The New York Yankees (85-56) and Boston Red Sox (69-72) open a 2-game Fenway Park series Tuesday at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: New York leads 7-6
The Yankees head into this series off important weekend wins over the Tampa Bay Rays and then a Monday off day. New York hit 4 home runs Sunday and has hammered out 15 HR in going 6-2 since Sept. 4.
The Red Sox are back at Fenway after a 2-4 road trip. The Sox are 9-5 with an .812 OPS at home since Aug. 11. That includes Boston taking 2 of 3 from New York Aug. 12-14.
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Yankees at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP Nick Pivetta
Cole (11-7, 3.20 ERA) has posted a 1.02 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 through 171 1/3 IP in 28 starts.
- Owns a 5.29 ERA in 3 starts vs. Boston this season
- Has a 2.02 ERA, 0.93 WHIP in his last 6 starts and all 6 went 6 innings-plus
Pivetta (9-11, 4.29 ERA) is tabbed for his 29th start of the season. He owns a 1.32 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 155 1/3 IP.
- Has a 4.76 ERA, 1.47 WHIP at Fenway
- Owns a 9.74 ERA in his last 5 starts against the Yankees (2021-22)
Yankees at Red Sox odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:13 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Red Sox +133 (bet $100 to win $133)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+102) | Red Sox +1.5 (-125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Red Sox 4
Money line
The Yanks have mashed against Pivetta. He’s a fly-ball pitcher: New York has above-average indicators against fly-ballers, and that is with a .259 batting average on balls in play.
New York is a lean up until -155, so PASS on this offering.
Run line/Against the spread
The Red Sox get tangled in a lot of 1-run games. LAY OFF this RL action, unless the price on the Yankees -1.5 gets north of +105.
Over/Under
With a light breeze blowing out to left, the way Yankee power right-handers have hit lately, and with Cole coming off a high pitch count (118 pitches last game), there is value to be had on the high side of this figure.
BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-108).
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