Tag: nfl lines

Who will start at QB for the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 1?

Projecting the Week 1 starting quarterback for the Los Angeles Chargers.

The Los Angeles Chargers have a veteran quarterback on their roster in Tyrod Taylor, and they drafted their quarterback of the future in Justin Herbert with the sixth overall pick of the 2020 NFL Draft. They will enter the 2020 season with someone other than Philip Rivers as their starting quarterback for the first time since 2005.

Below, we focus on which quarterback will be the Chargers’ Week 1 starter tied around NFL futures betting odds from BetMGM sportsbook.

Los Angeles Chargers: QB depth chart

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Tuesday, April 28 at 1:30 p.m. ET.

The Chargers have three quarterbacks on their roster. Here are their odds of starting in Week 1.

  • Tyrod Taylor -278
  • Justin Herbert +220
  • Easton Stick +4000

Free-agent QB Cam Newton is also listed as a possibility at +2200.

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Los Angeles Chargers’ Week 1 starter: Best bets

Chargers head coach Anthony Lynn has been public in his support of Taylor. He was with the team last season and knows the offense; however, the Chargers did use the No. 6 pick in the draft to select Herbert, and he is expected to be their quarterback of the future.

With the league expected to have a shortened offseason with much fewer reps on the field, it’s becoming more likely Herbert will be eased into a starting role as the season progresses. While Kyler Murray was given the starting job from Day 1 for the Arizona Cardinals in 2019, other young quarterbacks have eased into their jobs.

Daniel Jones and Dwayne Haskins started on the bench in 2019 for the New York Giants and Washington Redskins, respectively. Cleveland Browns QB Baker Mayfield, Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson, then-Cardinals QB Josh Rosen and Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen took over later in the 2018 season.

While there isn’t much value in the bet, betting TAYLOR (-278) will take the first snap of the season for the Chargers is the best play. Don’t waste time with Stick or Newton. With both Herbert and Taylor, the Chargers won’t even consider a free-agent addition.

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Who will start at QB for the Washington Redskins in Week 1?

Projecting the Week 1 starting quarterback for the Washington Redskins.

The Washington Redskins have a new head coach in Ron Rivera and are coming off a terrible season in 2019, finishing 3-13. They drafted QB Dwayne Haskins last year and added Kyle Allen this offseason, but their quarterback situation isn’t necessarily completely set. Below, we focus on which quarterback will be the Redskins’ Week 1 starter tied around NFL futures betting odds from BetMGM sportsbook.

Washington Redskins: QB depth chart

These are the quarterbacks on Washington’s roster and their odds on starting in Week 1:

  • Alex Smith (no line)
  • Dwayne Haskins -176
  • Kyle Allen +150

Two quarterbacks not on Washington’s roster have odds of being the starter in Week 1.

  • Cam Newton +1400 (currently a free agent)
  • Andy Dalton +4000 (currently on the Cincinnati Bengals’ roster)

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Washington Redskins’ Week 1 starter: Best bets

Smith is still on the roster only for salary cap purposes. It is uncertain whether he will ever play in the league again after suffering a serious leg injury in a 2018 game. Haskins was drafted 15th overall in 2019 as a supposed replacement, and Rivera was hired this offseason knowing he was expected to help Haskin develop.

Allen played for Rivera last year with the Carolina Panthers and was very good across his first four starts. He threw seven touchdown passes and zero interceptions with 901 yards while going 4-0. He had 10 touchdown passes and 16 interceptions in nine games (eight starts) after that. His play and the inability to lead the Panthers to more wins contributed to Rivera’s firing. He would be a backup plan Rivera can trust if Haskins plays poorly or gets hurt.

Newton is a wild card in all this. He had an MVP 2016 season under Rivera but there are still too many questions about the health of his foot.

Considering the investment the team made in Haskins, the only way he doesn’t start is if he gets hurt. The best bet is to go with HASKINS (-176).

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Who will start at QB for the Chicago Bears in Week 1?

Projecting the Week 1 starting quarterback for the Chicago Bears.

The Chicago Bears have been busy this offseason, including the addition of QB Nick Foles to their quarterbacks’ room. It will be interesting to see how the battle under center unfolds this summer and into the fall. Below, we focus on which quarterback will be the Bears’ Week 1 starter and the NFL futures betting odds from BetMGM sportsbook.

Chicago Bears: QB depth chart

The incumbent starting quarterback is Mitchell Trubisky, but the former No. 2 overall pick from the 2017 NFL Draft has produced some rather uneven results. As such, general manager Ryan Pace turned up the heat by acquiring Foles from the Jacksonville Jaguars on the final day of March in exchange for a compensatory fourth-round pick.

Former Tennessee Volunteers signal-caller Tyler Bray rounds out the quarterbacks’ room, although he isn’t considered a factor in the battle for the top spot.

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Chicago Bears’ Week 1 starter: Best bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Monday, April 27 at 10:45 a.m. ET.

Trubisky (+120) has been mostly underwhelming over three seasons under center in which he has started a total of 41 games. He has completed 63.4% of his pass attempts for 8,554 yards and 48 touchdowns with 29 interceptions. He has rushed for 862 yards and seven scores. He has been sacked 93 times and has fumbled 21 times.

Foles (-159), who led the Philadelphia Eagles franchise to their lone Super Bowl win after starter Carson Wentz was injured late in the 2017 season, was given a boatload of money by the Jaguars ahead of the 2019 campaign. A broken collarbone sidelined him before he was able to get going, and undrafted rookie Gardner Minshew picked up the ball and ran with it, literally, making Foles expendable.

In Chicago, it will be a battle between Foles and Trubisky, and experience and winning are on the side of the newcomer. The 31-year-old Foles has been both a backup and starter in the NFL, and his experience leading the Eagles to playoff wins will likely mean fans push for him to get a shot sooner rather than later.

In Week 1, EXPECT TRUBISKY (+120) to be the starting signal-caller, as the Bears will likely be reluctant to pull the plug and admit failure just yet. The former UNC Tar Heel is likely to be on a super short leash, and if he struggles in the first game or two, it wouldn’t be surprising to see “Saint Nick” get the nod before the leaves start changing colors.

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Cam Newton released by Carolina Panthers; where will he play next? Options are slim.

Cam Newton is on the free-agent market, but what teams are most likely to add him? We focus on the odds around each team.

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NFL veteran quarterback Cam Newton is a free-agent after the Carolina Panthers released him Tuesday. Unable to find a trading partner, the team ultimately decided to release him outright.

The Panthers recently reshuffled their quarterback deck with the free-agent signing of Teddy Bridgewater and the addition of XFL star P.J. Walker.

With Carolina in the rear-view mirror, and following a very active market of quarterbacks moving to new teams, one has to wonder: Where Newton will be playing next? The oddsmakers at BetMGM have updated their odds on just that…

Odds on Cam Newton’s next team

Odds via BetMGM, last updated March 24 at 5:45 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Chargers +300

There could be a potential marriage here if the price is right and Newton’s health (foot, shoulder) is where it needs to be and the oddsmakers have the Chargers as the most likely landing spot.

Can you really see the Chargers entering the year with Tyrod Taylor as QB1? Well, it is the Chargers… and they may look at the position early in the NFL Draft, too.

This NFL futures bet is worth a moderate-unit wager at +300 value.

Miami Dolphins +350

The Dolphins seem destined to find their quarterback of the future early in the NFL Draft. However, even if they do, a move on Newton would make sense to help bridge-the-gap better than the tandem of Ryan Fitzpatrick and Josh Rosen did a year ago. It wouldn’t, however, fit in with the total rebuild Miami has been working through.

New to sports betting? A $100 wager on the Dolphins being Newton’s team returns a $350 profit if Newton is on roster in Week 1. While the odds and profit are favorable, I’ll pass on a wager here as Miami stays the course on their rebuild.

Jacksonville Jaguars +350

The Jags are in rebuild mode and it makes more sense to see what magic Gardner Minshew II can pull off as QB1 for a full season rather than bring in Newton. Pass on a wager here.

New England Patriots +450

Replacing Tom Brady in New England won’t be an easy job for anyone and something tells me Newton’s style wouldn’t fit nicely into the Patriots way. While New England could use more talent at the position, signing a flashy quarterback doesn’t seem in head coach Bill Belichick’s DNA. Pass on a wager here.

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Washington Redskins +500

These odds should be even longer. Yes, there is the Ron Rivera connection and team owner Daniel Snyder is always a wildcard, but Washington just added former Carolina QB Kyle Allen via trade and have second-year Dwayne Haskins, a first-round pick from a year ago, on roster. Bringing in Newton would be a strange twist from their previous moves. Plus there has been speculation they may want a quarterback early in this year’s NFL Draft… Pass on a wager here.

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2020 NFL mock draft: 3 QBs, 3 OTs go in top 10

2020 NFL mock draft of Round 1 of the 2020 NFL Draft in Las Vegas, where Joe Burrow is expected to go No. 1.

The 2020 NFL draft is still more than a month away and NFL mock drafts fill the internet. So let’s add another one to the list of projections, possibilities and scenarios … with some expert analysis.

Here are my projections for the first round of the NFL Draft.

1. Cincinnati Bengals: LSU QB Joe Burrow

This pick is a lock. Cincinnati needs a franchise quarterback and Burrow was the best one in college this past season. Though so much of Burrow’s production came in one season, some analysts rank him above other quarterbacks to go No. 1 in recent history.

2. Washington Redskins: Ohio State EDGE Chase Young

The Redskins could surprise people and draft a quarterback despite having taken Dwayne Haskins in the first round last year. Such a decision proved to be the right one for the Arizona Cardinals a year ago. This time, however, the Redskins probably take Young, a dynamic pass rusher. The Cardinals were able to trade away Josh Rosen and hand the team to Kyler Murray last season. The Redskins aren’t comfortable they can do that with Tua Tagovailoa because injury concerns have his availability in 2020 in question.

3. Detroit Lions: Ohio State CB Jeff Okudah

The Lions are looking to trade Darius Slay, their No. 1 cornerback. They have to replace him and Okudah fits the bill.

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4. New York Giants: Alabama OT Jedrick Wills

The Giants have their quarterback, running back and a promising young receiver. They don’t have good protection for that quarterback, Daniel Jones. They could go with Clemson do-it-all linebacker Isaiah Simmons here, but the defense needs more than just Simmons to make significant improvement. New York needs to protect Jones and the tackle talent at the top of the draft is fantastic. It thins out quickly so if they want a tackle to contribute, it has to be right here.

5. Miami Dolphins: Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa

Miami has been waiting to make this pick for about a year. Now it will actually happen. And the Dolphins are prepared to sit Tagovailoa as they still have Ryan Fitzpatrick to start in 2020.

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NFL mock draft: 3 QBs, 3 OTs go in top 10

2020 NFL mock draft of Round 1 of the 2020 NFL Draft in Las Vegas, where Joe Burrow is expected to go No. 1

The NFL draft is still more than a month away and mock drafts fill the internet. So let’s add another one to the list of projections, possibilities and scenarios … with some expert analysis.

Here are my projections for the first round of the draft.

Get in on some 2020 NFL futures action by betting at BetMGM. New customer offer: RISK-FREE First Bet (up to $500!) paid in free bets.

Jason Getz – USA TODAY Sports

1. Cincinnati Bengals: LSU QB Joe Burrow

This pick is a lock. Cincinnati needs a franchise quarterback and Burrow was the best one in college this past season. Though so much of Burrow’s production came in one season, some analysts rank him above other quarterbacks to go No. 1 in recent history.

2. Washington Redskins: Ohio State EDGE Chase Young

The Redskins could surprise people and draft a quarterback despite having taken Dwayne Haskins in the first round last year. Such a decision proved to be the right one for the Arizona Cardinals a year ago. This time, however, the Redskins probably take Young, a dynamic pass rusher. The Cardinals were able to trade away Josh Rosen and hand the team to Kyler Murray last season. The Redskins aren’t comfortable they can do that with Tua Tagovailoa because injury concerns have his availability in 2020 in question.

3. Detroit Lions: Ohio State CB Jeff Okudah

The Lions are looking to trade Darius Slay, their No. 1 cornerback. They have to replace him and Okudah fits the bill.

4. New York Giants: Alabama OT Jedrick Wills

The Giants have their quarterback, running back and a promising young receiver. They don’t have good protection for that quarterback, Daniel Jones. They could go with Clemson do-it-all linebacker Isaiah Simmons here, but the defense needs more than just Simmons to make significant improvement. New York needs to protect Jones and the tackle talent at the top of the draft is fantastic. It thins out quickly so if they want a tackle to contribute, it has to be right here.

5. Miami Dolphins: Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa

Miami has been waiting to make this pick for about a year. Now it will actually happen. And the Dolphins are prepared to sit Tagovailoa as they still have Ryan Fitzpatrick to start in 2020.

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NFL Prop Bet Payday: Championship Game Edition

Previewing Sunday’s NFL conference championship games between the Titans and Chiefs and the Packers and 49ers with NFL betting odds, picks and best bets

The Super Bowl dreams are still alive for four teams, and those four teams have one thing in common: the last time they stood this close to the Super Bowl, most players taking the field this weekend weren’t yet in the league — and in some cases, even alive. San Francisco’s last Super Bowl was in 2013. Green Bay’s was 2011. Tennessee’s was 2000. Kansas City’s was 1970 before the AFL and NFL merged.

Two of those franchises will end their drought. Our championship week prop bets look at a key player from each team and breaks down how each can make you a winner.

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Bo Knows Derrick

Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry has been close to unstoppable this postseason. (Photo credit: Jim Brown – USA TODAY Sports)

The number keeps getting higher on Derrick Henry’s rushing yards — currently at 106.5 with -112 on both the over and the under — and for good reason. He has rushed for 149 or more yards in six of his last eight games, including games of 211, 182 and 195 in his last three and 188 when he played Kansas City in November. In that game, even if you took out his 68-yard touchdown run, he still ran 22 times for 120 yards. The Titans have fed him the ball 30 or more times in each of the last three games against defenses viewed as being better than that of the Chiefs. Barring a 20-point deficit in the first half, he will keep getting the rock. TAKE THE OVER.

The Road Less Travis-ed

Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce had 3 touchdowns in a quarter last weekend. What will he do come Sunday? (Photo credit: Mark J. Rebilas – USA TODAY Sports)

Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce is being given a pretty representative over/under number to get action on both sides at 78.5 yards (-112 on both the over and under). Since quarterback Patrick Mahomes returned from injury, Kelce has caught seven or more passes in six of eight games, including catching seven passes for 75 yards against the Titans in Week 10. Tennessee is likely going to double Tyreek Hill more often than not in an effort to prevent the huge play over the top. Enter Kelce and death by paper cut. By the time the Texans doubled Kelce in the second half of their game last week, it was too late. He caught 10 passes for 134 yards and three touchdowns. He likely won’t hit that number, but eight catches for 80+ yards isn’t out of the question. TAKE THE OVER.

The Adams Family

Aaron Rodgers (12) and Davante Adams are one football’s scariest hookups. (Photo credit: Jeff Hanisch – USA TODAY Sports)

The Packers don’t hide the fact that Davante Adams is the main man in their pass offense — and whoever the No. 2 guy happens to be that week isn’t even close. He has a big over/under receiving yardage number of 84.5 (-112 on both), but there are two factors that come into play. Green Bay needed to win each of their last four games to hold their spot as the No. 2 seed in the NFC. In those games, Adams had yardage totals of 103, 116, 93 and 160. The case against Adams is that Richard Sherman will likely be chasing him around wherever he lines up come this Sunday. But if the 49ers open up a big lead (they’re favored by 7.5 points) Rodgers will have nothing to lose to keep throwing. Even if it covers in garbage time, that’s fine. TAKE THE OVER.

The World According to Jim

Considering the stakes, his opponent and a strong rushing attack behind him, will 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo be asked to do less Sunday? (Photo Credit: Orlando Ramirez – USA TODAY Sports)

The over/under on passing yards for Jimmy Garoppolo is 248.5 (-112 on both). It’s a solid number because he has exceeded that number in five of his last 10 games — and finished with 248 in two others. But two things play in against him hitting the over. Green Bay’s pass rush won’t let him have all day to throw. They will dial up the heat and get the ball out of his hands. More importantly, the closer teams get to the Super Bowl, the more conservative most of them get. Last week, the three-headed 49ers backfield combined to rush 42 times. If they get a big lead, which many in Vegas are projecting, they will take the air out of the ball to shorten the game and pound the rock until Green Bay stops it. TAKE THE UNDER.

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Why you should bet on Tennessee Titans to win AFC Championship

Previewing the Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs AFC Championship Game, with NFL betting odds, picks, futures and best bets.

The Tennessee Titans (11-7) look for a third straight upset on the road when they travel to Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (13-4) in Sunday’s AFC Championship. The Titans pulled off a surprising 28-12 victory over the Baltimore Ravens last week, which was the team’s fifth straight road win, a span in which they have outscored their opponents by 16 points per game.

Tennessee has been playing extremely well with QB Ryan Tannehill under center, going 9-3 in his 12 starts. He hasn’t been asked to do much with his arm in the playoffs, as the team has leaned very heavily on RB Derrick Henry, who topped 180 rushing yards in both games.

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These teams met in Nashville back in Week 10, and there were plenty of offensive fireworks in Tennessee’s 35-32 win. In that game, Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes exploded for 446 yards and three touchdowns, while Henry ran all over the Kansas City defense, racking up 188 yards and two scores.

It will be tough to steal a win in Kansas City, but this game stands a strong chance of going down to the wire. The Titans are getting 7.5 points (-121) on the spread and +260 odds on the moneyline. Both represent solid value.

Establishing the run

(Photo Credit: Geoff Burke – USA TODAY Sports)

Henry led the NFL with 1,540 rushing yards in the regular season, and he has been virtually unstoppable lately. He is averaging 196 rushing yards over his past three games and has topped 100 yards in seven of his last eight, including 149 yards or more in six of those contests.

The Kansas City defense has been vulnerable against the run all season. They have surrendered the fourth-most yards per attempt on the ground, and seventh-most yards per game. The Titans offensive game plan looks pretty obvious, and Henry should have another huge day.

Which defense will step up?

(Photo Credit: Evan Habeeb – USA TODAY Sports)

The Titans aren’t built to play from behind, so they can’t afford to get down a couple scores. As long as the game is close, they should be able to continue feeding the ball to Henry, and he should run wild on the porous Chief run defense.

The Tennessee defense will need to do a better job of containing Mahomes, who went off for 446 yards and three scores in the Week 10 matchup.

This should be a high-scoring affair, as the Titans should move the ball at will on the ground, but they will have a hard time slowing down the Kansas City air attack. The Chiefs, winners of six straight, deserve to be slight favorites, but Tennessee has beat them once already, and has a good chance to hand them their fourth home loss of the season. Back the Titans in this one.

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Why you should bet on San Francisco 49ers to win NFC Championship

Previewing the Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers NFC Championship Game, with NFL betting odds, picks, futures and best bets.

After dominating the Minnesota Vikings in the divisional round of the playoffs last Saturday, the San Francisco 49ers (14-3) sit one win away from the Super Bowl. The only team standing in their way? The Aaron Rodgers-led Green Bay Packers (14-3).

While both teams finished the regular season 13-3, the 49ers were the far better team. Their point differential of 169 was not only best in the NFC but was 106 points better than that of the Packers. San Francisco finished the regular season with the No. 2 scoring offense and No. 2 defense in yards allowed.

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And when these teams met in the regular season, the 49ers absolutely crushed the Packers, beating them 37-8. Green Bay was held to 198 total yards with Rodgers throwing for only 104 yards with a paltry 3.15 yards per attempt – the lowest of his career in a game he started.

All of this adds up to the 49ers being 7.5-point favorites over the Packers on Sunday night at Levi’s Stadium, with a moneyline of -358. But should you bet on them to win the game?

In short: YES.

Can the good fortune last?

Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers. (Photo Credit: Jeff Hanisch – USA TODAY Sports)

The Packers have overachieved to make it this far and weren’t as good as their record during the regular season. They were 18th in total offense and 18th in total defense in 2019, ranking outside the top 10 in passing and rushing, as well. Their saving grace was turnovers – tying for seventh in the NFL with 25 takeaways and finishing second with 13 giveaways. The plus-12 turnover differential was tied for third in the league.

Green Bay scored fewer than 24 points in nine games this season with eight of their wins coming by only one possession. The 49ers, who were said to have played in a lot of close games, actually won only five games by one possession and scored at least 24 points in all but four games this year – including their 27-10 win over Minnesota last weekend.

Strength vs. strength

San Francisco 49ers defensive end Nick Bosa. (Photo credit: Stan Szeto – USA TODAY Sports)

This game will come down to two key factors: Can the 49ers get pressure on Rodgers, and can the Packers slow down San Francisco’s rushing attack? The 49ers finished fifth in the NFL with 48 sacks this season – and they were well distributed. Arik Armstead had 10, Nick Bosa had nine, DeForest Buckner posted 7.5 and Dee Ford had 6.5 in only 11 games.

Blocking a defensive line with that sort of production spread across the front is a huge challenge, because it’s not as if the Packers can focus all of their attention on one guy. David Bakhtiari and Bryan Bulaga are outstanding tackles, and Elgton Jenkins has been great at guard, but the Packers’ offensive line struggled to protect Rodgers the last time these teams met, allowing five sacks.

As for stopping the 49ers’ ground game, the Packers did a great job of that in Week 12. They held San Francisco to only 112 yards rushing in that one, with no player gaining more than 45 yards by himself. On the flip side, Green Bay still lost 37-8 – and that was with 49ers running back Matt Breida out with injury.

This is a game the 49ers should (and will) win.

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Super Bowl LIV updated betting odds

Four teams remain in the mix to win Super Bowl LIV, we look at the sports betting odds on each

Super Bowl LIV is on the horizon, as we are down to four remaining NFL teams in the mix after a wild weekend of divisional playoff action that saw sixth-seeded Tennessee Titans knock off the Baltimore Ravens, the No. 1 seed in the AFC.

With the Ravens out of the picture, the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers share the shortest odds — tied at +135, per BetMGM — as the favorites to win this year’s championship.

New to sports betting? An NFL future bet on Super Bowl LIV lets you place a wager on which team you think will be this year’s champion. The longer the odds, the better the profit – and higher risk. With just one weekend of NFL playoff action remaining before the Super Bowl, none of the odds are that long any longer, but there is still profit to be had.

+135 odds on Kansas City/San Francisco represents a 42.55% implied odds that each will win Super Bowl LIV. A $100 wager profits $135 should either do just that … that same wager on Tennessee returns a $800 profit if they can keep pulling off upsets as they did during the first two rounds of the NFL playoffs.

Updated Super Bowl LIV Odds

Kansas City Chiefs +135 (was +350 last week)

San Francisco 49ers +135 (was +325)

Green Bay Packers +650 (was +700)

Tennessee Titans +800 (was +2800)

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