The New York Yankees (39-30) and Boston Red Sox (34-35) begin a 3-game series Friday in Beantown at Fenway Park. First pitch is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Red Sox lead 2-1
The Yankees head to Boston after splitting a 2-game series with their crosstown rival Mets. The Yankees have struggled to produce runs over their last 6-games scoring more than 3 runs just once over that stretch. .
Boston welcomes in their division rival for this 3-game set after dropping 2 of 3 home games to the Colorado Rockies. As a matter of fact, the Red Sox have lost 7 of their last 10 games at Fenway. They are allowing nearly 5 runs per game over that stretch.
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Yankees at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Domingo German vs. RHP Tanner Houck
Gore (4-3, 3.49 ERA) will make his 13th start of 2023. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 67 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 3-1 home victory vs. Red Sox Saturday
- Career vs. Red Sox: 3-2, 3.64 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 34 ER), 65 K in 13 appearances (11 starts)
- 2023 away splits: 2-0, 4.20 ERA (30 IP, 14 ER), .204 OBA in 6 starts
Houck (3-6, 5.23 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 63 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 3-1 road loss at Yankees Saturday
- Career vs. Yankees (regular season): 2-2, 2.41 ERA (33 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 31 K in 10 games (5 starts)
- 2023 home splits: 2-2, 6.19 ERA (32 IP, 22 ER), .250 OBA in 6 starts
Yankees at Red Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:16 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Red Sox -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-190) | Red Sox -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 4, Red Sox 2
Moneyline
BET YANKEES (+100).
We had this pitching matchup June 10 in New York with the Yankees taking it 3-1. German shut down the Red Sox for 6 innings and I don’t see that changing even with this game being played in Boston. I like this wager but don’t bet the farm.
Run line/Against the spread
BET ALTERNATE LINE of YANKEES -1.5 (+155) for a HALF UNIT.
I’ve already mentioned that I like the Yankees to win this game. I like this bet because of the plus-money of +155.
New York has the better pitcher, while Boston’s Houck has struggled at Fenway, allowing at least 4 runs in each of his last 3 home starts.
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Over/Under
UNDER 9.5 (-105) is the lean. German has not allowed more than 3 earned runs against the Red Sox in any of his last 5 starts against them. Houck has not allowed more than 3 earned runs against the Yankees in any of his last 5 starts against them.
In the last series between these rivals, all 3-games went Under this number. In fact, no game in that series had more than 5 total runs scored.
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