Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Orioles (60-38) conclude a 4-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays (61-41) Sunday at Tropicana Field. First pitch is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 5-3

In Saturday’s 6-5 victory over the Rays, the Orioles produced 5 ER on Rays’ ace LHP Shane McClanahan. Baltimore has won 7 of its last 10 games and is now 1 game ahead of Tampa Bay atop the AL East.

Despite losing on Saturday, SS Wander Franco had 3 RBIs and OF Randy Arozarena stole his 11th base of the season. Tampa Bay is 4-6 in its last 10 games.

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Orioles at Rays projected starters

RHP Tyler Wells vs. RHP Taj Bradley

Wells (7-5, 3.54 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 106 2/3 innings.

  • Has given up 2 ER or more in 8 consecutive starts
  • June 21 at Rays: Lost, 5 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 6 K in 7-2 setback

Bradley (5-6, 5.29 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 in 66 1/3 innings.

  • Has allowed 4 ER or more in 3 of his last 4 starts
  • June 21 vs. Orioles: Win, 6 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 8 K in 7-2 victory

Orioles at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Rays -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-175) | Rays -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Orioles at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 5, Rays 4

Moneyline

Given Bradley’s recent struggles, and how these teams have performed recently, I’ll back the ORIOLES (+115) on the road. Tampa Bay has cooled off at home in recent series, while Baltimore has won 7 of its last 10 road games.

Run line/Against the spread

Even though I have the Orioles winning outright on Sunday against their AL East foes, I’ll PASS on their run line at the current odds (-175).

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-110).

Wells has surrendered multiple ER in 8 straight starts and Bradley has struggled to limit runs in recent starts. The Orioles are 7-3 to the Over in their last 10 games overall. And the Rays have achieved the Over in 32 of their last 53 games at home.

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Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (59-38) and Tampa Bay Rays (61-40) play the 3rd installment of a 4-game series Saturday at Tropicana Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

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Season series: Orioles lead 4-3

The Orioles picked up a 4-3 victory in the series opener Thursday, but the Rays responded with a 3-0 win on Friday night behind 7 scoreless IP from RHP Zach Eflin. The teams remain tied for the top spot in the AL East, although the O’s are technically ahead due to a better winning percentage (.608 vs. .604).

The Orioles are a solid 10-3 across the past 13 games overall, while going 13-6 in the previous 19 contests inside the AL East.

The Rays snapped a 5-game losing skid with the shutout win. It was the 1st shutout victory since June 6 against the Minnesota Twins, and the 10th shutout win overall for the Rays. Tampa Bay has recorded 7 shutout wins at home, too. The Rays also blanked the Orioles 3-0 in Baltimore back on May 8 behind Saturday’s starter, All-Star LHP Shane McClanahan.

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Orioles at Rays projected starters

RHP Grayson Rodriguez vs. LHP Shane McClanahan

Rodriguez (2-2, 7.33 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.75 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 50 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 6-4 home loss vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers Monday
  • 2023 road splits: 1-0, 5.32 ERA (23 2/3 IP, 14 ER – 6 HR), .266 opponent batting average (OBA) in 7 starts
  • 2023 vs. TB: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 4-2 home win May 9

McClanahan (11-1, 2.56 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 102 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 3-2 road loss vs. the Texas Rangers Monday
  • 2023 home splits: 5-0, 1.89 ERA (47 2/3 IP, 10 ER – 4 HR), .184 OBA in 8 starts
  • 2023 vs. BAL: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 7 K in a 3-0 road win May 8

Orioles at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:14 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Rays -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-140) | Rays -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Orioles at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Orioles 2

Moneyline

The Rays (-185) are just a tad bit pricey for my liking, as I usually like to set a personal moneyline limit of -180 for a singular play. Plus, Tampa Bay is a little on the risky side, since it has won just 4 of the past 16 games overall.

AVOID, and look to the run line instead.

Run line/Against the spread

The RAYS -1.5 (+115) are priced a little more reasonably on the run line. While yes, just 4 victories in the past 16 games overall is a problem, Tampa Bay has won each of those 4 games by 2 or more runs. So if you like the Rays to win, you should also like them to cash on the run line.

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Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-105) is the lean, but go lightly.

While Rodriguez did a solid job shutting down the Rays in his first start against them in May, I don’t think he can replicate those numbers in St. Pete. However, I feel good about McClanahan doing a good job on his home field.

We had just 3 total runs in this battle of AL East titans on Friday, and we should see a 3rd Under result in as many games in this series on Saturday.

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Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Orioles (59-37) and Tampa Bay Rays (60-40) play the 2nd game of a 4-game set at Tropicana Field Friday. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 4-2

The Orioles outlasted Tampa in a 4-3 thriller in 10 innings Thursday to take a 1-game lead in the AL East. The win knocked Tampa out of the top spot they’ve held all year after they won their 1st 13 games to open the season. Baltimore is 8-2 over its last 10 games. The O’s are equally as tough on the road with a 29-17 mark and a 30-20 record at home.

The Rays have lost 5 straight and are just 7-13 over their last 20 games. This is the 1st real test for them this year after such a torrid start. One glaring note is they are just 14-18 in 1-run games. Their bullpen ERA is 10th at 3.82, and they will likely need to address that at the trade deadline.

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Orioles at Rays projected starters

RHP Kyle Bradish vs. RHP Zach Eflin

Bradish (6-4, 3.05 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 91 1/3 innings.

  • Last 7 starts: 4-2, 1.87 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 46 K’s in 43 1/3 IP
  • Last start vs. Rays: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 8 K on June 20

Eflin (10-5, 3.59 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 105 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 0 K Sunday at Kansas City Royals
  • 3 career starts vs. Orioles: 1-2, 4.74 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 20 K in 19 IP

Orioles at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Rays -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-155) | Rays -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Orioles at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 4, Rays 2

Moneyline

The O’s have a big advantage on the hill Friday as Bradish has allowed just 1 ER in 19 1/3 IP over his last 3 starts. Meanwhile, Eflin has a 4.66 ERA in his last 7 starts and has allowed at least 2 ER in each. Bradish had an ERA near 6 in May, and this is the best he has pitched in his career.

I’m taking the ORIOLES +130.

Run line/Against the spread

The O’s are 35-11 on the RL on the road, which is just crazy. Tampa is 35-16 at home overall, but just 27-24 on the RL. They’re also bad in 1-run games.

So I’ll take the ORIOLES +1.5 (-155), which seems like a bit of a bargain.

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Over/Under

The O’s are 6-3-1 O/U over the last 10 games, and Tampa is 2-8. The Over is just 4-6 over the last 10 in this matchup. The Orioles are going to score at least 3. They have done so in their last 10 games. However, with Bradish dealing on the hill, I’m not sure Tampa scores enough to get this Over the total.

I’ll LEAN UNDER 8 (-105).

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Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Orioles (58-37) and Tampa Bay Rays (60-39) open a pivotal 4-game AL East series Thursday as they jockey for positioning atop the division. First pitch from Tropicana Field will be 6:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 3-2

The Orioles beat the Los Angeles Dodgers 8-5 Wednesday to avoid being swept in the 3-game series. Baltimore has been on a tear lately, even after dropping 2 of 3 against Los Angeles, as it entered on an 8-game win streak. The O’s surging offense has helped the cause and ranks 8th in runs scored (473) this season.

The Rays have sputtered coming out of the All-Star break, going 2-4 in their last 6 games — including a current 4-game losing skid after being swept by the Texas Rangers in 3 games to start the week. Tampa Bay still owns the best ERA in baseball (3.73) and is 4th in runs scored (526).

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Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. RHP Tyler Glasnow

Gibson (9-6, 4.77 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 115 IP.

  • Is tied for the MLB lead with 20 starts
  • Has allowed at least 4 earned runs in 4 of his last 5 turns

Glasnow (3-3, 3.78 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 13.4 K/9 through 47 2/3 IP.

  • The Rays are 5-4 in his 9 starts
  • Has allowed just 1 earned run in 3 of his last 4 starts, going at least 5 innings in all 4 appearances

Orioles at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Rays -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-135) | Rays -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Orioles at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Orioles 2

Moneyline

These 2 teams are tied for the lead in the AL East, which makes this a huge series. The Rays (-185) have been the better team all season long and I think they’ll get back on track with a stud like Glasnow on the mound after getting swept by the Rangers.

However, the value just isn’t there with this moneyline price, especially against a quality team in the Orioles.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Gibson has struggled as of late, allowing at least 4 runs in 4 of his last 5 starts. That doesn’t bode well for the Orioles, who are facing a potent Rays lineup and an ace in Glasnow.

After passing on the ML, I’m comfortable with the Rays covering. Tampa has 5 wins in Glasnow starts, and they were all by at least 2 runs.

BET RAYS -1.5 (+110).

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Over/Under

Eight or more runs have been scored only once in Glasnow’s last 4 starts. He should be able to limit the Orioles’ offense, but the bigger question is whether Gisbon can do the same against the Rays.

As long as Gibson can give Baltimore a quality start, the total on this game should go Under, as it has in 3 of the first 5 meetings of the season between these teams.

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

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Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Orioles (45-27) and the Tampa Bay Rays (51-25) wrap up a 2-game divisional series Wednesday at Tropicana Field. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 3-1

The Orioles rolled up an 8-6 victory in the series opener Tuesday night as moderate underdogs (+150) while the Over (7.5) connected. Baltimore fired out of the chute with a 6-0 lead after 2 innings and finished with 10 total hits.

The Rays have dropped the past 3 games and have allowed a total of 13 runs in the past 2 outings. Tampa Bay has racked up a 46-15 record in the past 61 home games despite Tuesday’s loss, which equates to a .754 winning percentage.

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Orioles at Rays projected starters

RHP Tyler Wells vs. RHP Taj Bradley

Wells (6-2, 3.20 ERA) makes his 14th start and 15th appearance. He has a 0.86 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 across 81 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H (2 solo HR), 1 BB, 8 K in a 4-2 home win vs. the Toronto Blue Jays Thursday
  • 2023 road splits: 2-0, 4.26 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 15 ER) with a .171 opponent batting average (OBA) in 5 starts and 1 relief appearance

Bradley (4-3, 4.19 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 13.2 K/9 over 43 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 4 H, 3 BB, 11 K in a 4-3 road win vs. the Oakland Athletics Thursday
  • 2023 home splits: 2-2, 7.13 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 14 ER – 3 HR) with a .301 OBA in 4 starts

Orioles at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 5 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Rays -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-160) | Rays -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Orioles at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 5, Rays 4

Moneyline

The ORIOLES (+125) are a decent play as short road ‘dogs in the series finale.

Baltimore has won 10 of its last 12 games inside the AL East and is 6-2 in its last 8 games against teams with a right-handed starting pitcher.

The Rays have dropped 3 in a row, and it might not get better Wednesday. Tampa Bay has won just 3 of its last 13 in Game 2 of a series.

Run line/Against the spread

The ORIOLES +1.5 (-160) aren’t priced out of line if you’d like a little insurance and don’t trust them straight up for some reason.

While the O’s are just 12-39 in the past 51 trips to St. Petersburg, Baltimore did win an impressive game Tuesday. The Rays are skidding a little bit, and the time is now to play the ‘dogs.

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Over/Under

The lean is to the OVER 8.5 (-105).

Bradley has been very giving at home, and the Orioles are racking up 4.97 runs per game this season to rank 8th in MLB. On the flip side, the O’s are just so-so in the pitching department, yielding 4.19 runs per game to check in 16th.

The Over is also 6-1 in the past 7 meetings between these teams at The Trop, including Tuesday’s high-scoring affair in the series opener.

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Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Orioles (44-27) and Tampa Bay Rays (51-24) open up a 2-game set Tuesday at Tropicana Field. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 2-1

The Orioles have won 7 of 10 games to pull within 5 games of the AL East-leading Rays. That seemed like an impossible task a few weeks ago after the start Tampa had to open the season. The O’s have cooled a bit over their last 5 outings though, as the Chicago Cubs took 2 of 3 over the weekend. Baltimore has been very good on the road and within the division at 22-14 and 13-8, respectively.

Tampa dropped 2 of 3 contests at the San Diego Padres over the weekend. Things have tightened up in the division as the Rays have gone 5-5 over their last 10 and 12-8 over their last 20. They’re tough at home though, where they’ve gone 31-7.

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Orioles at Rays projected starters

RHP Kyle Bradish vs. RHP Tyler Glasnow

Bradish (2-3, 3.90 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and a 7.8 K/9 across 60 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 1 K Wednesday against the Toronto Blue Jays
  • 2 career starts vs. Rays: 0-1, 10.24 ERA, 1.96 WHIP, 8 K in 9 2/3 IP

Glasnow (2-0, 3.43 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 21 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 6 K Wednesday against Oakland Athletics
  • Last 5 starts vs. Orioles: 4-0, 2.65 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 39 K in 30 2/3 IP

Orioles at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Rays -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-140) | Rays -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Orioles at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Orioles 4

Moneyline

Tampa is great at home, but Baltimore is great on the road. And there’s no way we’re going with the -175 ML. Glasnow’s numbers against Baltimore are awesome, but he hasn’t faced them since 2020, and this is a much different team. PASS on the ML.

One prop that I want to key in on involves Bradish. He has given up 5+ ER in both career starts against Tampa and has not fanned 6 in either. He has fanned 6 just once in his last 6 starts overall. Tampa is 14th at 8.48 K’s/game. KYLE BRADISH UNDER 5.5 K’S (-135) seems like a win.

Run line/Against the spread

If Bradish can keep the crooked numbers to a minimum, I think the Orioles have a shot to take this one. Baltimore has a better pen with the 6th-ranked 3.53 ERA vs. Tampa’s 15th-ranked 3.94 ERA.

Take the ORIOLES +1.5 (-140).

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Over/Under

The Over is just 4-6 in the last 10 between the teams, but it went 3-1 when the total was less than 8. The Over is 3-0-1 for Baltimore in the last 4 road games against a righty.

The Over has cashed in Tampa’s last 5 against teams with a .600 record or better and is 5-1 in the last 6 after an off-day as well.

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-120).

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Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (59-54) battle divisional-foe Tampa Bay Rays (59-53) Sunday in the finale of a 3-game set at Tropicana Field. First pitch is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 9-9

The first 2 games of this series have been routs in each direction. Baltimore took Friday’s game 10-2, and Tampa responded with a haymaker 8-2 victory Saturday. The teams are jockeying for position in the AL East as the O’s sit in 4th place, 12.5 games out. Tampa is in 3rd a half-game ahead of them. Baltimore is 7-3 over its last 10 contests and 20-10 over the last 30.

Tampa has lost 4 of its last 6 games and is just 14-16 over its last 30. The Rays are good at home, though, with a 34-22 mark. They also hold their own within the division at 26-22.

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Orioles at Rays projected starters

RHP Jordan Lyles vs. RHP Drew Rasmussen

Lyles (9-8, 4.35 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 130 1/3 IP.

  • Tossed 5 2/3-scoreless IP with 3 H and 4 BB allowed the last time he faced the Rays July 28 but had allowed 11 ER over 7 2/3 IP across his 2 previous starts against them.
  • Extreme home/road splits: 5-6, 5.70 ERA and 1.47 WHIP on road vs. 4-2, 2.73 ERA and 1.42 WHIP at home.

Rasmussen (6-4, 2.96 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 91 1/3 IP.

  • Much better at home at 3-1 with a 2.01 ERA and 0.90 WHIP vs. 3-3 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.44 WHIP on the road.
  • Has a 4.15 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.3 K/9 in 2 starts against Baltimore this season.

Orioles at Rays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Orioles +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Rays -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-150) | Rays -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Orioles at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 6, Orioles 4

Money line

This one can go either way. I like Tampa to win, but I’m not interested in dropping -175 on it. Instead, let’s focus on the pitchers.

Lyles, while he has allowed just 3 ER in his last 3 starts, he has an ERA near 6 on the road. Rasmussen, while good at home, has an ERA over 4 against Baltimore this season. That tells me there will be runs scored early.

Let’s take OVER 3.5 RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-145).

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Run line/Against the spread

Again, this can go either way, and both teams have blown the other out in the first 2 games of this series. So we’ll PASS entirely on this section and go for the total.

Over/Under

The Over is my favorite wager in this matchup. The Over is 4-0 for the Orioles in their last 4 against teams with a winning record and 5-0 on the road under the same circumstances. The Over is 5-0 in the last 5 contests between these sides in Tampa and 4-1 in the teams’ last 5 meetings overall.

Let’s take OVER 7.5 (-120) for TWO UNITS.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (58-53) and Tampa Bay Rays (58-52) kick off a 3-game series at Tropicana Field Friday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: tied 8-8

The Orioles are 7-2 in their last 9 games. Baltimore has pitched its way to a sparkling 27-14 mark over its last 41 games. The Orioles own a 3.36 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over that stretch, including a 3.07 ERA on the road.

The Rays are back at home after a 3-3 road trip and a day off Thursday. Tampa Bay has struggled while going 7-11 with a .647 OPS over 18 games since the All-Star break.

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Orioles at Rays projected starters

RHP Austin Voth vs. RHP Corey Kluber

Voth (2-1, 5.53 ERA) has appeared in 31 games and made 8 starts. He owns a 1.57 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 55 1/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 1 ER on 8 hits and 5 BB with 8 K over 8 IP across 2 starts and 1 relief appearance vs. Tampa Bay in 2022.
  • Has been hurt by a .363 batting average on balls in play.

Kluber (7-6, 4.05 ERA) makes his 22nd start of the season. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 111 IP.

  • Owns a 5.21 ERA over his last 7 starts.
  • Facing Baltimore for the 6th time this season (4.38 ERA in 24 2/3 IP across the first 5 meetings).

Orioles at Rays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Orioles +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Rays -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-175) | Rays -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Orioles at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Orioles 2

Money line

PASS: The Rays are a play up to -150.

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Run line/Against the spread

The home/road splits for both squads make Tampa Bay the play here. So does the righty-righty matchup on the mound. The Rays are also more battle-tested of late.

TAKE TAMPA BAY -1.5 (+140).

Over/Under

Both starters have better xERAs than surface ERAs, and both bullpens are solid and in good shape heading into the series.

Put the Under 7.5 (-112) on a line watch. PASS on the current tag, but consider a partial-unit play if the price gets to -108 or better.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (52-44) and the Baltimore Orioles (48-48) continue their 4-game series Tuesday at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tampa Bay leads 7-6

The Baltimore Orioles bullpen pitched 6 scoreless innings after RHP Austin Voth left before the 4th inning. The Tampa Bay Rays had 8 hits but left 10 men on base.

The Orioles pulled ahead in the 5th inning after 1B Ryan Mountcastle hit a single with the bases loaded to break the 1-1 tie.

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Rays at Orioles projected starters

LHP Shane McClanahan vs. RHP Spenser Watkins

McClanahan (10-3, 1.71 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 0.80 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 through 110 2/3 IP.

  • Leads MLB in WHIP
  • Opponent OPS has dropped month over month, sitting at .414 in July.
  • Allowed no ER, 4 H, 2 BB and struck out 7 over 4 1/3 vs. BAL April 8

Watkins (3-1, 3.93 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 through 52 2/3 IP.

  • Hasn’t allowed a home run in his past 5 starts.
  • Struggles at home, where he gives up a .832 OPS vs. .701 outside of Baltimore.
  • Last start vs. Tampa Bay May 22: 0.0 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, left game after being struck by a line drive in the 1st inning.

Rays at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rays -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Orioles +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (-112) | Orioles +1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Rays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Orioles 3

Money line

LEAN RAYS (-190) – go easy because of the significant juice.

It’s not just the Tampa Bay Ray’s best pitcher that is taking the mound tonight against the Baltimore Orioles, McClanahan has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this season.

Baltimore also posts the worst record in the AL East after a win, taking the following game less than 50% of the time. And the Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 when they allow 5 or more runs in their previous game.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Baltimore Orioles have been on a tear this season ATS. As an underdog in Camden Yards, they cover 75% of the time. And against the dominant AL East they cover in 63% of their games.

The market has come back on the Orioles from plus-money, if you think they have chance tonight, makes this bet a strong option. For those picking the Rays you should AVOID.

Over/Under.

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-107).

McClanahan has not given up more than 2 ER since April 30, and opponents are batting .141 in his past 3 starts. If you ignore his All-Star Game appearance McClanahan is tough to score against.

Also, Tampa Bay has hit the Under in 5 of the past 6 road games when facing a right-handed starter.

The flip side is true for Baltimore, in home games against a lefty starter, the Over has only hit once in their last 5 tries.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (45-45) and the Tampa Bay Rays (50-40) continue their 3-game series Saturday at Tropicana Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tampa Bay leads 6-4

The Orioles’ improbable winning streak ended at 10 last night in Tampa Bay. After taking a 2-0 lead, the Rays chipped away and finished the 6th inning with 3 straight doubles and a home run by PH Christian Bethancourt.

The Orioles nearly made a comeback when 3B Ramon Urias homered in the 8th inning, his second of the day, cutting the deficit to 1. Baltimore, however, couldn’t get a hit in the 9th and lost 5-4.

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Orioles at Rays projected starters

RHP Dean Kremer vs. LHP Ryan Yarbrough

Kremer (3-1, 2.15 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 37 2/3 IP.

  • Pitched 6 innings and gave up 0 runs in his last game against Tampa Bay.
  • Hasn’t given up a home run outside of Camden Yards this year.

Yarbrough (0-4, 5.82 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 through 34 IP.

  • Activated after 3 weeks on the injured list for groin tightness
  • His last start was the worst of the season, giving up 6 R, 8 H, and 0 SO in 1 2/3 IP.

Orioles at Rays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Orioles +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Rays -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-205) | Rays -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Orioles at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 5, Rays 3

Money line

LEAN ORIOLES (+102)

Kremer has been on a tear lately. He has posted a 1.62 ERA with just a .306 SLG against him in his past 6 starts.

On the flip side, Yarbrough has struggled in 2022. He will need more than the 3 runs of support he usually gets for the Rays to win.

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Run line/Against the spread

The past 5 games between the Orioles and Rays have been 1-run games. And the Orioles feast on the run line. They cover 64% of the time, which leads MLB.

The Orioles’ RL is too expensive, but they have the edge in starting pitching. Let’s LEAN ORIOLES +0.5 (-140) FIRST 5 INNINGS, which will give us a cushion in the event of a tie.

Over/Under.

After a loss, the Orioles hit the Under 58% of the time. And the Rays hold the 3rd-best Under rate in MLB when playing divisional opponents at 59%.

But the line is just 7.5, and Yarbrough alone has a 7.24 ERA in his past 3 starts. The Orioles may hit this line alone if Yarbrough can’t turn things around.

PASS

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Ethan Matthew on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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