Phillies at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Phillies 2

Moneyline.

PASS.

The Braves (-180) will close out this series with a victory behind Lopez on Sunday afternoon. I am not interested in paying nearly 2 units though, I’ll keep my bet to the moneyline.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BRAVES -1.5 (+118).

Needless to say, I was shocked by the result of Saturday’s game. I thought Suarez would coast to an easy victory, instead it was Schwellenbach who looked like the veteran.

Atlanta puts its most consistent pitcher on the mound Sunday, Lopez has allowed 2 runs or fewer in his last 9 starts. In fact, Lopez has allowed more than 2 runs, just once all season. He hasn’t lost a start since May 25. The Braves are also 28-17 on the season at Truist Park.

Mercado looked solid in his first MLB start, but that was against the Cubs, not the Atlanta Braves.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-112).

I’ve got all the confidence in the world that Lopez will keep this Phillies team in check because that’s what he’s done all season long. He’s allowed a grand total of 4 ER in his last 5 starts (26 1/3 IP).

Mercado only allowed 2 hits in his first MLB start. He will not do that again on Sunday, but I’m confident he won’t get shelled.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @DrewPhelps05 on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
Subscribe now to dominate the competition.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The Philadelphia Phillies (58-30) and Atlanta Braves (47-39) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from Truist Park is slated for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

Philadelphia won 8-6 against the Braves Friday, its 4th win in 5 games. SS Trea Turner had a huge night going 2-for-4 with 4 RBIs, including 2 home runs. RHP Aaron Nola earned his 10th win of the season, allowing 3 ER while striking out 8 in 6 innings.

Friday’s loss was the Braves’ 4th in their last 5 games. LHP Max Fried was roughed up for 5 ER on 11 hits in 6 innings. Despite the loss, 2B Ozzie Albies went 3-for-4 with a home run and 3 runs scored. The Braves also got a 3-run blast from DH Marcell Ozuna and a 2-run shot from 3B Austin Riley.

Phillies at Braves projected starters

LHP Ranger Suarez vs. RHP Spencer Schwellenbach

Suarez (10-2, 2.27 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 103 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 10 H, 2 BB, 0 K in 7-6 home victory against Miami Marlins Sunday
  • 2024 road splits: 5-2, 2.06 ERA (52 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 8 starts
  • 2024 vs. Braves: 0-0, 5.40 ERA (5 IP, 3 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 1 start, a 5-4 home win March 31
  • Career vs. Braves (regular season): 2-2, 3.23 ERA (53 IP, 19 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 in 17 appearances (8 starts)

Schwellenbach (1-4, 5.68 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 31 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 4-2 home setback against Pittsburgh Pirates Sunday
  • 2024 home splits: 1-2, 4.50 ERA (16 IP, 8 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 in 3 starts
  • Never faced Phillies before

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -104 (bet $104 to win $100) | Braves -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+150) | Braves +1.5 (-182)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Phillies at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Braves 2

Moneyline.

PASS.

The odds aren’t bad here, but I’m going to put my wager on the run line with those plus odds.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+150).

The Phillies have the best record in MLB and are 25-16 on the road this season. They’ve won 4 of their last 5, while the Braves have lost 4 of their last 5 — 2 teams seemingly going in different directions.

Philadelphia also has one of the best pitchers in the National League going Saturday. He’s allowed more than 2 ER just once in his last 6 starts. Meanwhile, Schwellenbach has just 1 win on the season and has allowed at least 4 earned runs in each of his last 2 starts.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-112).

I’ve got all the confidence in the world that Suarez will keep this Braves team in check Saturday evening. He has allowed 5 ER total over his last 28 IP against Atlanta.

The only question is how many runs will the Phillies score against Schwellenbach. This is their first look at him, so that gives him a slight advantage, but they’ll probably put up 3-4 runs.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @DrewPhelps05 on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
Subscribe now to dominate the competition.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The New York Mets (71-81) open a 4-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies (83-69) Thursday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 4-2

The Mets cruised to an 8-3 win over the Miami Marlins on Wednesday. N.Y. is 8 games back of the Chicago Cubs for the final Wild Card spot in the NL with only 10 games remaining on its schedule.

The Phillies beat the Atlanta Braves 6-5 in extra innings Wednesday as 2B Bryson Stott hit a 2-run double in the top of the 10th inning to win. Philadelphia has won 4 of its last 6 games and currently holds the top Wild Card Spot in the NL.

Mets at Phillies projected starters

LHP David Peterson vs. LHP Ranger Suarez

Peterson (3-8, 5.22 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.59 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 100 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 10 K in a 5-3 home loss to the Cincinnati Reds Friday.
  • 2023 road stats: 1-6, 7.35 ERA (49 IP, 40 ER) in 10 starts and 2 relief appearances.
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-2, 4.83 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 17 ER) in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance.

Suarez (3-6, 3.80 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 113 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 5 K in a 6-1 road victory over the St. Louis Cardinals Saturday
  • Home stats: 0-3, 4.94 ERA (54 2/3 IP, 30 ER) in 10 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 1-3, 3.73 ERA (31 1/3 IP, 13 ER) in 5 starts and 7 relief appearances

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Mets at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:44 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Phillies -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-140) | Phillies -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Mets at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Mets 3

Moneyline

While the Phillies (-175) should come away with the win on Thursday, I’ll PASS on their moneyline at the current odds. If you can get Philadelphia’s moneyline at -160 odds or better, then I’d feel more comfortable playing it straight up.

Run line/Against the spread

PHILLIES -1.5 (+115) is the play in this game with Philadelphia being the much better team at this point in the season. In the first 6 meetings between these NL East teams this season, 5 of them were decided by at least 2 runs.

Peterson has dreadful road splits this season and the Phillies boast the 5th-best ISO (.225), the 8th-best wOBA (.356), and the 8th-best wRC+ (123) against left-handed pitching since the beginning of August.

Over/Under

UNDER 9 (-120) is the lean in this contest despite the Phillies swinging a hot bat right now. The Under is 5-1 in the first 6 meetings between N.Y. and Philadelphia this season.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Skyler Carlin on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The Atlanta Braves (94-50) will play the 3rd game of a 4-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies (79-65) on Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park following a doubleheader on Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 5-3

The Braves won the first game of the doubleheader 10-8 on Monday while losing the second game 7-5 despite 1B Matt Olson hitting 2 homers to reach 50 on the season. Atlanta is 5-5 in its last 10 games, but is still 15 games ahead of the Phillies for 1st place in the NL East and is the first team in MLB to clinch a postseason berth.

SS Trea Turner remained hot for the Phillies as he hit a homer in the first game and produced a multi-hit performance in the second game. Even though Philadelphia has a decent gap to close to catch Atlanta in the division race, it currently holds the top NL Wild Card.

Braves at Phillies projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Zack Wheeler

Fried (7-1, 2.70 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 66 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 4 K in an 8-5 home win over the St. Louis Cardinals Thursday
  • Road stats: 5-0, 1.73 ERA (36 1/3 IP, 7 ER) in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 4-4, 3.74 ERA (74 2/3 IP, 31 ER) in 12 starts and 6 relief appearances

Wheeler (11-6, 3.49 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 170 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 5-1 road victory against the San Diego Padres Wednesday
  • Home stats: 4-2, 3.80 ERA (73 1/3 IP, 31 ER) in 12 starts
  • Career vs. Braves: 11-7, 3.00 ERA (159 IP, 53 ER) in 25 starts

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Braves at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Phillies +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+135) | Phillies +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Braves at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Phillies 4

Moneyline

With a solid pitching matchup on Tuesday, I’ll back the BRAVES (-125) on the road. Atlanta has won 4 of the last 5 meetings with Philadelphia this season.

Run line/Against the spread

PHILLIES +1.5 (-160) is the play in this contest despite taking the Braves to win the divisional bout. Wheeler is coming off a stellar start and Philadelphia’s lineup has been swinging a hot bat recently.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-120) is how I’d wager on the run total in a game between 2 teams that have talented lineups. The Braves and the Phillies have both tallied at least 5 runs in 5 of the first 8 meetings this season.

The Over is also 6-3-1 in the last 10 meetings.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Skyler Carlin on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The Miami Marlins (73-68) will play the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies (77-63) on Saturday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Marlins lead 6-5

The Marlins edged out the Phillies 3-2 on Friday in the series opener. OF Jesus Sanchez delivered a 2-run homer as a pinch hitter in the 6th inning to tie the game and C Jacob Stallings smacked a solo shot in the 7th frame for the win. Miami has won 7 of its last 8 games and is 4 1/2 games behind Philadelphia for 2nd place in the NL East and is a half-game back of the Arizona Diamondbacks for the final NL Wild card.

Phillies SS Trea Turner continues to impress as he went yard for his 8th home run in his last 8 games. Philadelphia is 5-5 in its last 10 contests and currently holds the top Wild Card spot in the NL.

Marlins at Phillies projected starters

RHP Johnny Cueto vs. RHP Aaron Nola

Cueto (1-3, 5.54 ERA) makes his 8th start and 9th appearance. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 37 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 11-5 road win vs. Washington Nationals last Saturday
  • 2023 road stats: 1-0, 4.15 ERA (13 IP, 6 ER) in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Career vs. Phillies: 2-6, 5.29 ERA (83 1/3 IP, 49 ER) over 14 starts

Nola (12-9, 4.55 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 172 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 8 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 7-5 road defeat vs. Milwaukee Brewers last Saturday
  • 2023 home stats: 6-3, 3.17 ERA (76 2/3 IP, 27 ER) across 12 starts
  • Career vs. Marlins: 5-10, 3.43 ERA (139 IP, 53 ER) over 22 starts

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Marlins at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Phillies -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-120) | Phillies -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Marlins at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Marlins 4

Moneyline

While the Phillies are expected to secure the win at home on Saturday, I’ll PASS on their moneyline at nearly -200 odds. Look to the spread and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

MARLINS +1.5 (-120) is the play in this divisional showdown as Cueto and Nola have both been shaky this season. The Marlins have either won or lost by a single run in 7 of their 11 meetings against the Phillies this season.

Over/Under

UNDER 9.5 (-120) is the lean in this contest as Nola has performed much better at home this season (3.17 ERA at home, 5.66 ERA on the road). The Under is also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these clubs this season.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Skyler Carlin on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Minnesota Twins at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Minnesota Twins at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Twins (61-58) conclude a 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies (65-53) on Sunday. First pitch at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Twins defeated the Phillies 8-1 on Saturday behind homers from SS Carlos Correa, OF Matt Wallner and OF Joey Gallo (twice). Minnesota snapped a 4-game losing streak and it remains in 1st place in the AL Central.

While the Phillies had a 3-game win streak snapped Saturday, SS Trea Turner extended his hit streak to 9 games with a 3-hit performance. Philadelphia is 9 1/2 games behind the Atlanta Braves for 1st place in the NL East, but holds the top Wild-Card spot

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Twins at Phillies projected starters

RHP Sonny Gray vs. LHP Ranger Suarez

Gray (5-5, 3.18 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 130 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 10 K in a 6-0 road defeat to the Detroit Tigers on Tuesday
  • 2023 road stats: 2-3, 3.34 ERA (67 1/3 IP, 25 ER) in 12 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 0-1, 4.29 ERA (21 IP, 10 ER) in 4 starts

Suarez (2-5, 3.96 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 91 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 5-4 home loss to the Washington Nationals on Tuesday
  • Home stats: 0-2, 5.36 ERA (42 IP, 25 ER) in 8 starts
  • First career start vs. the Twins

Twins at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Phillies -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-200) | Phillies -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Twins at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Twins 3

Moneyline

In the series finale, I’ll take the PHILLIES (-120) at home despite Suarez’s struggles at home. The Twins are tied for the 4th-worst strikeout rate (25.1%), and they own the 5th-worst wOBA (.299) and the 7th-worst wRC+ (91) against left-handed pitching this season.

Run line/Against the spread

PHILLIES -1.5 (+165) has fantastic value as Philadelphia looks to close the gap behind the Braves in the NL East. The Phillies have won by multiple runs in each of their last 9 victories.

After giving 1 or fewer ER in his 1st 6 starts, Gray has now given up 2 ER or more in 14 of his last 17 starts.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

UNDER 9 (-120) is the lean in this matchup for an early game on Sunday. The Phillies are 18-24-5 to the Over as home favorites this season, while the Twins are 14-16 to the Over as road underdogs.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Skyler Carlin on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (55-47) begin a 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates (45-57) on Friday at PNC Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Phillies were 6-1 vs. the Pirates in 2022

The Phillies defeated the Baltimore Orioles 6-4 on Wednesday to give them 2 consecutive wins. Philadelphia is 10 games behind the Atlanta Braves for 1st place in the NL East, but is currently 1 of the 3 NL Wild-Card teams.

The Pirates beat the San Diego Padres 3-2 on Wednesday. Pittsburgh has alternated wins and losses in its last week and it sits in last place in the NL Central.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Phillies at Pirates projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Mitch Keller

Wheeler (7-5, 3.88 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 118 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 8 K in a 1-0 road loss to the Cleveland Guardians on Saturday
  • 2023 road stats: 5-3 in 10 starts with a 3.72 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 in 58 IP
  • Career stats vs. Pirates: 3-0 in 5 starts with a 2.30 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and 9.8 K/9 in 31 1/3 IP

Keller (9-6, 4.01 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 128 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 6 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 7 K in a 7-5 road loss against the Los Angeles Angels on Saturday
  • 2023 home stats: 5-2 in 9 starts with a 3.61 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 in 57 1/3 IP
  • Career vs. Phillies: 0-2 in 3 starts with a 7.80 ERA, 1.87 WHIP, and 7.8 K/9 in 15 IP

Phillies at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:22 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Pirates +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+105) | Pirates +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Phillies at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Pirates 3

Moneyline

With these teams having different outlooks on the playoffs, I’ll side with the PHILLIES (-160) on the road Friday. Philadelphia has won 27 of its last 42 games, and it has won 8 of the last 10 meetings overall.

Run line/Against the spread

PHILLIES -1.5 (+105) has solid value as the Pirates are looking to be sellers at the trade deadline. The Pirates have lost by multiple runs in 8 consecutive losses and Keller has struggled in recent starts.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-115) is the lean. Wheeler shouldn’t have much trouble shutting down a Pirates squad that owns the 4th-worst wOBA (.286) and wRC+ (77) against right-handed pitching since the start of July.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Skyler Carlin on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Braves (47-26) wrap up a 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies (38-35) on Thursday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 3-2

Wednesday’s matchup was postponed due to weather and the Braves won the series open 4-2 on Tuesday. Atlanta is currently on a 7-game win streak, and instead of starting RHP AJ Smith-Shawver as they planned for Wednesday, it will be RHP Bryce Elder on the mound Thursday.

The 2-run loss on Tuesday snapped a 6-game win streak for the Phillies, although they remain 9 games back of the Braves in the NL East. Wednesday’s projected starter, RHP Aaron Nola, is still expected to take the mound Thursday.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Braves at Phillies projected starters

RHP Bryce Elder vs. RHP Aaron Nola

Elder (5-1, 2.60 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 83 IP.

  • Has logged 6 innings or more in 9 of his first 14 starts
  • Has given up 4 ER or more in 2 of his last 3 outings

Nola (6-5, 4.66 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 94 2/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 4 ER or more in 6 of his last 9 starts
  • May 25 at the Braves: 5 ER on 8 H with 2 BB and 7 K in 6 IP

Braves at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Phillies -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+135) | Phillies +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Braves at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Phillies 4

Moneyline

I’ll side with the BRAVES (-115) on the road in this NL East showdown despite Nola being on the mound for the Phillies. Atlanta is a league-best 23-11 on the road this season and owns the best overall record in the National League.

Run line/Against the spread

Elder has looked solid for the Braves this season, but the Phillies are much more imposing with OF Bryce Harper back in the lineup. Philadelphia should keep this game close at home, which is why I’ll PASS on the run line.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-115).

The Braves have arguably the best lineup in baseball and already produced 5 runs in their previous meeting with Nola this season. Since the start of June, Atlanta leads the league in ISO (.235), wOBA (.399), and wRC+ (150) against right-handed pitching.

The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these clubs in Philadelphia and 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings overall.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Skyler Carlin on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Braves (47-26) will play the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies (38-35) on Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 3-2

The Braves secured a 4-2 victory in the series opener on Tuesday to extend their win streak to 7 games. Atlanta is now 5 1/2 games ahead of the Miami Marlins in the NL East race.

With Tuesday’s 2-run loss at home to the Braves, the Phillies had their own 6-game win streak snapped. Philadelphia is now 9 games back of Atlanta for the NL East crown.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Braves at Phillies projected starters

RHP AJ Smith-Shawver vs. RHP Aaron Nola

Smith-Shawver (1-0, 2.03 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 4th appearance. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 13 1/3 IP.

  • Has allowed a combined 3 ER on 9 H with 3 BB and 8 K in 11 IP over his first 2 career starts
  • Surrendered 2 HRs in his last start against the Colorado Rockies on June 15.

Nola (6-5, 4.66 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 94 2/3 IP.

  • Has given up 4 ER or more in 8 of his first 15 starts
  • May 25 at the Braves: 5 ER on 8 H with 2 BB and 7 K in 6 IP

Braves at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Phillies -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves +1.5 (-190) | Phillies -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Braves at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Phillies 4

Moneyline

It’s tough to pass on the BRAVES (+105) at the current odds even with Nola on the mound for the Phillies. Atlanta is 5-0 in its last 5 games against a right-handed starter and has been playing great ball over its last 10 games.

Run line/Against the spread

While I think the Braves will win this game outright, I’ll PASS on the run line in this NL East tilt in what may be a tightly-contested affair.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-115).

The Over is an easy wager in this game despite Nola getting the nod for the Phillies. The Braves have produced 6-plus runs in 6 of the 7 games on their current win streak.

The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia and 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings overall.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Skyler Carlin on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Philadelphia Phillies at Oakland Athletics odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Oakland Athletics odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (37-34) and Oakland Athletics (19-54) complete their 3-game series Sunday at RingCentral Coliseum. First pitch is slated for 4:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies  vs. Athletics and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 2-0

The Phillies won their 5th straight game on Saturday, 3-2 in 12 innings. It was their 12th victory in the last 14 games. Philadelphia has held their opponents to under 4 runs per game over that span.

Oakland has lost 4 straight games. They are scoring just barely over 2 runs per game over their last 6 games. The A’s are 2-4 entering the final game of this 7-game homestand.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Phillies at Athletics projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. LHP Hogan Harris

Wheeler (5-4, 5.79 ERA) will make his 15th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 82 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 K in a 15-3 victory at the  Arizona Diamondbacks Tuesday
  • Last start vs Athletics: No-decision, 5 IP, 7 H, 5 ER, 4 BB, 7 K in a 6-5 home victory on July 22, 2017
  • 2023 away splits: 4-2, 4.62 ERA (39 IP, 20 ER), .266 OBA in 7 starts

Harris (2-0, 4.84 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 5th career appearance. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 22 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 2 K in a 9-5 road victory vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on June 7
  • 2023 home splits: 1-0, 5.11 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 7 ER), .146 OBA in 3 appearances
  • First start vs. Phillies

Phillies at Athletics odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Athletics +195 (bet $195 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-135) | Athletics +1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Phillies at Athletics picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Athletics 2

Moneyline

PASS.

The Phillies should have no problem winning their 6th straight game on Sunday in Oakland. Philadelphia is 15-10 in interleague play. As much as I like them to win this game, you can’t put up 2 1/2 units to win 1.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-135).

I don’t mind taking this bet with the odds being a little more reasonable. I would love to see the line move to -2.5 and give us plus odds on the Phillies.

Philadelphia needs to keep pace with the Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins in the NL East, sitting 8 games back of 1st.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (-105) is the lean even though both games in this series have failed to reach 8 total runs. Philadelphia has scored at least 3 runs in their last 7 games and average 4.5 runs per game on the road. The Phillies have a .273 batting average and a .760 OPS in day games.

Philadelphia will do all the scoring in this game while Wheeler shuts down the Athletics lineup.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @DrewPhelps05 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]