Oklahoma State Cowboys betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets – Page 4

Oklahoma State at Baylor odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Florida State at Purdue odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (8-7, 1-3 Big 12) and No. 1 Baylor Bears (15-1, 3-1) clash in a Big 12 showdown Saturday at 5 p.m. ET at the Ferrell Center in Waco, Texas. Below, we look at the Oklahoma State vs. Baylor odds and lines and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Oklahoma State has dropped two straight games and six of its last eight. And this game in Waco closes out a beat of a meat-grinder travel week for the Cowboys. OSU lost at West Virginia Tuesday and Texas Tech Thursday. The Cowboys shot 36.0% over those twin setbacks; they have shot just 36.4% over their last five games.

The Bears are coming off their first loss of the season. Baylor lost to Texas Tech in a 65-62 battle on Tuesday. The 62 points points scored by BU marked just the second game this season the Big 12’s second-leading offense (81.5 points per game) had been held under 65 points.

Oklahoma State at Baylor odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

Money line: Oklahoma State +650 (bet $100 to win $650) | Baylor -1100 (bet $1100 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Oklahoma State +13.5 (-107) | Baylor -13.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 141.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Oklahoma State at Baylor odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 80, Oklahoma State 65

Money line

Baylor is a slight lean against the number, but PASS on the big outright tag.

Against the spread

The road team is 14-3-2 ATS in the last 19 meetings between the Cowboys and Bears. And the OSU side might be a lot more palatable had Baylor not lost on Tuesday. But the Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games and have had a hard week of traveling.

Look for the Bears to come out strong in this one. Baylor should be able to leverage the extra Oklahoma State turnover or two to get into three-possession territory by halftime. The overall number to reach here is a tall order, but the Bears have the offensive edge in spades and their defense is suffocating.

There is room for an OSU back-door cover, but the overall slight lean is on BAYLOR -13.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The Over is 7-1 in BU’s last eight games following a straight-up loss, and it’s 5-1-1 in the Bears’ last seven games overall.

The overall pace for this one should be about fastest-third. Look for the Bears to pile up some runs and for OSU to get enough garbage-time, no-foul, speed buckets to give this game a better edge on the Over.

BACK THE OVER 141.5 (-112).

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Oklahoma State at Texas Tech odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Oklahoma State at Texas Tech odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (8-6, 1-2 Big 12) and No. 19 Texas Tech Red Raiders (12-3, 2-1) meet Thursday for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off at United Supermarkets Arena in Lubbock, Texas. Below, we look at the Oklahoma State vs. Texas Tech odds and lines and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Oklahoma State has scored just 62.0 points per game while shooting 37.4% from the floor in losing three of its last four games. The Cowboys lost 70-60 Tuesday at West Virginia, so they are completing the Big 12 geographical -nightmare double in traveling to Lubbock. The fast-paced OSU five have been tagged with turnovers in a conference-worst 21.4% of their possessions.

The Red Raiders rank third in the Big12 in offense (75.0 PPG) and second in defense (58.5). Texas Tech is undefeated (9-0) on its home floor and is coming into this game off a monster 65-62 win over No. 1 Baylor Tuesday. The Raiders outshot the Bears, 50.9% to 41.1% in that upset in Waco, Texas.

Oklahoma State at Texas Tech odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:05 p.m. ET.

Money line: Oklahoma State +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Texas Tech -360 (bet $360 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Oklahoma State +7.5 (-115) | Texas Tech -7.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 129.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Oklahoma State at Texas Tech odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Texas Tech 67, Oklahoma State 59

Money line

AVOID. Neither side is as attractive as the Over/Under here. Texas Tech is the lean, but that lean is brushed back by the expensive tag.

Against the spread

The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games against winning teams and the Red Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against winning teams.

A young Oklahoma State team making the Stillwater-to-Morgantown-to-Lubbock voyage gets us halfway to a fade. Defensive play that has struggled of late takes us further down the road.

A Texas Tech advantage on the boards cinches it. In their last four games against fast-pace foes, the slow-’em-down Raiders are 3-1 ATS, with all three wins being by double-digits against the number.

TAKE TEXAS TECH -7.5 (-107).

Over/Under

When TTU is playing against a winning team, the Under is 6-2.

Neither team is all that proficient on threes and frees (3-pointers and free throws). The Raiders will look to game-control this one against a likely-tiring OSU five.

BACK THE UNDER 129.5 (-112).

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Kansas at Oklahoma State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas Jayhawks at Oklahoma State Cowboys odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 6 Kansas Jayhawks (11-1, 0-0 Big 12) visit Gallagher-Iba Arena in Stillwater, Okla., to battle the Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-4, 0-0) in a 9 p.m. ET Big 12 tilt Tuesday. Below, we look at the Kansas vs. Oklahoma State odds and lines and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Kansas has gone 7-0 since falling 74-73 to the Dayton Flyers Nov. 26. The nation’s ninth-ranked offensive team with 85.2 points per game has shot 51.4% from the floor since that game. That figure includes a robust 37.9% mark from 3-point-land. The Jayhawks are a veteran unit: six of their top seven players in minutes per game are upperclassmen.

The Cowboys had two games nixed over the holidays, so they haven’t played since Dec. 18. Oklahoma State started the season 6-1 but is just 1-3 since. The Cowboys are very much a 2-by-2 team on offense: their 5.3 triples per game rank last in the conference.

Tuesday’s game will mark the Big 12 opener for both sides.

Kansas at Oklahoma State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

Money line: Kansas -290 (bet $290 to win $100) | Oklahoma State +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
Against the spread (ATS): Kansas -6.5 (-110) | Oklahoma State +6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 144.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Kansas at Oklahoma State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Kansas 76, Oklahoma State 73

Money line

Oklahoma State downed Kansas in Stillwater last season and played the Jayhawks tough on the road. A couple of recent OSU losses have been solid games in the analytic metrics department and the Cowboys have certainly played a tougher slate of late despite the rest/rust issue.

Give Oklahoma State a near-one-in-three chance in this one: COWBOYS (+225) has value.

Against the spread

The Jayhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams playing .600 or better basketball. The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last OSU-Kansas meetings.

The Cowboys take care of the basketball and have the ability to get to the free-throw line. They block a ton of shots, defend well, and turn steals into points. They can also give Kansas a game that presents a stark contrast to recent, easier outings, and more than two possessions is too many points for the Jayhawks in this one.

TAKE THE COWBOYS +6.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Over is 9-0 in the Jayhawks’ last nine road games versus teams with a winning home record. The Over is 5-1-1 in the Cowboys’ last seven against a team with a winning straight-up record.

PASS, but this one is close to a play on the Over.

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Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. Notre Dame odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Fiesta Bowl odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 9 Oklahoma State Cowboys (11-2) clash with the No. 5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-1) Saturday in the Playstation Fiesta Bowl. The kickoff at the State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz., is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET and the game airs on ESPN. Below, we look at the Oklahoma State vs. Notre Dame odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Oklahoma State had its College Football Playoff chances spoiled with a Big XII title game loss to the No. 6 Baylor Bears 21-16 as 7-point favorites.

The Cowboys allow the fewest points per game and yards per play in the Big XII and have the Big XII Coach of the Year in Mike Gundy. Oklahoma State is 9-3-1 ATS and 4-8-1 O/U with the ninth-hardest schedule, according to USA TODAY’s Jeff Sagarin.

Notre Dame is the last team out of the College Football Playoff, and former head coach Brian Kelly left the program abruptly after accepting the same gig for the LSU Tigers.

The Fighting Irish have marquee victories vs. the Wisconsin Badgers and the Purdue Boilermakers but lost at home to the No. 4 Cincinnati Bearcats 24-13 Oct. 2. Notre Dame is 9-3 ATS and 6-6 O/U with the 49th-toughest schedule (Sagarin).

Oklahoma State vs. Notre Dame odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.

Money line: Oklahoma State -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Notre Dame -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Oklahoma State +0.5 (-110) | Notre Dame -0.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Oklahoma State vs. Notre Dame odds, lines, picks and predictions

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Prediction

Oklahoma State 23, Notre Dame 17

Money line

BET OKLAHOMA STATE (-110) for 1 unit because I really like how its defense matches up against Notre Dame. We’re just getting there a bit late as they were plus-money earlier in the day.

Notre Dame’s leading rusher, RB Kyren Williams, opted out of the Fiesta Bowl to prep for the NFL Draft, and the Fighting Irish’s ground game was probably going to struggle vs. Oklahoma State’s defense anyhow.

For instance, Notre Dame ranks 99th in line yards per snap, 87th in rushing success rate and 108th in offensive busted drive rate (according to Football Outsiders). Whereas Oklahoma State’s defense is second in total efficiency, ranks third in line yards per snap and fifth in rushing yards allowed per game.

If Notre Dame doesn’t get production out of its rushing attack then the Fighting Irish will be forced to convert a bunch of long third-downs. This is a situation that Notre Dame figures to lose.

Oklahoma State is 23rd in defensive third-down conversion rate and has the highest sack rate in the country while Notre Dame’s offensive line is 106th in sack rate allowed (per Football Outsiders).

This pass-rush strength-on-weakness edge in Oklahoma State’s favor is big enough to be the differentiator between these two even teams. Also, Oklahoma State has one of the best secondaries in the Big XII, making it even more difficult for Notre Dame QB Jack Coan and co.

BET OKLAHOMA STATE (-110).

Against the spread

PASS since Oklahoma State +0.5 (-110) doesn’t offer up any insurance for our Cowboys money line wager. For what it’s worth, Oklahoma State is 5-0 ATS in its past five bowl games with a plus-10.9 spread differential.

Over/Under

BET the UNDER 45.5 (-115) for 1 unit because Notre Dame also has one of the best defenses in the nation. Notre Dame ranks eighth in defensive efficiency (Football Outsiders), ninth in points per play and 14th in opponent’s third-down conversion rate.

Plus there’s a line freeze in the betting market for the total in this game. According to Pregame.com, more than three-fourths of the action is on the Over, but the total hasn’t budged off the opener. It seems that the oddsmakers are confident in their total and are cool with taking more Over money.

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Baylor vs. Oklahoma State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Baylor vs. Oklahoma State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 9 Baylor Bears (10-2, 7-2 Big 12) face the No. 5 Oklahoma State Cowboys (11-1, 8-1) Saturday in the 2021 Big 12 Championship Game. Kickoff from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, is set for noon ET. Below, we look at the Baylor vs. Oklahoma State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings according to the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

This will be a rematch of Oklahoma State’s 24-14 win Oct. 2 over Baylor in Stillwater, Okla. The Cowboys outgained Baylor 401-280 in total yards and controlled the time of possession (34:27 – 25:33) throughout the game.

Baylor has since gone 5-2 ATS with straight-up wins over Oklahoma, Kansas State, and Texas Tech in its last three games. The Bears have one of the nation’s best running games (227.7 yards per game, eighth nationally) and are stout against the run on defense (122.9 yards allowed per game, 22nd); however, a mediocre passing game means that points may be at a premium like they were in the first meeting.

Oklahoma State is coming off a major 37-33 win against rival Oklahoma last Saturday and is playing for a potential spot in the College Football Playoffs with a win. The Cowboys have covered nine of their last ten games thanks to an elite defense that ranks fourth in yards allowed per play (4.4) and sixth in points per game (16.4).

Baylor vs. Oklahoma State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:45 a.m. ET.

Money line: Baylor +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Oklahoma State -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Baylor +4.5 (-107) | Oklahoma State -4.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Baylor vs. Oklahoma State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Oklahoma State 27, Baylor 20

Money line

Oklahoma State was the more dominant team the first time these two met, and the Cowboys have only improved since then.

PASS on the money line and get better odds for the Cowboys against the spread.

Against the spread

The way Oklahoma State beat Baylor earlier this season was a blueprint for what they’ve done all year: suffocate on defense, control the time of possession, and have just enough juice on offense to pull away.

There’s a narrative that it’s hard to beat the same team twice in a season, and while Baylor’s 18th-ranked offense (6.5 yards per play) poses a challenge for the Cowboys, Oklahoma State is rolling and should have minimal letdown risk coming off that Oklahoma win with so much on the line.

Take OKLAHOMA STATE -4.5 (-115) to win by around a touchdown.

Over/Under

Baylor has gone Under in each of its last three games, but those lines were all 49.5 points or higher. The Bears should be able to move the ball at times and Oklahoma State has just enough firepower on offense to take this game well into the 40s.

A slight lean to the OVER 46.5 (-108) is the call in what looks like a pretty accurate line.

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Oklahoma at Oklahoma State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Oklahoma at Oklahoma State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 9 Oklahoma State Cowboys (10-1, 7-1 Big 12) and No. 7 Oklahoma Sooners (10-1, 7-1) tangle Saturday in the 2021 renewal of an in-state rivalry they call Bedlam. The battle at Boone Pickens Stadium is scheduled for a 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we look at the Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

The Sooners defeated Iowa State 28-21 last Saturday in a bounce-back effort after losing to Baylor Nov. 13. Oklahoma downed the Cyclones despite going just 1-for-10 in converting third downs. The Sooners have scored a combined 42 points over the last two weeks after averaging 43.3 points per game the previous eight contests.

Oklahoma State blanked Texas Tech 23-0 Saturday. The Cowboys have won four straight games – allowing a combined 23 points in the process – since falling to Iowa State Oct. 23. In what sets up as a top-10 offense against a top-10 defense (points), the Cowboys fill the role of the latter. They have allowed just 14.9 points per game (third FBS).

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Oklahoma at Oklahoma State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.

Money line: Oklahoma +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Oklahoma State -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Oklahoma +4.5 (-115) | Oklahoma State -4.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 49.5, O: -108 | U: -112

Oklahoma at Oklahoma State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Oklahoma State 31, Oklahoma 27

Money line

The Cowboys’ defense creating havoc figures as a key in Saturday’s contest. A turnover or two (and OU has been exceeding turnover-lucky through 11 games) and a few momentum-killing plays that put the Sooners behind the chains make Oklahoma State a near-70% proposition. And that makes the OKLAHOMA STATE (-190) play one to leverage.

Look for OSU to force Oklahoma into a couple drive-killing field-goal attempts. And the Cowboys have averaged 524.8 total yards per game over their last four efforts at home.

Against the spread

OSU has won nine in a row against the number. But there is enough gray area on this 4-and-a-half tag to make the Cowboys a PASS here.

Over/Under

This total has moved down a couple points during the week and is now ripe for some leverage the other way.

The balance of the Oklahoma offense will lead to enough points on the Sooners’ side of the equation. Oklahoma State will likely have to pass more than it wants to leverage a matchup advantage against the Sooners.

The average total across the last five Bedlam games is 71.5. On a decent-weather day in Stillwater, PLAY THE OVER 49.5 (-108).

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Oklahoma State at Texas Tech odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Tech Red Raiders odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 9 Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-1, 6-1 Big 12) visit the Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-4, 3-4) Saturday at Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, Texas. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Oklahoma State vs. Texas Tech odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

The Cowboys have risen into the top-10 with outstanding play, including a 63-17 win against TCU last weekend. Oklahoma State has covered eight straight games.

The Red Raiders outlasted Iowa State 41-38 last week in Lubbock, winning outright as a 13-point underdog. Texas Tech hasn’t covered in consecutive games all season. Both teams have scored 21 or more points in each game this season.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Oklahoma State at Texas Tech odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

Money line: Oklahoma State -370 (bet $370 to win $100) | Texas Tech +280 (bet $100 to win $280)
Against the spread (ATS): Oklahoma State -9.5 (-120) | Texas Tech +9.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Oklahoma State at Texas Tech odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Oklahoma State 43, Texas Tech 25

Money line

Oklahoma State (-370) is going to win this game and keep its flicking College Football Playoff hopes alive with a 10th win. However, you cannot risk more than three and a half times your potential return on a road team.

AVOID, and look to the line.

Against the spread

OKLAHOMA STATE -9.5 (-120) is the lean here, especially since Texas Tech +9.5 (-105) hasn’t covered back-to-back games this season.

The Cowboys have cashed in eight in a row, including wins by 21 or more points in each of the past three outings.

Over/Under

The OVER 55.5 (-110) is the play here. When these teams get together, a lot of points are sure to follow.

The Over is 7-2 in the past nine meetings, with Texas Tech hitting the Over in four straight at home against teams with a winning road record.

The Over is also 17-5-2 in the past 24 for the Red Raiders against a team with a winning overall mark.

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TCU at Oklahoma State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s TCU Horned Frogs at Oklahoma State Cowboys odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The TCU Horned Frogs (4-5, 2-4 in Big XII) visit the No. 10 Oklahoma State Cowboys (8-1, 5-1) for a Big XII game at Boone Pickens Stadium Saturday. The kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the TCU vs. Oklahoma State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

TCU broke its three-game losing skid by upsetting the No. 18 Baylor Bears 30-28 as 7.5-point home underdogs in what was TCU’s first game in the former head coach post-Gary Patterson era.

The Horned Frogs moved to 2-6-1 ATS and 5-4 O/U with the victory and have played the 24th-toughest strength of schedule, according to USA TODAY’s Jeff Sagarin.

Oklahoma State clobbered its second straight opponent after beating the West Virginia Mountaineers 24-3 in Week 10. The Cowboys have by far the best defense in the Big XII. Oklahoma State is 7-2 ATS and 2-6-1 O/U with the 23rd-hardest schedule, according to Sagarin.

TCU upset Oklahoma State in last year’s meeting 29-22 as 2.5-point home underdogs. Also, these teams have split the last six meetings, both outright and ATS.

TCU at Oklahoma State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7 p.m. ET.

Money line: TCU +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Oklahoma State -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): TCU +11.5 (-108) | Oklahoma State -11.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 54.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

TCU at Oklahoma State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Oklahoma State 34, TCU 14

Money line

PASS because even though the Cowboys should win handily, Oklahoma State (-500) is too far out of my price range for any favorite in a conference game.

Also, Oklahoma State is too expensive to add in a money line parlay or as a teaser leg.

Against the spread

Despite this being a double-digit spread, there’s more value in OKLAHOMA STATE -11.5 (-112) than the underdog in this spot.

The reason is TCU hasn’t faced a defense in the same neighborhood as Oklahoma State’s. For instance, the Cowboys are ranked sixth in the nation in defensive predicted points added (PPA).

On the other hand, the best defense TCU has played this season was West Virginia who rank 64th in defensive PPA. Well, TCU scored 17 points in that game so the Horned Frogs will get shut down Saturday.

Furthermore, TCU started freshman QB Chandler Morris over junior QB Max Duggan and Morris was awesome.

However, facing this world-beating Oklahoma State defense is another story. I think Cowboys head coach Mike Gundy will make Morris’s life difficult this week. In fact, a derivative you can play in this contest would be UNDER 20.5 TCU TEAM TOTAL (-110).

As for the game, GIMME OKLAHOMA STATE -11.5 (-112).

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 54.5 (-110) for a tiny wager if at all because I much prefer Oklahoma State laying the points than the total in this game.

That said, TCU’s offense won’t do much vs. Oklahoma State’s defense and the Cowboys have only gone Over the total twice this season for a reason. That reason is Oklahoma State is also not very efficient on offense.

But, a vast majority of the market is on the Under in TCU-Oklahoma State (according to Pregame.com) and I hate following a crowd of people in sports betting.

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Oklahoma State at West Virginia odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Oklahoma State at West Virginia odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 11 Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-1, 4-1) and West Virginia Mountaineers (4-4, 2-3) meet Saturday afternoon to lock horns and match wits in Morgantown, W. Va. The battle at Milan Puskar Stadium will kick off at 3:30 p.m. ET game. Below, we look at the Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Oklahoma State lost its last road game, a 24-21 setback at Iowa State two weeks back. The Cowboys were undone by a 2-of-11 performance on third and fourth downs in that one. Now, after a home rout of Kansas last week, the Cowboys are looking to keep winning that would set up a monster showdown with the No. 4 Oklahoma Sooners on Nov. 27.

The Mountaineers defeated then-No. 23 Iowa State last week in Morgantown, and WVU is 3-1 straight up and 3-1 against the spread at home this season. Dating back to last fall, West Virginia is 8-1 SU and 7-1-1 ATS at Milan Puskar Stadium.

The Cowboys won last year’s meeting in Stillwater, Okla., 27-13, and have won six straight in this series.

Oklahoma State at West Virginia odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated 7:45 a.m. ET.

Money line: Oklahoma State -175 (bet $ 175 to win $100) | West Virginia +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
Against the spread (ATS): Oklahoma State -3.5 (-105) | West Virginia +3.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Oklahoma State at West Virginia odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

West Virginia 24, Oklahoma State 21

Money line

The WVU defensive line and its ability to create some turnover chances looms large in this one. The tough-at-home Mountaineers look to be set up in a revenge spot after last year’s game. In that contest a year ago, West Virginia outgained OSU. The Mountaineers were undone by a defensive score and a couple explosive plays that found pay dirt.

Consider a partial-unit play on WEST VIRGINIA (+140).

Against the spread

Oklahoma State ranks third in the nation in third-down defense (26.3%). That performance seems a bit suspect and ripe for regression. The Cowboys’ success rate allowed on standard downs isn’t worthy of getting OSU to that type of figure.

In a low-total game with an Under lean, the MOUNTAINEERS +3.5 (-120) are a solid play.

Over/Under

The Under is the lean, but the public has this one surrounded: PASS.

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Oklahoma State at Iowa State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Oklahoma State Cowboys at Iowa State Cyclones odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Iowa State Cyclones (4-2, 2-1 Big 12) host the undefeated No. 9 Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-0, 3-0) for a conference battle Saturday. Kickoff at Jack Trice Stadium is slated for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Oklahoma State upset a then-ranked Texas Longhorns 32-24 as a 3.5-point road underdog Oct. 16. The Cowboys have won and covered their first four Big 12 games after playing two non-Power 5 schools in one-score games at the beginning of the year.

Iowa State has won three of the last four games, all by double digits with the lone loss coming at the No. 20 Baylor Bears in Week 4. The Cyclones also lost to the No. 11 Iowa Hawkeyes and are 3-3 against the spread (ATS) with a 3-3 Over/Under (O/U) record.

Since hiring head coach Matt Campbell in 2016, the Cowboys are 4-1 overall but just 2-3 ATS vs. the Cyclones.

Rankings according to the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Oklahoma State at Iowa State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:13 a.m. ET.

Money line: Oklahoma State +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Iowa State -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Oklahoma State +7.5 (-120) | Iowa State -7.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

Oklahoma State at Iowa State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa State 24, Oklahoma State 20

Money line

PASS with a slight “lean” to Oklahoma State (+205) because I only “lean” to the Cowboys plus points and “like” the total in this matchup.

However, four of Oklahoma State’s games have been decided by one score and the Cowboys are due for a loss in one of these coin-flip games.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to OKLAHOMA STATE +7.5 (-120) because there’s something strange about this line and I cannot figure out why Iowa State is this big of a favorite.

Oklahoma State has played a tougher schedule than Iowa State and beat a Baylor team (by 10 points) which upset the Cyclones 31-29 Sept. 25. Iowa State doesn’t have an impressive win on its resume whereas Oklahoma State just went into Austin and upset Texas.

This is a “Pros vs. Joe’s” game with a slight majority of the money being on Iowa State, but 78% of the bets placed are on Oklahoma State, according to Pregame.com. The pro-Iowa State money has steamed this line up from the Cyclones laying 5.5 points on the opener to the current price.

Also, one of the squarest bets in college football is taking points with a ranked team visiting an unranked conference opponent. Oddsmakers have made loot for years because bettors overvalue ranked teams.

But, for me, it’s either OKLAHOMA STATE +7.5 (-120) or nothing.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 46.5 (-105) for 1 unit because both defenses are nasty and a vast majority of the market is backing the Over.

Oklahoma State’s defensive front ranks fifth in line yards allowed per snap and Iowa State’s ranks 30th. But Oklahoma State’s offensive line ranks 115th in line yards per snap and Iowa State’s is 71st.

On top of that, roughly three-fourths of the action is on the Over (according to Pregame.com), but this total opened at 50.5. That type of “reverse line movement” tells me that oddsmakers want more pro-Over wagers. Let’s fade the market and get on the same side as the House.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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