The Baltimore Orioles (45-27) and the Tampa Bay Rays (51-25) wrap up a 2-game divisional series Wednesday at Tropicana Field. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 3-1
The Orioles rolled up an 8-6 victory in the series opener Tuesday night as moderate underdogs (+150) while the Over (7.5) connected. Baltimore fired out of the chute with a 6-0 lead after 2 innings and finished with 10 total hits.
The Rays have dropped the past 3 games and have allowed a total of 13 runs in the past 2 outings. Tampa Bay has racked up a 46-15 record in the past 61 home games despite Tuesday’s loss, which equates to a .754 winning percentage.
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Orioles at Rays projected starters
RHP Tyler Wells vs. RHP Taj Bradley
Wells (6-2, 3.20 ERA) makes his 14th start and 15th appearance. He has a 0.86 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 across 81 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H (2 solo HR), 1 BB, 8 K in a 4-2 home win vs. the Toronto Blue Jays Thursday
- 2023 road splits: 2-0, 4.26 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 15 ER) with a .171 opponent batting average (OBA) in 5 starts and 1 relief appearance
Bradley (4-3, 4.19 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 13.2 K/9 over 43 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 4 H, 3 BB, 11 K in a 4-3 road win vs. the Oakland Athletics Thursday
- 2023 home splits: 2-2, 7.13 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 14 ER – 3 HR) with a .301 OBA in 4 starts
Orioles at Rays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 5 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Orioles +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Rays -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-160) | Rays -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Orioles at Rays picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 5, Rays 4
Moneyline
The ORIOLES (+125) are a decent play as short road ‘dogs in the series finale.
Baltimore has won 10 of its last 12 games inside the AL East and is 6-2 in its last 8 games against teams with a right-handed starting pitcher.
The Rays have dropped 3 in a row, and it might not get better Wednesday. Tampa Bay has won just 3 of its last 13 in Game 2 of a series.
Run line/Against the spread
The ORIOLES +1.5 (-160) aren’t priced out of line if you’d like a little insurance and don’t trust them straight up for some reason.
While the O’s are just 12-39 in the past 51 trips to St. Petersburg, Baltimore did win an impressive game Tuesday. The Rays are skidding a little bit, and the time is now to play the ‘dogs.
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Over/Under
The lean is to the OVER 8.5 (-105).
Bradley has been very giving at home, and the Orioles are racking up 4.97 runs per game this season to rank 8th in MLB. On the flip side, the O’s are just so-so in the pitching department, yielding 4.19 runs per game to check in 16th.
The Over is also 6-1 in the past 7 meetings between these teams at The Trop, including Tuesday’s high-scoring affair in the series opener.
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